3186 Via Poinciana #311 · Greenacres, FL
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $947 – $1,759
Heat risk 9/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 106°F)
- 6 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 20 days/yr
Wind risk 10/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Schools +4.3/10.0
- Livability +3.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Rent growth +2.4/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$84,900
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
TRANQUIL POOL AND GARDEN VIEWS FROM SCREENED PATIO RM, 2 BD/ 2 BTH . ACTIVE 55+ COMMUNITY. "NEEDS SOME TLC". ON-SUITE MST BTH RM w/ SHOWER. ALL APPLIANCES INCLUDED; WASHER, DRYER, DISHWASHER, STOVE, REFRIGERATOR, ELECTRIC WATER HEATER, HAVAC SYSTEM, CEILING FANS; UNFURNISHED. WATER, SEWER, CABLE TV INCLUDED. ASSIGNED PARKING SPACE. ENJOY POOL, TENNIS, CLUBHOUSE w/ BAR + RESTAURANT, GOLF PLAY IS OPTIONAL. EASY ACCESS TO TURNPIKE, SHOPPING AND DINING, 8 MILES TO DOWNTOWN LAKE WORTH FESTIVALS, NIGHT-LIFE AND BEACHES!!
Key facts
- Screened patio
- Clubhouse with bar
- On-suite mst bth rm
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Accessibility features: accessible elevator installed, accessible stairway, common area accessibility
- Financial info: Not a land-lease property; Senior community; Community has 320 units; Pets not allowed
- HOA & community: Poinciana Lakes association; Monthly HOA fee (amount provided separately); Association amenities include: clubhouse, heated pool, pool, tennis courts, shuffleboard court, putting green, billiard room, game room, community room, cafe/restaurant, recreation facilities, jogging path, parking, elevator(s), trash chute, maintenance, reserve funds
Exterior
- Parking: Assigned parking and guest parking (1 parking space total); No carport
- Security: Security patrol; Other security features
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Cable connected; Electricity available; Phone available; Sewer connected; Water connected
- Home design: Condominium; Resale property; Garden/pool view model (2 bed / 2 bath); 3rd level entry; Faces west; 4-story building
- Construction: Built with block/CBS construction; Block foundation; Concrete, flat roof
- Exterior features: Paved road; Private maintained road; Waterfront property (no specific waterfront features listed); Entry via catwalk
Interior
- Kitchen: Electric range; Dishwasher; Refrigerator; Disposal; Electric water heater
- Bedrooms: 2 bedrooms on the main level
- Flooring: Carpet; Ceramic tile; Laminate
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms on the main level
- Heating & cooling: Central electric heating; Central air conditioning; Ceiling fans
- Interior features: Walk-in closets; Closet cabinetry; Unfurnished
- Laundry & utility: Laundry inside in a laundry closet
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath condo listed at $85k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $618 ($7k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $85k).
- Recommended offer: $80k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 69/100 on livability (#490 in FL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A; Watch: employment D, amenities F, commute F.
- Palm Beach (suburban): math 46% / reading 53% proficiency, ranked #34 of 73 in FL (top 47%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Liberty Park Elementary School (math 25% / reading 38%, grade F, #1,841 of 2,144 statewide, top 86%, 845 students, 76% FRL); Okeeheelee Middle School (math 34% / reading 40%, grade F, #399 of 571 statewide, top 71%, 1,377 students, 68% FRL) — zoned schools average 72% FRL vs 52% district-wide (20 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Zoned-school proficiency averages 34% at this address vs 50% district-wide (-15 pts) — the specific schools serving this property underperform the Palm Beach average; the district grade overstates school quality for this exact location.
- Market conditions: Rents soft (-0.4%/yr); 651 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 24d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 3,974 units permitted in Palm Beach County in 2024 (1,012 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $587 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Palm Beach County population projected at +30% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 0.0% rent growth), your $24k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 86 days — a 6% lower offer ($80k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- Current owner paid $62k; 36% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: HOA is 23% of rent.
