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818 Wallace St
C Composite 56.17
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +20.7/30.0
  • ARV discount +12.5/15.0
  • DSCR +6.6/10.0
  • 1% rule +5.8/10.0
  • Livability +3.8/5.0
  • Rent growth +3.6/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +0.8/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$130,000

818 Wallace St · York, PA 17403
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,220 sqft · Townhouse public records · 1 Days on market
Built 1900 1,512 sqft lot Est $146k · 11% under

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Property is being sold “as is. ” An excellent opportunity for new or low-risk investors seeking a buy-and-hold asset.

Key facts

  • Built 1900

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: On-street parking
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Natural gas service
  • Home design: Semi-detached property; Fee simple ownership
  • Construction: Brick construction; Brick/mortar foundation; Above-grade and below-grade structures
  • Exterior features: Not in a federal flood zone

Interior

  • Bedrooms: 3 bedrooms on the main level
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom on the main level; 1 full bathroom total
  • Heating & cooling: Baseboard hot water heating; Natural gas heating and hot water
  • Interior features: Basement with shelving; Living area measurement sourced from assessor

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath townhouse listed at $130k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $176 ($2k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $130k).
  • Cap rate 7.9% vs local median 5.0% in York — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 75/100 on livability (#427 in PA, #3,987 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, health & safety A+, housing A; Watch: amenities D+, crime F, employment F.
  • York City SD (urban): math 4% / reading 16% proficiency, ranked #534 of 539 in PA (top 99%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 72% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.4%/yr); 213 active listings in the ZIP; 33 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 21d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 1,328 units permitted in York County in 2024 (338 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $899 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.

Negotiation context

  • Only 1 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1900 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $130,000

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1900 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  4. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  5. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  6. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.08%
Cap rate
7.91%
Cash-on-cash
5.79%
DSCR
1.26
GRM
7.7

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$146,400
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
818 Wallace St 0.00mi 3/1.0 1,220 (0%) 0mo $130,000 $107 100
715 E Clarke Ave 0.17mi 3/1.0 1,182 (-3%) 1mo $65,000 $55 86
926 E Market St 0.21mi 3/1.0 1,158 (-5%) 2mo $155,000 $134 80
219 S Albemarle St 0.44mi 3/1.0 1,280 (+5%) 1mo $142,000 $111 71
1151 E King St 0.44mi 4/1.5 (+1) 1,228 (+1%) 2mo $196,000 $160 70
307 E Walnut St 0.63mi 3/1.0 1,265 (+4%) 1mo $152,000 $120 64
225 N Pine St 0.64mi 3/1.0 1,182 (-3%) 2mo $37,500 $32 63
203 Fulton St 0.48mi 3/1.0 1,104 (-10%) 0mo $174,000 $158 62
430 E Walnut St 0.43mi 3/1.0 1,368 (+12%) 0mo $132,000 $96 59
450 E Walnut St 0.40mi 3/1.0 1,040 (-15%) 1mo $85,000 $82 56
1147 E King St 0.44mi 4/1.0 (+1) 1,394 (+14%) 2mo $186,000 $133 49
1409 4th Ave 0.74mi 3/1.0 1,088 (-11%) 0mo $180,000 $165 47

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 4.43% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-5.7%
Equity multiple
0.79×
Total profit
$-7,802
Equity at exit
$19,383
10-year hold
IRR
5.7%
Equity multiple
1.45×
Total profit
$16,389
Equity at exit
$11,240

Cash invested: $36,400 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
62 Landlord-Friendly
State Pennsylvania
62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
10-day notice; Philadelphia has eviction-court diversion + some protections; otherwise moderate.

ZIP-level market 17403

Home prices YoY
-26.9%
Rents YoY
4.4%
Active inventory
213
Price-to-rent
7.7×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,398 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$682
Tax from tax record
$193 /mo · $2,315/yr
Insurance
$54
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$294
Net cashflow
$176

