104 Gillfield Ct · Lexington, SC
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $783 – $1,453
Heat risk 7/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 107°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 16 days/yr
Wind risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 62.0%
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Schools +4.2/10.0
- Livability +4.0/5.0
- Rent growth +3.3/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$80,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Unfortunately, the home that currently stands on this lot was in a recent fire and is considered a total loss. As a result, the property is being offered as-is. The lot is located in a cul-de-sac and would be well-suited for a new build. We are open to discussing a straightforward sale. You are welcome to drive by and look at the property but please do not enter the property including the house, garage, driveway, and/or backyard. Trespassers will be reported.
Key facts
- New build
- Cul-de-sac
- Built 2001
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/2.5-bath single-family listed at $80k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($13k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $80k).
- Recommended offer: $79k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 81/100 on livability (#8 in SC, #1,502 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: housing A+, health & safety A+, employment A; Watch: commute F.
- Lexington 01 (suburban): math 42% / reading 53% proficiency, ranked #11 of 80 in SC (top 14%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+3.2%/yr); 694 active listings in the ZIP; solid renter incomes; 1,712 units permitted in Lexington County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $553 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Lexington County population projected at +26% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.2% rent growth), your $22k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 30 days — a 2% lower offer ($79k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 62% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→16/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 2.58% ✓
- Cap rate
- 22.65%
- Cash-on-cash
- 58.43%
- DSCR
- 3.60
- GRM
- 3.2
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.23% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 57.3%
- Equity multiple
- 3.54×
- Total profit
- $57,002
- Equity at exit
- $11,928
- IRR
- 62.3%
- Equity multiple
- 7.30×
- Total profit
- $141,151
- Equity at exit
- $6,917
Cash invested: $22,400 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State South Carolina
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+6
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 29072
- Rents YoY
- 3.2%
- Active inventory
- 694
- Price-to-rent
- 3.2×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,064 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$420
- Tax from tax record
- −$87 /mo · $1,046/yr
- Insurance
- −$33
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$433
- Net cashflow
- $1,091
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $1,136 | -5% $1,113 | +0% $1,091 | +5% $1,068 | +10% $1,045 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $928 | -5% $1,009 | +0% $1,091 | +5% $1,172 | +10% $1,254 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $1,131 | -0.5pp $1,111 | base $1,091 | +0.5pp $1,070 | +1.0pp $1,049 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $20,000
- Closing costs
- $2,400
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 15 events
-
2026-06-15days on market $80,000 Active 30 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $80,000 Active 28 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $80,000 Active 25 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $80,000 Active 24 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $80,000 Active 23 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $80,000 Active 22 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $80,000 Active 18 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $80,000 Active 17 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $80,000 Active 16 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $80,000 Active 15 DOM
-
2026-05-17$80,000 Active
-
2015-01-06soldstatus $188,500
-
2006-01-11soldstatus $222,200
-
2003-09-04soldstatus $189,000
-
2001-06-25soldstatus $180,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast SC · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $1,046 · $87/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,046 · $87/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 6/10 Major 62% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $24,769
- − Mortgage interest
- −$4,481
- − Property taxes
- −$1,046
- − Insurance
- −$400
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,982
- − Management
- −$1,982
- − Depreciation
- −$2,327
- Taxable income
- $12,552
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$3,012
- After-tax cash flow
- $10,075/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Lexington 01
- NCES district ID
- 4502700
- Math proficiency
- 42% ▼ -12.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 53% ▼ -2.00%
- Median HH income
- $61,298
- Composite
- 41.75/100
- National rank
- #3399
- State rank
- #11 of 80 in SC
Livability — Lexington
- Score
- 81/100
- State rank
- #8
- US rank
- #1502
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Lexington, SC
- County
- Lexington County · 232,571 people
- City population
- 122,563
- Metro
- Columbia, SC
- Population (ZIP)
- 69,407
- Household income
- $106,382
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 858.0
Population outlook (Lexington County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 322,999 people
- By 2030
- 342,356 · +6.0%
- By 2040
- 377,715 · +16.9%
- By 2050
- 406,984 · +26.0%
- By 2075
- 465,447 · +44.1%
- By 2100
- 485,674 · +50.4%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (80%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 80% Black 7% Hispanic / Latino 5% Two or more races 5% Asian 4%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 1%
- Common ancestry
- Italian 4% Serbian 3% Romanian 3%
- Foreign-born
- 7% · Canada, Jamaica, China
- Languages at home
- 91% English-only · Spanish 4% Other Indo-European 1% Other Asian/Pacific 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Lexington
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+33.5) · D 32.5% · R 66.0% · Other 1.4%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +4.6pp toward D · 2008: -38.0pp · 2024: -33.5pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+33.5 2020: R+30.1 2016: R+36.7 2012: R+37.8 2008: R+38.0
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -197.53%
- Current HPI
- 212.3235
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 3.23%
- Metro
- Columbia, SC
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 4.51%
- F500 in state
- 2
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in SC)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Packaging | 1 | $7B |
|
||
Price history
-55.6% since first listed5 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-17 Listed $80,000 FSBO.com
- 2015-01-06 Sold (Public Records) $188,500 Public Records
- 2006-01-11 Sold (Public Records) $222,200 Public Records
- 2003-09-04 Sold (Public Records) $189,000 Public Records
- 2001-06-25 Sold (Public Records) $180,000 Public Records
Property tax history
-13.4%/yrLatest (2024): $1,046 · +5.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…