157 Royal Ter · Harrisburg, PA
Flood risk No data
- FEMA flood zone
- —
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- —
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- —
Fire risk No data
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- —
Heat risk No data
- Hot days now (above threshold)
- —
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- —
Wind risk No data
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
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Air-quality risk No data
- Unhealthy air days now
- —
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
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Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- 1% rule +9.6/10.0
- Rent growth +4.8/5.0
- Livability +4.2/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +0.8/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$105,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Charming brick house on a nice quiet street. Perfect location for govt employees! Walk right across the bridge to downtown. Freshly updated with refinished original hardwood floors and granite countertops. Efficient natural gas heat. Hurry, you don't want to miss this!
Key facts
- Formal dining room
- Bonus enclosed porch
- Spacious living room
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: On-street parking
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; 100 amp electric service
- Home design: Semi-detached property; Fee simple ownership
- Construction: Brick construction; Permanent block foundation; Above-grade and below-grade structures
- Exterior features: Not in a federal flood zone; No tidal water on the property
Interior
- Kitchen: Gas oven/range; Range hood
- Bedrooms: Three bedrooms on the first upper level
- Flooring: Hardwood floors
- Bathrooms: One full bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Forced air heating (natural gas); Window air conditioning units (electric)
- Interior features: Plaster walls and ceilings; Full basement; Two or more access exits; Below average condition
- Laundry & utility: Hot water by natural gas
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath townhouse listed at $105k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $417 ($5k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $105k).
- Cap rate 11.1% vs local median 6.7% in Harrisburg — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 84/100 on livability (#107 in PA, #826 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: employment D, crime F.
- Harrisburg City SD (urban): math 6% / reading 13% proficiency, ranked #535 of 539 in PA (top 99%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 82% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Zoned schools: Harrisburg Hs (math 24% / reading 10%, grade F, #399 of 437 statewide, top 92%, 1,230 students, 100% FRL) — zoned schools average 100% FRL vs 82% district-wide (18 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+9.1%/yr); 66 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 45d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 52% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 540 units permitted in Dauphin County in 2024 (194 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $1,531/mo this rent would consume 46% of the median local household income ($40k/yr) (locally 1014% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $726 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 8.0% rent growth), your $29k cash investment doubles in ~6 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- Only 12 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 5 sale attempts since 5y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1900 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1900 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.46% ✓
- Cap rate
- 11.06%
- Cash-on-cash
- 17.02%
- DSCR
- 1.76
- GRM
- 5.7
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $141,135
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 137 Hoerner St | 0.29mi | 3/1.5 | 1,532 (+5%) | 2mo | $148,000 | $97 | 74 |
| 1828 State St | 0.59mi | 3/1.0 | 1,496 (+3%) | 2mo | $125,000 | $84 | 66 |
| 1717 North St | 0.50mi | 3/2.5 | 1,418 (-2%) | 1mo | $160,000 | $113 | 66 |
| 116 Hoerner St | 0.28mi | 4/1.0 (+1) | 1,283 (-12%) | 1mo | $82,500 | $64 | 62 |
| 1120 N 15th St | 0.53mi | 3/1.0 | 1,578 (+8%) | 2mo | $165,000 | $105 | 59 |
| 1712 Carnation St | 0.47mi | 3/1.0 | 1,296 (-11%) | 3mo | $65,000 | $50 | 57 |
| 1212 Derry St | 0.35mi | 4/1.5 (+1) | 1,644 (+13%) | 2mo | $175,000 | $106 | 54 |
| 1814 Forster St | 0.63mi | 3/1.0 | 1,259 (-14%) | 2mo | $160,000 | $127 | 47 |
| 1937 Zarker St | 0.74mi | 4/1.0 (+1) | 1,568 (+8%) | 2mo | $125,000 | $80 | 46 |
| 1103 N 16th St | 0.56mi | 3/2.0 | 1,662 (+14%) | 2mo | $172,500 | $104 | 45 |
| 1816 Boas St | 0.68mi | 3/1.0 | 1,272 (-13%) | 3mo | $115,000 | $90 | 45 |
| 1403 N 15th St | 0.68mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,571 (+8%) | 3mo | $140,000 | $89 | 43 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 8.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 14.2%
- Equity multiple
- 1.60×
- Total profit
- $17,705
- Equity at exit
- $15,656
- IRR
- 26.6%
- Equity multiple
- 3.95×
- Total profit
- $86,716
- Equity at exit
- $9,078
