3406 N 16 St · Omaha, NE
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,161 – $2,155
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 105°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Livability +4.2/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +2.1/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$69,950
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Looking for a project, this is it tons of potential. Located close to schools, easy commute to downtown, the new river front , Charles Schwab and lots more. Sold as is.
Key facts
- 4,792 sq ft lot
- Built 1925
- Listed 6 days
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath other listed at $70k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $633 ($8k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $70k).
- Cap rate 17.2% vs local median 3.6% in Omaha — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 84/100 on livability (#7 in NE, #663 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: crime F.
- Omaha Public Schools (urban): math 20% / reading 28% proficiency, ranked #110 of 111 in NE (top 99%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 62% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Zoned schools: Lothrop Magnet Center (math 17% / reading 27%, grade F, #459 of 502 statewide, top 93%, 349 students, 0% FRL); King Science/Tech Magnet Middle School (math 15% / reading 24%, grade F, #121 of 128 statewide, top 95%, 667 students, 0% FRL); Central High School (math 29% / reading 40%, grade F, #208 of 261 statewide, top 86%, 2,738 students, 0% FRL) — zoned schools average 0% FRL vs 62% district-wide (62 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
- Market conditions: 45 active listings in the ZIP; 17 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 23d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 41% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 4,539 units permitted in Douglas County in 2024 (2,583 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $484 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Douglas County population projected at +28% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $20k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- Only 6 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- Current owner paid $10k; list at $70k implies a 600% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1925 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1925 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 2.06% ✓
- Cap rate
- 17.15%
- Cash-on-cash
- 38.78%
- DSCR
- 2.73
- GRM
- 4.0
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 35.0%
- Equity multiple
- 2.48×
- Total profit
- $29,012
- Equity at exit
- $10,430
- IRR
- 41.8%
- Equity multiple
- 4.95×
- Total profit
- $77,315
- Equity at exit
- $6,048
Cash invested: $19,586 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Nebraska
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+13
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 68110
- Home prices YoY
- -9.5%
- Active inventory
- 45
- Price-to-rent
- 4.0×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,442 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$367
- Tax from tax record
- −$110 /mo · $1,324/yr
- Insurance
- −$29
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$303
- Net cashflow
- $633
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $673 | -5% $653 | +0% $633 | +5% $613 | +10% $593 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $519 | -5% $576 | +0% $633 | +5% $690 | +10% $747 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $668 | -0.5pp $651 | base $633 | +0.5pp $615 | +1.0pp $596 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $17,488
- Closing costs
- $2,098
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 17 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3708 Florence Blvd Omaha, NE | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1102 | $1,395 | $1.27 | 23d | 1 | 0.26mi |
| 2816 N 19th Ave Omaha, NE | 3.0 | 1.0 | 860 | $1,700 | $1.98 | 45d | 1 | 0.41mi |
| 1820 Miami St Omaha, NE | 4.0 | 1.5 | 1306 | $1,050 | $0.80 | 45d | 1 | 0.46mi |
| 4125 N 19th St Omaha, NE | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1266 | $1,532 | $1.21 | 45d | 1 | 0.50mi |
| 4201 N 22nd St Omaha, NE | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1380 | $1,545 | $1.12 | 45d | 1 | 0.59mi |
| 3510 N 9th St Lot 47 Carter Lake, IA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1152 | $1,479 | $1.28 | 45d | 1 | 0.92mi |
| 1816 Florence Blvd Apt 102 Omaha, NE | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $900 | $1.00 | 16d | 1 | 0.98mi |
| 1005 Avenue K Unit 8 Carter Lake, IA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1014 | $1,125 | $1.11 | 16d | 1 | 1.15mi |
| 1114 Hiatt St Carter Lake, IA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1165 | $1,450 | $1.24 | 45d | 1 | 1.22mi |
| 1120 N 20th St Unit 103 Omaha, NE | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1170 | $1,150 | $0.98 | 16d | 1 | 1.31mi |
| 1120 N 20th St Unit 102 Omaha, NE | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1094 | $580 | $0.53 | 16d | 1 | 1.31mi |
| 1120 N 20th St Unit 309 Omaha, NE | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1179 | $1,550 | $1.31 | 25d | 1 | 1.32mi |
| 5348 N 25th St Omaha, NE | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1446 | $1,600 | $1.11 | 45d | 1 | 1.38mi |
| 1015 N 16th St Omaha, NE | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1127 | $1,685 | $1.49 | 3d | 11 | 1.40mi |
| 1015 N 14th St Omaha, NE | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–3.0 | 910 | $1,855 | $2.04 | 3d | 17 | 1.42mi |
| 1117 Nicholas St Omaha, NE | 2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 848 | $2,195 | $2.59 | 3d | 47 | 1.44mi |
| 1524 Cuming St Omaha, NE | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1117 | $2,195 | $1.96 | 3d | 14 | 1.50mi |
Listing history 3 events
-
2023-09-28status Pending
-
2023-09-20$69,950 New
-
1999-09-13soldstatus $10,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast NE · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $1,324 · $110/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,324 · $110/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥105°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $17,305
- − Mortgage interest
- −$3,918
- − Property taxes
- −$1,324
- − Insurance
- −$350
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,384
- − Management
- −$1,384
- − Depreciation
- −$2,035
- Taxable income
- $6,909
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,658
- After-tax cash flow
- $5,937/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Omaha Public Schools
- NCES district ID
- 3174820
- Math proficiency
- 20% ▼ -10.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 28% ▼ -5.00%
- Median HH income
- $46,039
- Composite
- 20.83/100
- National rank
- #8502
- State rank
- #110 of 111 in NE
Livability — Omaha
- Score
- 84/100
- State rank
- #7
- US rank
- #663
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Omaha, NE
- City population
- 552,986
- Population (ZIP)
- 9,403
Population outlook (Douglas County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 625,245 people
- By 2030
- 661,613 · +5.8%
- By 2040
- 732,395 · +17.1%
- By 2050
- 801,988 · +28.3%
- By 2075
- 968,637 · +54.9%
- By 2100
- 1,101,871 · +76.2%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Highly diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.72)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 40% White 29% Hispanic / Latino 17% Asian 9% Two or more races 8% Native American 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 15%
- Common ancestry
- Ukrainian 2% Romanian 1% Portuguese 1%
- Foreign-born
- 18% · Canada, India, Philippines
- Languages at home
- 73% English-only · Spanish 12% Other Indo-European 6% Other Asian/Pacific 3%
Political lean MEDSL · Douglas
- 2024 margin
- D (+10.2) · D 54.4% · R 44.2% · Other 1.4%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +5.5pp toward D · 2008: 4.6pp · 2024: 10.2pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+10.2 2020: D+11.3 2016: D+1.4 2012: R+4.3 2008: D+4.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -23.25%
- Current HPI
- 220.8647
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 0.68%
- F500 in state
- 2
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NE)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Conglomerate | 1 | $371B |
|
||
Price history
+599.5% since first listed3 events — show timeline
- 2023-09-28 Pending — GPRMLS
- 2023-09-20 Listed $69,950 GPRMLS
- 1999-09-13 Sold (Public Records) $10,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+16.0%/yrLatest (2025): $1,324 · -0.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…