🏷️ Likely Rental
1139 Cave Springs Rd · Douglasville, GA
Flood risk No data
- FEMA flood zone
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- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
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- Est. flood insurance / yr
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Fire risk No data
- Est. fire insurance / yr
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Heat risk No data
- Hot days now (above threshold)
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- Hot days in 30 yrs
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Wind risk No data
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
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Air-quality risk No data
- Unhealthy air days now
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- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
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Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +29.2/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- 1% rule +7.0/10.0
- Livability +3.6/5.0
- Schools +2.6/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$129,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
SO MUCH POTENTIAL Check out this Investment opportunity! Charming 2-bedroom, 1-bath home situated on approximately 1 acre that features Muscadine Vines, and fruit trees! Ideal as a rental property or renovation project, this home offers solid potential with a little TLC!! Cash Conventional purchase only. Home has been a rental for the past 14 years by the same tenant.Sold as is
Key facts
- 1 acre lot
- Built 1927
- Listed 12 days
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: Driveway with open parking available
- Utilities: Public water; Septic tank sewer; Electricity available
- Home design: Single-story (one level); Fee simple ownership; Property listed in fixer condition
- Construction: Vinyl siding exterior; Composition roof; Block and combination foundation; Built on crawl space
- Exterior features: Garden; Private yard; Covered rear porch
Interior
- Kitchen: Refrigerator included; Kitchen has other features
- Bedrooms: Master on main; Two main-level bedrooms
- Flooring: Laminate flooring
- Bathrooms: One full bathroom with tub/shower combo
- Heating & cooling: Central heating; Central air conditioning
- Interior features: One fireplace in the living room; Wood-framed windows; No shared/common walls; Other interior features
- Laundry & utility: Laundry located in the kitchen and additional other laundry feature
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $129k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $449 ($5k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $129k).
- Cap rate 10.5% vs local median 4.5% in Douglasville — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 71/100 on livability (#82 in GA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety B; Watch: crime F, amenities F.
- Douglas County (suburban): math 23% / reading 35% proficiency, ranked #92 of 174 in GA (top 53%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
- Zoned schools: Stewart Middle School (math 11% / reading 27%, grade F, #368 of 470 statewide, top 79%, 554 students, 82% FRL); Douglas County High School (math 28% / reading 37%, grade F, #104 of 424 statewide, top 25%, 1,969 students, 63% FRL) — zoned schools average 72% FRL vs 53% district-wide (19 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Market conditions: Rents flat; 293 active listings in the ZIP; 3 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 21d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 595 units permitted in Douglas County in 2024 (72 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $892 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Douglas County population projected at +35% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- Only 12 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $104k; 24% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1927 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1927 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.20% ✓
- Cap rate
- 10.47%
- Cash-on-cash
- 14.93%
- DSCR
- 1.66
- GRM
- 6.9
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $242,992
- List price
- $129,000
- Delta
- -46.91%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 0.03% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 2.4%
- Equity multiple
- 1.09×
- Total profit
- $3,165
- Equity at exit
- $19,234
- IRR
- 9.1%
- Equity multiple
- 1.61×
- Total profit
- $21,998
- Equity at exit
- $11,154
Cash invested: $36,120 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Georgia
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 30134
- Home prices YoY
- -22.4%
- Rents YoY
- 0.0%
- Active inventory
- 293
- Price-to-rent
- 6.9×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,552 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$676
- Tax from tax record
- −$47 /mo · $562/yr
- Insurance
- −$54
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$326
- Net cashflow
- $449
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $32,250
- Closing costs
- $3,870
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 3 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1187 Foxwood Dr Douglasville, GA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1115 | $1,500 | $1.35 | 24d | 1 | 0.49mi |
