3941 Arthington Blvd · Indianapolis city (balance), IN
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $717 – $1,331
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 101°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 18 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 1.0%
Air-quality risk 4/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 5 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 7 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- Cash flow +14.8/30.0
- 1% rule +5.8/10.0
- DSCR +4.5/10.0
- Rent growth +4.2/5.0
- Livability +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.4/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$115,500
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Nice Starter Home or Investment Property. 2 Bedroom, 1 Bath Home with a 1 car Garage.
Key facts
- 0.41 acre lot
- Garage
- Built 1942
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $116k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $31 ($377/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $116k).
- Recommended offer: $109k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 6.6% vs local median 4.4% in Indianapolis city (balance) — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads: area grade C — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
- Indianapolis Public Schools (urban): math 14% / reading 20% proficiency, ranked #286 of 301 in IN (top 95%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 77% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+6.8%/yr); 151 active listings in the ZIP; 34 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 21d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 1,906 units permitted in Marion County in 2024 (621 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $799 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Marion County population projected at +18% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 74 days — a 6% lower offer ($109k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 5 sale attempts since 5y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $24k (17%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: property tax is 3.1% of price; built in 1942 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 74 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1942 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.08% ✓
- Cap rate
- 6.62%
- Cash-on-cash
- 1.16%
- DSCR
- 1.05
- GRM
- 7.8
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $178,409
- List price
- $115,500
- Delta
- -31.90%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3901 Wallace Ave | 0.13mi | 2/1.0 | 1,047 (-4%) | 0mo | $55,000 | $53 | 86 |
| 4934 E 41st St | 0.27mi | 3/1.5 (+1) | 1,178 (+8%) | 9mo | $47,000 | $40 | 61 |
| 4850 E 34th St | 0.71mi | 2/1.0 | 1,125 (+3%) | 5mo | $95,000 | $84 | 58 |
| 3938 N Grand Ave | 0.43mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 993 (-9%) | 9mo | $135,000 | $136 | 52 |
| 4068 N Drexel Ave | 0.22mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,250 (+14%) | 16mo | $215,500 | $172 | 48 |
| 4512 E 38th Street North Dr | 0.20mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,200 (+10%) | 22mo | $140,000 | $117 | 47 |
| 3824 N Butler Ave | 0.54mi | 3/1.5 (+1) | 1,133 (+3%) | 22mo | $137,000 | $121 | 44 |
| 4858 E 34th St | 0.71mi | 2/1.0 | 1,147 (+5%) | 19mo | $117,500 | $102 | 43 |
| 3955 N Grand Ave | 0.47mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 993 (-9%) | 22mo | $175,000 | $176 | 39 |
| 3601 N Emerson Ave | 0.59mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,026 (-6%) | 24mo | $27,000 | $26 | 37 |
| 3505 N Emerson Ave | 0.69mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 972 (-11%) | 10mo | $115,000 | $118 | 36 |
| 3605 N Butler Ave | 0.71mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 990 (-10%) | 19mo | $79,500 | $80 | 30 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 6.76% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -9.5%
- Equity multiple
- 0.64×
- Total profit
- $-11,730
- Equity at exit
- $17,221
- IRR
- 5.1%
- Equity multiple
- 1.45×
- Total profit
- $14,431
- Equity at exit
- $9,986
Cash invested: $32,340 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Indiana
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+11
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 46226
- Rents YoY
- 6.8%
- Active inventory
- 151
- Price-to-rent
- 7.8×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,242 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$606
- Tax from tax record
- −$296 /mo · $3,550/yr
- Insurance
- −$48
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$261
- Net cashflow
- $31
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $97 | -5% $64 | +0% $31 | +5% $-1 | +10% $-34 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-67 | -5% $-18 | +0% $31 | +5% $80 | +10% $129 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $90 | -0.5pp $61 | base $31 | +0.5pp $1 | +1.0pp $-29 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $28,875
- Closing costs
