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205 Jefferson St
C+ Composite 60.39
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +26.1/30.0
  • DSCR +8.8/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • 1% rule +7.4/10.0
  • Livability +3.1/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +2.5/10.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$115,000

205 Jefferson St · Big Spring, TX 79720
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,024 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 16 Days on market
Built 1949 7,492 sqft lot

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Adorable 1949 mid-century cottage with major charm! This 2BD/1BA home features fresh interior paint and vinyl flooring. Includes a rare built-in basement for extra storage or storm protection. Enjoy a classic front porch, mature shade trees, and fully fenced front and back yards. Perfectly located in Washington Place, just one house down from the neighborhood pocket park and playground. A cozy starter home full of character—schedule your showing today!

Key facts

  • Front porch
  • Fully fenced yards
  • Built-in basement

Tags

BUILT-IN BASEMENTFRONT PORCHMATURE SHADE TREESFULLY FENCED YARDSNEIGHBORHOOD POCKET PARK

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Residential property in the Washington Place subdivision

Exterior

  • Parking: 1-car garage
  • Security: Security system
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
  • Home design: Single family residence; 1 story
  • Construction: Vinyl siding; Composition roof; Has basement
  • Exterior features: Covered patio/porch; Lot about 0.172 acres

Interior

  • Kitchen: Gas range; Refrigerator
  • Flooring: Vinyl flooring
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Central heating (natural gas); Central air; Ceiling fan(s)
  • Interior features: Security system; Covered patio/porch
  • Laundry & utility: Dryer; Gas water heater

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $115k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $289 ($3k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $115k).
  • Recommended offer: $113k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 62/100 on livability (#948 in TX) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: employment C-, crime F, amenities F.
  • Big Spring ISD (town): math 29% / reading 30% proficiency, ranked #641 of 826 in TX (top 78%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 63% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Zoned schools: Big Spring J H (math 25% / reading 34%, grade F, #1,077 of 1,662 statewide, top 66%, 516 students, 70% FRL); Big Spring H S (math 23% / reading 30%, grade F, #1,228 of 1,632 statewide, top 76%, 1,084 students, 67% FRL).
  • Market conditions: 266 active listings in the ZIP; 8 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 24d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 69 units permitted in Howard County in 2024 (5 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $795 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Howard County population projected at +42% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $32k cash investment doubles in ~10 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 16 days — a 2% lower offer ($113k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1949 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: severe wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $113,275 (1.5% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1949 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  4. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.24%
Cap rate
9.30%
Cash-on-cash
10.75%
DSCR
1.48
GRM
6.7

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-0.2%
Equity multiple
0.99×
Total profit
$-205
Equity at exit
$17,147
10-year hold
IRR
9.5%
Equity multiple
1.74×
Total profit
$23,691
Equity at exit
$9,943

Cash invested: $32,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Texas
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day notice; statewide preemption; one of the fastest eviction climates; Travis County (Austin) slightly slower.

ZIP-level market 79720

Active inventory
266
Price-to-rent
6.7×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,429 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$603
Tax from tax record
$189 /mo · $2,273/yr
Insurance
$48
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$300
Net cashflow
$289

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,064
Max offer price $115,000
Occupancy floor 75%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$28,750
Closing costs
$3,450
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 8 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
1404 Wood St Big Spring, TX 3.0 1.0 964 $2,500 $2.59 24d 1 0.16mi
1009 E 15th St Big Spring, TX 2.0 2.0 1486 $1,350 $0.91 24d 1 0.46mi
614 Ridgelea Dr Big Spring, TX 3.0 1.0 1100 $1,280 $1.16 4d 1 0.71mi
3214 Drexel Ave Big Spring, TX 3.0 1.0 1366 $1,700 $1.24 12d 1 0.98mi
406 Goliad St Big Spring, TX 3.0 1.0 1092 $2,500 $2.29 24d 1 1.10mi
902 Scurry St Unit F Big Spring, TX 3.0 1.0 975 $1,000 $1.03 20d 1 1.23mi
2111 Runnels St Unit 1 Big Spring, TX 3.0 1.0 1216 $1,400 $1.15 43d 1 1.25mi
2111 Runnels St Unit 1 Big Spring, TX 3.0 1.0 1216 $1,300 $1.07 12d 1 1.25mi

Listing history 12 events

  1. 2026-06-19
    days on market $115,000 Active 16 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $115,000 Active 15 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $115,000 Active 14 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $115,000 Active 13 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $115,000 Active 12 DOM
  6. 2026-06-14
    days on market $115,000 Active 10 DOM
  7. 2026-06-12
    days on market $115,000 Active 9 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $115,000 Active 6 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $115,000 Active 5 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $115,000 Active 4 DOM
  11. 2026-06-05
    remarks 456-char remark
  12. 2026-06-05
    listed $115,000 Active 1 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$2,273 · $189/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$2,273 · $189/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 9/10 Extreme
  • 🌡 Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥102°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low 3% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$17,150
− Mortgage interest
−$6,442
− Property taxes
−$2,273
− Insurance
−$575
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,372
− Management
−$1,372
− Depreciation
−$3,345
Taxable income
$1,770
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$425
After-tax cash flow
$3,038/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Big Spring ISD
NCES district ID
4810200
Math proficiency
29% ▼ -1.00%
Reading proficiency
30% ▲ 4.00%
Median HH income
$42,916
Composite
25.11/100
National rank
#7529
State rank
#641 of 826 in TX

Livability — Big Spring

Score
62/100
State rank
#948
US rank
#16886

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment C- Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Big Spring, TX
County
Howard County · 29,936 people
City population
29,936
Metro
Big Spring, TX
Population (ZIP)
29,936
Household income
$68,785
Rent vs Own
30.8% rent · 69.2% own
Severe rent burden
638.0

Population outlook (Howard County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
43,396 people
By 2030
46,792 · +7.8%
By 2040
54,096 · +24.7%
By 2050
61,707 · +42.2%
By 2075
79,809 · +83.9%
By 2100
87,385 · +101.4%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.59)
Race & ethnicity
Hispanic / Latino 45% White 45% Two or more races 17% Black 5% Asian 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 37%
Common ancestry
Slovak 1% Italian 1% Lithuanian 1%
Foreign-born
10% · Canada
Languages at home
71% English-only · Spanish 28%

Political lean MEDSL · Howard

2024 margin
Solid R (+62.8) · D 18.2% · R 81.1%
2008→2024 swing
-16.6pp toward R · 2008: -46.3pp · 2024: -62.8pp
All cycles
2024: R+62.8 2020: R+58.4 2016: R+56.0 2012: R+58.2 2008: R+46.3

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -207.13%
Current HPI
140.8159
Rent YoY
Metro
Big Spring, TX
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.95%
F500 in state
110

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+15.0% since first listed
11 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-03 Listed $115,000 PBBOR
  • 2025-10-21 Price Changed $75,000 PBBOR
  • 2025-08-19 Price Changed $85,000 PBBOR
  • 2025-04-21 Price Changed $105,000 PBBOR
  • 2025-04-02 Price Changed $115,000 PBBOR
  • 2024-11-11 Price Changed $120,000 PBBOR
  • 2024-10-29 Sold (Public Records) Public Records
  • 2022-12-09 Sold (Public Records) Public Records
  • 2022-11-02 Price Changed $100,000 PBBOR
  • 2021-07-30 Sold (Public Records) Public Records
  • 2018-03-14 Sold (Public Records) Public Records

Property tax history

+6.8%/yr

Latest (2025): $2,273 · +17.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…