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315 Cr 3496
D Composite 40.65
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • Appreciation +6.5/10.0
  • Cash flow +5.6/30.0
  • Livability +3.7/5.0
  • Schools +3.6/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • 1% rule +1.2/10.0
  • DSCR +0.1/10.0

$197,000

315 Cr 3496 · Hawkins, TX 75765
2 bd · 2.0 ba · 334 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 106 Days on market
Built 1984 $590/sqft · 181% above area Est $256k · 23% under

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

2 HOUSES. .. This property has 1 home with kitchen, bedroom, full bath, & living area. Another house has only bedroom & full bath, and refrigerator. GREAT retirement home w/ guest house or weekend retreat!! SHOP is a GREAT BONUS! NO CENTRAL AC/HEAT. .. .ONLY WINDOW UNITS. PROPERTY HAS 2 ELECTRIC METERS. SQUARE FOOTAGE added all together. PUBLIC REMARKS-AMENITIES Public Remarks-Amenities Whether you are looking for a weekend retreat, downsizing for retirement, or investment opportunity. .. THIS IS IT! Beautiful Lake Hawkins within WALKING distance! This property is like a retreat! 800sqft home featuring open kitchen/living area, 1roomy BR & full bath w/ nice built-in storage area (cedar closet too). Has guest house and 1,200 sqft insulated shop that is heated & cooled. Shop is on concrete slab, built with red iron beams, & has a covered porch. Guest house is 1 BR/1 Bath w/ small refrigerator to convey. Also, another well-kept building in back complete w/ washer-dryer hookups, lg. storage closet and260sqft covered porch, perfect for additional guest! Garden area in back, covered boat carport, and privacy fencing as well! Enjoy fishing, relaxing, & more at this peaceful property.

Key facts

  • Covered porch
  • Garden area
  • Privacy fencing

Tags

GUEST HOUSEINSULATED SHOPCOVERED PORCHGARDEN AREACOVERED BOAT CARPORTPRIVACY FENCING

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $197k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-407 ($-5k/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $125k (36.5% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $121k (38.4% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $121k (38.4% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 73/100 on livability (#196 in TX, #4,982 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, health & safety A+, crime A-; Watch: schools D+, amenities F, commute F.
  • Hawkins ISD (rural): math 42% / reading 43% proficiency, ranked #339 of 826 in TX (top 41%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: 216 active listings in the ZIP; 72 units permitted in Wood County in 2024 (29 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $7k of equity ($1k loan paydown + $6k appreciation (3.1% local appreciation)).
  • Wood County population projected at +12% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
  • By year 5, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$32k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 106 days — a 9% lower offer ($179k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 4 sale attempts since 5y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $12k (6%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 51% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→24/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $121,304 (38.4% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. It's been on market 106 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 38% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.62%
Cap rate
3.81%
Cash-on-cash
-8.86%
DSCR
0.61
GRM
13.5

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$255,759
List price
$197,000
Delta
-22.97%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
3 within 1.0 mi

Projected returns pro-forma

3.1% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-0.4%
Equity multiple
0.98×
Total profit
$-1,180
Equity at exit
$89,652
10-year hold
IRR
3.6%
Equity multiple
1.56×
Total profit
$30,968
Equity at exit
$139,003

Cash invested: $55,160 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Texas
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day notice; statewide preemption; one of the fastest eviction climates; Travis County (Austin) slightly slower.

ZIP-level market 75765

Home prices YoY
1.3%
Active inventory
216
Price-to-rent
13.5×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,213 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,033
Tax from tax record
$250 /mo · $3,005/yr
Insurance
$82
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$255
Net cashflow
$-407

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,729
Max offer price $125,053
Occupancy floor

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$49,250
Closing costs
$5,910
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 25 events

  1. 2026-06-19
    days on market $197,000 Active 106 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $197,000 Active 105 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $197,000 Active 104 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $197,000 Active 103 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $197,000 Active 102 DOM
  6. 2026-06-14
    days on market $197,000 Active 100 DOM
  7. 2026-06-13
    days on market $197,000 Active 99 DOM
  8. 2026-06-10
    days on market $197,000 Active 97 DOM
  9. 2026-06-09
    days on market $197,000 Active 96 DOM
  10. 2026-06-08
    days on market $197,000 Active 95 DOM
  11. 2026-06-07
    days on market $197,000 Active 94 DOM
  12. 2026-06-05
    days on market $197,000 Active 91 DOM
  13. 2026-06-03
    days on market $197,000 Active 90 DOM
  14. 2026-06-02
    days on market $197,000 Active 89 DOM
  15. 2026-06-01
    days on market $197,000 Active 88 DOM
  16. 2026-05-31
    days on market $197,000 Active 87 DOM
  17. 2026-05-30
    days on market $197,000 Active 86 DOM
  18. 2026-04-14
    price $197,000 1228-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1228 chars)

