14-Plex
677 Ellis St · San Francisco, CA
Flood risk No data
- FEMA flood zone
- —
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- —
- Est. flood insurance / yr
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Fire risk No data
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- —
Heat risk No data
- Hot days now (above threshold)
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- Hot days in 30 yrs
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Wind risk No data
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
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Air-quality risk No data
- Unhealthy air days now
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- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
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Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- 1% rule +9.6/10.0
- Appreciation +7.5/10.0
- Rent growth +5.0/5.0
- Schools +5.0/10.0
- ARV discount +4.8/15.0
- Livability +3.8/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
$2,575,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Multi-family units
County records classify this as Multi-Family (5+ Unit). Listing-text estimate: 14 units. confirmed
5+ unit building — per-unit beds/baths from public records are typically unavailable; the breakdown below (if shown) is an estimate from the listing text.
Listing remarks MLS
677 Ellis Street presents a rare opportunity to acquire a fully renovated, turnkey 14-unit apartment building in the heart of San Francisco. Comprised of fourteen studio residences, the property offers investors an attractive 6.50% current CAP rate with stable in-place income and minimal deferred maintenance. Recent capital improvements include brand-new electrical throughout the building, while the units have been extensively renovated with high-end designer finishes, creating a modern living experience that appeals to today's urban renter. This is an ideal opportunity to own a quality, low-maintenance asset in one of San Francisco's most supply-constrained rental markets.
Key facts
- Fully renovated
- Brand-new electrical
- Turnkey
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Living area reported as 7,047; Lot size source: Assessor
- Financial info: 14 total units; Annual rental income approximately $268,638; Annual gross income approximately $276,293; Gross scheduled income approximately $284,838; Other income approximately $16,200; Total expenses approximately $109,080; Other expenses approximately $5,183; Vacancy factor: 3%; Gross rent multiplier: 9.04; Trash expense approximately $9,567; Utility expenses approximately $19,710; City transfer tax applies
Exterior
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Separate meters for electric and gas; Primary water meter; Public utilities
- Home design: One building; Zoned RC4
- Construction: Concrete perimeter foundation
- Exterior features: Rolled composition roof; Tenant pays electric and gas utilities
Interior
- Bedrooms: 14 units total
- Bathrooms: Each Unit: 1 full bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Gas heating
- Interior features: Gas heating
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 14 × 1-bed/1.0-bath units multifamily listed at $2.58M.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $12k ($141k/yr) — positive. Per door: $839/mo.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($38k rent vs $2.58M).
- Recommended offer: $2.54M (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 11.8% vs local median 2.1% in San Francisco — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 76/100 on livability (#90 in CA, #3,143 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, employment A+; Watch: crime F, cost of living F.
- San Francisco Unified (urban): math 50% / reading 56% proficiency, ranked #322 of 1,400 in CA (top 23%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Zoned schools: Lilienthal (Claire) Elementary (669 students, 19% FRL); Giannini (A.P.) Middle (1,192 students, 34% FRL); Lowell High (2,632 students, 37% FRL) — zoned schools average 30% FRL vs 49% district-wide (19 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+15.6%/yr); 165 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; solid renter incomes; 750 units permitted in San Francisco County in 2024 (688 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $147k of equity ($18k loan paydown + $129k appreciation (5.0% local appreciation)).