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 6→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 86 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 2.46% ✓
- Cap rate
- 15.02%
- Cash-on-cash
- 31.18%
- DSCR
- 2.39
- GRM
- 3.4
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 21.4%
- Equity multiple
- 1.83×
- Total profit
- $19,766
- Equity at exit
- $12,659
- IRR
- 26.7%
- Equity multiple
- 2.91×
- Total profit
- $45,435
- Equity at exit
- $7,341
Cash invested: $23,772 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Florida
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 33467
- Rents YoY
- -0.4%
- Active inventory
- 651
- Price-to-rent
- 3.4×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,092 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$445
- Tax from tax record
- −$76 /mo · $911/yr
- Insurance
- −$35
- HOA
- −$478
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$439
- Net cashflow
- $618
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $21,225
- Closing costs
- $2,547
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 40 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3178 Via Poinciana #303 Lake Worth, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1145 | $1,600 | $1.40 | 24d | 1 | 0.06mi |
| 3212 Strawflower Way Greenacres, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1017 | $2,200 | $2.16 | 10d | 1 | 0.07mi |
| 3212 Strawflower Way #207 Lake Worth, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1017 | $1,850 | $1.82 | 24d | 1 | 0.07mi |
| 3212 Strawflower Way Lake Worth, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1017 | $2,000 | $1.97 | 17d | 2 | 0.07mi |
| 3146 Via Poinciana #301 Lake Worth, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1080 | $1,500 | $1.39 | 20d | 1 | 0.11mi |
| 3154 Via Poinciana #214 Lake Worth, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1092 | $1,500 | $1.37 | 24d | 1 | 0.18mi |
| 3286 Arcara Way #413 Lake Worth, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1222 | $1,850 | $1.51 | 24d | 1 | 0.19mi |
| 3326 Arcara Way #108 Lake Worth, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1222 | $1,825 | $1.49 | 16d | 1 | 0.27mi |
| 3258 Jog Park Dr Greenacres, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1415 | $2,300 | $1.63 | 24d | 1 | 0.29mi |
| 3043 Grandiflora Dr Lake Worth, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1316 | $2,700 | $2.05 | 11d | 1 | 0.35mi |
| 3590 Via Poinciana #510 Lake Worth, FL | 1.0 | 1.5 | 849 | $1,600 | $1.88 | 24d | 1 | 0.40mi |
| 3593 Birdie Dr #103 Lake Worth, FL | 1.0 | 1.5 | 824 | $1,600 | $1.94 | 24d | 1 | 0.45mi |
| 3350 Perimeter Dr #1323 Greenacres, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1059 | $1,975 | $1.86 | 1d | 1 | 0.46mi |
| 3386 Lucerne Park Dr Greenacres, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1059 | $1,950 | $1.84 | 24d | 1 | 0.46mi |
| 245 Down East Ln Unit B Lake Worth, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 941 | $1,900 | $2.02 | 24d | 1 | 0.47mi |
| 711 Laconia Cir Unit B Lake Worth, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1088 | $2,300 | $2.11 | 24d | 1 | 0.48mi |
| 733 Nantucket Cir Lake Worth, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 941 | $2,500 | $2.66 | 24d | 1 | 0.48mi |
| 3661 Via Poinciana #616 Lake Worth, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1103 | $2,000 | $1.81 | 13d | 1 | 0.51mi |
| 3661 Via Poinciana #616 Lake Worth, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1103 | $2,000 | $1.81 | 22d | 1 | 0.51mi |
| 192 Cape Cod Cir Lake Worth, FL | 1.0 | 1.5 | 902 | $1,850 | $2.05 | 24d | 1 | 0.58mi |
| 3755 Via Poinciana #304 Lake Worth, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1103 | $2,000 | $1.81 | 24d | 1 | 0.62mi |
| 1600 Island Shores Dr Greenacres, FL | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 889 | $1,925 | $2.17 | 24d | 2 | 0.68mi |
| 3810 Via Poinciana #404 Lake Worth, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1114 | $1,900 | $1.71 | 7d | 1 | 0.69mi |
| 720 Sunny Pine Way Unit G1 Greenacres, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1111 | $2,000 | $1.80 | 19d | 1 | 0.69mi |
| 718 Sunny Pine Way Unit H2 Greenacres, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1111 | $2,000 | $1.80 | 20d | 1 | 0.73mi |
| 718 Sunny Pine Way Unit H2 Greenacres, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1111 | $2,000 | $1.80 | 5d | 1 | 0.73mi |
| 386 Bennington Ln Lake Worth, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 941 | $2,000 | $2.13 | 14d | 1 | 0.75mi |
| 724 Sunny Pine Way Unit D2 Greenacres, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1111 | $1,950 | $1.76 | 24d | 1 | 0.80mi |
| 712 Sunny Pine Way Greenacres, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1068 | $2,150 | $2.01 | 24d | 1 | 0.82mi |
| 6273 Tall Cypress Cir Greenacres, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1360 | $2,400 | $1.76 | 24d | 1 | 0.82mi |
| 726 Sunny Pine Way Unit B2 Greenacres, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1254 | $2,200 | $1.75 | 3d | 1 | 0.82mi |
| 703 Sunny Pine Way Greenacres, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1068 | $1,900 | $1.78 | 24d | 2 | 0.84mi |
| 845 Salem Ln Lake Worth, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1024 | $1,850 | $1.81 | 24d | 1 | 0.85mi |
| 504 Shady Pine Way Unit 2 Greenacres, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1111 | $2,000 | $1.80 | 24d | 1 | 0.88mi |
| 502 Shady Pine Way Unit D2 Greenacres, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 991 | $1,950 | $1.97 | 24d | 1 | 0.90mi |
| 812 Sky Pine Way Greenacres, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1064 | $2,100 | $1.97 | 24d | 1 | 0.91mi |
| 6115 Seven Springs Blvd Greenacres, FL | 2.0 | 2.5 | 1325 | $2,475 | $1.87 | 5d | 1 | 0.91mi |
| 6115 Seven Springs Blvd Greenacres, FL | 2.0 | 2.5 | 1325 | $2,500 | $1.89 | 18d | 1 | 0.91mi |
| 811 Sky Pine Way Unit F2 Greenacres, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1064 | $1,550 | $1.46 | 20d | 1 | 0.92mi |
| 6134 Seven Springs Blvd Unit 40d Greenacres, FL | 3.0 | 3.0 | 1321 | $2,400 | $1.82 | 3d | 1 | 0.93mi |
HOA detail condo
- Monthly dues
- $478 · $5,736/yr
- Likely covers
- watersewerelectriccablepoolparking
- Assessments
- None detected in remarks — confirm with the listing agent.