- $3,465
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 34 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3734 Manor Ct Indianapolis, IN | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1414 | $1,399 | $0.99 | 8d | 1 | 0.30mi |
| 3815 N Grand Ave Unit 3815 Indianapolis, IN | 2.0 | 1.0 | 965 | $1,250 | $1.30 | 5d | 1 | 0.48mi |
| 3461 N Dequincy St Indianapolis, IN | 1.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $720 | $0.80 | 44d | 1 | 0.64mi |
| 3725 N Sherman Dr #7 Indianapolis, IN | 2.0 | 1.0 | 729 | $845 | $1.16 | 4d | 1 | 0.73mi |
| 3516 N Hawthorne Ln Indianapolis, IN | 3.0 | 1.0 | 925 | $1,225 | $1.32 | 5d | 1 | 0.83mi |
| 3615 Sherman Forest Dr Indianapolis, IN | 4.0 | 1.0–2.5 | 1057 | $1,288 | $1.22 | 5d | 1 | 0.83mi |
| 3332 Wallace Ave Indianapolis, IN | 3.0 | 1.0 | 936 | $1,600 | $1.71 | 24d | 1 | 0.85mi |
| 3315 N Euclid Ave Indianapolis, IN | 2.0 | 1.0 | 780 | $1,300 | $1.67 | 15d | 1 | 0.86mi |
| 3316 N Emerson Ave Indianapolis, IN | 3.0 | 1.0 | 912 | $1,100 | $1.21 | 24d | 1 | 0.88mi |
| 3636 N Whittier Pl Indianapolis, IN | 3.0 | 1.0 | 912 | $995 | $1.09 | 8d | 1 | 0.89mi |
| 5602 Glencoe St Indianapolis, IN | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,749 | $1.75 | 18d | 1 | 0.95mi |
| 3301 Mardenna Ave Indianapolis, IN | 3.0 | 1.0 | 925 | $1,200 | $1.30 | 44d | 1 | 0.96mi |
| 4115 Meadows Dr Indianapolis, IN | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1013 | $1,374 | $1.36 | 44d | 9 | 0.99mi |
| 3319 N Hawthorne Ln Indianapolis, IN | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1084 | $1,100 | $1.01 | 24d | 1 | 1.05mi |
| 3718 N Audubon Rd Indianapolis, IN | 3.0 | 1.0 | 875 | $1,300 | $1.49 | 24d | 1 | 1.06mi |
| 3142 N Euclid Ave Indianapolis, IN | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1050 | $1,050 | $1.00 | 44d | 1 | 1.07mi |
| 3522 N Olney St Indianapolis, IN | 3.0 | 1.0 | 768 | $1,300 | $1.69 | 44d | 1 | 1.09mi |
| 3383 Station St Indianapolis, IN | 3.0 | 1.0 | 744 | $1,250 | $1.68 | 24d | 1 | 1.09mi |
| 3149 N Gladstone Ave Indianapolis, IN | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1036 | $1,350 | $1.30 | 8d | 1 | 1.11mi |
| 3421 N Olney St Indianapolis, IN | 2.0 | 1.0 | 720 | $1,195 | $1.66 | 17d | 1 | 1.14mi |
| 3836 Priscilla Ave Indianapolis, IN | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1040 | $1,275 | $1.23 | 2d | 1 | 1.14mi |
| 4320 E 30th St Indianapolis, IN | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1152 | $1,195 | $1.04 | 24d | 1 | 1.26mi |
| 2950 N Dequincy St Indianapolis, IN | 3.0 | 1.0 | 888 | $1,375 | $1.55 | 14d | 1 | 1.30mi |
| 2932 Arthington Blvd Indianapolis, IN | 3.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $1,350 | $1.50 | 24d | 1 | 1.33mi |
| 3472 N Dearborn St Indianapolis, IN | 2.0 | 1.0 | 890 | $1,099 | $1.23 | 20d | 1 | 1.34mi |
| 3920 E 30th St Indianapolis, IN | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1071 | $1,350 | $1.26 | 8d | 1 | 1.35mi |
| 3920 E 30th St Indianapolis, IN | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1071 | $1,350 | $1.26 | 5d | 1 | 1.35mi |
| 5865 E 46th St Indianapolis, IN | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1400 | $1,500 | $1.07 | 44d | 1 | 1.40mi |
| 3535 N Oxford St Indianapolis, IN | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1015 | $1,500 | $1.48 | 22d | 1 | 1.43mi |
| 4400 E Fall Creek Parkway North Dr Indianapolis, IN | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–1.5 | 857 | $1,349 | $1.57 | 2d | 31 | 1.43mi |
| 3070 N Layman Ave #1 Indianapolis, IN | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1480 | $1,700 | $1.15 | 44d | 1 | 1.44mi |
| 2864 Forest Manor Ave Indianapolis, IN | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1018 | $1,500 | $1.47 | 24d | 1 | 1.47mi |
| 3039 E 47th St Indianapolis, IN | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1133 | $1,086 | $0.96 | 3d | 7 | 1.49mi |
| 3031 E 47th St Apt E Indianapolis, IN | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1133 | $1,074 | $0.95 | 8d | 1 | 1.50mi |
Listing history 23 events
-
2026-06-18price $115,500 Active 74 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $121,500 Active 74 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $121,500 Active 73 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $121,500 Active 72 DOM
-
2026-06-15status $121,500 Active 71 DOM
-
2026-06-13statusdays on market $121,500 Pending 71 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $121,500 Active 69 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $121,500 Active 68 DOM
-
2026-06-07pricedays on market $121,500 Active 67 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $127,500 Active 63 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $127,500 Active 62 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $127,500 Active 61 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $127,500 Active 60 DOM
-
2026-05-06price $132,900 85-char remark
Show marketing remark (85 chars)
Nice Starter Home or Investment Property. 2 Bedroom, 1 Bath Home with a 1 car Garage.
