🔨 Auction
6926 Albervan St · Shawnee, KS
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,154 – $2,142
Heat risk 4/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 107°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 17 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the F grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Cash flow +5.9/30.0
- Livability +4.4/5.0
- Schools +3.8/10.0
- Rent growth +3.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- 1% rule +0.8/10.0
- DSCR +0.3/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$100,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
REAL ESTATE AUCTION SATURDAY JUNE 6th 10:00AM 6926 Albervan St. Shawnee, KS 1585 sq. ft. Raised ranch on . 28 acres 500 sq. ft. finished basement 4 bedroom 3 full bathroom, 2 car garage Built 1977 in the Northwest Woods Subdivision
Key facts
- 0.28 acre lot
- 2 garage spots
- Built 1977
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: Attached garage (2 spaces); Basement access to parking
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
- Home design: Single-family residence; Residential property; Entry style: Raised ranch; Inside city limits
- Construction: Brick/mortar exterior; Composition roof
- Exterior features: Deck; City lot
Interior
- Bedrooms: 4 bedrooms
- Bathrooms: 3 full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Natural gas heating; Electric cooling (central)
- Interior features: Walk-out basement; One fireplace; Raised ranch floor plan
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/3.0-bath single-family listed at $100k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-776 ($-9k/yr) — negative.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $100k).
- Recommended offer: $94k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 3.9% vs local median 3.2% in Shawnee — meaningfully above typical; check what's discounted (condition, days-on-market, listing class) to confirm the premium yield is real.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 87/100 on livability (#2 in KS, #276 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: commute A+, employment A+, housing A+.
- Shawnee Mission Pub Schools (suburban): math 38% / reading 46% proficiency, ranked #22 of 169 in KS (top 13%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Rhein Benninghoven Elem (math 37% / reading 42%, grade F, #321 of 684 statewide, top 52%, 453 students, 30% FRL) — zoned schools at 30% FRL track the district average.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.2%/yr); 96 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; high-income renter base; 2,969 units permitted in Johnson County in 2024 (1,066 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $3k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $12k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Johnson County population projected at +27% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 70 days — a 6% lower offer ($94k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: property tax is 4.3% of price.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- It's been on market 70 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1977 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.58% ✗
- Cap rate
- 3.94%
- Cash-on-cash
- -8.39%
- DSCR
- 0.63
- GRM
- 14.3
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $396,150
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13900 W 69th Ter | 0.21mi | 3/3.0 (-1) | 2,064 (-1%) | 1mo | $395,000 | $191 | 83 |
| 14102 W 69th St | 0.13mi | 4/2.5 | 2,192 (+5%) | 1mo | $400,000 | $182 | 82 |
| 14512 W 69th St | 0.23mi | 4/2.5 | 2,136 (+2%) | 2mo | $405,000 | $190 | 82 |
| 13805 Midland Dr | 0.48mi | 4/3.0 | 2,136 (+2%) | 1mo | $465,000 | $218 | 72 |
| 6406 Oakview St | 0.71mi | 4/3.0 | 2,157 (+4%) | 2mo | $410,000 | $190 | 59 |
| 7216 Rene St | 0.43mi | 3/3.0 (-1) | 2,304 (+10%) | 2mo | $400,000 | $174 | 56 |
| 6703 Hauser Dr | 0.72mi | 4/3.0 | 2,190 (+5%) | 3mo | $375,000 | $171 | 55 |
| 6640 Pflumm Rd | 0.57mi | 3/2.5 (-1) | 1,915 (-8%) | 3mo | $499,900 | $261 | 50 |
| 6512 Widmer Rd | 0.51mi | 4/3.0 | 2,397 (+15%) | 3mo | $349,900 | $146 | 49 |
| 7220 Park St | 0.48mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,794 (-14%) | 2mo | $374,000 | $208 | 44 |
| 6525 Pflumm Rd | 0.71mi | 5/2.5 (+1) | 1,903 (-9%) | 3mo | $385,000 | $202 | 43 |
| 13415 W 66th Ter | 0.64mi | 5/2.5 (+1) | 2,322 (+11%) | 2mo | $369,950 | $159 | 42 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 4.19% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -29.9%
