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119 Chestnut St 🏷️ Likely Rental
A Composite 86.97
Why this score? — see what drove the A grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • Appreciation +10.0/10.0
  • Schools +3.5/10.0
  • Livability +3.5/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0

$135,000

119 Chestnut St · Gowanda, NY 14070
4 bd · 2.0 ba · 2,700 sqft · MultiFamily public records · 65 Days on market
Built 1920 0.27 ac lot $50/sqft · 40% below area Est $224k · 40% under

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Multi-family units

County records classify this as Multi-Family (2-4 Unit). Listing-text estimate: 1 unit. estimate disagrees with records

Listing remarks MLS

Welcome to 119 Chestnut Street in the Village of Gowanda, an income producing property offering strong updates and great investment potential. Both the upper and lower apartments have been recently refreshed with new paint, updated flooring, and fully remodeled bathrooms. The lower unit features all new windows installed in 2025, a recently serviced and flushed hot water tank, and a back porch finished with low maintenance Trex decking, adding great tenant appeal. The upper apartment also includes a newer hot water tank. Major mechanical and exterior improvements provide peace of mind, including a newer metal roof (installed prior to current ownership), a brand-new gutter system in 2025 (approximately $12,000 investment), and updated glass block windows in the basement. Whether you're looking to expand your portfolio or owner occupy while generating rental income, this property offers a strong combination of updates, functionality, and long-term value.

Key facts

  • Hot water tank
  • Strong updates
  • Back porch

Tags

INCOME PRODUCING PROPERTYSTRONG UPDATESGREAT INVESTMENT POTENTIALNEW WINDOWSHOT WATER TANKBACK PORCH

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…
🏷️ Possibly a rental listed for sale. The $135,000 price doesn't fit this home's estimated sale value (~$224,398) and the remarks read like a rental — treat the cards below with caution.

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath multifamily listed at $135k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $828 ($10k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $135k).
  • Recommended offer: $127k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 70/100 on livability (#457 in NY) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: schools C-, amenities F, commute F.
  • Gowanda Central School District (rural): math 38% / reading 44% proficiency, ranked #513 of 590 in NY (top 87%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: 24 active listings in the ZIP; 128 units permitted in Cattaraugus County in 2024 (21 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $14k of equity ($933 loan paydown + $14k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
  • Cattaraugus County population projected at -28% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $38k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
  • By year 3, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$37k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 65 days — a 6% lower offer ($127k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts since 16y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $45k; list at $135k implies a 200% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1920 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $126,900 (6.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 65 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1920 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.66%
Cap rate
13.65%
Cash-on-cash
26.29%
DSCR
2.17
GRM
5.0

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$224,398
List price
$135,000
Delta
-39.84%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
11 within 1.0 mi

Projected returns pro-forma

10.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
44.1%
Equity multiple
4.34×
Total profit
$126,307
Equity at exit
$121,619
10-year hold
IRR
38.2%
Equity multiple
9.74×
Total profit
$330,549
Equity at exit
$262,275

Cash invested: $37,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
State New York
15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
NYC rent stabilization (~1M units); 2019 HSTPA strengthened tenant rights; courts deeply backlogged.

ZIP-level market 14070

Home prices YoY
8.8%
Active inventory
24
Price-to-rent
10.1×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,237 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$708
Tax from tax record
$175 /mo · $2,099/yr
Insurance
$56
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$470
Net cashflow
$828

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,189
Max offer price $135,000
Occupancy floor 58%

2-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)

UnitsBedsBathsEst. rent
Total (2 units) $2,237

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$33,750
Closing costs
$4,050
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 21 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $135,000 Active 65 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $135,000 Active 64 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $135,000 Active 63 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $135,000 Active 62 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $135,000 Active 60 DOM
  6. 2026-06-12
    days on market $135,000 Active 59 DOM
  7. 2026-06-09
    days on market $135,000 Active 56 DOM
  8. 2026-06-08
    days on market $135,000 Active 55 DOM
  9. 2026-06-07
    days on market $135,000 Active 54 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $135,000 Active 53 DOM
  11. 2026-06-04
    days on market $135,000 Active 50 DOM
  12. 2026-06-02
    days on market $135,000 Active 49 DOM
  13. 2026-06-01
    days on market $135,000 Active 48 DOM
  14. 2026-05-31
    days on market $135,000 Active 47 DOM
  15. 2026-04-14
    listed $135,000 Active 966-char remark
    Show marketing remark (966 chars)

    Welcome to 119 Chestnut Street in the Village of Gowanda, an income producing property offering strong updates and great investment potential. Both the upper and lower apartments have been recently refreshed with new paint, updated flooring, and fully remodeled bathrooms. The lower unit features all new windows installed in 2025, a recently serviced and flushed hot water tank, and a back porch finished with low maintenance Trex decking, adding great tenant appeal. The upper apartment also includes a newer hot water tank. Major mechanical and exterior improvements provide peace of mind, including a newer metal roof (installed prior to current ownership), a brand-new gutter system in 2025 (approximately $12,000 investment), and updated glass block windows in the basement. Whether you're looking to expand your portfolio or owner occupy while generating rental income, this property offers a strong combination of updates, functionality, and long-term value.

