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674 Boggy Bayou Road Rd
D+ Composite 47.33
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +19.6/30.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • DSCR +6.2/10.0
  • 1% rule +4.4/10.0
  • Livability +2.6/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +2.1/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$140,000

674 Boggy Bayou Road Rd · Marksville, LA 71351
4 bd · 1.5 ba · 2,400 sqft · SingleFamily · 329 Days on market
Built 1975 0.46 ac lot

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Fantastic move-in ready waterfront property located on Spring Bayou in Marksville LA. This area is known for beautiful sunsets, the abundance of wildlife, & great sport fishing. Cozy up by the outdoor fireplace on chilly evenings or roasting a pig to share. There is a pergola overlooking the river, a great place to relax after a day of hunting or fishing. HIGHLIGHTS: * Large Kitchen w/ Vulcan-Stove & Bar * Living area w/ wood- burning fireplace & Sitting Area * 4 Roomy Bedrooms upstairs w/ Chair Lift (not warrantied) & Furnishings * Sleeps 8-10 * screen Porch * Outdoor Fireplace * Pergola * Boat Launch * Downstairs 1/2 bath Seller will pay up to $3,00

Key facts

  • Outdoor fireplace
  • Boat launch
  • Pergola

Tags

WATERFRONT PROPERTYOUTDOOR FIREPLACEPERGOLABOAT LAUNCH

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: Garage
  • Utilities: Propane; Electric service by Entergy
  • Home design: Single family residence
  • Construction: Block construction; Metal roof
  • Exterior features: Covered patio/porch

Interior

  • Kitchen: Refrigerator
  • Bedrooms: Bedroom 1; Bedroom 2; Bedroom 3; Bedroom 4
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom; 1 half bathroom
  • Fireplace: Wood-burning fireplace
  • Heating & cooling: Central heating; Central air conditioning
  • Interior features: Living room; Kitchen; Bathroom 1

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 4-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $140k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $35 ($422/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $131k (6.4% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $123k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 52/100 on livability (#415 in LA) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+; Watch: health & safety C-, schools D, crime F.
  • Avoyelles Parish (rural): math 22% / reading 30% proficiency, ranked #56 of 98 in LA (top 57%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 75% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: 75 active listings in the ZIP; 15 units permitted in Avoyelles Parish in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $968 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Avoyelles County population projected at -18% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 329 days — a 12% lower offer ($123k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 4 sale attempts since 5y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $50k (26%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
  • Current owner paid $115k; 22% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $125/mo.
  • Climate carrying-cost: in FEMA flood zone A (mandatory federal flood insurance); severe wind risk, 98% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $123,200 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 329 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1975 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
  4. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  5. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  6. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  7. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  8. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  9. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  10. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  11. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.94%
Cap rate
7.67%
Cash-on-cash
4.91%
DSCR
1.22
GRM
8.9

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-14.5%
Equity multiple
0.48×
Total profit
$-20,406
Equity at exit
$20,874
10-year hold
IRR
-5.8%
Equity multiple
0.62×
Total profit
$-14,724
Equity at exit
$12,105

Cash invested: $39,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Louisiana
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+12
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
5-day notice; no state rent control; civil-law jurisdiction; landlord-favorable.

ZIP-level market 71351

Active inventory
75
Price-to-rent
8.9×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,310 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$734
Tax from tax record
$82 /mo · $987/yr
Insurance
$58
Flood insurance flood zone
−$125 /mo · $1,502/yr
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$275
Net cashflow
$35

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,266
Max offer price $140,000
Occupancy floor 92%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $114 -5% $75 +0% $35 +5% $-4 +10% $-44
Rent -10% $-68 -5% $-17 +0% $35 +5% $87 +10% $139
Rate -1.0pp $106 -0.5pp $71 base $35 +0.5pp $-1 +1.0pp $-38

