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3186 Via Poinciana #311
B Composite 70.12
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Schools +4.3/10.0
  • Livability +3.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.4/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$84,900

3186 Via Poinciana #311 · Greenacres, FL 33467
2 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,232 sqft · Condo public records · 86 Days on market
Built 1984 $478/mo HOA · 23% of rent

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

TRANQUIL POOL AND GARDEN VIEWS FROM SCREENED PATIO RM, 2 BD/ 2 BTH . ACTIVE 55+ COMMUNITY. "NEEDS SOME TLC". ON-SUITE MST BTH RM w/ SHOWER. ALL APPLIANCES INCLUDED; WASHER, DRYER, DISHWASHER, STOVE, REFRIGERATOR, ELECTRIC WATER HEATER, HAVAC SYSTEM, CEILING FANS; UNFURNISHED. WATER, SEWER, CABLE TV INCLUDED. ASSIGNED PARKING SPACE. ENJOY POOL, TENNIS, CLUBHOUSE w/ BAR + RESTAURANT, GOLF PLAY IS OPTIONAL. EASY ACCESS TO TURNPIKE, SHOPPING AND DINING, 8 MILES TO DOWNTOWN LAKE WORTH FESTIVALS, NIGHT-LIFE AND BEACHES!!

Key facts

  • Screened patio
  • Clubhouse with bar
  • On-suite mst bth rm

Tags

TRANQUIL POOL AND GARDEN VIEWSSCREENED PATIOON-SUITE MST BTH RMALL APPLIANCES INCLUDEDASSIGNED PARKING SPACECLUBHOUSE WITH BAR

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Accessibility features: accessible elevator installed, accessible stairway, common area accessibility
  • Financial info: Not a land-lease property; Senior community; Community has 320 units; Pets not allowed
  • HOA & community: Poinciana Lakes association; Monthly HOA fee (amount provided separately); Association amenities include: clubhouse, heated pool, pool, tennis courts, shuffleboard court, putting green, billiard room, game room, community room, cafe/restaurant, recreation facilities, jogging path, parking, elevator(s), trash chute, maintenance, reserve funds

Exterior

  • Parking: Assigned parking and guest parking (1 parking space total); No carport
  • Security: Security patrol; Other security features
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Cable connected; Electricity available; Phone available; Sewer connected; Water connected
  • Home design: Condominium; Resale property; Garden/pool view model (2 bed / 2 bath); 3rd level entry; Faces west; 4-story building
  • Construction: Built with block/CBS construction; Block foundation; Concrete, flat roof
  • Exterior features: Paved road; Private maintained road; Waterfront property (no specific waterfront features listed); Entry via catwalk

Interior

  • Kitchen: Electric range; Dishwasher; Refrigerator; Disposal; Electric water heater
  • Bedrooms: 2 bedrooms on the main level
  • Flooring: Carpet; Ceramic tile; Laminate
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms on the main level
  • Heating & cooling: Central electric heating; Central air conditioning; Ceiling fans
  • Interior features: Walk-in closets; Closet cabinetry; Unfurnished
  • Laundry & utility: Laundry inside in a laundry closet

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath condo listed at $85k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $618 ($7k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $85k).
  • Recommended offer: $80k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 69/100 on livability (#490 in FL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A; Watch: employment D, amenities F, commute F.
  • Palm Beach (suburban): math 46% / reading 53% proficiency, ranked #34 of 73 in FL (top 47%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Zoned schools: Liberty Park Elementary School (math 25% / reading 38%, grade F, #1,841 of 2,144 statewide, top 86%, 845 students, 76% FRL); Okeeheelee Middle School (math 34% / reading 40%, grade F, #399 of 571 statewide, top 71%, 1,377 students, 68% FRL) — zoned schools average 72% FRL vs 52% district-wide (20 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
  • Zoned-school proficiency averages 34% at this address vs 50% district-wide (-15 pts) — the specific schools serving this property underperform the Palm Beach average; the district grade overstates school quality for this exact location.
  • Market conditions: Rents soft (-0.4%/yr); 651 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 24d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 3,974 units permitted in Palm Beach County in 2024 (1,012 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $587 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Palm Beach County population projected at +30% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 0.0% rent growth), your $24k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 86 days — a 6% lower offer ($80k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • Current owner paid $62k; 36% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: HOA is 23% of rent.
  • Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 6→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $79,806 (6.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 86 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
  3. Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
  4. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  5. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  6. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.

Investment metrics

1% rule
2.46%
Cap rate
15.02%
Cash-on-cash
31.18%
DSCR
2.39
GRM
3.4

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
21.4%
Equity multiple
1.83×
Total profit
$19,766
Equity at exit
$12,659
10-year hold
IRR
26.7%
Equity multiple
2.91×
Total profit
$45,435
Equity at exit
$7,341

Cash invested: $23,772 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Florida
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day pay-or-quit; preempts local rent control; landlord-friendly statutes. Court speed varies by county.

