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559 Redondo Rd
B+ Composite 75.84
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • Appreciation +8.4/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Livability +4.0/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +0.9/10.0

$59,900

559 Redondo Rd · Youngstown, OH 44504
4 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,720 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 2 Days on market
Built 1924 7,492 sqft lot

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

A lil TLC, some creativity & you'll make this a spacious 3 bedroom 1 bath home on the Northside with the VA services in your backyard. Home features carpeting & original hardwood trim throughout. The large enclosed front porch is a great place to relax and enjoy the neighborhood scenes. Large livingroom and diningroom with builit-ins on main floor including the Kitchen with space to add a sitting area and/or pantry. Upstairs features a full large bathroom with bonus room attached, 3 bedrooms with 2 large closets in the primary bedroom. The Basement is an open slate with great storage space, laundry area with a newer furnace and a sump pump. There's also an oversized attached 2.5

Key facts

  • Open slate basement
  • Large livingroom
  • Great storage space

Tags

ENCLOSED FRONT PORCHORIGINAL HARDWOOD TRIMLARGE LIVINGROOMDININGROOM WITH BUILT-INSOPEN SLATE BASEMENTGREAT STORAGE SPACE

Property features AI

Finance

  • HOA & community: Street lights; Sidewalks

Exterior

  • Parking: Attached garage; Approximately 2.5 garage spaces
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
  • Home design: 2-story home; Fixer condition
  • Construction: Asphalt and block construction materials; Block and brick/mortar foundation; Asphalt fiberglass roof; Built in (year source: public records)
  • Exterior features: Enclosed patio/porch; Front porch; Patio; Porch; Back yard; Front yard; City lot; Has view

Interior

  • Kitchen: Pantry (first level)
  • Bedrooms: Bedroom on second level
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
  • Interior features: Built-in features; Pantry; Decorative fireplace
  • Laundry & utility: Laundry in basement

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 4-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $60k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $376 ($5k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $60k).
  • Cap rate 13.8% vs local median 7.0% in Youngstown — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 81/100 on livability (#99 in OH, #1,506 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: crime F, employment F.
  • Youngstown City (urban): math 8% / reading 17% proficiency, ranked #649 of 656 in OH (top 99%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 88% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: 28 active listings in the ZIP; 3 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 14d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 147 units permitted in Mahoning County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 30% of the median local income ($40k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $4k of equity ($414 loan paydown + $4k appreciation (6.7% local appreciation)).
  • Mahoning County population projected at -14% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (6.7% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $17k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
  • By year 8, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$35k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • Only 2 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • 2 sale attempts since 33y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $29k; list at $60k implies a 107% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1924 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $59,900

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1924 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  4. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  5. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  6. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.70%
Cap rate
13.83%
Cash-on-cash
26.90%
DSCR
2.20
GRM
4.9

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$151,360
Comps found
8
Show comp detail 8 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
487 Carlotta Dr 0.35mi 3/2.5 (-1) 1,711 (-0%) 11mo $145,000 $85 62
1841 Goleta Ave 0.41mi 5/1.5 (+1) 1,840 (+7%) 6mo $100,000 $54 58
495 Madera Ave 0.30mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,868 (+9%) 10mo $176,000 $94 54
2242 Cordova Ave 0.73mi 3/1.0 (-1) 1,593 (-7%) 2mo $70,000 $44 47
2314 Goleta Ave 0.53mi 3/1.5 (-1) 1,599 (-7%) 14mo $140,000 $88 45
1863 Selma Ave 0.55mi 5/1.5 (+1) 1,632 (-5%) 19mo $170,000 $104 43
437 Madera Ave 0.38mi 5/2.5 (+1) 1,969 (+14%) 9mo $190,000 $96 39
184 Wirt St 0.75mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,550 (-10%) 13mo $134,000 $86 29

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

6.72% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
39.3%
Equity multiple
3.62×
Total profit
$43,869
Equity at exit
$40,423
10-year hold
IRR
36.0%
Equity multiple
7.54×
Total profit
$109,764
Equity at exit
$75,820

Cash invested: $16,772 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
73 Landlord-Friendly
State Ohio
73 Landlord-Friendly · R+6
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day notice; Cleveland / Columbus have some habitability code enforcement; otherwise landlord-leaning.

