1623 Victoria Dr · Elkhart, IN 46514

$150,000

3 bd · 2.5 ba · 1,872 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 1 Days on market

Built 1966 10,019 sqft lot Est $264k · 43% under

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Why this score? — see what drove the B grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

• Cash flow +29.0/30.0
• ARV discount +15.0/15.0
• DSCR +10.0/10.0
• 1% rule +8.0/10.0
• Rent growth +4.3/5.0
• Livability +3.4/5.0
• Condition / age +2.5/5.0
• Schools +1.8/10.0
• Appreciation +0.0/10.0

Listing remarks

Opportunity is knocking! This home on established Victoria Drive is ready for a new owner with vision. Great bones, a generous lot, and a prime location near shopping and dining. This one is priced to reflect the TLC it needs. Don't sleep on this one!

Key facts

• Generous lot
• Prime location
• Shopping and dining

Tags

• GENEROUS LOT
• PRIME LOCATION
• SHOPPING AND DINING

Property features AI

Finance

• Other: Located in Elkhart Community Schools district
• Financial info: Annual tax amount: $2,126

Exterior

• Parking: Attached 2-car garage
• Utilities: Public water service; Public sewer service
• Home design: Single-family residence (site-built); Two-story
• Construction: Shingle siding; Asphalt construction materials
• Exterior features: Lot approximately 80 x 125 (0.23 acre); Subdivision: Greenleaf Manor; Public water; Public sewer

Interior

• Bedrooms: Total rooms: 10
• Bathrooms: Two full bathrooms and one half bathroom (three main-level bathrooms)
• Heating & cooling: Central air conditioning; Forced air heating
• Interior features: One fireplace; Partial basement
• Laundry & utility: Laundry on main level

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

• This is a 3-bed/2.5-bath single-family listed at $150k.

Deal economics

• At list price, monthly cash flow is $513 ($6k/yr) — positive.
• The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
• Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $150k).
• Cap rate 10.4% vs local median 4.0% in Elkhart — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

• Location reads 68/100 on livability (#224 in IN) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: amenities C-, crime F, commute F.
• Elkhart Community Schools (urban): math 18% / reading 25% proficiency, ranked #271 of 301 in IN (top 90%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
• Zoned schools: Pinewood Elementary School (math 30% / reading 25%, grade F, #733 of 994 statewide, top 74%, 570 students, 64% FRL); North Side Middle School (math 15% / reading 31%, grade F, #263 of 330 statewide, top 80%, 627 students, 72% FRL); Elkhart High School (math 17% / reading 51%, grade F, #285 of 369 statewide, top 78%, 3,325 students, 63% FRL).
• Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+7.0%/yr); 269 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 484 units permitted in Elkhart County in 2024 (136 in 5+ unit buildings).
• This rent runs 36% of the median local income ($66k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

• Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
• Elkhart County population projected at +7% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
• At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 7.0% rent growth), your $42k cash investment doubles in ~7 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

• Only 1 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.

Recommended offer $150,000

Questions for the listing agent

1. Built in 1966 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
3. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
4. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

• 1% rule: 1.30% ✓
• Cap rate: 10.39%
• Cash-on-cash: 14.65%
• DSCR: 1.65
• GRM: 6.4

CMA / ARV

• ARV (on-the-fly): $263,952
• Comps found: 12

Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi

Address	Dist	Beds/Ba	Sqft	Sold	Price	$/sf	Match
1623 Victoria Dr	0.00mi	3/2.5	1,872 (0%)	1mo	$150,000	$80	100
1511 Brookwood Dr	0.23mi	3/2.0	1,960 (+5%)	1mo	$284,000	$145	79
2325 Sylvan Ln	0.22mi	3/1.5	1,906 (+2%)	12mo	$282,500	$148	72
1519 Brookwood Dr	0.20mi	4/1.5 (+1)	1,798 (-4%)	3mo	$253,600	$141	72
25092 Grover St	0.42mi	3/1.0	1,917 (+2%)	0mo	$168,000	$88	70
1708 N Bay Dr	0.31mi	2/2.0 (-1)	1,829 (-2%)	9mo	$290,000	$159	67
1626 N Bay Dr	0.29mi	3/2.0	1,668 (-11%)	1mo	$267,000	$160	65
2401 Broadmoor Dr	0.49mi	3/2.0	1,814 (-3%)	8mo	$167,100	$92	64
2151 Woodland Estates Dr Dr	0.71mi	3/2.5	1,792 (-4%)	7mo	$253,500	$141	54
2826 Neff St	0.51mi	3/2.0	2,100 (+12%)	11mo	$285,000	$136	45
1715 E Beardsley Ave	0.75mi	3/1.5	2,056 (+10%)	1mo	$236,100	$115	44
3117 E Bristol St	0.60mi	3/1.5	1,600 (-14%)	1mo	$235,000	$147	43

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 7.03% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold

• IRR: 9.6%
• Equity multiple: 1.39×
• Total profit: $16,584
• Equity at exit: $22,365

10-year hold

• IRR: 21.8%
• Equity multiple: 3.22×
• Total profit: $93,225
• Equity at exit: $12,969

Cash invested: $42,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

• Overall (STATE): 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
• State Indiana: 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+11
• County: — inherits STATE
• City: — inherits STATE

10-day pay-or-quit; landlord-favorable; preempted.

