674 Boggy Bayou Road Rd · Marksville, LA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- A
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $1,009 – $1,996
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,269 – $2,357
Heat risk 7/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 110°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 19 days/yr
Wind risk 8/10 · Major
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 98.0%
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +19.6/30.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- DSCR +6.2/10.0
- 1% rule +4.4/10.0
- Livability +2.6/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +2.1/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$140,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Fantastic move-in ready waterfront property located on Spring Bayou in Marksville LA. This area is known for beautiful sunsets, the abundance of wildlife, & great sport fishing. Cozy up by the outdoor fireplace on chilly evenings or roasting a pig to share. There is a pergola overlooking the river, a great place to relax after a day of hunting or fishing. HIGHLIGHTS: * Large Kitchen w/ Vulcan-Stove & Bar * Living area w/ wood- burning fireplace & Sitting Area * 4 Roomy Bedrooms upstairs w/ Chair Lift (not warrantied) & Furnishings * Sleeps 8-10 * screen Porch * Outdoor Fireplace * Pergola * Boat Launch * Downstairs 1/2 bath Seller will pay up to $3,00
Key facts
- Outdoor fireplace
- Boat launch
- Pergola
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: Garage
- Utilities: Propane; Electric service by Entergy
- Home design: Single family residence
- Construction: Block construction; Metal roof
- Exterior features: Covered patio/porch
Interior
- Kitchen: Refrigerator
- Bedrooms: Bedroom 1; Bedroom 2; Bedroom 3; Bedroom 4
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom; 1 half bathroom
- Fireplace: Wood-burning fireplace
- Heating & cooling: Central heating; Central air conditioning
- Interior features: Living room; Kitchen; Bathroom 1
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $140k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $35 ($422/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $131k (6.4% below list).
- Recommended offer: $123k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 52/100 on livability (#415 in LA) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+; Watch: health & safety C-, schools D, crime F.
- Avoyelles Parish (rural): math 22% / reading 30% proficiency, ranked #56 of 98 in LA (top 57%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 75% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: 75 active listings in the ZIP; 15 units permitted in Avoyelles Parish in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $968 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Avoyelles County population projected at -18% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 329 days — a 12% lower offer ($123k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 4 sale attempts since 5y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $50k (26%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
- Current owner paid $115k; 22% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $125/mo.
- Climate carrying-cost: in FEMA flood zone A (mandatory federal flood insurance); severe wind risk, 98% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 329 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1975 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.94% ✗
- Cap rate
- 7.67%
- Cash-on-cash
- 4.91%
- DSCR
- 1.22
- GRM
- 8.9
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -14.5%
- Equity multiple
- 0.48×
- Total profit
- $-20,406
- Equity at exit
- $20,874
- IRR
- -5.8%
- Equity multiple
- 0.62×
- Total profit
- $-14,724
- Equity at exit
- $12,105
Cash invested: $39,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Louisiana
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+12
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 71351
- Active inventory
- 75
- Price-to-rent
- 8.9×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,310 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$734
- Tax from tax record
- −$82 /mo · $987/yr
- Insurance
- −$58
- Flood insurance flood zone
- −$125 /mo · $1,502/yr
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$275
- Net cashflow
- $35
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $114 | -5% $75 | +0% $35 | +5% $-4 | +10% $-44 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-68 | -5% $-17 | +0% $35 | +5% $87 | +10% $139 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $106 | -0.5pp $71 | base $35 | +0.5pp $-1 | +1.0pp $-38 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $35,000
- Closing costs
- $4,200
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 31 events
-
2026-06-18status $140,000 Pending 329 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $140,000 Active 329 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $140,000 Active 328 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $140,000 Active 327 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $140,000 Active 325 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $140,000 Active 324 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $140,000 Active 322 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $140,000 Active 321 DOM
-
2026-06-09price $140,000 Active 320 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $149,900 Active 320 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $149,900 Active 319 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $149,900 Active 315 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $149,900 Active 314 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $149,900 Active 313 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $149,900 Active 312 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $149,900 Active 311 DOM
-
2026-03-27status Active
-
2026-03-20status Pending
-
2026-02-25price $149,900
-
2026-01-25price $159,900
-
2025-12-23price $169,000
-
2025-07-15$189,900 Active
-
2025-05-13price $199,900
-
2025-03-13price $209,000
-
2025-01-31price $219,000
-
2024-10-24price $229,000
-
2024-10-23price $29,000
-
2024-10-02$239,000 Active
-
2021-11-12soldstatus $115,000
-
2021-08-20$135,000
-
2005-06-27soldstatus $60,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast LA · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $987 · $82/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $987 · $82/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone A · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥110°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 8/10 Severe 98% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $15,723
- − Mortgage interest
- −$7,842
- − Property taxes
- −$987
- − Insurance
- −$2,202
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,258
- − Management
- −$1,258
- − Depreciation
- −$4,073
- Taxable loss
- −$1,897
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$455
- After-tax cash flow
- $877/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Avoyelles Parish
- NCES district ID
- 2200150
- Math proficiency
- 22% ▼ -32.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 30% ▼ -29.00%
- Median HH income
- $33,891
- Composite
- 21.32/100
- National rank
- #8378
- State rank
- #56 of 98 in LA
Livability — Marksville
- Score
- 52/100
- State rank
- #415
- US rank
- #25114
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Population (ZIP)
- 11,494
Population outlook (Avoyelles County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 39,084 people
- By 2030
- 37,784 · -3.3%
- By 2040
- 35,049 · -10.3%
- By 2050
- 32,225 · -17.5%
- By 2075
- 25,695 · -34.3%
- By 2100
- 18,985 · -51.4%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Majority White (62%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 62% Black 25% Two or more races 8% Hispanic / Latino 2% Native American 2% Asian 1%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 22% Iranian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 2% · Canada, China, Vietnam
- Languages at home
- 91% English-only · French/Haitian/Cajun 7% Spanish 1% Chinese 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Avoyelles
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+43.1) · D 27.8% · R 71.0% · Other 1.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -20.1pp toward R · 2008: -23.1pp · 2024: -43.1pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+43.1 2020: R+40.8 2016: R+37.0 2012: R+27.0 2008: R+23.1
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -66.16%
- Current HPI
- 95.5318
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.29%
- F500 in state
- 10
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in LA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Telecommunications | 2 | $23B |
|
||
| Utilities | 1 | $12B |
|
||
| Wholesale / Distribution | 1 | $5B |
|
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| Advertising | 1 | $2B |
|
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Price history
+149.8% since first listed15 events — show timeline
- 2026-03-27 Relisted — AcadianaMLS
- 2026-03-20 Pending — AcadianaMLS
- 2026-02-25 Price Changed $149,900 AcadianaMLS
- 2026-01-25 Price Changed $159,900 AcadianaMLS
- 2025-12-23 Price Changed $169,000 AcadianaMLS
- 2025-07-15 Listed $189,900 AcadianaMLS
- 2025-05-13 Price Changed $199,900 AcadianaMLS
- 2025-03-13 Price Changed $209,000 AcadianaMLS
- 2025-01-31 Price Changed $219,000 AcadianaMLS
- 2024-10-24 Price Changed $229,000 AcadianaMLS
- 2024-10-23 Price Changed $29,000 AcadianaMLS
- 2024-10-02 Listed $239,000 AcadianaMLS
- 2021-11-12 Sold (Public Records) $115,000 Public Records
- 2021-08-20 Listed $135,000 AcadianaMLS
- 2005-06-27 Sold (Public Records) $60,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+8.0%/yrLatest (2025): $987 · +0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…