Cash invested: $29,400 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 62 Landlord-Friendly
- State Pennsylvania
- 62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 17103
- Rents YoY
- 9.1%
- Active inventory
- 66
- Price-to-rent
- 5.7×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,531 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$551
- Tax from tax record
- −$198 /mo · $2,380/yr
- Insurance
- −$44
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$322
- Net cashflow
- $417
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $476 | -5% $447 | +0% $417 | +5% $387 | +10% $358 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $296 | -5% $357 | +0% $417 | +5% $478 | +10% $538 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $470 | -0.5pp $444 | base $417 | +0.5pp $390 | +1.0pp $362 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $26,250
- Closing costs
- $3,150
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 40 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Summit St Harrisburg, PA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1200 | $1,550 | $1.29 | 14d | 1 | 0.16mi |
| 1251 Bailey St Harrisburg, PA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1200 | $1,500 | $1.25 | 44d | 1 | 0.21mi |
| 1207 Market St Harrisburg, PA | 4.0 | 1.5 | 1423 | $1,995 | $1.40 | 44d | 1 | 0.23mi |
| 1517 Walnut St Harrisburg, PA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1172 | $1,150 | $0.98 | 44d | 1 | 0.30mi |
| 1139 Mulberry St Harrisburg, PA | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $1,185 | $1.32 | 44d | 1 | 0.42mi |
| 52 N 18th St Harrisburg, PA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1100 | $1,250 | $1.14 | 14d | 1 | 0.53mi |
| 660 Boas St Harrisburg, PA | 2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 800 | $1,574 | $1.97 | 14d | 21 | 0.55mi |
| 319 Market St Harrisburg, PA | 2.0 | 1.5 | 990 | $1,135 | $1.15 | 44d | 1 | 0.56mi |
| 331 Hummel St Unit B Harrisburg, PA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1590 | $1,800 | $1.13 | 44d | 1 | 0.57mi |
| 331 Hummel St Unit A Harrisburg, PA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1590 | $1,400 | $0.88 | 44d | 1 | 0.57mi |
| 919 Grand St Harrisburg, PA | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1116 | $1,695 | $1.52 | 24d | 1 | 0.60mi |
| 301 Chestnut St Harrisburg, PA | 4.0 | 1.0–2.5 | 1437 | $2,525 | $1.76 | 14d | 10 | 0.61mi |
| 301 Chestnut St Harrisburg, PA | 1.0–4.0 | 1.0–2.5 | 1437 | $2,097 | $1.46 | 44d | 1 | 0.61mi |
| 918 Grand St Harrisburg, PA | 3.0 | 1.5 | 890 | $1,450 | $1.63 | 44d | 1 | 0.61mi |
| 349 S 14th St Harrisburg, PA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1544 | $1,450 | $0.94 | 24d | 1 | 0.63mi |
| 337 S 15th St Harrisburg, PA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1440 | $1,195 | $0.83 | 22d | 1 | 0.65mi |
| 210 Walnut St Unit 206 Harrisburg, PA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1007 | $1,695 | $1.68 | 14d | 1 | 0.67mi |
| 200 S Court St Harrisburg, PA | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.5 | 950 | $1,800 | $1.89 | 14d | 14 | 0.69mi |
| 101 S 2nd St Harrisburg, PA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 736 | $1,749 | $2.37 | 14d | 32 | 0.69mi |
| 1116 N 3rd St Unit 3 Harrisburg, PA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1100 | $1,375 | $1.25 | 24d | 1 | 0.76mi |
| 1610 Hunter St Harrisburg, PA | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1776 | $1,450 | $0.82 | 24d | 1 | 0.77mi |
| 116 Pine St Harrisburg, PA | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 900 | $1,638 | $1.82 | 14d | 14 | 0.78mi |
| 919 Penn St Harrisburg, PA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1458 | $1,795 | $1.23 | 24d | 1 | 0.79mi |
| 711 N 2nd St Apt 2 Harrisburg, PA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1400 | $1,595 | $1.14 | 44d | 1 | 0.79mi |
| 719 N 2nd St Apt 6 Harrisburg, PA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,150 | $1.15 | 14d | 1 | 0.80mi |
| 122 State St Apt 2 Harrisburg, PA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1250 | $1,725 | $1.38 | 14d | 1 | 0.80mi |
| 612 N 2nd St Apt 3 Harrisburg, PA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1100 | $1,545 | $1.40 | 44d | 1 | 0.80mi |
| 612 N 2nd St Apt 2 Harrisburg, PA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1050 | $1,445 | $1.38 | 44d | 1 | 0.80mi |
| 1429 Naudain St Harrisburg, PA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1254 | $1,400 | $1.12 | 24d | 1 | 0.81mi |
| 618 N 2nd St Harrisburg, PA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,050 | $1.05 | 24d | 1 | 0.81mi |
| 321 N Front St Unit 102 Harrisburg, PA | 2.0 | 2.5 | 1562 | $2,395 | $1.53 | 44d | 1 | 0.83mi |
| 1122 Green St #14 Harrisburg, PA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 918 | $1,895 | $2.06 | 44d | 1 | 0.83mi |
| 920 N 2nd St Unit 1 Harrisburg, PA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $1,475 | $1.64 | 14d | 1 | 0.85mi |
| 1615 Naudain St Harrisburg, PA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1148 | $1,400 | $1.22 | 44d | 1 | 0.86mi |
| 1202 Penn St Harrisburg, PA | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1706 | $1,495 | $0.88 | 44d | 1 | 0.87mi |
| 1008 N 2nd St Unit 2 Harrisburg, PA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1410 | $1,295 | $0.92 | 44d | 1 | 0.88mi |
