258 Curtis St · Rochester, NY
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $691 – $1,283
Heat risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Hot days now (above 96°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- 1% rule +8.6/10.0
- Rent growth +4.1/5.0
- Livability +3.8/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.9/10.0
- ARV discount +0.0/15.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$119,900
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Nice investment, vinyl sided & recent roof. 4 bedrooms & enclosed porch. Could be sold as package with R1130958, R1130978 and R1130953
Key facts
- 3,355 sq ft lot
- Parking
- Built 1920
Property features AI
Finance
- HOA & community: Trails/paths in the community
Exterior
- Parking: No garage; Shared driveway
- Utilities: Public water connected; Sewer connected
- Home design: Two-story home; Vinyl siding; Existing/resale property
- Construction: Built previously (existing); Block foundation
- Exterior features: Blacktop driveway; Near public transit; Rectangular lot (approx. 30 x 110)
Interior
- Kitchen: Eat-in kitchen
- Bedrooms: Total rooms: 8; Includes living room and laundry among room types
- Flooring: Hardwood; Varied flooring types
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Gas forced-air heating
- Interior features: Separate/formal dining room; Eat-in kitchen; Separate/formal living room; Full basement
- Laundry & utility: Laundry located in basement; Gas water heater
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $120k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $544 ($7k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $120k).
- Recommended offer: $118k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 11.7% vs local median 9.3% in Rochester — meaningfully above typical; check what's discounted (condition, days-on-market, listing class) to confirm the premium yield is real.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 76/100 on livability (#222 in NY, #3,482 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools D+, crime F, employment F.
- Rochester City School District (urban): math 21% / reading 26% proficiency, ranked #589 of 590 in NY (top 100%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 82% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+6.3%/yr); 124 active listings in the ZIP; 11 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 19d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 1,169 units permitted in Monroe County in 2024 (591 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 35% of the median local income ($56k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $829 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Monroe County population projected to shrink 6% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 6.3% rent growth), your $34k cash investment doubles in ~6 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 19 days — a 2% lower offer ($118k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 3 sale attempts since 15y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $30k; list at $120k implies a 300% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1920 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1920 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.36% ✓
- Cap rate
- 11.73%
- Cash-on-cash
- 19.43%
- DSCR
- 1.86
- GRM
- 6.1
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $97,680
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 301 Avery St | 0.23mi | 3/1.0 (-1) | 1,296 (-2%) | 1mo | $80,000 | $62 | 80 |
| 241 Curtis St | 0.03mi | 5/1.5 (+1) | 1,395 (+6%) | 5mo | $65,000 | $47 | 78 |
| 22 Starling St | 0.40mi | 4/1.5 | 1,344 (+2%) | 2mo | $100,000 | $74 | 75 |
| 55 Santee St | 0.29mi | 3/1.5 (-1) | 1,272 (-4%) | 1mo | $124,900 | $98 | 72 |
| 42 Curtis St | 0.31mi | 3/1.5 (-1) | 1,287 (-2%) | 4mo | $85,000 | $66 | 71 |
| 451 Lakeview Park | 0.64mi | 3/1.0 (-1) | 1,326 (+0%) | 3mo | $185,000 | $140 | 62 |
| 539 Lakeview Park | 0.63mi | 4/1.0 | 1,398 (+6%) | 2mo | $150,000 | $107 | 60 |
| 46 Rogers Ave | 0.36mi | 3/1.0 (-1) | 1,458 (+10%) | 3mo | $81,000 | $56 | 59 |
| 61 Myrtle St | 0.58mi | 3/1.0 (-1) | 1,225 (-7%) | 2mo | $110,000 | $90 | 54 |
| 64 Cameron St | 0.64mi | 3/1.5 (-1) | 1,440 (+9%) | 2mo | $68,000 | $47 | 46 |
| 88 Sherman St | 0.73mi | 3/1.0 (-1) | 1,412 (+7%) | 5mo | $63,500 | $45 | 46 |
| 66.5 Glendale Park | 0.74mi | 5/2.5 (+1) | 1,176 (-11%) | 2mo | $177,500 | $151 | 35 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 6.28% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 14.8%
- Equity multiple
- 1.62×
- Total profit
- $20,733
- Equity at exit
- $17,877
- IRR
- 25.8%
- Equity multiple
- 3.59×
- Total profit
- $86,973
- Equity at exit
- $10,367
Cash invested: $33,572 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State New York
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 14606
- Home prices YoY
- -17.9%
- Rents YoY
- 6.3%
- Active inventory
- 124
- Price-to-rent
- 6.1×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,634 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$629
- Tax from tax record
- −$68 /mo · $819/yr
- Insurance
- −$50
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$343
- Net cashflow
- $544
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $29,975
- Closing costs
- $3,597
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 11 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 85 Cameron St Unit B Rochester, NY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1138 | $1,650 | $1.45 | 43d | 1 | 0.57mi |
| 254 Lexington Ave Rochester, NY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 950 | $1,350 | $1.42 | 3d | 1 | 0.70mi |
| 108 Wetmore Park Rochester, NY | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1278 | $1,900 | $1.49 | 10d | 1 | 0.93mi |
