Denali Plan · Gilbert, SC 29054

$218,999

3 bd · 2.5 ba · 1,346 sqft · Townhouse · 454 Days on market

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Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

• Cash flow +12.5/30.0
• Appreciation +10.0/10.0
• ARV discount +7.5/15.0
• Schools +4.2/10.0
• DSCR +3.7/10.0
• 1% rule +3.6/10.0
• Livability +3.6/5.0
• Rent growth +2.5/5.0
• Condition / age +2.5/5.0

Key facts

• Walk-in closet
• En-suite bathroom
• Open-concept layout

Tags

• OPEN-CONCEPT LAYOUT
• EN-SUITE BATHROOM
• WALK-IN CLOSET

Property features AI

Finance

• Other: Address: 114 Stock Rd, Gilbert, SC 29054; Listing status: Active
• Financial info: List price $224,999

Exterior

• Home design: Denali plan; Model home / plan inventory
• Construction: New construction
• Exterior features: Living area of 1,346 (living area provided)

Interior

• Bedrooms: 3 bedrooms
• Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms and 1 half bathroom (2.5 total)
• Interior features: Plan (new construction)

🏗️ New construction. Builder plan / spec listing (the home may be to-be-built); metrics use comparable previous sales.

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

• This is a 3-bed/2.5-bath townhouse listed at $219k.

Deal economics

• At list price, monthly cash flow is $-32 ($-386/yr) — negative.
• To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $214k (2.1% below list).
• To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $188k (14.4% below list).
• Recommended offer: $188k (14.4% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.

Location & tenants

• Location reads 71/100 on livability (#52 in SC) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, crime B; Watch: schools D, amenities F, commute F.
• Lexington 01 (suburban): math 42% / reading 53% proficiency, ranked #11 of 80 in SC (top 14%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
• Market conditions: 273 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 1,712 units permitted in Lexington County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

• In year one you build about $23k of equity ($2k loan paydown + $22k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
• Lexington County population projected at +26% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
• At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $61k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
• By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$38k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

• It's been on market 454 days — a 12% lower offer ($193k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Recommended offer $187,500 (14.4% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
2. It's been on market 454 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 14% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
5. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

• 1% rule: 0.86% ✗
• Cap rate: 6.12%
• Cash-on-cash: -0.63%
• DSCR: 0.97
• GRM: 9.7

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

10.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold

• IRR: 23.8%
• Equity multiple: 2.91×
• Total profit: $117,250
• Equity at exit: $197,292

10-year hold

• IRR: 21.2%
• Equity multiple: 6.66×
• Total profit: $346,951
• Equity at exit: $425,467

Cash invested: $61,320 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

• Overall (STATE): 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
• State South Carolina: 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+6
• County: — inherits STATE
• City: — inherits STATE

5-day notice; preempted; landlord-favorable.

Methodology + full state rankings →

ZIP-level market 29054

• Home prices YoY: 4.7%
• Active inventory: 273
• Price-to-rent: 9.7×

Monthly cashflow live

• Estimated rent: $1,875 medium
• Mortgage (P&I): −$1,148
• Tax est. 1.5%: −$274 /mo · $3,285/yr
• Insurance: −$91
• HOA: −$0
• Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt: −$394
• Net cashflow: $-32

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,916

Max offer price $214,339

Occupancy floor 97%

Sensitivity live

Price	-10% $119	-5% $43	+0% $-32	+5% $-108	+10% $-184
Rent	-10% $-180	-5% $-106	+0% $-32	+5% $42	+10% $116
Rate	-1.0pp $78	-0.5pp $23	base $-32	+0.5pp $-89	+1.0pp $-147

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

• Down payment: $54,750
• Closing costs: $6,570
• Reserves months: —
• Total cash needed: —

Rent comps 1 comps

Address	Beds	Baths	Sqft	Rent	$/sqft	DOM	Units	Dist
622 Wild Tulip Ct Gilbert, SC	3.0	2.5	1800	$1,875	$1.04	11d	1	0.96mi

Listing history 13 events

1. 2026-06-18
   days on market $218,999 Active 454 DOM
2. 2026-06-17
   days on market $218,999 Active 453 DOM
3. 2026-06-16
   days on market $218,999 Active 452 DOM
4. 2026-06-15
   days on market $218,999 Active 451 DOM
5. 2026-06-14
   days on market $218,999 Active 449 DOM
6. 2026-06-10
   pricedays on market $218,999 Active 446 DOM
7. 2026-06-09
   days on market $224,999 Active 445 DOM
8. 2026-06-08
   days on market $224,999 Active 444 DOM
9. 2026-06-07
   days on market $224,999 Active 443 DOM
10. 2026-06-03
    days on market $224,999 Active 439 DOM
11. 2026-06-03
    days on market $224,999 Active 438 DOM
12. 2026-06-02
    days on market $224,999 Active 437 DOM
13. 2026-05-31
    days on market $224,999 Active 436 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Taxation est. · year 1

• Rental income: $22,500
• − Mortgage interest: −$12,267
• − Property taxes: −$3,285
• − Insurance: −$1,095
• − Repairs & maintenance: −$1,800
• − Management: −$1,800
• − Depreciation: −$6,371
• Taxable loss: −$4,118
• Est. tax savings @ 24.0%: +$988
• After-tax cash flow: $602/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

• District: Lexington 01
• NCES district ID: 4502700
• Math proficiency: 42% ▼ -12.00%
• Reading proficiency: 53% ▼ -2.00%
• Median HH income: $61,298
• Composite: 41.75/100
• National rank: #3399
• State rank: #11 of 80 in SC

Livability — Gilbert

• Score: 71/100
• State rank: #52
• US rank: #7008

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime B Employment B- Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings A+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

• Population (ZIP): 10,137

Population outlook (Lexington County) Hauer SSP2

• Today (2025): 322,999 people
• By 2030: 342,356 · +6.0%
• By 2040: 377,715 · +16.9%
• By 2050: 406,984 · +26.0%
• By 2075: 465,447 · +44.1%
• By 2100: 485,674 · +50.4%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

• Neighborhood character: Predominantly White (86%)
• Race & ethnicity: White 86% Hispanic / Latino 6% Two or more races 6% Black 2%
• Hispanic origin (detail): Mexican 4%
• Common ancestry: Slovak 2% Italian 2% Serbian 2%
• Foreign-born: 2% · Canada, Jamaica
• Languages at home: 94% English-only · Spanish 5%

Political lean MEDSL · Lexington

• 2024 margin: Solid R (+33.5) · D 32.5% · R 66.0% · Other 1.4%
• 2008→2024 swing: +4.6pp toward D · 2008: -38.0pp · 2024: -33.5pp
• All cycles: 2024: R+33.5 2020: R+30.1 2016: R+36.7 2012: R+37.8 2008: R+38.0

Not yet ingested

• Civics: —

Market trends

• HPI YoY: ▲ 20.87%
• Current HPI: 461.9332
• Rent YoY: —
• Metro: —
• State GDP YoY: ▲ 4.51%
• F500 in state: 2

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in SC)

Industry	F500 HQs	Revenue
▸Packaging	1	$7B