- Equity multiple
- 0.00×
- Total profit
- $-110,844
- Equity at exit
- $59,067
- IRR
- -26.9%
- Equity multiple
- -0.34×
- Total profit
- $-148,581
- Equity at exit
- $34,252
Cash invested: $110,922 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Kansas
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+10
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 66216
- Rents YoY
- 4.2%
- Active inventory
- 96
- Price-to-rent
- 3.6×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,307 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$2,077
- Tax from tax record
- −$356 /mo · $4,267/yr
- Insurance
- −$165
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$484
- Net cashflow
- $-776
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $-551 | -5% $-663 | +0% $-776 | +5% $-888 | +10% $-1,000 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-958 | -5% $-867 | +0% $-776 | +5% $-684 | +10% $-593 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $-576 | -0.5pp $-675 | base $-776 | +0.5pp $-878 | +1.0pp $-983 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $99,038
- Closing costs
- $11,884
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 1 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14202 W 63rd Ter Shawnee, KS | 2.0–3.0 | 2.5 | 1722 | $2,290 | $1.33 | 2d | 4 | 0.69mi |
Listing history 8 events
-
2026-06-08statusdays on market $100,000 Pending 70 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $100,000 Active 69 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $100,000 Active 66 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $100,000 Active 65 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $100,000 Active 64 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $100,000 Active 63 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $100,000 Active 62 DOM
-
2026-03-30$100,000 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast KS · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $4,267 · $356/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $4,267 · $356/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 2/10 Low 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $27,685
- − Mortgage interest
- −$22,191
- − Property taxes
- −$4,267
- − Insurance
- −$1,981
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,215
- − Management
- −$2,215
- − Depreciation
- −$11,524
- Taxable loss
- −$16,708
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$4,010
- After-tax cash flow
- $-5,297/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Shawnee Mission Pub Schools
- NCES district ID
- 2011640
- Math proficiency
- 38% ▼ -6.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 46% ▼ -2.00%
- Median HH income
- $64,923
- Composite
- 37.55/100
- National rank
- #4391
- State rank
- #22 of 169 in KS
Livability — Shawnee
- Score
- 87/100
- State rank
- #2
- US rank
- #276
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Shawnee, KS
- County
- Johnson County · 574,662 people
- City population
- 60,541
- Metro
- Kansas City, MO-KS
- Population (ZIP)
- 24,881
- Household income
- $111,744
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 347.0
Population outlook (Johnson County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 663,396 people
- By 2030
- 702,585 · +5.9%
- By 2040
- 775,386 · +16.9%
- By 2050
- 841,772 · +26.9%
- By 2075
- 994,137 · +49.9%
- By 2100
- 1,073,036 · +61.7%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (77%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 77% Hispanic / Latino 9% Two or more races 7% Black 5% Asian 5%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 7%
- Common ancestry
- Italian 4% Slovak 2% Portuguese 2%
- Foreign-born
- 6% · Canada, China, Vietnam
- Languages at home
- 89% English-only · Spanish 4% Other Indo-European 2% Chinese 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Johnson
- 2024 margin
- Lean D (+8.5) · D 53.4% · R 44.9% · Other 1.8%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +17.5pp toward D · 2008: -9.0pp · 2024: 8.5pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+8.5 2020: D+8.2 2016: R+2.7 2012: R+17.8 2008: R+9.0
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -208.18%
- Current HPI
- 237.5218
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 4.19%
- Metro
- Kansas City, MO-KS
- State GDP YoY
- —
- F500 in state
- 0
Price history
1 event — show timeline
- 2026-03-30 Listed $100,000 Heartland MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
Property tax history
+4.7%/yrLatest (2025): $4,267 · +1.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…