111 Rivermont Dr · Newport News, VA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $666 – $1,236
Heat risk 9/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 106°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 16 days/yr
Wind risk 8/10 · Major
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 80.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +15.0/30.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- 1% rule +5.0/10.0
- DSCR +5.0/10.0
- Rent growth +4.0/5.0
- Schools +3.8/10.0
- Livability +3.8/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$15,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Fixer upper home available in Hilton MHC! This is a 3 Bedroom, 2 Bath Home. Home size 10x54 1961 Magnolia home for SALE in a quiet mobile home community in Newport News. This home has had [repairs completed] but still needs [repairs needed], making it a great opportunity for a new handy homeowner or investor! Home is sold as-is. Sales price is $5,000. Lot rent is $725/month. Up to 2 pets allowed, weighing 45 pounds or less. Background, credit check, and eviction check are required.
Key facts
- Built 1961
- Listed 7 days
Property features AI
Exterior
- Home design: Built in 1961
- Construction: Original construction from 1961
- Exterior features: Located in the Central Newport News subdivision
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath land listed at $15k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($15k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $15k).
- Cap rate 103.8% vs local median 4.2% in Newport News — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 75/100 on livability (#123 in VA, #4,018 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: health & safety A+, cost of living A, housing A; Watch: crime F, commute F.
- Newport News City Public School District (urban): math 34% / reading 54% proficiency, ranked #112 of 131 in VA (top 86%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+6.0%/yr); 89 active listings in the ZIP; 21 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 19d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 522 units permitted in Newport News city in 2024 (458 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $104 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $450 of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Newport News County population projected to shrink 8% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 6.0% rent growth), your $4k cash investment doubles in ~1 year — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- Only 8 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 80% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→16/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1961 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 11.16% ✓
- Cap rate
- 103.81%
- Cash-on-cash
- 348.28%
- DSCR
- 16.50
- GRM
- 0.7
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 5.99% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- —
- Equity multiple
- 20.15×
- Total profit
- $80,418
- Equity at exit
- $2,237
- IRR
- —
- Equity multiple
- 46.89×
- Total profit
- $192,734
- Equity at exit
- $1,297
Cash invested: $4,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 55 Moderately Landlord-Leaning
- State Virginia
- 55 Moderately Landlord-Leaning · D+2
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 23601
- Home prices YoY
- -13.0%
- Rents YoY
- 6.0%
- Active inventory
- 89
- Price-to-rent
- 0.7×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,674 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$79
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$19 /mo · $225/yr
- Insurance
- −$6
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$352
- Net cashflow
- $1,219
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $1,229 | -5% $1,224 | +0% $1,219 | +5% $1,214 | +10% $1,209 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $1,087 | -5% $1,153 | +0% $1,219 | +5% $1,285 | +10% $1,351 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $1,227 | -0.5pp $1,223 | base $1,219 | +0.5pp $1,215 | +1.0pp $1,211 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $3,750
- Closing costs
- $450
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 21 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 116 Tyler Ave Unit 1A Newport News, VA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 950 | $1,075 | $1.13 | 44d | 1 | 0.14mi |
| 511 Randolph Rd Unit F Newport News, VA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 650 | $995 | $1.53 | 44d | 1 | 0.18mi |
| 531 Bulkeley Pl Newport News, VA | 2.0–3.0 | 1.0–1.5 | 780 | $1,891 | $2.42 | 2d | 20 | 0.22mi |
| 207 Ferguson Ave Newport News, VA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1350 | $1,495 | $1.11 | 24d | 1 | 0.29mi |
| 315 Piez Ave Newport News, VA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1081 | $1,395 | $1.29 | 12d | 1 | 0.34mi |
| 606 Randolph Rd Newport News, VA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 989 | $1,475 | $1.49 | 44d | 1 | 0.36mi |
| 43 Milford Rd Newport News, VA | 3.0 | 1.5 | 2000 | $2,500 | $1.25 | 44d | 1 | 0.47mi |
| 25 Franklin Rd Newport News, VA | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1521 | $1,750 | $1.15 | 8d | 1 | 0.47mi |
| 24 Brandon Rd Newport News, VA | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1574 | $2,495 | $1.59 | 44d | 1 | 0.52mi |