- San Francisco County population projected at +39% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (5.0% appreciation + 8.0% rent growth), your $721k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
- By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$236k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 17 days — a 2% lower offer ($2.54M) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 9 sale attempts since 2y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $1.79M; 44% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1908 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
- What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
- Built in 1908 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.46% ✓
- Cap rate
- 11.77%
- Cash-on-cash
- 19.55%
- DSCR
- 1.87
- GRM
- 5.7
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $2,431,215
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 417-419 Hyde St | 0.07mi | —/— | 6,252 (-11%) | 12mo | $1,103,000 | $176 | 68 |
| 974-980 Sutter St | 0.30mi | 6/— | 6,330 (-10%) | 1mo | $1,095,000 | $173 | 68 |
| 1075 Ofarrell St | 0.28mi | 1/— | 6,075 (-14%) | 7mo | $1,793,750 | $295 | 58 |
| 1875 California St | 0.58mi | 9/— | 7,772 (+10%) | 2mo | $4,650,000 | $598 | 54 |
| 1441-1447 Sacramento St | 0.52mi | 14/4.0 | 6,747 (-4%) | 3mo | $3,625,000 | $537 | 46 |
| 1272-1276 California St | 0.52mi | 9/3.0 | 6,816 (-3%) | 8mo | $2,500,000 | $367 | 44 |
| 1401-1405 Gough St | 0.47mi | 10/5.0 | 6,960 (-1%) | 17mo | $2,200,000 | $316 | 42 |
| 1645-1649 Sacramento St | 0.52mi | 12/3.0 | 6,386 (-9%) | 5mo | $2,125,500 | $333 | 36 |
| 1424 Jones St | 0.73mi | 12/1.0 | 7,075 (+0%) | 12mo | $1,950,000 | $276 | 35 |
| 1290 Jackson St | 0.75mi | 8/— | 6,420 (-9%) | 19mo | $3,950,000 | $615 | 35 |
| 1684 Washington St | 0.68mi | 7/— | 6,016 (-15%) | 13mo | $2,200,000 | $366 | 33 |
| 1421 Hyde St | 0.68mi | 6/6.0 | 6,600 (-6%) | 22mo | $2,275,000 | $345 | 19 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
5.02% appreciation · 8.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 33.2%
- Equity multiple
- 3.14×
- Total profit
- $1,544,561
- Equity at exit
- $1,462,554
- IRR
- 34.2%
- Equity multiple
- 7.24×
- Total profit
- $4,499,969
- Equity at exit
- $2,526,932
Cash invested: $721,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (CITY)
- 0 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State California
- 18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+13
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City San Francisco
- 0 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+57
ZIP-level market 94109
- Home prices YoY
- 2.9%
- Rents YoY
- 15.6%
- Active inventory
- 165
- Price-to-rent
- 79.8×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $37,646 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$13,504
- Tax from tax record
- −$3,415 /mo · $40,981/yr
- Insurance
- −$1,073
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$7,906
- Net cashflow
- $11,749
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $13,206 | -5% $12,478 | +0% $11,749 | +5% $11,020 | +10% $10,291 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $8,775 | -5% $10,262 | +0% $11,749 | +5% $13,236 | +10% $14,723 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $13,046 | -0.5pp $12,404 | base $11,749 | +0.5pp $11,082 | +1.0pp $10,403 |
14-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)
| Units | Beds | Baths | Est. rent |
|---|---|---|---|
| 14× units | 1 | 1 | $37,646 |
| #1 | 1 | 1 | $2,689 |
| #2 | 1 | 1 | $2,689 |
| #3 | 1 | 1 | $2,689 |
| #4 | 1 | 1 | $2,689 |
| #5 | 1 | 1 | $2,689 |
| #6 | 1 | 1 | $2,689 |
| #7 | 1 | 1 | $2,689 |
| #8 | 1 | 1 | $2,689 |
| #9 | 1 | 1 | $2,689 |
| #10 | 1 | 1 | $2,689 |
| #11 | 1 | 1 | $2,689 |
| #12 | 1 | 1 | $2,689 |
| #13 | 1 | 1 | $2,689 |
| #14 | 1 | 1 | $2,689 |
| Total (14 units) | $37,646 | ||
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $643,750
- Closing costs
- $77,250
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 1 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Isis St Unit 4 San Francisco, CA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 5526 | $3,200 | $0.58 | 45d | 1 | 0.94mi |
Listing history 11 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $2,575,000 Active 17 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $2,575,000 Active 14 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $2,575,000 Active 13 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $2,575,000 Active 12 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $2,575,000 Active 11 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $2,575,000 Active 9 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $2,575,000 Active 8 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $2,575,000 Active 5 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $2,575,000 Active 4 DOM
