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312 Ridge Creek Dr
D- Composite 39.08
Why this score? — see what drove the D- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +10.0/30.0
  • Appreciation +10.0/10.0
  • Rent growth +4.0/5.0
  • Livability +4.0/5.0
  • 1% rule +3.8/10.0
  • DSCR +2.8/10.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +2.1/10.0
  • ARV discount +0.0/15.0

$189,000

312 Ridge Creek Dr · Clarkston, GA 30021
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,435 sqft · Condo public records · 149 Days on market
Built 2002 $132/sqft · 17% above area Est $162k · 17% over $157/mo HOA · 9% of rent

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

3 Bedrooms and 2 bathroom currently rented for 1800,00

Key facts

  • $157 HOA
  • 2 parking spots
  • Built 2002

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath condo listed at $189k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-115 ($-1k/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $169k (10.8% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $166k (12.4% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $166k (12.4% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
  • Cap rate 5.6% vs local median 3.6% in Clarkston — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 79/100 on livability (#14 in GA, #2,067 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities C-, crime D+, schools F.
  • Dekalb County (suburban): math 19% / reading 28% proficiency, ranked #125 of 174 in GA (top 72%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 68% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+5.9%/yr); 37 active listings in the ZIP; 31 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 12d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 1,240 units permitted in DeKalb County in 2024 (385 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 38% of the median local income ($52k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $20k of equity ($1k loan paydown + $19k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
  • DeKalb County population projected at +28% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
  • By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$32k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 149 days — a 12% lower offer ($166k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 4 sale attempts since 14y ago; this cycle's ask is 26% above the opening price — seller raised mid-cycle; expect resistance to lowballs.
  • Current owner paid $32k; list at $189k implies a 500% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $165,615 (12.4% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. It's been on market 149 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  3. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
  4. Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
  5. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  6. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  7. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  8. Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  9. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  10. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  11. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  12. How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.88%
Cap rate
5.56%
Cash-on-cash
-2.62%
DSCR
0.88
GRM
9.5

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$161,935
List price
$189,000
Delta
16.71%
Verdict
OVERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi

Projected returns pro-forma

10.0% appreciation · 5.88% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
23.4%
Equity multiple
2.90×
Total profit
$100,624
Equity at exit
$170,266
10-year hold
IRR
21.6%
Equity multiple
6.92×
Total profit
$313,544
Equity at exit
$367,185

Cash invested: $52,920 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Georgia
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Magistrate court evictions in 10-30 days; no rent control; preempted; few tenant protections.

ZIP-level market 30021

Home prices YoY
13.2%
Rents YoY
5.9%
Active inventory
37
Price-to-rent
9.5×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,656 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$991
Tax from tax record
$197 /mo · $2,362/yr
Insurance
$79
HOA
$157
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$348
Net cashflow
$-115

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,802
Max offer price $168,627
Occupancy floor

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $-8 -5% $-62 +0% $-115 +5% $-169 +10% $-222
Rent -10% $-246 -5% $-181 +0% $-115 +5% $-50 +10% $16
Rate -1.0pp $-20 -0.5pp $-67 base $-115 +0.5pp $-164 +1.0pp $-214

