104 W Timberlane Ct · Broken Arrow, OK
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $2,463 – $4,575
Heat risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 111°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 19 days/yr
Wind risk 3/10 · Minor
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 5.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +15.1/30.0
- ARV discount +9.0/15.0
- DSCR +4.6/10.0
- Livability +3.9/5.0
- Rent growth +3.5/5.0
- 1% rule +3.3/10.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +2.4/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$299,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Located in South Broken Arrow near Indian Springs, across from Indian Springs Golf Course, this updated 3-bedroom, 2.5-bath home offers a functional layout with spacious living throughout. Generously sized rooms provide flexibility for everyday living and entertaining, while the fireplace adds a warm focal point to the main living area. The kitchen and bathroom have been updated, contributing to a more modern, move-in-ready feel. The sunroom is an added bonus to this beautiful property. Situated on a corner lot, the property offers added space and curb appeal. The expansive backyard, shaded by mature trees, creates a private setting ideal for outdoor living. Boat/RV storage adds valuable ve
Key facts
- Boat rv storage
- Expansive backyard
- Corner lot
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- HOA & community: Community gutter(s) feature
Exterior
- Parking: Attached 2-car garage; RV access/parking; Boat parking; Porte-cochere
- Security: Smoke detector(s); No safety shelter
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Electricity available; Cable available; Insulation (energy efficiency)
- Home design: Single-story home; Faces east; Slab foundation
- Construction: Built per public records; Brick, stone, and wood frame construction; Asphalt/fiberglass roof
- Exterior features: Covered patio and porch; Concrete driveway; Rain gutters; Storage structure; Privacy fencing; Corner lot with mature trees
Interior
- Kitchen: Pantry; Breakfast nook; Dishwasher; Oven/Range/Stove; Disposal; Plumbed for ice maker; Electric oven/range connection
- Bedrooms: Multiple first-floor bedrooms including a master bedroom with private bath; Additional bedrooms on the first floor without attached baths
- Flooring: Carpet; Vinyl
- Bathrooms: Two full bathrooms; One half bathroom; Master bath (first floor); Hall bath (first floor)
- Heating & cooling: Central heating (electric, multiple heating units); Central air conditioning (two units)
- Interior features: Granite counters; Ceiling fan(s); Programmable thermostat; Aluminum window frames; Storm windows; Other interior features
- Laundry & utility: Inside utility room (first floor); Washer hookup; Electric dryer hookup; Electric water heater
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.5-bath single-family listed at $299k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $97 ($1k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $249k (16.6% below list).
- Recommended offer: $249k (16.6% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 6.7% vs local median 4.0% in Broken Arrow — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 78/100 on livability (#7 in OK, #2,691 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F.
- Broken Arrow (suburban): math 23% / reading 28% proficiency, ranked #79 of 270 in OK (top 29%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
- Zoned schools: Spring Creek Es (math 32% / reading 27%, grade F, #255 of 845 statewide, top 35%, 494 students, 0% FRL); Childers Ms (math 16% / reading 28%, grade F, #129 of 345 statewide, top 42%, 796 students, 0% FRL); Broken Arrow Hs (math 22% / reading 36%, grade F, #120 of 447 statewide, top 27%, 4,589 students, 0% FRL) — zoned schools average 0% FRL vs 33% district-wide (33 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.1%/yr); 385 active listings in the ZIP; 3 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 12d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 2,818 units permitted in Tulsa County in 2024 (518 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 30% of the median local income ($99k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $9k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Tulsa County population projected at +30% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- Only 2 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 3 sale attempts since 27y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $122k; list at $299k implies a 144% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1975 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.83% ✗
- Cap rate
- 6.68%
- Cash-on-cash
- 1.39%
- DSCR
- 1.06
- GRM
- 10.0
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $309,400
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 104 W Timberlane Ct | 0.00mi | 3/2.5 | 2,210 (0%) | 0mo | $299,000 | $135 | 100 |
| 105 W Yuma Ct | 0.54mi | 4/2.5 (+1) | 2,248 (+2%) | 1mo | $290,000 | $129 | 66 |
| 7722 S 5 St | 0.35mi | 3/3.0 | 2,377 (+8%) | 6mo | $475,000 | $200 | 64 |
| 7844 S Hickory Ct | 0.61mi | 3/2.5 | 2,044 (-8%) | 1mo | $292,000 | $143 | 58 |
| 8401 S 4th St | 0.57mi | 3/2.0 | 2,322 (+5%) | 9mo | $325,000 | $140 | 56 |
| 406 Fairway Dr | 0.43mi | 4/2.5 (+1) | 2,384 (+8%) | 9mo | $355,000 | $149 | 54 |
| 809 W Imperial St | 0.56mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 2,116 (-4%) | 8mo | $290,000 | $137 | 53 |
| 204 W Albuquerque St | 0.57mi | 3/2.0 | 2,429 (+10%) | 3mo | $265,000 | $109 | 52 |
| 501 E Yuma Dr | 0.59mi | 3/2.5 | 2,508 (+14%) | 9mo | $300,000 | $120 | 43 |
