CashFlowRE
Sign in Sign up
111 Rivermont Dr
D+ Composite 46.52
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +15.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • 1% rule +5.0/10.0
  • DSCR +5.0/10.0
  • Rent growth +4.0/5.0
  • Schools +3.8/10.0
  • Livability +3.8/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$15,000

111 Rivermont Dr · Newport News, VA 23601
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 55 sqft · Land public records · 8 Days on market
Built 1961

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Fixer upper home available in Hilton MHC! This is a 3 Bedroom, 2 Bath Home. Home size 10x54 1961 Magnolia home for SALE in a quiet mobile home community in Newport News. This home has had [repairs completed] but still needs [repairs needed], making it a great opportunity for a new handy homeowner or investor! Home is sold as-is. Sales price is $5,000. Lot rent is $725/month. Up to 2 pets allowed, weighing 45 pounds or less. Background, credit check, and eviction check are required.

Key facts

  • Built 1961
  • Listed 7 days

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Home design: Built in 1961
  • Construction: Original construction from 1961
  • Exterior features: Located in the Central Newport News subdivision

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath land listed at $15k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($15k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $15k).
  • Cap rate 103.8% vs local median 4.2% in Newport News — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 75/100 on livability (#123 in VA, #4,018 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: health & safety A+, cost of living A, housing A; Watch: crime F, commute F.
  • Newport News City Public School District (urban): math 34% / reading 54% proficiency, ranked #112 of 131 in VA (top 86%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+6.0%/yr); 89 active listings in the ZIP; 21 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 19d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 522 units permitted in Newport News city in 2024 (458 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $104 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $450 of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Newport News County population projected to shrink 8% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 6.0% rent growth), your $4k cash investment doubles in ~1 year — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • Only 8 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 80% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→16/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $15,000

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1961 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  4. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  5. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
11.16%
Cap rate
103.81%
Cash-on-cash
348.28%
DSCR
16.50
GRM
0.7

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 5.99% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
Equity multiple
20.15×
Total profit
$80,418
Equity at exit
$2,237
10-year hold
IRR
Equity multiple
46.89×
Total profit
$192,734
Equity at exit
$1,297

Cash invested: $4,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
55 Moderately Landlord-Leaning
State Virginia
55 Moderately Landlord-Leaning · D+2
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
VRLTA gives some tenant protections; Northern Virginia courts slower; rural VA landlord-leaning.

ZIP-level market 23601

Home prices YoY
-13.0%
Rents YoY
6.0%
Active inventory
89
Price-to-rent
0.7×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,674 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$79
Tax est. 1.5%
$19 /mo · $225/yr
Insurance
$6
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$352
Net cashflow
$1,219

Break-even live

Break-even rent $131
Max offer price $15,000
Occupancy floor 22%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $1,229 -5% $1,224 +0% $1,219 +5% $1,214 +10% $1,209
Rent -10% $1,087 -5% $1,153 +0% $1,219 +5% $1,285 +10% $1,351
Rate -1.0pp $1,227 -0.5pp $1,223 base $1,219 +0.5pp $1,215 +1.0pp $1,211