| 8288 Chicago Ave Douglasville, GA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1050 | $1,510 | $1.44 | 3d | 1 | 1.31mi |
| 8040 Colquitt St Douglasville, GA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1046 | $1,295 | $1.24 | 21d | 1 | 1.42mi |
Listing history 6 events
-
2026-05-16status Pending 380-char remark
-
2026-05-06status Pending Offer Approval 381-char remark
Show marketing remark (381 chars)
SO MUCH POTENTIAL Check out this Investment opportunity! Charming 2-bedroom, 1-bath home situated on approximately 1 acre that features Muscadine Vines, and fruit trees! Ideal as a rental property or renovation project, this home offers solid potential with a little TLC!! Cash Conventional purchase only. Home has been a rental for the past 14 years by the same tenant.Sold as is
-
2026-05-06historical Active Under Contract 380-char remark
Show marketing remark (381 chars)
SO MUCH POTENTIAL Check out this Investment opportunity! Charming 2-bedroom, 1-bath home situated on approximately 1 acre that features Muscadine Vines, and fruit trees! Ideal as a rental property or renovation project, this home offers solid potential with a little TLC!! Cash Conventional purchase only. Home has been a rental for the past 14 years by the same tenant.Sold as is
-
2026-05-01$129,000 Active 380-char remark
-
2026-04-08$129,000 New 381-char remark
Show marketing remark (381 chars)
SO MUCH POTENTIAL Check out this Investment opportunity! Charming 2-bedroom, 1-bath home situated on approximately 1 acre that features Muscadine Vines, and fruit trees! Ideal as a rental property or renovation project, this home offers solid potential with a little TLC!! Cash Conventional purchase only. Home has been a rental for the past 14 years by the same tenant.Sold as is
-
1974-04-01soldstatus $14,500
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast GA · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $562 · $47/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,187 · $99/mo
- Expected delta
- +$625/yr (+$52/mo · 111.3%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $18,629
- − Mortgage interest
- −$7,226
- − Property taxes
- −$562
- − Insurance
- −$645
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,490
- − Management
- −$1,490
- − Depreciation
- −$3,753
- Taxable income
- $3,463
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$831
- After-tax cash flow
- $4,561/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Douglas County
- NCES district ID
- 1301860
- Math proficiency
- 23% ▼ -16.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 35% ▼ -11.00%
- Median HH income
- $55,335
- Composite
- 25.84/100
- National rank
- #7353
- State rank
- #92 of 174 in GA
Livability — Douglasville
- Score
- 71/100
- State rank
- #82
- US rank
- #6971
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- County
- Douglas County · 141,416 people
- City population
- 114,380
- Metro
- Atlanta-Sandy Springs-Alpharetta, GA
- Population (ZIP)
- 47,580
- Household income
- $76,574
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1339.0
Population outlook (Douglas County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 163,022 people
- By 2030
- 173,956 · +6.7%
- By 2040
- 196,859 · +20.8%
- By 2050
- 220,017 · +35.0%
- By 2075
- 279,831 · +71.7%
- By 2100
- 322,702 · +97.9%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.65)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 44% White 37% Hispanic / Latino 13% Two or more races 7%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 8% Puerto Rican 1%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 2% Lithuanian 1% Serbian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 8% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 86% English-only · Spanish 11% Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Douglas
- 2024 margin
- Solid D (+31.4) · D 65.4% · R 33.9%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +29.6pp toward D · 2008: 1.8pp · 2024: 31.4pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+31.4 2020: D+25.1 2016: D+10.8 2012: D+4.0 2008: D+1.8
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -70.36%
- Current HPI
- 243.9426
- Rent YoY
- ▬ 0.03%
- Metro
- Atlanta-Sandy Springs-Alpharetta, GA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.66%
- F500 in state
- 28
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in GA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Paper / Packaging | 2 | $29B |
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| Retail | 1 | $160B |
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| Transportation / Logistics | 1 | $91B |
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| Airlines | 1 | $62B |
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| Consumer Goods | 1 | $47B |
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| Utilities | 1 | $25B |
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Price history
+617.2% since first listed8 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-17 Sold (MLS) $104,000 GAMLS
- 2026-06-16 Pending — GAMLS
- 2026-05-16 Pending — FMLS
- 2026-05-06 Pending — GAMLS
- 2026-05-06 Contingent — FMLS
- 2026-05-01 Listed $129,000 FMLS
- 2026-04-08 Listed $129,000 GAMLS
- 1974-04-01 Sold (Public Records) $14,500 Public Records
Property tax history
+3.1%/yrLatest (2025): $562 · -0.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…