Methodology + full state rankings →

ZIP-level market 46514

• Rents YoY: 7.0%
• Active inventory: 269
• Price-to-rent: 6.4×

Monthly cashflow live

• Estimated rent: $1,948 medium
• Mortgage (P&I): −$787
• Tax from tax record: −$177 /mo · $2,126/yr
• Insurance: −$62
• HOA: −$0
• Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt: −$409
• Net cashflow: $513

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,299

Max offer price $150,000

Occupancy floor 69%

Sensitivity live

Price	-10% $598	-5% $555	+0% $513	+5% $470	+10% $428
Rent	-10% $359	-5% $436	+0% $513	+5% $590	+10% $667
Rate	-1.0pp $588	-0.5pp $551	base $513	+0.5pp $474	+1.0pp $434

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

• Down payment: $37,500
• Closing costs: $4,500
• Reserves months: —
• Total cash needed: —

Rent comps 2 comps

Address	Beds	Baths	Sqft	Rent	$/sqft	DOM	Units	Dist
1626 Osolo Rd Elkhart, IN	4.0	2.0	2190	$2,595	$1.18	21d	1	0.28mi
2304 Grant St Elkhart, IN	4.0	2.0	1450	$1,800	$1.24	44d	1	0.35mi

Listing history 2 events

1. 2026-05-08
   status Pending
2. 2026-05-07
   listed $150,000 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast IN · Partial reset (capped growth)

• Current annual tax: $2,126 · $177/mo
• Projected year-2 tax: $2,126 · $177/mo
• Expected delta: $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

• 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
• 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
• 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥101°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
• 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
• 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Taxation est. · year 1

• Rental income: $23,376
• − Mortgage interest: −$8,402
• − Property taxes: −$2,126
• − Insurance: −$750
• − Repairs & maintenance: −$1,870
• − Management: −$1,870
• − Depreciation: −$4,364
• Taxable income: $3,994
• Est. tax owed @ 24.0%: −$958
• After-tax cash flow: $5,193/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

• District: Elkhart Community Schools
• NCES district ID: 1803270
• Math proficiency: 18% ▼ -12.00%
• Reading proficiency: 25% ▼ -9.00%
• Median HH income: $42,881
• Composite: 18.45/100
• National rank: #8928
• State rank: #271 of 301 in IN

Livability — Elkhart

• Score: 68/100
• State rank: #224
• US rank: #9852

Category grades

Amenities C- Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings B-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

• Census place: Elkhart, IN
• County: Elkhart County · 107,928 people
• City population: 74,260
• Metro: Elkhart-Goshen, IN
• Population (ZIP): 42,389
• Household income: $65,833
• Rent vs Own: 28.0% rent · 72.0% own
• Severe rent burden: 1061.0

Population outlook (Elkhart County) Hauer SSP2

• Today (2025): 213,761 people
• By 2030: 218,103 · +2.0%
• By 2040: 225,381 · +5.4%
• By 2050: 229,447 · +7.3%
• By 2075: 232,856 · +8.9%
• By 2100: 214,088 · +0.2%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

• Neighborhood character: Predominantly White (74%)
• Race & ethnicity: White 74% Hispanic / Latino 14% Two or more races 6% Black 5% Asian 1%
• Hispanic origin (detail): Mexican 10%
• Common ancestry: Lithuanian 2% Romanian 2% Italian 2%
• Foreign-born: 8% · Canada
• Languages at home: 89% English-only · Spanish 10%

Political lean MEDSL · Elkhart

• 2024 margin: Solid R (+32.4) · D 33.1% · R 65.5% · Other 1.4%
• 2008→2024 swing: -21.2pp toward R · 2008: -11.2pp · 2024: -32.4pp
• All cycles: 2024: R+32.4 2020: R+28.1 2016: R+32.4 2012: R+26.5 2008: R+11.2

Not yet ingested

• Civics: —

Market trends

• HPI YoY: ▼ -246.78%
• Current HPI: 225.6
• Rent YoY: ▲ 7.03%
• Metro: Elkhart-Goshen, IN
• State GDP YoY: ▲ 2.90%
• F500 in state: 18

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IN)

Industry	F500 HQs	Revenue
▸Industrial Machinery	2	$37B
▸Healthcare	1	$177B
▸Pharmaceuticals	1	$45B
▸Metals / Steel	1	$18B
▸Agriculture	1	$17B
▸Packaging	1	$12B

Price history

2 events — show timeline

• 2026-05-08 Pending — IRMLS
• 2026-05-07 Listed $150,000 IRMLS

Property tax history

+1.8%/yr

Latest (2025): $2,126 · -4.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.