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$3,750
Closing costs
$450
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 21 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
116 Tyler Ave Unit 1A Newport News, VA 2.0 1.0 950 $1,075 $1.13 44d 1 0.14mi
511 Randolph Rd Unit F Newport News, VA 2.0 1.0 650 $995 $1.53 44d 1 0.18mi
531 Bulkeley Pl Newport News, VA 2.0–3.0 1.0–1.5 780 $1,891 $2.42 2d 20 0.22mi
207 Ferguson Ave Newport News, VA 3.0 1.0 1350 $1,495 $1.11 24d 1 0.29mi
315 Piez Ave Newport News, VA 2.0 1.0 1081 $1,395 $1.29 12d 1 0.34mi
606 Randolph Rd Newport News, VA 3.0 1.0 989 $1,475 $1.49 44d 1 0.36mi
43 Milford Rd Newport News, VA 3.0 1.5 2000 $2,500 $1.25 44d 1 0.47mi
25 Franklin Rd Newport News, VA 3.0 1.5 1521 $1,750 $1.15 8d 1 0.47mi
24 Brandon Rd Newport News, VA 3.0 1.5 1574 $2,495 $1.59 44d 1 0.52mi
39 Westover Rd Newport News, VA 3.0 1.5 1850 $2,000 $1.08 15d 1 0.61mi
268 Town Pointe Way Newport News, VA 3.0 2.5 1587 $2,200 $1.39 44d 1 0.61mi
624 Sterling St Newport News, VA 2.0 1.0 821 $1,500 $1.83 18d 1 0.76mi
5014 Hazelwood Rd Newport News, VA 3.0 1.0 955 $1,900 $1.99 2d 1 0.90mi
5007 Hazelwood Rd Newport News, VA 4.0 2.0 $1,995 2d 1 0.96mi
23 Green Ct Newport News, VA 3.0 1.5 1200 $2,000 $1.67 15d 1 1.15mi
27 Holly Dr Newport News, VA 3.0 2.5 2700 $2,800 $1.04 18d 1 1.24mi
6010 Jefferson Ave Newport News, VA 2.0 1.0 900 $1,245 $1.38 44d 2 1.30mi
495 Nelson Dr Newport News, VA 1.0–2.0 1.0 710 $1,404 $1.98 4d 5 1.31mi
7 Whetstone Dr Hampton, VA 4.0 2.5 2240 $2,600 $1.16 8d 1 1.42mi
11054 Warwick Blvd Newport News, VA 1.0–2.0 1.0 688 $1,450 $2.11 4d 11 1.44mi
602 74th St Newport News, VA 2.0 1.0 950 $1,080 $1.14 24d 1 1.50mi

Listing history 6 events

  1. 2026-06-21
    days on market $15,000 Active 8 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $15,000 Active 5 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $15,000 Active 4 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $15,000 Active 3 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    remarks 486-char remark
  6. 2026-06-15
    listed $15,000 Active 2 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥106°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 8/10 Severe 80% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$20,091
− Mortgage interest
−$840
− Property taxes
−$225
− Insurance
−$75
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,607
− Management
−$1,607
− Depreciation
−$436
Taxable income
$15,299
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$3,672
After-tax cash flow
$10,956/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Newport News City Public School District
NCES district ID
5102640
Math proficiency
34% ▼ -37.00%
Reading proficiency
54% ▼ -10.00%
Median HH income
$49,644
Composite
37.7/100
National rank
#4360
State rank
#112 of 131 in VA

Livability — Newport News

Score
75/100
State rank
#123
US rank
#4018

Category grades

Amenities B Commute F Cost of living A Crime F Employment C Housing A Health & safety A+ User ratings B+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Newport News, VA
County
Newport News City · 178,950 people
City population
178,950
Metro
Virginia Beach-Norfolk-Newport News, VA-NC
Population (ZIP)
26,645
Household income
$71,279
Rent vs Own
42.7% rent · 57.3% own
Severe rent burden
1175.0

Population outlook (Newport News County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
181,076 people
By 2030
179,683 · -0.8%
By 2040
174,649 · -3.5%
By 2050
167,407 · -7.5%
By 2075
147,597 · -18.5%
By 2100
122,144 · -32.5%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.59)
Race & ethnicity
White 51% Black 38% Two or more races 7% Hispanic / Latino 5%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 2% Puerto Rican 3%
Common ancestry
Slovak 2% Iranian 2% Romanian 1%
Foreign-born
5% · Canada
Languages at home
94% English-only · Spanish 2% French/Haitian/Cajun 1% Arabic 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Newport News

2024 margin
Strong D (+28.8) · D 63.7% · R 34.9% · Other 1.4%
2008→2024 swing
+0.1pp no change · 2008: 28.7pp · 2024: 28.8pp
All cycles
2024: D+28.8 2020: D+32.9 2016: D+25.4 2012: D+30.0 2008: D+28.7

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -42.06%
Current HPI
281.5503
Rent YoY
▲ 5.99%
Metro
Virginia Beach-Norfolk-Newport News, VA-NC
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.40%
F500 in state
50

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in VA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-88.8% since first listed
4 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-14 Listed $15,000 FSBO.com
  • 2017-05-31 Sold (Public Records) $1,700,000 Public Records
  • 2000-11-03 Sold (Public Records) $550,000 Public Records
  • 1976-03-11 Sold (Public Records) $133,500 Public Records

Property tax history

+6.3%/yr

Latest (2026): $47,904 · +18.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…