| 39 Westover Rd Newport News, VA | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1850 | $2,000 | $1.08 | 15d | 1 | 0.61mi |
| 268 Town Pointe Way Newport News, VA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1587 | $2,200 | $1.39 | 44d | 1 | 0.61mi |
| 624 Sterling St Newport News, VA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 821 | $1,500 | $1.83 | 18d | 1 | 0.76mi |
| 5014 Hazelwood Rd Newport News, VA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 955 | $1,900 | $1.99 | 2d | 1 | 0.90mi |
| 5007 Hazelwood Rd Newport News, VA | 4.0 | 2.0 | — | $1,995 | — | 2d | 1 | 0.96mi |
| 23 Green Ct Newport News, VA | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1200 | $2,000 | $1.67 | 15d | 1 | 1.15mi |
| 27 Holly Dr Newport News, VA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 2700 | $2,800 | $1.04 | 18d | 1 | 1.24mi |
| 6010 Jefferson Ave Newport News, VA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $1,245 | $1.38 | 44d | 2 | 1.30mi |
| 495 Nelson Dr Newport News, VA | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 710 | $1,404 | $1.98 | 4d | 5 | 1.31mi |
| 7 Whetstone Dr Hampton, VA | 4.0 | 2.5 | 2240 | $2,600 | $1.16 | 8d | 1 | 1.42mi |
| 11054 Warwick Blvd Newport News, VA | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 688 | $1,450 | $2.11 | 4d | 11 | 1.44mi |
| 602 74th St Newport News, VA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 950 | $1,080 | $1.14 | 24d | 1 | 1.50mi |
Listing history 6 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $15,000 Active 8 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $15,000 Active 5 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $15,000 Active 4 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $15,000 Active 3 DOM
-
2026-06-15remarks 486-char remark
-
2026-06-15$15,000 Active 2 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥106°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 8/10 Severe 80% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $20,091
- − Mortgage interest
- −$840
- − Property taxes
- −$225
- − Insurance
- −$75
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,607
- − Management
- −$1,607
- − Depreciation
- −$436
- Taxable income
- $15,299
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$3,672
- After-tax cash flow
- $10,956/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Newport News City Public School District
- NCES district ID
- 5102640
- Math proficiency
- 34% ▼ -37.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 54% ▼ -10.00%
- Median HH income
- $49,644
- Composite
- 37.7/100
- National rank
- #4360
- State rank
- #112 of 131 in VA
Livability — Newport News
- Score
- 75/100
- State rank
- #123
- US rank
- #4018
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Newport News, VA
- County
- Newport News City · 178,950 people
- City population
- 178,950
- Metro
- Virginia Beach-Norfolk-Newport News, VA-NC
- Population (ZIP)
- 26,645
- Household income
- $71,279
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1175.0
Population outlook (Newport News County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 181,076 people
- By 2030
- 179,683 · -0.8%
- By 2040
- 174,649 · -3.5%
- By 2050
- 167,407 · -7.5%
- By 2075
- 147,597 · -18.5%
- By 2100
- 122,144 · -32.5%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.59)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 51% Black 38% Two or more races 7% Hispanic / Latino 5%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 2% Puerto Rican 3%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 2% Iranian 2% Romanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 5% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 94% English-only · Spanish 2% French/Haitian/Cajun 1% Arabic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Newport News
- 2024 margin
- Strong D (+28.8) · D 63.7% · R 34.9% · Other 1.4%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +0.1pp no change · 2008: 28.7pp · 2024: 28.8pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+28.8 2020: D+32.9 2016: D+25.4 2012: D+30.0 2008: D+28.7
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -42.06%
- Current HPI
- 281.5503
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 5.99%
- Metro
- Virginia Beach-Norfolk-Newport News, VA-NC
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.40%
- F500 in state
- 50
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in VA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Aerospace / Defense | 4 | $236B |
|
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| Technology / Defense | 3 | $32B |
|
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| Financial Services | 2 | $176B |
|
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| Utilities | 2 | $27B |
|
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| Insurance | 2 | $25B |
|
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| Technology | 2 | $15B |
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Price history
-88.8% since first listed4 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-14 Listed $15,000 FSBO.com
- 2017-05-31 Sold (Public Records) $1,700,000 Public Records
- 2000-11-03 Sold (Public Records) $550,000 Public Records
- 1976-03-11 Sold (Public Records) $133,500 Public Records
Property tax history
+6.3%/yrLatest (2026): $47,904 · +18.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…