ZIP-level market 33467

Rents YoY
-0.4%
Active inventory
651
Price-to-rent
3.4×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,092 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$445
Tax from tax record
$76 /mo · $911/yr
Insurance
$35
HOA
$478
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$439
Net cashflow
$618

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,310
Max offer price $84,900
Occupancy floor 65%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$21,225
Closing costs
$2,547
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 40 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
3178 Via Poinciana #303 Lake Worth, FL 2.0 2.0 1145 $1,600 $1.40 24d 1 0.06mi
3212 Strawflower Way Greenacres, FL 2.0 2.0 1017 $2,200 $2.16 10d 1 0.07mi
3212 Strawflower Way #207 Lake Worth, FL 2.0 2.0 1017 $1,850 $1.82 24d 1 0.07mi
3212 Strawflower Way Lake Worth, FL 2.0 2.0 1017 $2,000 $1.97 17d 2 0.07mi
3146 Via Poinciana #301 Lake Worth, FL 2.0 2.0 1080 $1,500 $1.39 20d 1 0.11mi
3154 Via Poinciana #214 Lake Worth, FL 2.0 2.0 1092 $1,500 $1.37 24d 1 0.18mi
3286 Arcara Way #413 Lake Worth, FL 2.0 2.0 1222 $1,850 $1.51 24d 1 0.19mi
3326 Arcara Way #108 Lake Worth, FL 2.0 2.0 1222 $1,825 $1.49 16d 1 0.27mi
3258 Jog Park Dr Greenacres, FL 2.0 2.0 1415 $2,300 $1.63 24d 1 0.29mi
3043 Grandiflora Dr Lake Worth, FL 3.0 2.0 1316 $2,700 $2.05 11d 1 0.35mi
3590 Via Poinciana #510 Lake Worth, FL 1.0 1.5 849 $1,600 $1.88 24d 1 0.40mi
3593 Birdie Dr #103 Lake Worth, FL 1.0 1.5 824 $1,600 $1.94 24d 1 0.45mi
3350 Perimeter Dr #1323 Greenacres, FL 2.0 2.0 1059 $1,975 $1.86 1d 1 0.46mi
3386 Lucerne Park Dr Greenacres, FL 2.0 2.0 1059 $1,950 $1.84 24d 1 0.46mi
245 Down East Ln Unit B Lake Worth, FL 2.0 2.0 941 $1,900 $2.02 24d 1 0.47mi
711 Laconia Cir Unit B Lake Worth, FL 2.0 2.0 1088 $2,300 $2.11 24d 1 0.48mi
733 Nantucket Cir Lake Worth, FL 2.0 2.0 941 $2,500 $2.66 24d 1 0.48mi
3661 Via Poinciana #616 Lake Worth, FL 2.0 2.0 1103 $2,000 $1.81 13d 1 0.51mi
3661 Via Poinciana #616 Lake Worth, FL 2.0 2.0 1103 $2,000 $1.81 22d 1 0.51mi
192 Cape Cod Cir Lake Worth, FL 1.0 1.5 902 $1,850 $2.05 24d 1 0.58mi
3755 Via Poinciana #304 Lake Worth, FL 2.0 2.0 1103 $2,000 $1.81 24d 1 0.62mi
1600 Island Shores Dr Greenacres, FL 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 889 $1,925 $2.17 24d 2 0.68mi
3810 Via Poinciana #404 Lake Worth, FL 2.0 2.0 1114 $1,900 $1.71 7d 1 0.69mi
720 Sunny Pine Way Unit G1 Greenacres, FL 2.0 2.0 1111 $2,000 $1.80 19d 1 0.69mi
718 Sunny Pine Way Unit H2 Greenacres, FL 2.0 2.0 1111 $2,000 $1.80 20d 1 0.73mi
718 Sunny Pine Way Unit H2 Greenacres, FL 2.0 2.0 1111 $2,000 $1.80 5d 1 0.73mi
386 Bennington Ln Lake Worth, FL 2.0 2.0 941 $2,000 $2.13 14d 1 0.75mi
724 Sunny Pine Way Unit D2 Greenacres, FL 2.0 2.0 1111 $1,950 $1.76 24d 1 0.80mi
712 Sunny Pine Way Greenacres, FL 2.0 2.0 1068 $2,150 $2.01 24d 1 0.82mi
6273 Tall Cypress Cir Greenacres, FL 3.0 2.0 1360 $2,400 $1.76 24d 1 0.82mi
726 Sunny Pine Way Unit B2 Greenacres, FL 3.0 2.0 1254 $2,200 $1.75 3d 1 0.82mi
703 Sunny Pine Way Greenacres, FL 2.0 2.0 1068 $1,900 $1.78 24d 2 0.84mi
845 Salem Ln Lake Worth, FL 2.0 2.0 1024 $1,850 $1.81 24d 1 0.85mi
504 Shady Pine Way Unit 2 Greenacres, FL 2.0 2.0 1111 $2,000 $1.80 24d 1 0.88mi
502 Shady Pine Way Unit D2 Greenacres, FL 2.0 1.0 991 $1,950 $1.97 24d 1 0.90mi
812 Sky Pine Way Greenacres, FL 2.0 2.0 1064 $2,100 $1.97 24d 1 0.91mi
6115 Seven Springs Blvd Greenacres, FL 2.0 2.5 1325 $2,475 $1.87 5d 1 0.91mi
6115 Seven Springs Blvd Greenacres, FL 2.0 2.5 1325 $2,500 $1.89 18d 1 0.91mi
811 Sky Pine Way Unit F2 Greenacres, FL 2.0 2.0 1064 $1,550 $1.46 20d 1 0.92mi
6134 Seven Springs Blvd Unit 40d Greenacres, FL 3.0 3.0 1321 $2,400 $1.82 3d 1 0.93mi