-
2026-04-27status Active 85-char remark
Show marketing remark (85 chars)
Nice Starter Home or Investment Property. 2 Bedroom, 1 Bath Home with a 1 car Garage.
-
2026-04-01status Pending 85-char remark
Show marketing remark (85 chars)
Nice Starter Home or Investment Property. 2 Bedroom, 1 Bath Home with a 1 car Garage.
-
2026-03-20status Active 85-char remark
Show marketing remark (85 chars)
Nice Starter Home or Investment Property. 2 Bedroom, 1 Bath Home with a 1 car Garage.
-
2026-03-10status Pending 85-char remark
Show marketing remark (85 chars)
Nice Starter Home or Investment Property. 2 Bedroom, 1 Bath Home with a 1 car Garage.
-
2026-02-24$139,900 Active 85-char remark
Show marketing remark (85 chars)
Nice Starter Home or Investment Property. 2 Bedroom, 1 Bath Home with a 1 car Garage.
-
2021-11-30historical
-
2021-11-26$125,000 Active
-
2021-11-24historical
-
2021-11-08$125,000 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast IN · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $3,550 · $296/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $3,550 · $296/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥101°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 4/10 Moderate 5 unhealthy d/yr today · 7 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $14,902
- − Mortgage interest
- −$6,470
- − Property taxes
- −$3,550
- − Insurance
- −$578
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,192
- − Management
- −$1,192
- − Depreciation
- −$3,360
- Taxable loss
- −$1,440
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$346
- After-tax cash flow
- $722/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Indianapolis Public Schools
- NCES district ID
- 1804770
- Math proficiency
- 14% ▼ -7.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 20% ▼ -3.00%
- Median HH income
- $32,034
- Composite
- 13.69/100
- National rank
- #9499
- State rank
- #286 of 301 in IN
Livability — Indianapolis city (balance)
No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Indianapolis city (balance), IN
- County
- Marion County · 998,460 people
- City population
- 881,119
- Metro
- Indianapolis-Carmel-Anderson, IN
- Population (ZIP)
- 47,099
- Household income
- $50,325
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 2742.0
Population outlook (Marion County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 1,025,572 people
- By 2030
- 1,065,727 · +3.9%
- By 2040
- 1,141,577 · +11.3%
- By 2050
- 1,208,920 · +17.9%
- By 2075
- 1,367,288 · +33.3%
- By 2100
- 1,438,201 · +40.2%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.62)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 53% White 25% Hispanic / Latino 17% Two or more races 9% Asian 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 11%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 1% Italian 1% Romanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 11% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 86% English-only · Spanish 10% French/Haitian/Cajun 1% Other Asian/Pacific 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Marion
- 2024 margin
- Strong D (+27.7) · D 63.0% · R 35.3% · Other 1.7%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -0.7pp no change · 2008: 28.4pp · 2024: 27.7pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+27.7 2020: D+29.1 2016: D+22.8 2012: D+22.2 2008: D+28.4
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -218.85%
- Current HPI
- 239.43
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 6.76%
- Metro
- Indianapolis-Carmel-Anderson, IN
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.90%
- F500 in state
- 18
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IN)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Machinery | 2 | $37B |
|
||
| Healthcare | 1 | $177B |
|
||
| Pharmaceuticals | 1 | $45B |
|
||
| Metals / Steel | 1 | $18B |
|
||
| Agriculture | 1 | $17B |
|
||
| Packaging | 1 | $12B |
|
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Price history
+6.3% since first listed10 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-06 Price Changed $132,900 MIBOR as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-04-27 Relisted — MIBOR as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-04-01 Pending — MIBOR as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-03-20 Relisted — MIBOR as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-03-10 Pending — MIBOR as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-02-24 Listed $139,900 MIBOR as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2021-11-30 Listing Removed — MIBOR as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2021-11-26 Listed $125,000 MIBOR as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2021-11-24 Listing Removed — MIBOR as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2021-11-08 Listed $125,000 MIBOR as Distributed by MLS Grid
Property tax history
+12.6%/yrLatest (2025): $3,550 · +14.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…