  16. 2021-02-16
    soldstatus $45,000
  17. 2021-01-29
    soldstatus $43,701
  18. 2010-09-30
    soldstatus $50,000 383-char remark
    Show marketing remark (383 chars)

    Investors Delight! Income property. Zoned Residential and Huge lot is zoned Commercial! Ton's of possibilities. Two family home w/ Bright large rooms. New roof in 2009, furnaces 2 yr old, newer hot water tanks, newer carpeting, 9 ft attic with fan and 24 inches of insulation. Detached garage and detached work shop. Lot widens out in back , zoned commercial and is partially fenced.

  19. 2010-09-30
    soldstatus $50,000
    Show marketing remark (383 chars)

    Investors Delight! Income property. Zoned Residential and Huge lot is zoned Commercial! Ton's of possibilities. Two family home w/ Bright large rooms. New roof in 2009, furnaces 2 yr old, newer hot water tanks, newer carpeting, 9 ft attic with fan and 24 inches of insulation. Detached garage and detached work shop. Lot widens out in back , zoned commercial and is partially fenced.

  20. 2010-07-13
    listed $55,000 383-char remark
    Show marketing remark (383 chars)

    Investors Delight! Income property. Zoned Residential and Huge lot is zoned Commercial! Ton's of possibilities. Two family home w/ Bright large rooms. New roof in 2009, furnaces 2 yr old, newer hot water tanks, newer carpeting, 9 ft attic with fan and 24 inches of insulation. Detached garage and detached work shop. Lot widens out in back , zoned commercial and is partially fenced.

  21. 2001-12-11
    soldstatus $39,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast NY · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$2,099 · $175/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$2,190 · $183/mo
Expected delta
+$91/yr (+$8/mo · 4.4%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$26,844
− Mortgage interest
−$7,562
− Property taxes
−$2,099
− Insurance
−$675
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,148
− Management
−$2,148
− Depreciation
−$3,927
Taxable income
$8,286
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,989
After-tax cash flow
$7,949/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Gowanda Central School District
NCES district ID
3612390
Math proficiency
38% ▼ -13.00%
Reading proficiency
44% ▲ 3.00%
Median HH income
$43,777
Composite
34.71/100
National rank
#5138
State rank
#513 of 590 in NY

Livability — Gowanda

Score
70/100
State rank
#457
US rank
#7988

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime B+ Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Gowanda, NY
Population (ZIP)
5,437

Population outlook (Cattaraugus County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
71,623 people
By 2030
67,751 · -5.4%
By 2040
59,488 · -16.9%
By 2050
51,601 · -28.0%
By 2075
35,025 · -51.1%
By 2100
21,243 · -70.3%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (81%)
Race & ethnicity
White 81% Native American 10% Hispanic / Latino 5% Two or more races 3% Black 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Puerto Rican 4%
Common ancestry
Romanian 9% Italian 3% Slovak 2%
Foreign-born
3% · Canada
Languages at home
94% English-only · Spanish 3% German/W. Germanic 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Cattaraugus

2024 margin
Solid R (+32.8) · D 33.6% · R 66.4%
2008→2024 swing
-22.2pp toward R · 2008: -10.6pp · 2024: -32.8pp
All cycles
2024: R+32.8 2020: R+29.5 2016: R+34.4 2012: R+13.4 2008: R+10.6

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 21.64%
Current HPI
269.1092
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.60%
F500 in state
92

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+246.2% since first listed
7 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-14 Listed $135,000 WNYREIS
  • 2021-02-16 Sold (Public Records) $45,000 Public Records
  • 2021-01-29 Sold (Public Records) $43,701 Public Records
  • 2010-09-30 Sold (Public Records) $50,000 Public Records
  • 2010-09-30 Sold (MLS) $50,000 WNYREIS
  • 2010-07-13 Listed $55,000 WNYREIS
  • 2001-12-11 Sold (Public Records) $39,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+0.7%/yr

Latest (2025): $2,099 · -1.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…