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B- Composite 68.78
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Livability +4.2/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +2.1/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$69,950

3406 N 16 St · Omaha, NE 68110
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,248 sqft · Other public records · 6 Days on market
Built 1925 4,792 sqft lot

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Looking for a project, this is it tons of potential. Located close to schools, easy commute to downtown, the new river front , Charles Schwab and lots more. Sold as is.

Key facts

  • 4,792 sq ft lot
  • Built 1925
  • Listed 6 days

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath other listed at $70k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $633 ($8k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $70k).
  • Cap rate 17.2% vs local median 3.6% in Omaha — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 84/100 on livability (#7 in NE, #663 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: crime F.
  • Omaha Public Schools (urban): math 20% / reading 28% proficiency, ranked #110 of 111 in NE (top 99%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 62% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Zoned schools: Lothrop Magnet Center (math 17% / reading 27%, grade F, #459 of 502 statewide, top 93%, 349 students, 0% FRL); King Science/Tech Magnet Middle School (math 15% / reading 24%, grade F, #121 of 128 statewide, top 95%, 667 students, 0% FRL); Central High School (math 29% / reading 40%, grade F, #208 of 261 statewide, top 86%, 2,738 students, 0% FRL) — zoned schools average 0% FRL vs 62% district-wide (62 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
  • Market conditions: 45 active listings in the ZIP; 17 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 23d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 41% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 4,539 units permitted in Douglas County in 2024 (2,583 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $484 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Douglas County population projected at +28% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $20k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • Only 6 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • Current owner paid $10k; list at $70k implies a 600% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1925 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $69,950

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1925 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  4. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  5. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  6. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
2.06%
Cap rate
17.15%
Cash-on-cash
38.78%
DSCR
2.73
GRM
4.0

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
35.0%
Equity multiple
2.48×
Total profit
$29,012
Equity at exit
$10,430
10-year hold
IRR
41.8%
Equity multiple
4.95×
Total profit
$77,315
Equity at exit
$6,048

Cash invested: $19,586 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Nebraska
83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+13
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day pay-or-quit; preempted; moderate court pace.

ZIP-level market 68110

Home prices YoY
-9.5%
Active inventory
45
Price-to-rent
4.0×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,442 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$367
Tax from tax record
$110 /mo · $1,324/yr
Insurance
$29
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$303
Net cashflow
$633

Break-even live

Break-even rent $641
Max offer price $69,950
Occupancy floor 51%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $673 -5% $653 +0% $633 +5% $613 +10% $593
Rent -10% $519 -5% $576 +0% $633 +5% $690 +10% $747
Rate -1.0pp $668 -0.5pp $651 base $633 +0.5pp $615 +1.0pp $596

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$17,488
Closing costs
$2,098
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 17 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
3708 Florence Blvd Omaha, NE 3.0 1.0 1102 $1,395 $1.27 23d 1 0.26mi
2816 N 19th Ave Omaha, NE 3.0 1.0 860 $1,700 $1.98 45d 1 0.41mi
1820 Miami St Omaha, NE 4.0 1.5 1306 $1,050 $0.80 45d 1 0.46mi
4125 N 19th St Omaha, NE 3.0 1.0 1266 $1,532 $1.21 45d 1 0.50mi
4201 N 22nd St Omaha, NE 3.0 1.0 1380 $1,545 $1.12 45d 1 0.59mi
3510 N 9th St Lot 47 Carter Lake, IA 3.0 2.0 1152 $1,479 $1.28 45d 1 0.92mi
1816 Florence Blvd Apt 102 Omaha, NE 2.0 1.0 900 $900 $1.00 16d 1 0.98mi
1005 Avenue K Unit 8 Carter Lake, IA 2.0 2.0 1014 $1,125 $1.11 16d 1 1.15mi
1114 Hiatt St Carter Lake, IA 3.0 1.0 1165 $1,450 $1.24 45d 1 1.22mi
1120 N 20th St Unit 103 Omaha, NE 3.0 2.0 1170 $1,150 $0.98 16d 1 1.31mi
1120 N 20th St Unit 102 Omaha, NE 3.0 2.0 1094 $580 $0.53 16d 1 1.31mi
1120 N 20th St Unit 309 Omaha, NE 4.0 2.0 1179 $1,550 $1.31 25d 1 1.32mi
5348 N 25th St Omaha, NE 4.0 1.0 1446 $1,600 $1.11 45d 1 1.38mi
1015 N 16th St Omaha, NE 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 1127 $1,685 $1.49 3d 11 1.40mi
1015 N 14th St Omaha, NE 1.0–3.0 1.0–3.0 910 $1,855 $2.04 3d 17 1.42mi
1117 Nicholas St Omaha, NE 2.0 1.0–2.0 848 $2,195 $2.59 3d 47 1.44mi
1524 Cuming St Omaha, NE 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 1117 $2,195 $1.96 3d 14 1.50mi

Listing history 3 events

  1. 2023-09-28
    status Pending
  2. 2023-09-20
    listed $69,950 New
  3. 1999-09-13
    soldstatus $10,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast NE · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$1,324 · $110/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,324 · $110/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥105°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$17,305
− Mortgage interest
−$3,918
− Property taxes
−$1,324
− Insurance
−$350
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,384
− Management
−$1,384
− Depreciation
−$2,035
Taxable income
$6,909
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,658
After-tax cash flow
$5,937/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Omaha Public Schools
NCES district ID
3174820
Math proficiency
20% ▼ -10.00%
Reading proficiency
28% ▼ -5.00%
Median HH income
$46,039
Composite
20.83/100
National rank
#8502
State rank
#110 of 111 in NE

Livability — Omaha

Score
84/100
State rank
#7
US rank
#663

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment B- Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings D

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Omaha, NE
City population
552,986
Population (ZIP)
9,403

Population outlook (Douglas County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
625,245 people
By 2030
661,613 · +5.8%
By 2040
732,395 · +17.1%
By 2050
801,988 · +28.3%
By 2075
968,637 · +54.9%
By 2100
1,101,871 · +76.2%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Highly diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.72)
Race & ethnicity
Black 40% White 29% Hispanic / Latino 17% Asian 9% Two or more races 8% Native American 2%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 15%
Common ancestry
Ukrainian 2% Romanian 1% Portuguese 1%
Foreign-born
18% · Canada, India, Philippines
Languages at home
73% English-only · Spanish 12% Other Indo-European 6% Other Asian/Pacific 3%

Political lean MEDSL · Douglas

2024 margin
D (+10.2) · D 54.4% · R 44.2% · Other 1.4%
2008→2024 swing
+5.5pp toward D · 2008: 4.6pp · 2024: 10.2pp
All cycles
2024: D+10.2 2020: D+11.3 2016: D+1.4 2012: R+4.3 2008: D+4.6

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -23.25%
Current HPI
220.8647
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 0.68%
F500 in state
2

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NE)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+599.5% since first listed
3 events — show timeline
  • 2023-09-28 Pending GPRMLS
  • 2023-09-20 Listed $69,950 GPRMLS
  • 1999-09-13 Sold (Public Records) $10,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+16.0%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,324 · -0.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…