CashFlowRE
Sign in Sign up
66 Kip Rd
C+ Composite 63.84
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +27.2/30.0
  • DSCR +9.5/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • 1% rule +7.4/10.0
  • Livability +3.7/5.0
  • Schools +3.6/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$77,500

66 Kip Rd · Millersburg, PA 17032
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 924 sqft · Manufactured public records · 26 Days on market
Built 2019 ↓ 9% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Tucked into a quiet end-of-road setting in Halifax Village, this 2019 Redman mobile home offers the kind of peaceful backdrop that makes everyday living feel a little more open and relaxed. With views of neighboring farmers’ fields and the mountains beyond, this 2-bedroom, 2-bath home gives you a sense of space and privacy that is hard to find at this price point. Inside, the home features comfortable one-floor living with an open main living area, a functional kitchen, and a split bedroom layout that provides privacy between the bedrooms. The primary bedroom includes its own full bath and walk-in closet, while the second bedroom and full hall bath offer flexibility for guests, hobbie

Key facts

  • Functional kitchen
  • Walk-in closet
  • One-floor living

Tags

ONE-FLOOR LIVINGOPEN MAIN LIVING AREAFUNCTIONAL KITCHENSPLIT BEDROOM LAYOUTPRIMARY BEDROOM WITH FULL BATHWALK-IN CLOSET

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Annual ground rent noted in income/expense
  • Financial info: Ground rent exists and is paid monthly ($450); Ownership interest: ground rent

Exterior

  • Parking: Off-street parking
  • Utilities: Community water; Community septic tank
  • Home design: Manufactured single-wide home; Estimated year built; Level lot; Not in a federal flood zone
  • Construction: Vinyl siding; Above-grade finished living area; Other structures above and below grade
  • Exterior features: Exterior lighting; Porch(es); Shed

Interior

  • Kitchen: Gas oven/range; Refrigerator
  • Bedrooms: Two bedrooms on the main level
  • Bathrooms: Two full bathrooms (both on the main level)
  • Heating & cooling: Forced air heat; Propane (leased) heating fuel; Central A/C; 200+ amp electric service
  • Interior features: Central air conditioning; Electric hot water; No basement
  • Laundry & utility: Main-floor laundry

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $78k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $166 ($2k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($959 rent vs $78k).
  • Recommended offer: $76k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 9.7% vs local median 4.5% in Millersburg — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 74/100 on livability (#480 in PA, #4,444 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F.
  • Halifax Area SD (rural): math 28% / reading 55% proficiency, ranked #310 of 539 in PA (top 58%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Zoned schools: Halifax Area Hs (math 54%, 244 students, 30% FRL) — zoned schools at 30% FRL track the district average.
  • Market conditions: 47 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 540 units permitted in Dauphin County in 2024 (194 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $536 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 26 days — a 2% lower offer ($76k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $56/mo.
  • Climate carrying-cost: severe flood risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→16/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $76,337 (1.5% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  4. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  5. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.24%
Cap rate
9.72%
Cash-on-cash
12.25%
DSCR
1.55
GRM
6.7

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-2.4%
Equity multiple
0.91×
Total profit
$-1,933
Equity at exit
$11,556
10-year hold
IRR
7.4%
Equity multiple
1.56×
Total profit
$12,134
Equity at exit
$6,701

Cash invested: $21,700 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
62 Landlord-Friendly
State Pennsylvania
62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
10-day notice; Philadelphia has eviction-court diversion + some protections; otherwise moderate.

