203 Old Quarry Rd · Saltville, VA
Flood risk 8/10 · Major
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.99%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $666 – $1,236
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 93°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 21 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +21.9/30.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- DSCR +7.0/10.0
- Appreciation +5.1/10.0
- Schools +4.5/10.0
- 1% rule +4.4/10.0
- Livability +3.6/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
$89,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Discover your own peaceful retreat in Saltville! Situated on a beautiful, flat one-acre lot, 203 Old Quarry Road features a picturesque creek running right out front, offering the ultimate relaxing backdrop. This house was originally had 2 bedrooms and could easily be converted back. Peace of mind comes built-in with major recent updates, including a brand-new metal roof, new 70 gallon water heater, new siding, new flooring, a beautifully updated brand-new tile shower, and an included carport for covered parking. Inside, this cozy one-bedroom home boasts a surprisingly spacious living room, perfect for relaxing or entertaining. The home is equipped with dual heating options, featuring a se
Key facts
- New siding
- New flooring
- New water heater
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Zoning: R2; Lot size: 1 acre
Exterior
- Parking: Detached garage; 1 garage space; Carport
- Security: Security system; Smoke detectors
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Propane available
- Home design: Single-family residence; One story
- Construction: Vinyl siding; Metal roof; Crawl space foundation; Built as single family (year not provided)
- Exterior features: On waterfront (creek); Cleared lot; Level lot
Interior
- Kitchen: Electric oven; Refrigerator; Dishwasher not listed
- Flooring: Laminate flooring; Wood flooring
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Ceiling fan(s); Oil heating; Propane heating; Has cooling
- Interior features: Wood-burning fireplace; Security system; Smoke detectors
- Laundry & utility: Washer; Dryer; Propane utilities
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $89k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $74 ($889/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $84k (5.9% below list).
- Recommended offer: $84k (5.9% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 72/100 on livability (#206 in VA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, employment F.
- Smyth County Public School District (rural): math 46% / reading 63% proficiency, ranked #89 of 131 in VA (top 68%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Zoned schools: Saltville Elementary (math 52% / reading 62%, grade C+, #597 of 1,108 statewide, top 57%, 195 students, 102% FRL); Northwood Middle (math 42% / reading 67%, grade B-, #194 of 342 statewide, top 60%, 151 students, 86% FRL); Northwood High (math 62% / reading 77%, grade B, #159 of 319 statewide, top 53%, 240 students, 87% FRL) — zoned schools average 91% FRL vs 54% district-wide (38 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Market conditions: 31 active listings in the ZIP; 38 units permitted in Smyth County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $875 of equity ($615 loan paydown + $260 appreciation (0.3% local appreciation)).
- Smyth County population projected at -20% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (0.3% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $25k cash investment doubles in ~9 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 17 days — a 2% lower offer ($88k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $66/mo; built in 1953 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: severe flood risk; major wildfire risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1953 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.94% ✗
- Cap rate
- 8.19%
- Cash-on-cash
- 6.77%
- DSCR
- 1.30
- GRM
- 8.9
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
0.29% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 2.8%
- Equity multiple
- 1.13×
- Total profit
- $3,341
- Equity at exit
- $27,152
- IRR
- 7.9%
- Equity multiple
- 1.88×
- Total profit
- $22,050
- Equity at exit
- $33,701
Cash invested: $24,920 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 55 Moderately Landlord-Leaning
- State Virginia
- 55 Moderately Landlord-Leaning · D+2
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 24370
- Home prices YoY
- 0.1%
- Active inventory
- 31
- Price-to-rent
- 8.9×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $837 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$467
- Tax from tax record
- −$17 /mo · $205/yr
- Insurance
- −$37
- Flood insurance flood zone
- −$66 /mo · $798/yr
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$176
- Net cashflow
- $74
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $22,250
- Closing costs
- $2,670
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 14 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $89,000 Active 17 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $89,000 Active 16 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $89,000 Active 15 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $89,000 Active 14 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $89,000 Active 13 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $89,000 Active 12 DOM
-
2026-06-12days on market $89,000 Active 11 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $89,000 Active 8 DOM
-
2026-06-08pricedays on market $89,000 Active 7 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $99,000 Active 6 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $99,000 Active 5 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $99,000 Active 2 DOM
-
2026-06-02remarks 699-char remark
-
2026-06-02$99,000 Active 1 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast VA · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $205 · $17/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $730 · $61/mo
- Expected delta
- +$525/yr (+$44/mo · 256.5%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 8/10 Severe FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 99% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 6/10 Major
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥93°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $10,047
- − Mortgage interest
- −$4,985
- − Property taxes
- −$205
- − Insurance
- −$1,242
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$804
- − Management
- −$804
- − Depreciation
- −$2,589
- Taxable loss
- −$582
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$140
- After-tax cash flow
- $1,029/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Smyth County Public School District
- NCES district ID
- 5103520
- Math proficiency
- 46% ▼ -38.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 63% ▼ -14.00%
- Median HH income
- $36,901
- Composite
- 45.2/100
- National rank
- #2672
- State rank
- #89 of 131 in VA
Livability — Saltville
- Score
- 72/100
- State rank
- #206
- US rank
- #6370
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Saltville, VA
- Population (ZIP)
- 5,740
Population outlook (Smyth County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 29,740 people
- By 2030
- 28,593 · -3.9%
- By 2040
- 26,091 · -12.3%
- By 2050
- 23,629 · -20.5%
- By 2075
- 18,365 · -38.2%
- By 2100
- 13,697 · -53.9%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (98%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 98% Hispanic / Latino 2%
- Common ancestry
- Serbian 2% Slovak 2% Italian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 1% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 99% English-only · Spanish 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Smyth
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+60.5) · D 19.4% · R 79.9%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -31.4pp toward R · 2008: -29.1pp · 2024: -60.5pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+60.5 2020: R+56.3 2016: R+55.2 2012: R+33.0 2008: R+29.1
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 0.29%
- Current HPI
- 218.7537
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.40%
- F500 in state
- 50
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in VA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Aerospace / Defense | 4 | $236B |
|
||
| Technology / Defense | 3 | $32B |
|
||
| Financial Services | 2 | $176B |
|
||
| Utilities | 2 | $27B |
|
||
| Insurance | 2 | $25B |
|
||
| Technology | 2 | $15B |
|
||
Price history
1 event — show timeline
- 2026-05-29 Listed $99,000 SWVAR
Property tax history
+3.6%/yrLatest (2025): $205 · +0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…