-
2026-06-07remarks 682-char remark
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2026-06-07$2,575,000 Active 3 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast CA · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $40,981 · $3,415/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $40,981 · $3,415/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $451,752
- − Mortgage interest
- −$144,240
- − Property taxes
- −$40,981
- − Insurance
- −$12,875
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$36,140
- − Management
- −$36,140
- − Depreciation
- −$74,909
- Taxable income
- $106,467
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$25,552
- After-tax cash flow
- $115,433/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- San Francisco Unified
- NCES district ID
- 0634410
- Math proficiency
- 50% ▬ 0.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 56% ▲ 1.00%
- Median HH income
- $81,249
- Composite
- 50.14/100
- National rank
- #4088
- State rank
- #322 of 1400 in CA
Livability — San Francisco
- Score
- 76/100
- State rank
- #90
- US rank
- #3143
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- San Francisco, CA
- County
- San Francisco County · 827,552 people
- City population
- 827,552
- Metro
- San Francisco-Oakland-Berkeley, CA
- Population (ZIP)
- 54,553
- Household income
- $106,018
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 5272.0
Population outlook (San Francisco County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 1,030,936 people
- By 2030
- 1,110,409 · +7.7%
- By 2040
- 1,270,010 · +23.2%
- By 2050
- 1,435,001 · +39.2%
- By 2075
- 1,779,074 · +72.6%
- By 2100
- 1,966,767 · +90.8%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.66)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 50% Asian 27% Hispanic / Latino 13% Two or more races 10% Black 4%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 7% Puerto Rican 1%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 3% Italian 3% Romanian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 31% · China, Canada, Vietnam
- Languages at home
- 64% English-only · Chinese 10% Spanish 7% Other Asian/Pacific 4%
Political lean MEDSL · San Francisco
- 2024 margin
- Solid D (+64.8) · D 80.3% · R 15.5% · Other 4.1%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -5.7pp toward R · 2008: 70.5pp · 2024: 64.8pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+64.8 2020: D+72.5 2016: D+76.1 2012: D+70.2 2008: D+70.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 5.02%
- Current HPI
- 175.8886
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 15.60%
- Metro
- San Francisco-Oakland-Berkeley, CA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.21%
- F500 in state
- 116
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in CA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Technology | 27 | $1,492B |
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| Financial Services | 3 | $174B |
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| Retail | 3 | $44B |
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| Insurance | 3 | $26B |
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| Media / Entertainment | 2 | $115B |
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| Pharmaceuticals / Biotech | 2 | $62B |
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Price history
+39.2% since first listed19 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-04 Listed $2,575,000 MLSListings
- 2026-06-04 Listed $2,575,000 bridgeMLS, Bay East AOR, or Contra Costa AOR
- 2025-01-16 Rental Removed $1,675 BUILDIUM
- 2025-01-05 Listed for Rent $1,675 BUILDIUM
- 2024-12-08 Rental Removed $1,675 BUILDIUM
- 2024-12-08 Listed for Rent $1,675 BUILDIUM
- 2024-11-28 Rental Removed $1,650 BUILDIUM
- 2024-11-28 Listed for Rent $1,650 BUILDIUM
- 2024-10-23 Rental Removed $1,695 LEASESTAR
- 2024-09-13 Listed for Rent $1,695 LEASESTAR
- 2024-09-13 Rental Removed $1,595 LEASESTAR
- 2024-09-12 Listed for Rent $1,595 LEASESTAR
- 2024-08-29 Rental Removed $1,650 LEASESTAR
- 2024-08-29 Listed for Rent $1,650 LEASESTAR
- 2024-08-21 Rental Removed $1,650 LEASESTAR
- 2024-08-21 Listed for Rent $1,650 LEASESTAR
- 2024-05-16 Sold (Public Records) $1,790,000 Public Records
- 2016-08-30 Sold (Public Records) $2,275,000 Public Records
- 2005-03-30 Sold (Public Records) $1,850,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+3.0%/yrLatest (2025): $40,981 · +6.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…