1 W 13th St · Newport, KY
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $839 – $1,559
Heat risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 103°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 19 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 1.0%
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 3 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the F grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +7.8/30.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Livability +4.1/5.0
- Rent growth +3.7/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- DSCR +1.9/10.0
- Schools +1.7/10.0
- 1% rule +1.1/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$289,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Fully occupied duplex with city views. Tons of new development happening in every direction with prices over 500k. Each unit is 1 bed, 1 bath. 1 lease is currently month to month, other will be coming for renewal/month to month soon. Rents currently under market value. Cash flow from Day 1, or house-hack by living in 1 unit and renting the other.
Key facts
- Central heat
- High growth location
- In unit laundry
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: On-street parking
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
- Home design: Duplex; Two levels; Multi-family property; Existing structure
- Construction: Vinyl siding; Stone foundation; Asphalt roof; Built as existing structure
- Exterior features: Deck; Vinyl-clad windows; Has view
Interior
- Kitchen: Stainless steel appliances
- Heating & cooling: Central air conditioning; Forced air heating
- Interior features: Partial basement; Stainless steel appliances; In-unit laundry
- Laundry & utility: In-unit laundry
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a other listed at $290k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-320 ($-4k/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $233k (19.5% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $176k (39.2% below list).
- Recommended offer: $176k (39.2% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 82/100 on livability (#58 in KY, #1,070 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: crime F, employment D-.
- Newport Independent (suburban): math 14% / reading 26% proficiency, ranked #160 of 165 in KY (top 97%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 79% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Zoned schools: Newport High School (math 16% / reading 28%, grade F, #202 of 254 statewide, top 82%, 579 students, 84% FRL).
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.6%/yr); 239 active listings in the ZIP; 32 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 9d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 247 units permitted in Campbell County in 2024 (77 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 35% of the median local income ($60k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $9k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Negotiation context
- Only 10 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 4 sale attempts since 24y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $131k; list at $290k implies a 121% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1892 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- Built in 1892 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.61% ✗
- Cap rate
- 4.97%
- Cash-on-cash
- -4.73%
- DSCR
- 0.79
- GRM
- 13.7
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 4.64% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -22.9%
- Equity multiple
- 0.20×
- Total profit
- $-64,535
- Equity at exit
- $43,225
- IRR
- -14.3%
- Equity multiple
- 0.13×
- Total profit
- $-70,493
- Equity at exit
- $25,065
Cash invested: $81,172 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Kentucky
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+16
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 41071
- Rents YoY
- 4.6%
- Active inventory
- 239
- Price-to-rent
- 13.7×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,763 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,520
- Tax from tax record
- −$71 /mo · $854/yr
- Insurance
- −$121
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$370
- Net cashflow
- $-320
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $-156 | -5% $-238 | +0% $-320 | +5% $-402 | +10% $-484 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-459 | -5% $-389 | +0% $-320 | +5% $-250 | +10% $-180 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $-174 | -0.5pp $-246 | base $-320 | +0.5pp $-395 | +1.0pp $-471 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $72,475
- Closing costs
- $8,697
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 32 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1114 Columbia St Unit 2 Newport, KY | 1.0 | 1.0 | 925 | $1,550 | $1.68 | 45d | 1 | 0.16mi |
| 1044 Washington Ave #2 Newport, KY | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1250 | $1,800 | $1.44 | 45d | 1 | 0.32mi |
| 911 Putnam St #2 Newport, KY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,600 | $1.60 | 22d | 1 | 0.34mi |
| 128 W 9th St Newport, KY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1012 | $1,650 | $1.63 | 3d | 1 | 0.38mi |
| 835 York St Unit 2 Newport, KY | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,295 | $1.29 | 18d | 1 | 0.40mi |
| 929 Boone St Newport, KY | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1458 | $1,495 | $1.03 | 45d | 1 | 0.49mi |
| 203 W 8th St Newport, KY | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1456 | $2,300 | $1.58 | 22d | 1 | 0.51mi |
| 814 Washington Ave Unit 2 Newport, KY | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1450 | $1,500 | $1.03 | 25d | 1 | 0.51mi |
| 809 Isabella St Newport, KY | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1519 | $2,200 | $1.45 | 45d | 1 | 0.51mi |
| 210 W 5th St Newport, KY | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 845 | $1,800 | $2.13 | 4d | 15 | 0.74mi |
| 229 E 5th St Unit 1 Newport, KY | 1.0 | 1.0 | 950 | $1,225 | $1.29 | 45d | 1 | 0.78mi |
| 344 E 13th St Unit 1 Covington, KY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,275 | $1.27 | 25d | 1 | 0.82mi |
