2128 Bradford Pl · Harvey, LA
Flood risk 8/10 · Major
- FEMA flood zone
- X
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.6%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,269 – $2,357
Heat risk 10/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 108°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 21 days/yr
Wind risk 10/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 3 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 4 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- 1% rule +9.8/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Livability +3.2/5.0
- Schools +2.5/10.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Rent growth +1.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$150,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Incredible investment opportunity in Timberlane Estates! Boasting 4 bedrooms, 2 full baths, and a 2 car garage, this home checks all the boxes! Features include a huge primary bedroom and a massive separate living room ideal for entertaining. Off street parking. Bring your vision and creativity for this home with endless possibilities!
Key facts
- Off street parking
- Garage
- Built 1991
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: Attached garage with three or more spaces
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Electric service (standard)
- Home design: Single-story; Average condition
- Construction: Brick veneer, frame, and vinyl siding construction; Shingle roof; Slab foundation; Built with average condition
- Exterior features: City lot; Rectangular lot; Lot dimensions 60' x 110'
Interior
- Kitchen: Dishwasher; Microwave; Oven; Range
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Central heating; Central air conditioning
- Interior features: Ceiling fans; Pantry
- Laundry & utility: Washer hookup; Dryer hookup
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $150k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $705 ($8k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $150k).
- Cap rate 12.5% vs local median 4.8% in Harvey — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 64/100 on livability (#166 in LA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools D+, crime F, amenities F.
- Jefferson Parish (suburban): math 24% / reading 34% proficiency, ranked #44 of 98 in LA (top 45%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 70% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: Rents falling (-3.9%/yr); 187 active listings in the ZIP; 9 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 24d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 518 units permitted in Jefferson Parish in 2024 (43 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 43% of the median local income ($62k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 0.0% rent growth), your $42k cash investment doubles in ~8 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- Only 2 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $96k; list at $150k implies a 57% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $66/mo.
- Climate carrying-cost: severe flood risk; severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.48% ✓
- Cap rate
- 12.46%
- Cash-on-cash
- 22.03%
- DSCR
- 1.98
- GRM
- 5.6
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $303,912
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2236 Hampton Dr | 0.26mi | 4/2.5 | 2,262 (-0%) | 1mo | $300,000 | $133 | 85 |
| 2238 N Village Green St | 0.27mi | 4/2.5 | 2,345 (+3%) | 1mo | $335,000 | $143 | 79 |
| 2103 Mesa Via Dr | 0.48mi | 4/2.5 | 2,278 (+0%) | 1mo | $300,000 | $132 | 74 |
| 1629 Carriage Ln | 0.57mi | 4/2.5 | 2,273 (+0%) | 3mo | $260,000 | $114 | 69 |
| 1921 Bradford Pl | 0.19mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,996 (-12%) | 2mo | $285,000 | $143 | 64 |
| 1825 Lake Superior Dr | 0.42mi | 4/2.0 | 2,511 (+11%) | 2mo | $345,000 | $137 | 61 |
| 3457 E Parc Green St | 0.55mi | 4/2.5 | 2,438 (+8%) | 1mo | $285,000 | $117 | 59 |
| 2007 S Village Green Dr | 0.24mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,938 (-15%) | 6mo | $259,000 | $134 | 55 |
| 2024 Spanish Oaks Dr | 0.75mi | 4/2.5 | 2,424 (+7%) | 1mo | $316,000 | $130 | 51 |
| 2733 W Friendship Dr | 0.45mi | 3/2.5 (-1) | 2,539 (+12%) | 4mo | $299,900 | $118 | 48 |
| 2640 Orbit Ct | 0.62mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,972 (-13%) | 1mo | $267,500 | $136 | 43 |
| 2132 Missile St | 0.61mi | 3/2.5 (-1) | 1,978 (-13%) | 3mo | $310,000 | $157 | 41 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 8.9%
- Equity multiple
- 1.34×
- Total profit
- $14,093
- Equity at exit
- $22,365
- IRR
- 15.3%
- Equity multiple
- 2.07×
- Total profit
- $45,044
- Equity at exit
- $12,969
Cash invested: $42,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Louisiana
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+12
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 70058
- Rents YoY
- -3.9%
- Active inventory
- 187
- Price-to-rent
- 5.6×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,224 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$787
- Tax from tax record
- −$137 /mo · $1,638/yr
- Insurance
- −$62
- Flood insurance flood zone
- −$66 /mo · $798/yr
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$467
- Net cashflow
- $705
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $37,500
- Closing costs
- $4,500
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 9 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2323 N Harper Dr Harvey, LA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1678 | $3,000 | $1.79 | 43d | 1 | 0.38mi |
| 2278 Telestar St Harvey, LA | 4.0 | 2.0 | 2121 | $2,450 | $1.16 | 23d | 1 | 0.43mi |
| 2713 W Friendship Dr Harvey, LA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1750 | $1,850 | $1.06 | 23d | 1 | 0.47mi |
| 829 Bellemeade Blvd Gretna, LA | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1805 | $2,400 | $1.33 | 43d | 1 | 1.09mi |
| 81 Lake Lynn Dr Harvey, LA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1686 | $1,900 | $1.13 | 23d | 1 | 1.16mi |
| 2727 Ridgefield Rd Gretna, LA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1700 | $1,950 | $1.15 | 14d | 1 | 1.27mi |
| 3251 Wall Blvd Gretna, LA | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1174 | $2,500 | $2.13 | 1d | 1 | 1.28mi |
| 1849 Redwood Dr Harvey, LA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1600 | $1,900 | $1.19 | 23d | 1 | 1.50mi |
| 1849 Redwood Dr Harvey, LA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1600 | $1,900 | $1.19 | 43d | 1 | 1.50mi |
Listing history 6 events
-
2026-05-08status Pending
-
2026-05-06status Pending 337-char remark
Show marketing remark (337 chars)
Incredible investment opportunity in Timberlane Estates! Boasting 4 bedrooms, 2 full baths, and a 2 car garage, this home checks all the boxes! Features include a huge primary bedroom and a massive separate living room ideal for entertaining. Off street parking. Bring your vision and creativity for this home with endless possibilities!