ZIP-level market 44504

Home prices YoY
4.0%
Active inventory
28
Price-to-rent
4.9×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,018 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$314
Tax from tax record
$89 /mo · $1,073/yr
Insurance
$25
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$214
Net cashflow
$376

Break-even live

Break-even rent $542
Max offer price $59,900
Occupancy floor 58%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $410 -5% $393 +0% $376 +5% $359 +10% $342
Rent -10% $296 -5% $336 +0% $376 +5% $416 +10% $456
Rate -1.0pp $406 -0.5pp $391 base $376 +0.5pp $361 +1.0pp $345

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$14,975
Closing costs
$1,797
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 3 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
171 Upland Ave Unit 171 2nd floor Youngstown, OH 3.0 1.0 1100 $1,040 $0.95 14d 1 1.04mi
176 Upland Ave Unit 1 Youngstown, OH 4.0 2.0 1300 $1,225 $0.94 44d 1 1.04mi
351 Lincoln Ave Youngstown, OH 3.0–5.0 3.0–5.0 1527 $760 $0.50 14d 10 1.40mi

Listing history 4 events

  1. 2026-04-30
    status Pending
  2. 2026-04-28
    listed $59,900 Active
  3. 1994-10-14
    soldstatus $29,000
  4. 1993-10-09
    listed $31,900

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast OH · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$1,073 · $89/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,073 · $89/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥97°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$12,220
− Mortgage interest
−$3,355
− Property taxes
−$1,073
− Insurance
−$300
− Repairs & maintenance
−$978
− Management
−$978
− Depreciation
−$1,743
Taxable income
$3,795
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$911
After-tax cash flow
$3,602/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Youngstown City
NCES district ID
3904516
Math proficiency
8% ▼ -15.00%
Reading proficiency
17% ▼ -10.00%
Median HH income
$25,257
Composite
9.29/100
National rank
#9858
State rank
#649 of 656 in OH

Livability — Youngstown

Score
81/100
State rank
#99
US rank
#1506

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Youngstown, OH
County
Mahoning · 224,175 people
City population
28,503
Metro
Youngstown-Warren, OH
Population (ZIP)
5,185
Household income
$40,156
Rent vs Own
58.9% rent · 41.1% own
Severe rent burden
15.7

Population outlook (Mahoning County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
223,932 people
By 2030
218,387 · -2.5%
By 2040
205,367 · -8.3%
By 2050
193,606 · -13.5%
By 2075
173,694 · -22.4%
By 2100
151,147 · -32.5%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.65)
Race & ethnicity
White 45% Black 38% Two or more races 8% Asian 5% Hispanic / Latino 4%
Common ancestry
Italian 4% Serbian 1% Romanian 1%
Foreign-born
7% · Canada, Dominican Republic, South Korea
Languages at home
93% English-only · Other Indo-European 4% Spanish 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Mahoning

2024 margin
Lean R (+9.4) · D 44.9% · R 54.4%
2008→2024 swing
-36.1pp toward R · 2008: 26.6pp · 2024: -9.4pp
All cycles
2024: R+9.4 2020: R+1.9 2016: D+3.0 2012: D+27.7 2008: D+26.6

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 6.72%
Current HPI
174.9495
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.98%
F500 in state
48

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OH)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+87.8% since first listed
4 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-30 Pending MLSNOW
  • 2026-04-28 Listed $59,900 MLSNOW
  • 1994-10-14 Sold (Public Records) $29,000 Public Records
  • 1993-10-09 Listed $31,900 MLSNOW

Property tax history

+77.1%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,073 · -11.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…