Listing history 17 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $84,900 Active 86 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $84,900 Active 85 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $84,900 Active 84 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $84,900 Active 83 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $84,900 Active 81 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $84,900 Active 77 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $84,900 Active 76 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $84,900 Active 75 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $84,900 Active 72 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $84,900 Active 71 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $84,900 Active 70 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $84,900 Active 69 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $84,900 Active 68 DOM
-
2026-03-24$84,900 Active
-
2018-02-23soldstatus $62,500
-
1995-03-27soldstatus $45,000
-
1983-06-01soldstatus $49,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $911 · $76/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $911 · $76/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 9/10 Extreme 6 d/yr ≥106°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 10/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $25,098
- − Mortgage interest
- −$4,756
- − Property taxes
- −$911
- − Insurance
- −$424
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,008
- − Management
- −$2,008
- − HOA
- −$5,736
- − Depreciation
- −$2,470
- Taxable income
- $6,785
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,628
- After-tax cash flow
- $5,785/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Palm Beach
- NCES district ID
- 1201500
- Math proficiency
- 46% ▼ -16.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 53% ▼ -4.00%
- Median HH income
- $53,943
- Composite
- 42.72/100
- National rank
- #3160
- State rank
- #34 of 73 in FL
Livability — Greenacres
- Score
- 69/100
- State rank
- #490
- US rank
- #9008
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- County
- Palm Beach County · 1,438,312 people
- City population
- 65,478
- Metro
- Miami-Fort Lauderdale-Pompano Beach, FL
- Population (ZIP)
- 58,411
- Household income
- $95,739
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 960.0
Population outlook (Palm Beach County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 1,637,487 people
- By 2030
- 1,743,255 · +6.5%
- By 2040
- 1,948,712 · +19.0%
- By 2050
- 2,132,979 · +30.3%
- By 2075
- 2,530,027 · +54.5%
- By 2100
- 2,706,979 · +65.3%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.59)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 59% Hispanic / Latino 22% Two or more races 13% Black 10% Asian 4%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 2% Puerto Rican 4% Cuban 4% Dominican 2%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 4% Scotch-Irish 3% Hispanic 3%
- Foreign-born
- 24% · Canada, Jamaica, Vietnam
- Languages at home
- 71% English-only · Spanish 17% French/Haitian/Cajun 5% Other Indo-European 3%
Political lean MEDSL · Palm Beach
- 2024 margin
- Toss-up / Even · D 50.0% · R 49.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -22.1pp toward R · 2008: 22.9pp · 2024: 0.8pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+0.8 2020: D+12.8 2016: D+15.3 2012: D+17.0 2008: D+22.9
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -288.94%
- Current HPI
- 343.7738
- Rent YoY
- ▼ -0.40%
- Metro
- Miami-Fort Lauderdale-Pompano Beach, FL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.28%
- F500 in state
- 36
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Technology | 2 | $29B |
|
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| Insurance | 2 | $17B |
|
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| Retail | 1 | $60B |
|
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| Technology Distribution | 1 | $58B |
|
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| Homebuilding | 1 | $35B |
|
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| Technology Manufacturing | 1 | $35B |
|
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Price history
+73.3% since first listed4 events — show timeline
- 2026-03-24 Listed $84,900 Beaches MLS
- 2018-02-23 Sold (Public Records) $62,500 Public Records
- 1995-03-27 Sold (Public Records) $45,000 Public Records
- 1983-06-01 Sold (Public Records) $49,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+0.1%/yrLatest (2025): $911 · +4.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…