| 100 Aqua Way Newport, KY | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1092 | $2,834 | $2.60 | 3d | 4 | 0.95mi |
| 521 Garrard St Apt 3 Covington, KY | 1.0 | 1.0 | 875 | $1,996 | $2.28 | 16d | 1 | 0.98mi |
| 634 Greenup St Covington, KY | 1.0 | 1.5 | 1050 | $1,595 | $1.52 | 8d | 1 | 1.01mi |
| 518 E 2nd St Unit 2 Newport, KY | 1.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $1,450 | $1.61 | 45d | 1 | 1.03mi |
| 508 Greenup St Unit 508-02 Covington, KY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1220 | $1,800 | $1.48 | 3d | 1 | 1.05mi |
| 1025 Scott St Unit 2 Covington, KY | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1100 | $1,800 | $1.64 | 4d | 1 | 1.08mi |
| 3949 Vision CIR Southgate, KY | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1132 | $2,515 | $2.22 | 3d | 10 | 1.12mi |
| 1914 Eastern Ave Apt 3 Covington, KY | 1.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $995 | $1.11 | 16d | 1 | 1.14mi |
| 118 Beech St Newport, KY | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1610 | $2,400 | $1.49 | 3d | 1 | 1.14mi |
| 103 E 3rd St Covington, KY | 2.0 | 2.5 | 1291 | $3,250 | $2.52 | 3d | 1 | 1.20mi |
| 35 Gettysburg Square Rd Fort Thomas, KY | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $1,630 | $2.04 | 3d | 29 | 1.24mi |
| 239 Grandview Ave Bellevue, KY | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1093 | $1,645 | $1.50 | 5d | 2 | 1.28mi |
| 512 Wallace Ave Unit 512/18 Covington, KY | 2.0 | 2.0 | 900 | $1,299 | $1.44 | 8d | 1 | 1.31mi |
| 327 Covert Run Pike Unit 1 Bellevue, KY | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1580 | $1,850 | $1.17 | 25d | 1 | 1.35mi |
| 2030 Mackoy St Covington, KY | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1598 | $1,779 | $1.11 | 5d | 1 | 1.36mi |
| 621 E Mehring Way Cincinnati, OH | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 938 | $2,249 | $2.40 | 3d | 12 | 1.38mi |
| 601 E Pete Rose Way Cincinnati, OH | 3.0 | 1.0–2.5 | 1039 | $2,448 | $2.36 | 3d | 22 | 1.38mi |
| 50 W Rivercenter Blvd Covington, KY | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.5 | 1273 | $3,640 | $2.86 | 3d | 9 | 1.40mi |
| 1927 Scott St Apt 1 Covington, KY | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1865 | $2,100 | $1.13 | 21d | 1 | 1.40mi |
| 1700 Aspen Pines Dr Wilder, KY | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.5 | 1420 | $1,895 | $1.33 | 3d | 14 | 1.43mi |
Listing history 7 events
-
2026-06-21pricedays on market $289,900 Active 10 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $299,900 Active 7 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $299,900 Active 6 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $299,900 Active 5 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $299,900 Active 4 DOM
-
2026-06-13remarks 686-char remark
-
2026-06-13$299,900 Active 2 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast KY · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $854 · $71/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,493 · $208/mo
- Expected delta
- +$1,639/yr (+$137/mo · 191.9%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥103°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $21,152
- − Mortgage interest
- −$16,239
- − Property taxes
- −$854
- − Insurance
- −$1,450
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,692
- − Management
- −$1,692
- − Depreciation
- −$8,433
- Taxable loss
- −$9,208
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$2,210
- After-tax cash flow
- $-1,627/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Newport Independent
- NCES district ID
- 2104440
- Math proficiency
- 14% ▼ -11.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 26% ▼ -6.00%
- Median HH income
- $35,783
- Composite
- 16.51/100
- National rank
- #9182
- State rank
- #160 of 165 in KY
Livability — Newport
- Score
- 82/100
- State rank
- #58
- US rank
- #1070
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Newport, KY
- County
- Campbell County · 84,793 people
- City population
- 19,680
- Metro
- Cincinnati, OH-KY-IN
- Population (ZIP)
- 19,680
- Household income
- $59,976
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1136.0
Population outlook (Campbell County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 95,668 people
- By 2030
- 96,886 · +1.3%
- By 2040
- 97,734 · +2.2%
- By 2050
- 96,413 · +0.8%
- By 2075
- 90,211 · -5.7%
- By 2100
- 79,434 · -17.0%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (84%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 84% Black 7% Two or more races 6% Hispanic / Latino 5%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 3% Lithuanian 2% Italian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 4% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 95% English-only · Spanish 3% Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Campbell
- 2024 margin
- R (+19.7) · D 39.2% · R 58.9% · Other 1.9%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +1.2pp toward D · 2008: -20.9pp · 2024: -19.7pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+19.7 2020: R+18.6 2016: R+24.5 2012: R+22.8 2008: R+20.9
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -193.38%
- Current HPI
- 244.9069
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 4.64%
- Metro
- Cincinnati, OH-KY-IN
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.81%
- F500 in state
- 4
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in KY)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 1 | $118B |
|
||
| Food / Beverage | 1 | $7B |
|
||
Price history
+274.9% since first listed13 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-11 Listed $299,900 NKMLS
- 2020-11-30 Sold (Public Records) $131,000 Public Records
- 2020-11-20 Sold (MLS) $131,000 NKMLS
- 2020-11-04 Sold (Public Records) $68,000 Public Records
- 2020-10-10 Pending — NKMLS
- 2020-10-09 Relisted — NKMLS
- 2020-10-09 Listing Removed — NKMLS
- 2020-10-04 Listed $150,000 NKMLS
- 2003-06-05 Sold (Public Records) $71,500 Public Records
- 2003-05-13 Sold (MLS) $71,500 NKMLS
- 2002-11-11 Listed $74,900 NKMLS
- 1993-11-23 Sold (Public Records) $20,000 Public Records
- 1988-07-12 Sold (Public Records) $80,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+6.6%/yrLatest (2025): $854 · -3.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…