818 Wallace St · York, PA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $511 – $949
Heat risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 102°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 4/10 · Minor
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 10.0%
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 3 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 5 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +20.7/30.0
- ARV discount +12.5/15.0
- DSCR +6.6/10.0
- 1% rule +5.8/10.0
- Livability +3.8/5.0
- Rent growth +3.6/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +0.8/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$130,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Property is being sold “as is. ” An excellent opportunity for new or low-risk investors seeking a buy-and-hold asset.
Key facts
- Built 1900
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: On-street parking
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Natural gas service
- Home design: Semi-detached property; Fee simple ownership
- Construction: Brick construction; Brick/mortar foundation; Above-grade and below-grade structures
- Exterior features: Not in a federal flood zone
Interior
- Bedrooms: 3 bedrooms on the main level
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom on the main level; 1 full bathroom total
- Heating & cooling: Baseboard hot water heating; Natural gas heating and hot water
- Interior features: Basement with shelving; Living area measurement sourced from assessor
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath townhouse listed at $130k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $176 ($2k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $130k).
- Cap rate 7.9% vs local median 5.0% in York — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 75/100 on livability (#427 in PA, #3,987 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, health & safety A+, housing A; Watch: amenities D+, crime F, employment F.
- York City SD (urban): math 4% / reading 16% proficiency, ranked #534 of 539 in PA (top 99%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 72% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.4%/yr); 213 active listings in the ZIP; 33 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 21d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 1,328 units permitted in York County in 2024 (338 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $899 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Negotiation context
- Only 1 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1900 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1900 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.08% ✓
- Cap rate
- 7.91%
- Cash-on-cash
- 5.79%
- DSCR
- 1.26
- GRM
- 7.7
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $146,400
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 818 Wallace St | 0.00mi | 3/1.0 | 1,220 (0%) | 0mo | $130,000 | $107 | 100 |
| 715 E Clarke Ave | 0.17mi | 3/1.0 | 1,182 (-3%) | 1mo | $65,000 | $55 | 86 |
| 926 E Market St | 0.21mi | 3/1.0 | 1,158 (-5%) | 2mo | $155,000 | $134 | 80 |
| 219 S Albemarle St | 0.44mi | 3/1.0 | 1,280 (+5%) | 1mo | $142,000 | $111 | 71 |
| 1151 E King St | 0.44mi | 4/1.5 (+1) | 1,228 (+1%) | 2mo | $196,000 | $160 | 70 |
| 307 E Walnut St | 0.63mi | 3/1.0 | 1,265 (+4%) | 1mo | $152,000 | $120 | 64 |
| 225 N Pine St | 0.64mi | 3/1.0 | 1,182 (-3%) | 2mo | $37,500 | $32 | 63 |
| 203 Fulton St | 0.48mi | 3/1.0 | 1,104 (-10%) | 0mo | $174,000 | $158 | 62 |
| 430 E Walnut St | 0.43mi | 3/1.0 | 1,368 (+12%) | 0mo | $132,000 | $96 | 59 |
| 450 E Walnut St | 0.40mi | 3/1.0 | 1,040 (-15%) | 1mo | $85,000 | $82 | 56 |
| 1147 E King St | 0.44mi | 4/1.0 (+1) | 1,394 (+14%) | 2mo | $186,000 | $133 | 49 |
| 1409 4th Ave | 0.74mi | 3/1.0 | 1,088 (-11%) | 0mo | $180,000 | $165 | 47 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 4.43% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -5.7%
- Equity multiple
- 0.79×
- Total profit
- $-7,802
- Equity at exit
- $19,383
- IRR
- 5.7%
- Equity multiple
- 1.45×
- Total profit
- $16,389
- Equity at exit
- $11,240
Cash invested: $36,400 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 62 Landlord-Friendly
- State Pennsylvania
- 62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 17403
- Home prices YoY
- -26.9%
- Rents YoY
- 4.4%
- Active inventory
- 213
- Price-to-rent
- 7.7×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,398 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$682
- Tax from tax record
- −$193 /mo · $2,315/yr
- Insurance
- −$54
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$294
- Net cashflow
- $176
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $32,500
- Closing costs
- $3,900
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 33 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 40 N Tremont St #2 York, PA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $1,500 | $1.67 | 44d | 1 | 0.11mi |
| 720 Chestnut St Apt 2 York, PA | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1400 | $1,300 | $0.93 | 13d | 1 | 0.14mi |
| 30 N Franklin St York, PA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1400 | $1,395 | $1.00 | 44d | 1 | 0.22mi |
| 1027 E Market St Unit 2 York, PA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1145 | $1,095 | $0.96 | 13d | 1 | 0.26mi |
| 606 E Market St Unit 1STFLRREAR York, PA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 700 | $925 | $1.32 | 13d | 1 | 0.36mi |
| 446 Wallace St York, PA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1092 | $1,295 | $1.19 | 21d | 1 | 0.44mi |
| 728 E Princess St Apt 3 York, PA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 822 | $995 | $1.21 | 44d | 1 | 0.46mi |
| 245 Franklin Way York, PA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1240 | $1,150 | $0.93 | 13d | 1 | 0.69mi |
| 231 Franklin Way York, PA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 920 | $1,195 | $1.30 | 13d | 1 | 0.71mi |
| 1505 3rd Ave York, PA | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1408 | $1,800 | $1.28 | 13d | 1 | 0.79mi |
| 1538 1st Ave Unit 2 York, PA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1500 | $1,900 | $1.27 | 13d | 1 | 0.83mi |
| 715 Vander Ave York, PA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1180 | $1,295 | $1.10 | 13d | 1 | 0.87mi |