ZIP-level market 17032

Home prices YoY
-8.3%
Active inventory
47
Price-to-rent
6.7×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$959 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$406
Tax from tax record
$97 /mo · $1,168/yr
Insurance
$32
Flood insurance flood zone
−$56 /mo · $666/yr
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$201
Net cashflow
$166

Break-even live

Break-even rent $749
Max offer price $77,500
Occupancy floor 78%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $210 -5% $188 +0% $166 +5% $144 +10% $122
Rent -10% $90 -5% $128 +0% $166 +5% $204 +10% $242
Rate -1.0pp $205 -0.5pp $186 base $166 +0.5pp $146 +1.0pp $126

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$19,375
Closing costs
$2,325
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 1 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
161 Hillside Hts Millersburg, PA 2.0 1.0 1000 $959 $0.96 24d 1 1.35mi

Listing history 23 events

  1. 2026-06-21
    days on market $77,500 Active 26 DOM
  2. 2026-06-21
    days on market $77,500 Active 25 DOM
  3. 2026-06-18
    days on market $77,500 Active 23 DOM
  4. 2026-06-17
    days on market $77,500 Active 22 DOM
  5. 2026-06-16
    days on market $77,500 Active 21 DOM
  6. 2026-06-15
    days on market $77,500 Active 20 DOM
  7. 2026-06-13
    days on market $77,500 Active 18 DOM
  8. 2026-06-12
    days on market $77,500 Active 17 DOM
  9. 2026-06-09
    days on market $77,500 Active 14 DOM
  10. 2026-06-08
    days on market $77,500 Active 13 DOM
  11. 2026-06-08
    days on market $77,500 Active 12 DOM
  12. 2026-06-07
    days on market $77,500 Active 11 DOM
  13. 2026-06-04
    days on market $77,500 Active 8 DOM
  14. 2026-06-02
    days on market $77,500 Active 7 DOM
  15. 2026-06-01
    days on market $77,500 Active 6 DOM
  16. 2026-05-31
    days on market $77,500 Active 5 DOM
  17. 2026-05-26
    listed $77,500 Active
  18. 2025-12-18
    historical
  19. 2025-12-16
    historical
  20. 2025-08-03
    historical
  21. 2025-03-23
    price $75,000
  22. 2025-02-25
    price $80,000
  23. 2025-02-04
    listed $85,000 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast PA · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$1,168 · $97/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,196 · $100/mo
Expected delta
+$28/yr (+$2/mo · 2.4%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 9/10 Extreme FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 99% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥100°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low 3% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$11,508
− Mortgage interest
−$4,341
− Property taxes
−$1,168
− Insurance
−$1,054
− Repairs & maintenance
−$921
− Management
−$921
− Depreciation
−$2,255
Taxable income
$849
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$204
After-tax cash flow
$1,789/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Halifax Area SD
NCES district ID
4211310
Math proficiency
28% ▼ -15.00%
Reading proficiency
55% ▼ -12.00%
Median HH income
$56,462
Composite
36.25/100
National rank
#4713
State rank
#310 of 539 in PA

Livability — Millersburg

Score
74/100
State rank
#480
US rank
#4444

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A+ Employment B Housing A+ Health & safety B- User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Population (ZIP)
7,630

Population outlook (Dauphin County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
281,628 people
By 2030
283,549 · +0.7%
By 2040
285,385 · +1.3%
By 2050
286,188 · +1.6%
By 2075
291,053 · +3.3%
By 2100
282,374 · +0.3%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (93%)
Race & ethnicity
White 93% Two or more races 5% Hispanic / Latino 2%
Common ancestry
Romanian 3% Iranian 1% Lithuanian 1%
Foreign-born
1% · Canada
Languages at home
99% English-only · Spanish 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Dauphin

2024 margin
Lean D (+5.9) · D 52.4% · R 46.5% · Other 1.1%
2008→2024 swing
-3.1pp toward R · 2008: 9.1pp · 2024: 5.9pp
All cycles
2024: D+5.9 2020: D+8.5 2016: D+2.8 2012: D+6.0 2008: D+9.1

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -25.19%
Current HPI
276.6399
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.68%
F500 in state
34

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in PA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-8.8% since first listed
7 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-26 Listed $77,500 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2025-12-18 Listing Removed BRIGHT MLS
  • 2025-12-16 Coming Soon BRIGHT MLS
  • 2025-08-03 Listing Removed BRIGHT MLS
  • 2025-03-23 Price Changed $75,000 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2025-02-25 Price Changed $80,000 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2025-02-04 Listed $85,000 BRIGHT MLS

Property tax history

+3.3%/yr

Latest (2026): $1,168 · +4.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…