HOA detail condo

Monthly dues
$478 · $5,736/yr
Likely covers
watersewerelectriccablepoolparking
Assessments
None detected in remarks — confirm with the listing agent.

Listing history 17 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $84,900 Active 86 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $84,900 Active 85 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $84,900 Active 84 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $84,900 Active 83 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $84,900 Active 81 DOM
  6. 2026-06-09
    days on market $84,900 Active 77 DOM
  7. 2026-06-08
    days on market $84,900 Active 76 DOM
  8. 2026-06-07
    days on market $84,900 Active 75 DOM
  9. 2026-06-04
    days on market $84,900 Active 72 DOM
  10. 2026-06-03
    days on market $84,900 Active 71 DOM
  11. 2026-06-02
    days on market $84,900 Active 70 DOM
  12. 2026-06-01
    days on market $84,900 Active 69 DOM
  13. 2026-05-31
    days on market $84,900 Active 68 DOM
  14. 2026-03-24
    listed $84,900 Active
  15. 2018-02-23
    soldstatus $62,500
  16. 1995-03-27
    soldstatus $45,000
  17. 1983-06-01
    soldstatus $49,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$911 · $76/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$911 · $76/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 9/10 Extreme 6 d/yr ≥106°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 10/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$25,098
− Mortgage interest
−$4,756
− Property taxes
−$911
− Insurance
−$424
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,008
− Management
−$2,008
− HOA
−$5,736
− Depreciation
−$2,470
Taxable income
$6,785
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,628
After-tax cash flow
$5,785/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Palm Beach
NCES district ID
1201500
Math proficiency
46% ▼ -16.00%
Reading proficiency
53% ▼ -4.00%
Median HH income
$53,943
Composite
42.72/100
National rank
#3160
State rank
#34 of 73 in FL

Livability — Greenacres

Score
69/100
State rank
#490
US rank
#9008

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime B Employment D Housing A+ Health & safety A User ratings B+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

County
Palm Beach County · 1,438,312 people
City population
65,478
Metro
Miami-Fort Lauderdale-Pompano Beach, FL
Population (ZIP)
58,411
Household income
$95,739
Rent vs Own
13.6% rent · 86.4% own
Severe rent burden
960.0

Population outlook (Palm Beach County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
1,637,487 people
By 2030
1,743,255 · +6.5%
By 2040
1,948,712 · +19.0%
By 2050
2,132,979 · +30.3%
By 2075
2,530,027 · +54.5%
By 2100
2,706,979 · +65.3%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.59)
Race & ethnicity
White 59% Hispanic / Latino 22% Two or more races 13% Black 10% Asian 4%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 2% Puerto Rican 4% Cuban 4% Dominican 2%
Common ancestry
Romanian 4% Scotch-Irish 3% Hispanic 3%
Foreign-born
24% · Canada, Jamaica, Vietnam
Languages at home
71% English-only · Spanish 17% French/Haitian/Cajun 5% Other Indo-European 3%

Political lean MEDSL · Palm Beach

2024 margin
Toss-up / Even · D 50.0% · R 49.2%
2008→2024 swing
-22.1pp toward R · 2008: 22.9pp · 2024: 0.8pp
All cycles
2024: D+0.8 2020: D+12.8 2016: D+15.3 2012: D+17.0 2008: D+22.9

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -288.94%
Current HPI
343.7738
Rent YoY
▼ -0.40%
Metro
Miami-Fort Lauderdale-Pompano Beach, FL
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.28%
F500 in state
36

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+73.3% since first listed
4 events — show timeline
  • 2026-03-24 Listed $84,900 Beaches MLS
  • 2018-02-23 Sold (Public Records) $62,500 Public Records
  • 1995-03-27 Sold (Public Records) $45,000 Public Records
  • 1983-06-01 Sold (Public Records) $49,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+0.1%/yr

Latest (2025): $911 · +4.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…