5256 Brunswick Ln · Lower Macungie, PA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $511 – $949
Heat risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 98°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 4/10 · Minor
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 22.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +16.2/30.0
- 1% rule +9.5/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- DSCR +5.0/10.0
- Schools +4.8/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Livability +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$170,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Customized, well maintained, mobile home in Indian Creek Village available. Built in 2003, the owner had plaster walls installed, upgraded the kitchen to include a center island and tile counter-tops, and the master bath to include a soaking tub. There is a covered trek deck, a handicapped accessible ramp and additional storage shed. If you are looking for one floor living, look no further!
Key facts
- Garage
- Built 2004
- Listed 7 days
Property features AI
Finance
- HOA & community: Monthly association fee of $740
Exterior
- Parking: 1-car garage; Off-street parking; On-street parking
- Utilities: Well water; Septic tank
- Home design: Single-story; Mobile home; Vinyl siding; Asphalt/fiberglass roof
- Construction: Vinyl siding construction; Asphalt/fiberglass roof; Year built: Unknown
- Exterior features: Porch; Handicap accessible; Backs to common grounds; Paved road
Interior
- Kitchen: Dishwasher; Gas oven; Microwave
- Flooring: Carpet; Laminate; Resilient flooring
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Forced air heating (gas, heat pump); Central air conditioning; Ceiling fans
- Interior features: Vaulted ceilings; Skylights; Dining area; Eat-in kitchen; Mud room; Utility room
- Laundry & utility: Washer hookup (main level); Dryer hookup (main level); Gas water heater
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath land listed at $170k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $91 ($1k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $170k).
Location & tenants
- Location reads: area grade C — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
- East Penn SD (suburban): math 43% / reading 65% proficiency, ranked #103 of 539 in PA (top 19%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease; only 17% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
- Market conditions: Rents flat; 162 active listings in the ZIP; 9 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 25d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 44% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; high-income renter base; 765 units permitted in Lehigh County in 2024 (286 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Lehigh County population projected at +21% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- Only 8 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 2 sale attempts since 4y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $127k; 34% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: HOA is 30% of rent.
- Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.45% ✓
- Cap rate
- 6.94%
- Cash-on-cash
- 2.30%
- DSCR
- 1.10
- GRM
- 5.8
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 0.13% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -17.5%
- Equity multiple
- 0.41×
- Total profit
- $-28,186
- Equity at exit
- $25,348
- IRR
- -21.4%
- Equity multiple
- 0.12×
- Total profit
- $-41,975
- Equity at exit
- $14,698
Cash invested: $47,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 62 Landlord-Friendly
- State Pennsylvania
- 62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 18062
- Home prices YoY
- -26.4%
- Rents YoY
- 0.1%
- Active inventory
- 162
- Price-to-rent
- 5.8×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,460 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$891
- Tax from tax record
- −$150 /mo · $1,801/yr
- Insurance
- −$71
- HOA
- −$740
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$517
- Net cashflow
- $91
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $188 | -5% $139 | +0% $91 | +5% $43 | +10% $-5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-103 | -5% $-6 | +0% $91 | +5% $188 | +10% $286 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $177 | -0.5pp $135 | base $91 | +0.5pp $47 | +1.0pp $2 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $42,500
- Closing costs
- $5,100
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 9 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4939 Indian Creek Rd Macungie, PA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1664 | $2,500 | $1.50 | 45d | 1 | 0.55mi |
| 168 Lindfield Cir Macungie, PA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1275 | $1,980 | $1.55 | 24d | 1 | 0.88mi |
| 302 Windsor Pl #302 Macungie, PA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1260 | $1,925 | $1.53 | 45d | 1 | 0.89mi |
| 21 W Main St Unit 2 Macungie, PA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1100 | $1,950 | $1.77 | 24d | 1 | 0.93mi |
| 21 W Main St Unit 2 Macungie, PA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1100 | $1,950 | $1.77 | 45d | 1 | 0.93mi |
| 3740 Samantha Ln Upper Milford Township, PA | 3.0 | 3.5 | 2030 | $2,800 | $1.38 | 45d | 1 | 0.96mi |
| 3370 Pennsylvania 100 Macungie, PA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1350 | $2,810 | $2.08 | 3d | 1 | 1.20mi |
| 3535 Grandview Dr Macungie, PA | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1015 | $2,465 | $2.43 | 0d | 23 | 1.31mi |
| 2847 Sequoia Dr Macungie, PA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1440 | $2,450 | $1.70 | 24d | 1 | 1.35mi |
HOA detail
- Monthly dues
- $740 · $8,880/yr
Listing history 7 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $170,000 Active 8 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $170,000 Active 5 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $170,000 Active 4 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $170,000 Active 3 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $170,000 Active 2 DOM
-
2026-06-14remarks 699-char remark
-
2026-06-14$170,000 Active 1 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast PA · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $1,801 · $150/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,244 · $187/mo
- Expected delta
- +$442/yr (+$37/mo · 24.6%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥98°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 4/10 Moderate 22% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $29,525
- − Mortgage interest
- −$9,523
- − Property taxes
- −$1,801
- − Insurance
- −$850
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,362
- − Management
- −$2,362
- − HOA
- −$8,880
- − Depreciation
- −$4,945
- Taxable loss
- −$1,198
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$288
- After-tax cash flow
- $1,383/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- East Penn SD
- NCES district ID
- 4208550
- Math proficiency
- 43% ▼ -11.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 65% ▼ -9.00%
- Median HH income
- $70,679
- Composite
- 47.99/100
- National rank
- #2200
- State rank
- #103 of 539 in PA
Livability — Lower Macungie
No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)
Census & demographics
- County
- Lehigh County · 333,019 people
- Metro
- Allentown-Bethlehem-Easton, PA-NJ
- Population (ZIP)
- 27,110
- Household income
- $110,675
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 537.0
Population outlook (Lehigh County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 392,957 people
- By 2030
- 408,319 · +3.9%
- By 2040
- 440,007 · +12.0%
- By 2050
- 475,940 · +21.1%
- By 2075
- 590,448 · +50.3%
- By 2100
- 690,314 · +75.7%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (77%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 77% Hispanic / Latino 10% Two or more races 10% Asian 5% Black 3%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Puerto Rican 4% Dominican 2%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 5% Lithuanian 2% Subsaharan African 2%
- Foreign-born
- 11% · Canada, China, Jamaica
- Languages at home
- 83% English-only · Spanish 7% Other Indo-European 4% French/Haitian/Cajun 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Lehigh
- 2024 margin
- Toss-up / Even · D 50.7% · R 48.0% · Other 1.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -12.9pp toward R · 2008: 15.6pp · 2024: 2.7pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+2.7 2020: D+7.6 2016: D+4.4 2012: D+7.5 2008: D+15.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -91.04%
- Current HPI
- 253.5939
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 0.13%
- Metro
- Allentown-Bethlehem-Easton, PA-NJ
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.68%
- F500 in state
- 34
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in PA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 2 | $309B |
|
||
| Insurance | 2 | $27B |
|
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| Telecommunications / Media | 1 | $124B |
|
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| Industrial Distribution | 1 | $22B |
|
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| Financial Services | 1 | $20B |
|
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| Chemicals / Materials | 1 | $18B |
|
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Price history
+36.0% since first listed4 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-13 Price Changed $170,000 GLVRMLS
- 2026-06-13 Listed $175,000 GLVRMLS
- 2022-07-15 Sold (MLS) $127,000 GLVRMLS
- 2022-05-30 Listed $125,000 GLVRMLS
Property tax history
+2.2%/yrLatest (2026): $1,801 · +3.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…