    2 HOUSES. .. This property has 1 home with kitchen, bedroom, full bath, & living area. Another house has only bedroom & full bath, and refrigerator. GREAT retirement home w/ guest house or weekend retreat!! SHOP is a GREAT BONUS! NO CENTRAL AC/HEAT. .. .ONLY WINDOW UNITS. PROPERTY HAS 2 ELECTRIC METERS. SQUARE FOOTAGE added all together. PUBLIC REMARKS-AMENITIES Public Remarks-Amenities Whether you are looking for a weekend retreat, downsizing for retirement, or investment opportunity. .. THIS IS IT! Beautiful Lake Hawkins within WALKING distance! This property is like a retreat! 800sqft home featuring open kitchen/living area, 1roomy BR & full bath w/ nice built-in storage area (cedar closet too). Has guest house and 1,200 sqft insulated shop that is heated & cooled. Shop is on concrete slab, built with red iron beams, & has a covered porch. Guest house is 1 BR/1 Bath w/ small refrigerator to convey. Also, another well-kept building in back complete w/ washer-dryer hookups, lg. storage closet and260sqft covered porch, perfect for additional guest! Garden area in back, covered boat carport, and privacy fencing as well! Enjoy fishing, relaxing, & more at this peaceful property.

  19. 2026-03-06
    status Active 1228-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1228 chars)

    2 HOUSES. .. This property has 1 home with kitchen, bedroom, full bath, & living area. Another house has only bedroom & full bath, and refrigerator. GREAT retirement home w/ guest house or weekend retreat!! SHOP is a GREAT BONUS! NO CENTRAL AC/HEAT. .. .ONLY WINDOW UNITS. PROPERTY HAS 2 ELECTRIC METERS. SQUARE FOOTAGE added all together. PUBLIC REMARKS-AMENITIES Public Remarks-Amenities Whether you are looking for a weekend retreat, downsizing for retirement, or investment opportunity. .. THIS IS IT! Beautiful Lake Hawkins within WALKING distance! This property is like a retreat! 800sqft home featuring open kitchen/living area, 1roomy BR & full bath w/ nice built-in storage area (cedar closet too). Has guest house and 1,200 sqft insulated shop that is heated & cooled. Shop is on concrete slab, built with red iron beams, & has a covered porch. Guest house is 1 BR/1 Bath w/ small refrigerator to convey. Also, another well-kept building in back complete w/ washer-dryer hookups, lg. storage closet and260sqft covered porch, perfect for additional guest! Garden area in back, covered boat carport, and privacy fencing as well! Enjoy fishing, relaxing, & more at this peaceful property.

  20. 2026-02-28
    listed $209,000 Active 1228-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1228 chars)

    2 HOUSES. .. This property has 1 home with kitchen, bedroom, full bath, & living area. Another house has only bedroom & full bath, and refrigerator. GREAT retirement home w/ guest house or weekend retreat!! SHOP is a GREAT BONUS! NO CENTRAL AC/HEAT. .. .ONLY WINDOW UNITS. PROPERTY HAS 2 ELECTRIC METERS. SQUARE FOOTAGE added all together. PUBLIC REMARKS-AMENITIES Public Remarks-Amenities Whether you are looking for a weekend retreat, downsizing for retirement, or investment opportunity. .. THIS IS IT! Beautiful Lake Hawkins within WALKING distance! This property is like a retreat! 800sqft home featuring open kitchen/living area, 1roomy BR & full bath w/ nice built-in storage area (cedar closet too). Has guest house and 1,200 sqft insulated shop that is heated & cooled. Shop is on concrete slab, built with red iron beams, & has a covered porch. Guest house is 1 BR/1 Bath w/ small refrigerator to convey. Also, another well-kept building in back complete w/ washer-dryer hookups, lg. storage closet and260sqft covered porch, perfect for additional guest! Garden area in back, covered boat carport, and privacy fencing as well! Enjoy fishing, relaxing, & more at this peaceful property.