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,176
Max offer price $130,000
Occupancy floor 82%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$32,500
Closing costs
$3,900
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 33 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
40 N Tremont St #2 York, PA 3.0 1.0 900 $1,500 $1.67 44d 1 0.11mi
720 Chestnut St Apt 2 York, PA 4.0 1.0 1400 $1,300 $0.93 13d 1 0.14mi
30 N Franklin St York, PA 3.0 1.0 1400 $1,395 $1.00 44d 1 0.22mi
1027 E Market St Unit 2 York, PA 2.0 1.0 1145 $1,095 $0.96 13d 1 0.26mi
606 E Market St Unit 1STFLRREAR York, PA 2.0 1.0 700 $925 $1.32 13d 1 0.36mi
446 Wallace St York, PA 3.0 1.0 1092 $1,295 $1.19 21d 1 0.44mi
728 E Princess St Apt 3 York, PA 2.0 1.0 822 $995 $1.21 44d 1 0.46mi
245 Franklin Way York, PA 2.0 2.0 1240 $1,150 $0.93 13d 1 0.69mi
231 Franklin Way York, PA 3.0 1.0 920 $1,195 $1.30 13d 1 0.71mi
1505 3rd Ave York, PA 3.0 1.5 1408 $1,800 $1.28 13d 1 0.79mi
1538 1st Ave Unit 2 York, PA 3.0 2.0 1500 $1,900 $1.27 13d 1 0.83mi
715 Vander Ave York, PA 3.0 1.0 1180 $1,295 $1.10 13d 1 0.87mi
113 Arch St York, PA 4.0 1.0 1188 $1,200 $1.01 13d 1 0.88mi
549 Lancaster Ave York, PA 3.0 1.0 1458 $1,875 $1.29 44d 1 0.93mi
516 E Boundary Ave York, PA 2.0 1.0 1128 $1,200 $1.06 13d 1 0.95mi
208 Liberty Ct York, PA 3.0 1.0 1096 $1,195 $1.09 44d 1 0.97mi
251 N George St York, PA 2.0 2.0 1100 $1,595 $1.45 13d 1 0.98mi
28 N George St Unit H York, PA 2.0 2.0 1400 $1,550 $1.11 44d 1 1.02mi
49 W Market St Unit 2 R York, PA 2.0 1.0 788 $975 $1.24 13d 1 1.11mi
334 N Beaver St York, PA 3.0 1.0 1140 $1,050 $0.92 13d 1 1.12mi
443 S Duke St York, PA 3.0 1.0 1028 $1,225 $1.19 44d 1 1.14mi
42 Laurel St York, PA 3.0 1.0 1136 $1,375 $1.21 21d 1 1.14mi
444 S Duke St York, PA 3.0 1.0 1200 $1,200 $1.00 44d 1 1.15mi
175 W Gay Ave York, PA 1.0–2.0 1.0 1219 $1,650 $1.35 13d 2 1.17mi
133 Stevens Ave York, PA 3.0 1.0 1200 $1,300 $1.08 44d 1 1.17mi
514 S Duke St York, PA 3.0 1.0 1289 $1,625 $1.26 21d 1 1.18mi
132 S Beaver St Apt 4 York, PA 2.0 2.0 1000 $1,250 $1.25 44d 1 1.19mi
289 Union St York, PA 4.0 1.0 1450 $1,600 $1.10 44d 1 1.37mi
104 Camelot Arms York, PA 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 1073 $1,973 $1.84 13d 15 1.39mi
314 W Gay Ave York, PA 3.0 1.0 1060 $1,250 $1.18 21d 1 1.42mi
403 N Newberry St Unit A10 York, PA 2.0 1.0 750 $1,095 $1.46 21d 1 1.42mi
403 N Newberry St Unit B12 York, PA 2.0 1.0 750 $1,050 $1.40 44d 1 1.42mi
330 W King St York, PA 3.0 1.0 713 $1,195 $1.68 13d 1 1.49mi

Listing history 4 events

  1. 2026-04-29
    status Pending
  2. 2026-04-28
    listed $130,000 Active
  3. 2022-02-25
    soldstatus $400,000
  4. 1991-06-12
    soldstatus $19,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast PA · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$2,315 · $193/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$2,315 · $193/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥102°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 4/10 Moderate 10% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 5 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$16,776
− Mortgage interest
−$7,282
− Property taxes
−$2,315
− Insurance
−$650
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,342
− Management
−$1,342
− Depreciation
−$3,782
Taxable income
$63
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$15
After-tax cash flow
$2,092/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
York City SD
NCES district ID
4226820
Math proficiency
4% ▼ -7.00%
Reading proficiency
16% ▼ -9.00%
Median HH income
$29,470
Composite
7.61/100
National rank
#9943
State rank
#534 of 539 in PA

Livability — York

Score
75/100
State rank
#427
US rank
#3987

Category grades

Amenities D+ Commute A- Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment F Housing A Health & safety A+ User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
York, PA
County
York County · 278,806 people
City population
184,764
Metro
York-Hanover, PA
Population (ZIP)
40,287
Household income
$75,384
Rent vs Own
36.2% rent · 63.8% own
Severe rent burden
1305.0

Population outlook (York County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
454,205 people
By 2030
457,407 · +0.7%
By 2040
457,529 · +0.7%
By 2050
448,261 · -1.3%
By 2075
427,388 · -5.9%
By 2100
384,218 · -15.4%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.58)
Race & ethnicity
White 60% Hispanic / Latino 20% Black 12% Two or more races 9% Asian 3%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 3% Puerto Rican 10% Dominican 3%
Common ancestry
Romanian 3% Lithuanian 1% Slovak 1%
Foreign-born
10% · Canada, Vietnam, Jamaica
Languages at home
81% English-only · Spanish 14% Other Indo-European 1% Arabic 1%

Political lean MEDSL · York

2024 margin
Strong R (+25.3) · D 36.9% · R 62.1%
2008→2024 swing
-11.7pp toward R · 2008: -13.6pp · 2024: -25.3pp
All cycles
2024: R+25.3 2020: R+24.6 2016: R+29.3 2012: R+21.2 2008: R+13.6

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -104.51%
Current HPI
284.0731
Rent YoY
▲ 4.43%
Metro
York-Hanover, PA
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.68%
F500 in state
34

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in PA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+584.2% since first listed
4 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-29 Pending BRIGHT MLS
  • 2026-04-28 Listed $130,000 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2022-02-25 Sold (Public Records) $400,000 Public Records
  • 1991-06-12 Sold (Public Records) $19,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+0.7%/yr

Latest (2025): $2,315 · +0.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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