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$47,250
Closing costs
$5,670
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 31 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
417 Ridge Creek Dr Clarkston, GA 2.0 2.0 1239 $1,399 $1.13 25d 1 0.07mi
751 N Indian Creek Dr Clarkston, GA 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 995 $1,325 $1.33 44d 1 0.34mi
792 Jolly Ave S Clarkston, GA 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 947 $1,100 $1.16 6d 12 0.40mi
774 Northern Ave Unit B14 Clarkston, GA 2.0 2.0 1100 $1,250 $1.14 0d 1 0.59mi
774 Northern Ave Unit A14 Clarkston, GA 2.0 2.0 1100 $1,250 $1.14 44d 1 0.59mi
3548 Lantern View Ln Scottdale, GA 3.0 2.5 1500 $2,000 $1.33 44d 1 0.59mi
3799 N Decatur Rd Decatur, GA 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 1087 $1,295 $1.19 0d 13 0.65mi
3743 Poplar Dr Clarkston, GA 3.0 2.0 1540 $1,900 $1.23 5d 1 0.75mi
3681 Pavilion Point Decatur, GA 2.0–4.0 1.0–2.0 1355 $1,700 $1.25 44d 1 0.76mi
524 Warren Ave Scottdale, GA 2.0 3.5 1248 $1,500 $1.20 13d 1 0.76mi
3517 Creekview Pl Scottdale, GA 2.0 1.5 1250 $1,150 $0.92 44d 1 0.77mi
3499 Creekview Pl Scottdale, GA 2.0 1.5 1250 $1,150 $0.92 0d 1 0.78mi
3499 Creekview Pl Scottdale, GA 2.0 1.5 1250 $1,150 $0.92 6d 1 0.78mi
437 Creekview Ct Scottdale, GA 2.0 2.5 1400 $1,195 $0.85 25d 1 0.79mi
3545 Orchard St Clarkston, GA 3.0 1.0 1232 $1,650 $1.34 17d 1 0.80mi
3545 Orchard St Clarkston, GA 3.0 1.0 1232 $1,650 $1.34 0d 1 0.80mi
965 Smith St Clarkston, GA 2.0 1.0 1542 $1,500 $0.97 44d 1 0.84mi
788 Angora Aly Scottdale, GA 3.0 3.5 1622 $2,850 $1.76 2d 1 1.03mi
260 Northern Ave Avondale Estates, GA 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 1155 $1,380 $1.19 44d 4 1.05mi
1015 Casa Dr Clarkston, GA 4.0 2.0 1844 $1,950 $1.06 25d 1 1.06mi
3519 W Hill St Clarkston, GA 2.0 1.0–1.5 857 $1,299 $1.51 6d 1 1.08mi
1000 Montreal Rd Clarkston, GA 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.5 1250 $1,340 $1.07 0d 17 1.23mi
3800 W Wood Path Stone Mountain, GA 3.0 2.0 1344 $2,500 $1.86 44d 1 1.27mi
4204 Cheryl Ann Ct Stone Mountain, GA 4.0 2.0 1391 $2,086 $1.50 12d 1 1.33mi
427 Third Ave Scottdale, GA 3.0 2.0 1350 $4,500 $3.33 0d 1 1.33mi
1039 Verdi Way Clarkston, GA 3.0 1.5 1053 $1,995 $1.89 6d 1 1.38mi
500 Hambrick Sq Stone Mountain, GA 1.0–4.0 1.0–2.0 1238 $1,425 $1.15 6d 2 1.40mi
721 Ford Pl Unit A Scottdale, GA 2.0 1.0 896 $1,450 $1.62 6d 1 1.41mi
4247 Youngstown Cir #4247 Stone Mountain, GA 3.0 2.5 1524 $1,800 $1.18 21d 1 1.42mi
4247 Youngstown Cir Stone Mountain, GA 3.0 3.0 1524 $1,900 $1.25 44d 1 1.42mi
1086 Montreal Rd Clarkston, GA 2.0 1.5–2.0 1252 $1,318 $1.05 11d 10 1.42mi

HOA detail condo

Monthly dues
$157 · $1,884/yr
Assessments
None detected in remarks — confirm with the listing agent.

Listing history 26 events

  1. 2026-06-21
    days on market $189,000 Active 149 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $189,000 Active 146 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $189,000 Active 145 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $189,000 Active 144 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $189,000 Active 143 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $189,000 Active 141 DOM
  7. 2026-06-09
    days on market $189,000 Active 137 DOM
  8. 2026-06-08
    days on market $189,000 Active 136 DOM
  9. 2026-06-07
    days on market $189,000 Active 135 DOM
  10. 2026-06-04
    days on market $189,000 Active 132 DOM
  11. 2026-06-03
    days on market $189,000 Active 131 DOM
  12. 2026-06-02
    days on market $189,000 Active 130 DOM
  13. 2026-06-01
    days on market $189,000 Active 129 DOM
  14. 2026-05-31
    days on market $189,000 Active 128 DOM
  15. 2026-01-24
    price $189,000 54-char remark
    Show marketing remark (54 chars)