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$35,000
Closing costs
$4,200
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 31 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    status $140,000 Pending 329 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $140,000 Active 329 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $140,000 Active 328 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $140,000 Active 327 DOM
  5. 2026-06-14
    days on market $140,000 Active 325 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $140,000 Active 324 DOM
  7. 2026-06-10
    days on market $140,000 Active 322 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $140,000 Active 321 DOM
  9. 2026-06-09
    price $140,000 Active 320 DOM
  10. 2026-06-08
    days on market $149,900 Active 320 DOM
  11. 2026-06-07
    days on market $149,900 Active 319 DOM
  12. 2026-06-03
    days on market $149,900 Active 315 DOM
  13. 2026-06-02
    days on market $149,900 Active 314 DOM
  14. 2026-06-01
    days on market $149,900 Active 313 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $149,900 Active 312 DOM
  16. 2026-05-30
    days on market $149,900 Active 311 DOM
  17. 2026-03-27
    status Active
  18. 2026-03-20
    status Pending
  19. 2026-02-25
    price $149,900
  20. 2026-01-25
    price $159,900
  21. 2025-12-23
    price $169,000
  22. 2025-07-15
    listed $189,900 Active
  23. 2025-05-13
    price $199,900
  24. 2025-03-13
    price $209,000
  25. 2025-01-31
    price $219,000
  26. 2024-10-24
    price $229,000
  27. 2024-10-23
    price $29,000
  28. 2024-10-02
    listed $239,000 Active
  29. 2021-11-12
    soldstatus $115,000
  30. 2021-08-20
    listed $135,000
  31. 2005-06-27
    soldstatus $60,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast LA · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$987 · $82/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$987 · $82/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone A · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥110°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 8/10 Severe 98% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$15,723
− Mortgage interest
−$7,842
− Property taxes
−$987
− Insurance
−$2,202
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,258
− Management
−$1,258
− Depreciation
−$4,073
Taxable loss
−$1,897
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$455
After-tax cash flow
$877/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Avoyelles Parish
NCES district ID
2200150
Math proficiency
22% ▼ -32.00%
Reading proficiency
30% ▼ -29.00%
Median HH income
$33,891
Composite
21.32/100
National rank
#8378
State rank
#56 of 98 in LA

Livability — Marksville

Score
52/100
State rank
#415
US rank
#25114

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment F Housing B- Health & safety C- User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Population (ZIP)
11,494

Population outlook (Avoyelles County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
39,084 people
By 2030
37,784 · -3.3%
By 2040
35,049 · -10.3%
By 2050
32,225 · -17.5%
By 2075
25,695 · -34.3%
By 2100
18,985 · -51.4%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Majority White (62%)
Race & ethnicity
White 62% Black 25% Two or more races 8% Hispanic / Latino 2% Native American 2% Asian 1%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 22% Iranian 1%
Foreign-born
2% · Canada, China, Vietnam
Languages at home
91% English-only · French/Haitian/Cajun 7% Spanish 1% Chinese 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Avoyelles

2024 margin
Solid R (+43.1) · D 27.8% · R 71.0% · Other 1.2%
2008→2024 swing
-20.1pp toward R · 2008: -23.1pp · 2024: -43.1pp
All cycles
2024: R+43.1 2020: R+40.8 2016: R+37.0 2012: R+27.0 2008: R+23.1

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -66.16%
Current HPI
95.5318
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.29%
F500 in state
10

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in LA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+149.8% since first listed
15 events — show timeline
  • 2026-03-27 Relisted AcadianaMLS
  • 2026-03-20 Pending AcadianaMLS
  • 2026-02-25 Price Changed $149,900 AcadianaMLS
  • 2026-01-25 Price Changed $159,900 AcadianaMLS
  • 2025-12-23 Price Changed $169,000 AcadianaMLS
  • 2025-07-15 Listed $189,900 AcadianaMLS
  • 2025-05-13 Price Changed $199,900 AcadianaMLS
  • 2025-03-13 Price Changed $209,000 AcadianaMLS
  • 2025-01-31 Price Changed $219,000 AcadianaMLS
  • 2024-10-24 Price Changed $229,000 AcadianaMLS
  • 2024-10-23 Price Changed $29,000 AcadianaMLS
  • 2024-10-02 Listed $239,000 AcadianaMLS
  • 2021-11-12 Sold (Public Records) $115,000 Public Records
  • 2021-08-20 Listed $135,000 AcadianaMLS
  • 2005-06-27 Sold (Public Records) $60,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+8.0%/yr

Latest (2025): $987 · +0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…