-
2026-05-06historical Active Under Contract
Show marketing remark (337 chars)
Incredible investment opportunity in Timberlane Estates! Boasting 4 bedrooms, 2 full baths, and a 2 car garage, this home checks all the boxes! Features include a huge primary bedroom and a massive separate living room ideal for entertaining. Off street parking. Bring your vision and creativity for this home with endless possibilities!
-
2026-05-05$150,000 Active
Show marketing remark (337 chars)
Incredible investment opportunity in Timberlane Estates! Boasting 4 bedrooms, 2 full baths, and a 2 car garage, this home checks all the boxes! Features include a huge primary bedroom and a massive separate living room ideal for entertaining. Off street parking. Bring your vision and creativity for this home with endless possibilities!
-
2026-05-05$150,000 Active 337-char remark
Show marketing remark (337 chars)
Incredible investment opportunity in Timberlane Estates! Boasting 4 bedrooms, 2 full baths, and a 2 car garage, this home checks all the boxes! Features include a huge primary bedroom and a massive separate living room ideal for entertaining. Off street parking. Bring your vision and creativity for this home with endless possibilities!
-
1992-12-01soldstatus $95,600
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast LA · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $1,638 · $137/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,638 · $137/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 8/10 Severe FEMA zone X · 60% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 10/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 10/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $26,683
- − Mortgage interest
- −$8,402
- − Property taxes
- −$1,638
- − Insurance
- −$1,547
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,135
- − Management
- −$2,135
- − Depreciation
- −$4,364
- Taxable income
- $6,462
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,551
- After-tax cash flow
- $6,904/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Jefferson Parish
- NCES district ID
- 2200840
- Math proficiency
- 24% ▼ -36.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 34% ▼ -30.00%
- Median HH income
- $48,421
- Composite
- 25.19/100
- National rank
- #7511
- State rank
- #44 of 98 in LA
Livability — Harvey
- Score
- 64/100
- State rank
- #166
- US rank
- #13980
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Harvey, LA
- County
- Jefferson Parish · 426,999 people
- City population
- 39,578
- Metro
- New Orleans-Metairie, LA
- Population (ZIP)
- 39,578
- Household income
- $62,416
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1992.0
Population outlook (Jefferson County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 451,696 people
- By 2030
- 455,451 · +0.8%
- By 2040
- 458,308 · +1.5%
- By 2050
- 461,031 · +2.1%
- By 2075
- 476,351 · +5.5%
- By 2100
- 499,377 · +10.6%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.60)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 58% White 20% Hispanic / Latino 13% Asian 7% Two or more races 4%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 1% Dominican 1%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 4% Hispanic 1%
- Foreign-born
- 13% · Canada, Vietnam
- Languages at home
- 81% English-only · Spanish 10% Vietnamese 5% French/Haitian/Cajun 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Jefferson
- 2024 margin
- R (+12.9) · D 42.5% · R 55.5% · Other 2.1%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +13.6pp toward D · 2008: -26.6pp · 2024: -12.9pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+12.9 2020: R+11.1 2016: R+14.8 2012: R+18.4 2008: R+26.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -96.82%
- Current HPI
- 156.1052
- Rent YoY
- ▼ -3.88%
- Metro
- New Orleans-Metairie, LA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.29%
- F500 in state
- 10
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in LA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Telecommunications | 2 | $23B |
|
||
| Utilities | 1 | $12B |
|
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| Wholesale / Distribution | 1 | $5B |
|
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| Advertising | 1 | $2B |
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Price history
+56.9% since first listed6 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-08 Pending — GSREIN
- 2026-05-06 Pending — AcadianaMLS
- 2026-05-06 Contingent — GSREIN
- 2026-05-05 Listed $150,000 AcadianaMLS
- 2026-05-05 Listed $150,000 GSREIN
- 1992-12-01 Sold (Public Records) $95,600 Public Records
Property tax history
+1.5%/yrLatest (2025): $1,638 · +0.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…