| 7005 S Birch Ave | 0.66mi | 4/2.5 (+1) | 1,902 (-14%) | 1mo | $269,200 | $142 | 40 |
| 7500 S Gum Ave | 0.70mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,941 (-12%) | 2mo | $308,500 | $159 | 38 |
| 805 W Glenwood Ave | 0.64mi | 4/2.5 (+1) | 1,884 (-15%) | 4mo | $220,000 | $117 | 37 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 4.09% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -13.0%
- Equity multiple
- 0.53×
- Total profit
- $-39,604
- Equity at exit
- $44,582
- IRR
- -2.6%
- Equity multiple
- 0.82×
- Total profit
- $-15,285
- Equity at exit
- $25,852
Cash invested: $83,720 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Oklahoma
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+20
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 74011
- Rents YoY
- 4.1%
- Active inventory
- 385
- Price-to-rent
- 10.0×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,493 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,568
- Tax from tax record
- −$180 /mo · $2,158/yr
- Insurance
- −$125
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$523
- Net cashflow
- $97
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $266 | -5% $181 | +0% $97 | +5% $12 | +10% $-72 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-100 | -5% $-2 | +0% $97 | +5% $195 | +10% $294 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $247 | -0.5pp $173 | base $97 | +0.5pp $19 | +1.0pp $-59 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $74,750
- Closing costs
- $8,970
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 3 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6308 S 1st Pl Broken Arrow, OK | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1600 | $3,400 | $2.12 | 17d | 1 | 0.96mi |
| 2008 W Huntsville Pl Broken Arrow, OK | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1568 | $2,100 | $1.34 | 4d | 1 | 1.39mi |
| 7313 S Walnut Ave Broken Arrow, OK | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1600 | $1,990 | $1.24 | 12d | 1 | 1.41mi |
Listing history 8 events
-
2026-05-18status Pending
-
2026-05-16$299,000 Active
-
2000-10-18soldstatus $122,500
-
2000-08-25historical
-
2000-05-25$129,900
-
2000-05-18historical
-
1999-11-18$133,900
-
1992-11-25soldstatus $92,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast OK · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $2,158 · $180/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,691 · $224/mo
- Expected delta
- +$533/yr (+$44/mo · 24.7%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 5/10 Major
- Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥111°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 3/10 Moderate 5% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $29,912
- − Mortgage interest
- −$16,749
- − Property taxes
- −$2,158
- − Insurance
- −$1,495
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,393
- − Management
- −$2,393
- − Depreciation
- −$8,698
- Taxable loss
- −$3,974
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$954
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,115/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Broken Arrow
- NCES district ID
- 4005490
- Math proficiency
- 23% ▼ -9.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 28% ▼ -9.00%
- Median HH income
- $64,646
- Composite
- 23.86/100
- National rank
- #7801
- State rank
- #79 of 270 in OK
Livability — Broken Arrow
- Score
- 78/100
- State rank
- #7
- US rank
- #2691
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Broken Arrow, OK
- County
- Tulsa County · 640,811 people
- City population
- 144,172
- Metro
- Tulsa, OK
- Population (ZIP)
- 33,900
- Household income
- $99,157
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 389.0
Population outlook (Tulsa County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 723,846 people
- By 2030
- 766,033 · +5.8%
- By 2040
- 851,386 · +17.6%
- By 2050
- 938,389 · +29.6%
- By 2075
- 1,166,011 · +61.1%
- By 2100
- 1,350,277 · +86.5%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (68%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 68% Two or more races 15% Hispanic / Latino 10% Native American 4% Black 4% Asian 3%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 7%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 3% Serbian 2% Slovak 2%
- Foreign-born
- 5% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 93% English-only · Spanish 5% Other Asian/Pacific 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Tulsa
- 2024 margin
- R (+15.2) · D 41.3% · R 56.5% · Other 2.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +9.2pp toward D · 2008: -24.5pp · 2024: -15.2pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+15.2 2020: R+15.6 2016: R+22.9 2012: R+27.4 2008: R+24.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -180.15%
- Current HPI
- 210.8302
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 4.09%
- Metro
- Tulsa, OK
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.55%
- F500 in state
- 6
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OK)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Energy | 3 | $48B |
|
||
Price history
+225.0% since first listed8 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-18 Pending — MLS Technology, Inc.
- 2026-05-16 Listed $299,000 MLS Technology, Inc.
- 2000-10-18 Sold (Public Records) $122,500 Public Records
- 2000-08-25 Listing Removed — MLS Technology, Inc.
- 2000-05-25 Listed $129,900 MLS Technology, Inc.
- 2000-05-18 Listing Removed — MLS Technology, Inc.
- 1999-11-18 Listed $133,900 MLS Technology, Inc.
- 1992-11-25 Sold (Public Records) $92,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+1.9%/yrLatest (2025): $2,158 · -0.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…