| 1320 Penn St Harrisburg, PA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1193 | $1,495 | $1.25 | 44d | 1 | 0.92mi |
| 644 Kelker St Harrisburg, PA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1294 | $1,295 | $1.00 | 44d | 1 | 0.97mi |
| 640 Kelker St Harrisburg, PA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1294 | $1,650 | $1.28 | 44d | 1 | 0.97mi |
| 2016 Swatara St Harrisburg, PA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1380 | $1,175 | $0.85 | 44d | 1 | 1.00mi |
Listing history 11 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $105,000 Active 12 DOM
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2026-06-17days on market $105,000 Active 11 DOM
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2026-06-16days on market $105,000 Active 10 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $105,000 Active 9 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $105,000 Active 7 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $105,000 Active 6 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $105,000 Active 4 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $105,000 Active 3 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $105,000 Active 2 DOM
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2026-06-07remarks 689-char remark
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2026-06-07$105,000 Active 1 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast PA · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $2,380 · $198/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,380 · $198/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $18,376
- − Mortgage interest
- −$5,882
- − Property taxes
- −$2,380
- − Insurance
- −$525
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,470
- − Management
- −$1,470
- − Depreciation
- −$3,055
- Taxable income
- $3,595
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$863
- After-tax cash flow
- $4,142/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Harrisburg City SD
- NCES district ID
- 4211580
- Math proficiency
- 6% ▼ -6.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 13% ▼ -10.00%
- Median HH income
- $33,432
- Composite
- 7.6/100
- National rank
- #9945
- State rank
- #535 of 539 in PA
Livability — Harrisburg
- Score
- 84/100
- State rank
- #107
- US rank
- #826
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Harrisburg, PA
- County
- Dauphin County · 247,857 people
- City population
- 184,296
- Metro
- Harrisburg-Carlisle, PA
- Population (ZIP)
- 13,115
- Household income
- $39,825
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1014.0
Population outlook (Dauphin County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 281,628 people
- By 2030
- 283,549 · +0.7%
- By 2040
- 285,385 · +1.3%
- By 2050
- 286,188 · +1.6%
- By 2075
- 291,053 · +3.3%
- By 2100
- 282,374 · +0.3%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.66)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 47% Hispanic / Latino 31% White 18% Two or more races 10%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 4% Puerto Rican 18% Dominican 5%
- Common ancestry
- Hispanic 1% Romanian 1% Italian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 9% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 83% English-only · Spanish 11% French/Haitian/Cajun 2% Tagalog/Filipino 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Dauphin
- 2024 margin
- Lean D (+5.9) · D 52.4% · R 46.5% · Other 1.1%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -3.1pp toward R · 2008: 9.1pp · 2024: 5.9pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+5.9 2020: D+8.5 2016: D+2.8 2012: D+6.0 2008: D+9.1
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -119.52%
- Current HPI
- 211.455
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 9.09%
- Metro
- Harrisburg-Carlisle, PA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.68%
- F500 in state
- 34
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in PA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 2 | $309B |
|
||
| Insurance | 2 | $27B |
|
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| Telecommunications / Media | 1 | $124B |
|
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| Industrial Distribution | 1 | $22B |
|
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| Financial Services | 1 | $20B |
|
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| Chemicals / Materials | 1 | $18B |
|
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Price history
+337.5% since first listed14 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-06 Listed $105,000 BRIGHT MLS
- 2023-01-05 Sold (Public Records) $99,900 Public Records
- 2022-12-27 Sold (MLS) $99,900 BRIGHT MLS
- 2022-11-15 Pending — BRIGHT MLS
- 2022-10-30 Listed $99,900 BRIGHT MLS
- 2022-10-05 Listing Removed — BRIGHT MLS
- 2022-09-15 Relisted — BRIGHT MLS
- 2022-09-06 Pending — BRIGHT MLS
- 2022-04-05 Listed $99,900 BRIGHT MLS
- 2022-02-19 Listing Removed — BRIGHT MLS
- 2021-09-22 Price Changed $99,900 BRIGHT MLS
- 2021-09-01 Price Changed $104,900 BRIGHT MLS
- 2021-07-22 Listed $109,900 BRIGHT MLS
- 1985-11-07 Sold (Public Records) $24,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+1.0%/yrLatest (2026): $2,380 · +1.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…