| 113 Arch St York, PA | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1188 | $1,200 | $1.01 | 13d | 1 | 0.88mi |
| 549 Lancaster Ave York, PA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1458 | $1,875 | $1.29 | 44d | 1 | 0.93mi |
| 516 E Boundary Ave York, PA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1128 | $1,200 | $1.06 | 13d | 1 | 0.95mi |
| 208 Liberty Ct York, PA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1096 | $1,195 | $1.09 | 44d | 1 | 0.97mi |
| 251 N George St York, PA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1100 | $1,595 | $1.45 | 13d | 1 | 0.98mi |
| 28 N George St Unit H York, PA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1400 | $1,550 | $1.11 | 44d | 1 | 1.02mi |
| 49 W Market St Unit 2 R York, PA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 788 | $975 | $1.24 | 13d | 1 | 1.11mi |
| 334 N Beaver St York, PA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1140 | $1,050 | $0.92 | 13d | 1 | 1.12mi |
| 443 S Duke St York, PA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1028 | $1,225 | $1.19 | 44d | 1 | 1.14mi |
| 42 Laurel St York, PA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1136 | $1,375 | $1.21 | 21d | 1 | 1.14mi |
| 444 S Duke St York, PA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1200 | $1,200 | $1.00 | 44d | 1 | 1.15mi |
| 175 W Gay Ave York, PA | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 1219 | $1,650 | $1.35 | 13d | 2 | 1.17mi |
| 133 Stevens Ave York, PA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1200 | $1,300 | $1.08 | 44d | 1 | 1.17mi |
| 514 S Duke St York, PA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1289 | $1,625 | $1.26 | 21d | 1 | 1.18mi |
| 132 S Beaver St Apt 4 York, PA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1000 | $1,250 | $1.25 | 44d | 1 | 1.19mi |
| 289 Union St York, PA | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1450 | $1,600 | $1.10 | 44d | 1 | 1.37mi |
| 104 Camelot Arms York, PA | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1073 | $1,973 | $1.84 | 13d | 15 | 1.39mi |
| 314 W Gay Ave York, PA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1060 | $1,250 | $1.18 | 21d | 1 | 1.42mi |
| 403 N Newberry St Unit A10 York, PA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 750 | $1,095 | $1.46 | 21d | 1 | 1.42mi |
| 403 N Newberry St Unit B12 York, PA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 750 | $1,050 | $1.40 | 44d | 1 | 1.42mi |
| 330 W King St York, PA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 713 | $1,195 | $1.68 | 13d | 1 | 1.49mi |
Listing history 4 events
-
2026-04-29status Pending
-
2026-04-28$130,000 Active
-
2022-02-25soldstatus $400,000
-
1991-06-12soldstatus $19,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast PA · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $2,315 · $193/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,315 · $193/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥102°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 4/10 Moderate 10% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 5 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $16,776
- − Mortgage interest
- −$7,282
- − Property taxes
- −$2,315
- − Insurance
- −$650
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,342
- − Management
- −$1,342
- − Depreciation
- −$3,782
- Taxable income
- $63
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$15
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,092/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- York City SD
- NCES district ID
- 4226820
- Math proficiency
- 4% ▼ -7.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 16% ▼ -9.00%
- Median HH income
- $29,470
- Composite
- 7.61/100
- National rank
- #9943
- State rank
- #534 of 539 in PA
Livability — York
- Score
- 75/100
- State rank
- #427
- US rank
- #3987
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- York, PA
- County
- York County · 278,806 people
- City population
- 184,764
- Metro
- York-Hanover, PA
- Population (ZIP)
- 40,287
- Household income
- $75,384
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1305.0
Population outlook (York County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 454,205 people
- By 2030
- 457,407 · +0.7%
- By 2040
- 457,529 · +0.7%
- By 2050
- 448,261 · -1.3%
- By 2075
- 427,388 · -5.9%
- By 2100
- 384,218 · -15.4%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.58)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 60% Hispanic / Latino 20% Black 12% Two or more races 9% Asian 3%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 3% Puerto Rican 10% Dominican 3%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 3% Lithuanian 1% Slovak 1%
- Foreign-born
- 10% · Canada, Vietnam, Jamaica
- Languages at home
- 81% English-only · Spanish 14% Other Indo-European 1% Arabic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · York
- 2024 margin
- Strong R (+25.3) · D 36.9% · R 62.1%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -11.7pp toward R · 2008: -13.6pp · 2024: -25.3pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+25.3 2020: R+24.6 2016: R+29.3 2012: R+21.2 2008: R+13.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -104.51%
- Current HPI
- 284.0731
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 4.43%
- Metro
- York-Hanover, PA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.68%
- F500 in state
- 34
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in PA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 2 | $309B |
|
||
| Insurance | 2 | $27B |
|
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| Telecommunications / Media | 1 | $124B |
|
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| Industrial Distribution | 1 | $22B |
|
||
| Financial Services | 1 | $20B |
|
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| Chemicals / Materials | 1 | $18B |
|
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Price history
+584.2% since first listed4 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-29 Pending — BRIGHT MLS
- 2026-04-28 Listed $130,000 BRIGHT MLS
- 2022-02-25 Sold (Public Records) $400,000 Public Records
- 1991-06-12 Sold (Public Records) $19,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+0.7%/yrLatest (2025): $2,315 · +0.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…