1200 S Main St · Mansfield, OH
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $713 – $1,323
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 96°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 17 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Livability +3.8/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +2.3/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$40,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Investor special! Fixer-upper on a quiet acre near the golf course, under 10 minutes to I-71. Property will require updates and repairs but offers a great layout and strong potential. Ideal for cash buyers or renovation projects. Private setting with room to improve and add value. Sold as-is.
Key facts
- Quiet acre
- Near golf course
- Private setting
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $40k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $430 ($5k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($888 rent vs $40k).
- Recommended offer: $38k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 19.2% vs local median 4.2% in Mansfield — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 76/100 on livability (#224 in OH, #3,525 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools C-, crime D-, amenities D-.
- Mansfield City (urban): math 24% / reading 33% proficiency, ranked #590 of 656 in OH (top 90%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 80% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: 57 active listings in the ZIP; 6 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 45d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 100% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 145 units permitted in Richland County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $277 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $1k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Richland County population projected at -18% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $11k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 81 days — a 6% lower offer ($38k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1880 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 81 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1880 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 2.22% ✓
- Cap rate
- 19.20%
- Cash-on-cash
- 46.11%
- DSCR
- 3.05
- GRM
- 3.8
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $163,741
- List price
- $40,000
- Delta
- -75.57%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 2 within 1.0 mi
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 43.3%
- Equity multiple
- 2.87×
- Total profit
- $20,939
- Equity at exit
- $5,964
- IRR
- 49.4%
- Equity multiple
- 5.78×
- Total profit
- $53,571
- Equity at exit
- $3,458
Cash invested: $11,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 73 Landlord-Friendly
- State Ohio
- 73 Landlord-Friendly · R+6
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 44907
- Active inventory
- 57
- Price-to-rent
- 3.8×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $888 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$210
- Tax from tax record
- −$45 /mo · $541/yr
- Insurance
- −$17
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$187
- Net cashflow
- $430
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $453 | -5% $442 | +0% $430 | +5% $419 | +10% $408 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $360 | -5% $395 | +0% $430 | +5% $465 | +10% $501 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $451 | -0.5pp $441 | base $430 | +0.5pp $420 | +1.0pp $409 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $10,000
- Closing costs
- $1,200
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 6 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 896 Brookfield Dr Mansfield, OH | 2.0 | 1.0 | 770 | $795 | $1.03 | 45d | 1 | 0.58mi |
| 135 E Cook Rd Mansfield, OH | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 554 | $850 | $1.53 | 45d | 10 | 0.67mi |
| 282 Cliffbrook Dr Mansfield, OH | 3.0 | 1.0 | 912 | $1,395 | $1.53 | 45d | 1 | 0.95mi |
| 100 Winwood Dr Mansfield, OH | 2.0 | 1.0 | 700 | $725 | $1.04 | 45d | 1 | 1.06mi |
| 425 W Cook Rd Mansfield, OH | 1.0 | 1.0 | 650 | $800 | $1.23 | 45d | 1 | 1.10mi |
| 19 State St Mansfield, OH | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1040 | $995 | $0.96 | 45d | 1 | 1.26mi |
Listing history 18 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $40,000 Active 81 DOM
-
2026-06-19days on market $40,000 Active 79 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $40,000 Active 78 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $40,000 Active 77 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $40,000 Active 76 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $40,000 Active 75 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $40,000 Active 73 DOM
-
2026-06-12days on market $40,000 Active 72 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $40,000 Active 69 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $40,000 Active 68 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $40,000 Active 67 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $40,000 Active 64 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $40,000 Active 63 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $40,000 Active 62 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $40,000 Active 61 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $40,000 Active 60 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $40,000 Active 59 DOM
-
2026-04-01$40,000 Active 293-char remark
Show marketing remark (293 chars)
Investor special! Fixer-upper on a quiet acre near the golf course, under 10 minutes to I-71. Property will require updates and repairs but offers a great layout and strong potential. Ideal for cash buyers or renovation projects. Private setting with room to improve and add value. Sold as-is.
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast OH · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $541 · $45/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $582 · $49/mo
- Expected delta
- +$42/yr (+$3/mo · 7.7%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥96°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $10,661
- − Mortgage interest
- −$2,241
- − Property taxes
- −$541
- − Insurance
- −$200
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$853
- − Management
- −$853
- − Depreciation
- −$1,164
- Taxable income
- $4,810
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,154
- After-tax cash flow
- $4,010/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Mansfield City
- NCES district ID
- 3904429
- Math proficiency
- 24% ▼ -19.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 33% ▼ -12.00%
- Median HH income
- $32,435
- Composite
- 23.25/100
- National rank
- #7934
- State rank
- #590 of 656 in OH
Livability — Mansfield
- Score
- 76/100
- State rank
- #224
- US rank
- #3525
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Mansfield, OH
- County
- Richland County · 43,943 people
- City population
- 16,349
- Metro
- Mansfield, OH
- Population (ZIP)
- 16,349
- Household income
- $48,008
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 637.0
Population outlook (Richland County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 115,577 people
- By 2030
- 111,669 · -3.4%
- By 2040
- 103,323 · -10.6%
- By 2050
- 95,135 · -17.7%
- By 2075
- 76,719 · -33.6%
- By 2100
- 57,188 · -50.5%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (76%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 76% Black 13% Two or more races 8% Hispanic / Latino 2% Asian 1%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 2% Slovak 2% Italian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 2% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 97% English-only · Spanish 1% Other Indo-European 1% German/W. Germanic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Richland
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+42.3) · D 28.4% · R 70.8%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -28.8pp toward R · 2008: -13.6pp · 2024: -42.3pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+42.3 2020: R+39.7 2016: R+37.5 2012: R+20.1 2008: R+13.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -137.54%
- Current HPI
- 239.2549
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Mansfield, OH
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.98%
- F500 in state
- 48
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OH)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Insurance | 3 | $145B |
|
||
| Industrial Machinery | 3 | $49B |
|
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| Financial Services | 3 | $24B |
|
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| Consumer Goods | 2 | $93B |
|
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| Aerospace / Defense | 2 | $47B |
|
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| Utilities | 2 | $33B |
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Price history
1 event — show timeline
- 2026-04-01 Listed $40,000 MARMLS
Property tax history
+1.6%/yrLatest (2025): $541 · -31.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…