    3 Bedrooms and 2 bathroom currently rented for 1800,00

  16. 2026-01-24
    price $189,000 54-char remark
    Show marketing remark (54 chars)

    3 Bedrooms and 2 bathroom currently rented for 1800,00

  17. 2026-01-23
    listed $150,000 New 54-char remark
    Show marketing remark (54 chars)

    3 Bedrooms and 2 bathroom currently rented for 1800,00

  18. 2026-01-23
    listed $150,000 Active 54-char remark
    Show marketing remark (54 chars)

    3 Bedrooms and 2 bathroom currently rented for 1800,00

  19. 2014-10-30
    price $24,500
  20. 2012-06-28
    soldstatus $31,500 Sold
  21. 2012-05-23
    historical
  22. 2012-05-22
    price $31,500
  23. 2012-05-10
    listed $24,500 New
  24. 2012-04-06
    historical
  25. 2012-01-07
    listed $85,000 New
  26. 2005-03-30
    soldstatus $100,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast GA · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$2,362 · $197/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$2,362 · $197/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥104°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 4/10 Moderate 21% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 6/10 Major 8 unhealthy d/yr today · 11 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$19,874
− Mortgage interest
−$10,587
− Property taxes
−$2,362
− Insurance
−$945
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,590
− Management
−$1,590
− HOA
−$1,884
− Depreciation
−$5,498
Taxable loss
−$4,582
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$1,100
After-tax cash flow
$-284/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Dekalb County
NCES district ID
1301740
Math proficiency
19% ▼ -12.00%
Reading proficiency
28% ▼ -7.00%
Median HH income
$51,448
Composite
20.92/100
National rank
#8482
State rank
#125 of 174 in GA

Livability — Clarkston

Score
79/100
State rank
#14
US rank
#2067

Category grades

Amenities C- Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime D+ Employment D- Housing A+ Health & safety A- User ratings A+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

County
Dekalb County · 782,738 people
City population
27,781
Metro
Atlanta-Sandy Springs-Alpharetta, GA
Population (ZIP)
27,781
Household income
$52,278
Rent vs Own
74.9% rent · 25.1% own
Severe rent burden
1622.0

Population outlook (DeKalb County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
839,977 people
By 2030
891,768 · +6.2%
By 2040
988,894 · +17.7%
By 2050
1,074,583 · +27.9%
By 2075
1,245,026 · +48.2%
By 2100
1,303,135 · +55.1%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.57)
Race & ethnicity
Black 62% Asian 15% White 14% Two or more races 6% Hispanic / Latino 5%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Common ancestry
Ukrainian 1% Italian 1% Slovak 1%
Foreign-born
43% · Philippines, Canada, India
Languages at home
43% English-only · Other Indo-European 8% Spanish 5% Other Asian/Pacific 5%

Political lean MEDSL · DeKalb

2024 margin
Solid D (+64.8) · D 81.9% · R 17.1% · Other 1.0%
2008→2024 swing
+6.1pp toward D · 2008: 58.6pp · 2024: 64.8pp
All cycles
2024: D+64.8 2020: D+67.4 2016: D+64.8 2012: D+56.8 2008: D+58.6

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 41.94%
Current HPI
360.0584
Rent YoY
▲ 5.88%
Metro
Atlanta-Sandy Springs-Alpharetta, GA
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.66%
F500 in state
28

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in GA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+89.0% since first listed
12 events — show timeline
  • 2026-01-24 Price Changed $189,000 GAMLS
  • 2026-01-24 Price Changed $189,000 FMLS
  • 2026-01-23 Listed $150,000 FMLS
  • 2026-01-23 Listed $150,000 GAMLS
  • 2014-10-30 Price Changed $24,500 GAMLS
  • 2012-06-28 Sold (MLS) $31,500 GAMLS
  • 2012-05-23 Listing Removed GAMLS
  • 2012-05-22 Price Changed $31,500 GAMLS
  • 2012-05-10 Listed $24,500 GAMLS
  • 2012-04-06 Listing Removed GAMLS
  • 2012-01-07 Listed $85,000 GAMLS
  • 2005-03-30 Sold (Public Records) $100,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+6.9%/yr

Latest (2025): $2,362 · +0.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…