| 385 Ames St Rochester, NY | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1738 | $1,500 | $0.86 | 21d | 1 | 1.04mi |
| 629 Jay St Rochester, NY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1193 | $1,250 | $1.05 | 19d | 1 | 1.07mi |
| 1016 Lake Ave Unit 1 Rochester, NY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1300 | $1,600 | $1.23 | 43d | 1 | 1.12mi |
| 28-30 Carthage Dr Unit 28 Rochester, NY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1415 | $1,600 | $1.13 | 23d | 1 | 1.13mi |
| 19 Garland Ave Rochester, NY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1104 | $1,850 | $1.68 | 2d | 1 | 1.20mi |
| 287 Electric Ave Rochester, NY | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1297 | $1,500 | $1.16 | 2d | 1 | 1.24mi |
| 2 Jay St Unit 2 Rochester, NY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1252 | $1,045 | $0.83 | 43d | 1 | 1.45mi |
| 45 Clay Ave Rochester, NY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,700 | $1.70 | 14d | 1 | 1.50mi |
Listing history 17 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $119,900 Active 19 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $119,900 Active 18 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $119,900 Active 17 DOM
-
2026-06-15price $119,900 Active 16 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $124,900 Active 16 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $124,900 Active 14 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $124,900 Active 13 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $124,900 Active 11 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $124,900 Active 10 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $124,900 Active 9 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $124,900 Active 8 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $124,900 Active 5 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $124,900 Active 4 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $124,900 Active 3 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $124,900 Active 2 DOM
-
2026-05-31remarks 35-char remark
-
2026-05-31$124,900 Active 1 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast NY · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $819 · $68/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,423 · $119/mo
- Expected delta
- +$604/yr (+$50/mo · 73.7%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥96°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $19,603
- − Mortgage interest
- −$6,716
- − Property taxes
- −$819
- − Insurance
- −$600
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,568
- − Management
- −$1,568
- − Depreciation
- −$3,488
- Taxable income
- $4,844
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,163
- After-tax cash flow
- $5,360/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Rochester City School District
- NCES district ID
- 3624750
- Math proficiency
- 21% ▬ 0.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 26% ▲ 4.00%
- Median HH income
- $30,923
- Composite
- 18.98/100
- National rank
- #8850
- State rank
- #589 of 590 in NY
Livability — Rochester
- Score
- 76/100
- State rank
- #222
- US rank
- #3482
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Rochester, NY
- County
- Monroe County · 674,131 people
- City population
- 432,803
- Metro
- Rochester, NY
- Population (ZIP)
- 25,538
- Household income
- $55,807
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 986.0
Population outlook (Monroe County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 759,460 people
- By 2030
- 757,154 · -0.3%
- By 2040
- 740,644 · -2.5%
- By 2050
- 714,443 · -5.9%
- By 2075
- 645,883 · -15.0%
- By 2100
- 547,084 · -28.0%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.64)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 51% Black 26% Hispanic / Latino 17% Two or more races 8% Asian 3%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Puerto Rican 12% Cuban 2%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 3% Lithuanian 1% Iranian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 10% · Canada, Vietnam, Philippines
- Languages at home
- 79% English-only · Spanish 12% Other Indo-European 3% Other Asian/Pacific 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Monroe
- 2024 margin
- D (+19.1) · D 59.5% · R 40.5%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +1.4pp toward D · 2008: 17.7pp · 2024: 19.1pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+19.1 2020: D+21.0 2016: D+14.1 2012: D+17.4 2008: D+17.7
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -62.59%
- Current HPI
- 287.6868
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 6.28%
- Metro
- Rochester, NY
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.60%
- F500 in state
- 92
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 10 | $950B |
|
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| Consumer Goods | 9 | $162B |
|
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| Insurance | 4 | $225B |
|
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| Telecommunications | 2 | $144B |
|
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| Pharmaceuticals | 2 | $112B |
|
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| Media / Entertainment | 2 | $69B |
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Price history
+2016.9% since first listed8 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-30 Listed $124,900 UNYREIS
- 2018-10-09 Sold (MLS) $30,000 UNYREIS
- 2018-08-03 Pending — UNYREIS
- 2018-08-03 Pending — UNYREIS
- 2018-07-26 Pending — UNYREIS
- 2018-07-02 Listed $35,000 UNYREIS
- 2011-03-15 Sold (MLS) $8,000 UNYREIS
- 2011-02-12 Listed $5,900 UNYREIS
Property tax history
+5.4%/yrLatest (2025): $819 · +0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…