8708 Farm Road 127 · Rocky Mound, TX
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,222 – $2,270
Heat risk 7/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 111°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 24 days/yr
Wind risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 27.0%
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +26.7/30.0
- DSCR +9.2/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- 1% rule +7.4/10.0
- Schools +3.7/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Livability +2.1/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$130,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Handy Man Alert! This 3BR-2BA Home has had some renovations done. There's 1664 Sq Ft of living space, and you have1.09 Acres to make your own. There's enough space here for a small homestead. Located in Mount Pleasant, Texas - Titus County, with plenty of amenities nearby. Lake Bob Sandlin and Cypress Springs Lake are only minutes away. In 2022 a New Roof and New HVAC system was added. The kitchen is spacious, and has a large dining area attached, as well as a breakfast bar. The living room features a vaulted ceiling, and plenty of space for get togethers. The primary bath has double vanities-sinks and there's lots of closet space. BBQ on the back deck, and enjoy the views.
Key facts
- 1.09 acres
- Lake bob sandlin
- Back deck
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $130k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $354 ($4k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $130k).
- Recommended offer: $118k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 9.6% vs local median 1.1% in Rocky Mound — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 43/100 on livability (#1,576 in TX) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, crime A; Watch: amenities F, commute F, employment F.
- Mount Pleasant ISD (town): math 45% / reading 44% proficiency, ranked #291 of 826 in TX (top 35%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 74% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Zoned schools: Child Development Center (452 students, 91% FRL); Mount Pleasant J H (math 40% / reading 45%, grade D-, #553 of 1,662 statewide, top 34%, 760 students, 81% FRL); Mount Pleasant H S (math 68% / reading 54%, grade C+, #258 of 1,632 statewide, top 16%, 1,521 students, 79% FRL).
- Market conditions: 382 active listings in the ZIP; 47 units permitted in Titus County in 2024 (10 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 34% of the median local income ($56k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $899 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $36k cash investment doubles in ~10 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 99 days — a 9% lower offer ($118k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→24/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 99 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1975 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.24% ✓
- Cap rate
- 9.56%
- Cash-on-cash
- 11.66%
- DSCR
- 1.52
- GRM
- 6.7
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $434,248
- List price
- $130,000
- Delta
- -70.06%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 5 within 1.0 mi
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 1.1%
- Equity multiple
- 1.04×
- Total profit
- $1,505
- Equity at exit
- $19,383
- IRR
- 10.7%
- Equity multiple
- 1.84×
- Total profit
- $30,477
- Equity at exit
- $11,240
Cash invested: $36,400 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Texas
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 75455
- Home prices YoY
- -27.0%
- Active inventory
- 382
- Price-to-rent
- 6.7×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,612 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$682
- Tax from tax record
- −$184 /mo · $2,202/yr
- Insurance
- −$54
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$338
- Net cashflow
- $354
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $427 | -5% $391 | +0% $354 | +5% $317 | +10% $280 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $226 | -5% $290 | +0% $354 | +5% $417 | +10% $481 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $419 | -0.5pp $387 | base $354 | +0.5pp $320 | +1.0pp $286 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $32,500
- Closing costs
- $3,900
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 18 events
-
2026-06-19days on market $130,000 Active 99 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $130,000 Active 98 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $130,000 Active 97 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $130,000 Active 96 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $130,000 Active 95 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $130,000 Active 93 DOM
-
2026-06-12days on market $130,000 Active 92 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $130,000 Active 89 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $130,000 Active 88 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $130,000 Active 87 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $130,000 Active 86 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $130,000 Active 83 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $130,000 Active 82 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $130,000 Active 81 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $130,000 Active 80 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $130,000 Active 79 DOM
-
2026-04-14price $130,000 682-char remark
Show marketing remark (682 chars)
Handy Man Alert! This 3BR-2BA Home has had some renovations done. There's 1664 Sq Ft of living space, and you have1.09 Acres to make your own. There's enough space here for a small homestead. Located in Mount Pleasant, Texas - Titus County, with plenty of amenities nearby. Lake Bob Sandlin and Cypress Springs Lake are only minutes away. In 2022 a New Roof and New HVAC system was added. The kitchen is spacious, and has a large dining area attached, as well as a breakfast bar. The living room features a vaulted ceiling, and plenty of space for get togethers. The primary bath has double vanities-sinks and there's lots of closet space. BBQ on the back deck, and enjoy the views.
-
2026-03-10$139,900 Active 682-char remark
Show marketing remark (682 chars)
Handy Man Alert! This 3BR-2BA Home has had some renovations done. There's 1664 Sq Ft of living space, and you have1.09 Acres to make your own. There's enough space here for a small homestead. Located in Mount Pleasant, Texas - Titus County, with plenty of amenities nearby. Lake Bob Sandlin and Cypress Springs Lake are only minutes away. In 2022 a New Roof and New HVAC system was added. The kitchen is spacious, and has a large dining area attached, as well as a breakfast bar. The living room features a vaulted ceiling, and plenty of space for get togethers. The primary bath has double vanities-sinks and there's lots of closet space. BBQ on the back deck, and enjoy the views.
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $2,202 · $184/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,379 · $198/mo
- Expected delta
- +$177/yr (+$15/mo · 8.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥111°F today · 24 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 6/10 Major 27% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $19,340
- − Mortgage interest
- −$7,282
- − Property taxes
- −$2,202
- − Insurance
- −$650
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,547
- − Management
- −$1,547
- − Depreciation
- −$3,782
- Taxable income
- $2,329
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$559
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,686/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Mount Pleasant ISD
- NCES district ID
- 4831760
- Math proficiency
- 45% ▼ -7.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 44% ▲ 2.00%
- Median HH income
- $40,642
- Composite
- 37.35/100
- National rank
- #4437
- State rank
- #291 of 826 in TX
Livability — Rocky Mound
- Score
- 43/100
- State rank
- #1576
- US rank
- #26922
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- County
- Titus County · 26,903 people
- Metro
- Mount Pleasant, TX
- Population (ZIP)
- 26,903
- Household income
- $56,163
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 758.0
Population outlook (Titus County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 33,205 people
- By 2030
- 33,187 · -0.1%
- By 2040
- 32,931 · -0.8%
- By 2050
- 32,231 · -2.9%
- By 2075
- 29,507 · -11.1%
- By 2100
- 25,369 · -23.6%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.61)
- Race & ethnicity
- Hispanic / Latino 45% White 42% Two or more races 15% Black 10% Asian 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 42%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 1% Slovak 1% Italian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 18% · Canada, Vietnam
- Languages at home
- 61% English-only · Spanish 37% Vietnamese 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Titus
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+54.7) · D 22.3% · R 77.0%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -23.5pp toward R · 2008: -31.2pp · 2024: -54.7pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+54.7 2020: R+44.7 2016: R+42.1 2012: R+39.0 2008: R+31.2
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -79.66%
- Current HPI
- 215.4205
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Mount Pleasant, TX
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.95%
- F500 in state
- 110
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Energy | 16 | $1,198B |
|
||
| Technology | 5 | $198B |
|
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| Engineering / Construction | 4 | $72B |
|
||
| Energy Services | 3 | $60B |
|
||
| Utilities | 3 | $41B |
|
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| Healthcare | 2 | $330B |
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Price history
-7.1% since first listed2 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-14 Price Changed $130,000 NTREIS
- 2026-03-10 Listed $139,900 NTREIS
Property tax history
+6.3%/yrLatest (2025): $2,202 · +6.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…