  21. 2021-08-05
    soldstatus
  22. 2021-08-02
    soldstatus 829-char remark
    Show marketing remark (829 chars)

    Whether you are looking for a weekend retreat, downsizing for retirement, or investment opportunity. .. THIS IS IT! Beautiful Lake Hawkins within WALKING distance! This property is like a retreat! 800sqft home featuring open kitchen/living area, 1 roomy BR & full bath w/ nice built-in storage area (cedar closet too). Has guest house and 1,200 sqft insulated shop that is heated & cooled. Shop is on concrete slab, built with red iron beams, & has a covered porch. Guest house is 1 BR/1 Bath w/ small refrigerator to convey. Also, another well kept building in back complete w/ washer-dryer hookups, lg. storage closet and 260sqft covered porch, perfect for additional guest! Garden area in back, covered boat carport, and privacy fencing as well! Enjoy fishing, relaxing, & more at this peaceful property.

  23. 2021-08-02
    soldstatus
    Show marketing remark (829 chars)

    Whether you are looking for a weekend retreat, downsizing for retirement, or investment opportunity. .. THIS IS IT! Beautiful Lake Hawkins within WALKING distance! This property is like a retreat! 800sqft home featuring open kitchen/living area, 1 roomy BR & full bath w/ nice built-in storage area (cedar closet too). Has guest house and 1,200 sqft insulated shop that is heated & cooled. Shop is on concrete slab, built with red iron beams, & has a covered porch. Guest house is 1 BR/1 Bath w/ small refrigerator to convey. Also, another well kept building in back complete w/ washer-dryer hookups, lg. storage closet and 260sqft covered porch, perfect for additional guest! Garden area in back, covered boat carport, and privacy fencing as well! Enjoy fishing, relaxing, & more at this peaceful property.

  24. 2021-07-12
    listed $179,900 829-char remark
    Show marketing remark (829 chars)

    Whether you are looking for a weekend retreat, downsizing for retirement, or investment opportunity. .. THIS IS IT! Beautiful Lake Hawkins within WALKING distance! This property is like a retreat! 800sqft home featuring open kitchen/living area, 1 roomy BR & full bath w/ nice built-in storage area (cedar closet too). Has guest house and 1,200 sqft insulated shop that is heated & cooled. Shop is on concrete slab, built with red iron beams, & has a covered porch. Guest house is 1 BR/1 Bath w/ small refrigerator to convey. Also, another well kept building in back complete w/ washer-dryer hookups, lg. storage closet and 260sqft covered porch, perfect for additional guest! Garden area in back, covered boat carport, and privacy fencing as well! Enjoy fishing, relaxing, & more at this peaceful property.

  25. 2021-07-11
    listed $179,900

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$3,005 · $250/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$3,605 · $300/mo
Expected delta
+$600/yr (+$50/mo · 20.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥110°F today · 24 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 6/10 Major 51% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$14,556
− Mortgage interest
−$11,035
− Property taxes
−$3,005
− Insurance
−$985
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,165
− Management
−$1,165
− Depreciation
−$5,731
Taxable loss
−$8,528
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$2,047
After-tax cash flow
$-2,841/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Hawkins ISD
NCES district ID
4822770
Math proficiency
42% ▼ -12.00%
Reading proficiency
43% ▼ -6.00%
Median HH income
$43,119
Composite
35.91/100
National rank
#4809
State rank
#339 of 826 in TX

Livability — Hawkins

Score
73/100
State rank
#196
US rank
#4982

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A- Employment D- Housing B+ Health & safety A+ User ratings A-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Population (ZIP)
8,195

Population outlook (Wood County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
46,480 people
By 2030
47,796 · +2.8%
By 2040
50,142 · +7.9%
By 2050
52,122 · +12.1%
By 2075
57,033 · +22.7%
By 2100
56,418 · +21.4%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (79%)
Race & ethnicity
White 79% Black 12% Hispanic / Latino 6% Two or more races 5%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 5%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 2% Slovak 2% Serbian 1%
Foreign-born
1% · Canada
Languages at home
95% English-only · Spanish 4%

Political lean MEDSL · Wood

2024 margin
Solid R (+69.7) · D 14.8% · R 84.6%
2008→2024 swing
-15.5pp toward R · 2008: -54.2pp · 2024: -69.7pp
All cycles
2024: R+69.7 2020: R+68.2 2016: R+70.0 2012: R+64.2 2008: R+54.2

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 3.10%
Current HPI
236.7688
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.95%
F500 in state
110

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+9.5% since first listed
8 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-14 Price Changed $197,000 GTAR
  • 2026-03-06 Relisted GTAR
  • 2026-02-28 Listed $209,000 GTAR
  • 2021-08-05 Sold (Public Records) Public Records
  • 2021-08-02 Sold (MLS) LAAR
  • 2021-08-02 Sold (MLS) GTAR
  • 2021-07-12 Listed $179,900 GTAR
  • 2021-07-11 Listed $179,900 LAAR

Property tax history

+11.0%/yr

Latest (2025): $3,005 · +11.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…