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1135 N 7th St 🏗️ New Construction
D+ Composite 45.01
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Appreciation +10.0/10.0
  • Cash flow +9.8/30.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Schools +4.4/10.0
  • Livability +4.0/5.0
  • DSCR +2.8/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • 1% rule +1.6/10.0

$215,000

1135 N 7th St · Wolfforth, TX 79382
2 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,276 sqft · Townhouse · 4 Days on market
Built 2026 3,520 sqft lot

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Cute townhouse in the perfect location. On trend finishes, granite countertops, artificial turf and much more.

Key facts

  • Granite countertops
  • Artificial turf
  • 2 garage spots

Tags

GRANITE COUNTERTOPSARTIFICIAL TURF

Property features AI

Finance

  • HOA & community: Homeowners association

Exterior

  • Parking: Attached 2-car garage
  • Home design: Residential townhouse; Attached property with one common wall; New construction / Under construction
  • Construction: Brick and vinyl siding exterior; Composition roof; Slab foundation; Built as new construction
  • Exterior features: Private yard; Covered front porch; Fenced yard

Interior

  • Kitchen: Granite counters; Kitchen island; Pantry
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
  • Heating & cooling: Natural gas heating; Electric cooling; Ceiling fan(s)
  • Interior features: Bar; Ceiling fan(s); Chandelier; Granite counters; Kitchen island; Pantry; Storage; Walk-in closet(s)

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…
🏗️ New construction. Builder plan / spec listing (the home may be to-be-built); metrics use comparable previous sales.

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath townhouse listed at $215k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-139 ($-2k/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $191k (11.4% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $142k (34.0% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $142k (34.0% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 80/100 on livability (#43 in TX, #1,872 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F.
  • Frenship ISD (urban): math 47% / reading 54% proficiency, ranked #162 of 826 in TX (top 20%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
  • Zoned schools: Bennett El (math 62% / reading 64%, grade B, #300 of 4,322 statewide, top 7%, 876 students, 43% FRL); Frenship Middle (math 46% / reading 50%, grade C-, #400 of 1,662 statewide, top 24%, 833 students, 47% FRL); Frenship H S (math 44% / reading 65%, grade C-, #379 of 1,632 statewide, top 26%, 3,247 students, 46% FRL).
  • Market conditions: 474 active listings in the ZIP; 13 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 23d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 46% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; solid renter incomes; 2,219 units permitted in Lubbock County in 2024 (252 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $23k of equity ($1k loan paydown + $22k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
  • Lubbock County population projected at +39% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
  • By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$37k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • Only 4 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Recommended offer $141,907 (34.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  4. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.66%
Cap rate
5.52%
Cash-on-cash
-2.76%
DSCR
0.88
GRM
12.6

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

10.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
22.3%
Equity multiple
2.80×
Total profit
$108,149
Equity at exit
$193,689
10-year hold
IRR
20.0%
Equity multiple
6.40×
Total profit
$325,191
Equity at exit
$417,698

Cash invested: $60,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Texas
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day notice; statewide preemption; one of the fastest eviction climates; Travis County (Austin) slightly slower.

ZIP-level market 79382

Active inventory
474
Price-to-rent
12.6×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,419 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,127
Tax from tax record
$43 /mo · $511/yr
Insurance
$90
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$298
Net cashflow
$-139

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,595
Max offer price $190,515
Occupancy floor

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $-17 -5% $-78 +0% $-139 +5% $-199 +10% $-260
Rent -10% $-251 -5% $-195 +0% $-139 +5% $-83 +10% $-26
Rate -1.0pp $-30 -0.5pp $-84 base $-139 +0.5pp $-194 +1.0pp $-251

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$53,750
Closing costs
$6,450
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 13 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
1218 Preston TRL Unit A Wolfforth, TX 3.0 2.0 1420 $1,500 $1.06 23d 1 0.17mi
1216 Donald Preston Dr Unit B Wolfforth, TX 3.0 2.0 1450 $1,400 $0.97 45d 1 0.44mi
1224 Donald Preston Dr Unit B Wolfforth, TX 3.0 2.0 1400 $1,550 $1.11 45d 1 0.44mi
1210 Donald Preston Dr Unit B1 Wolfforth, TX 1.0 1.0 1400 $945 $0.68 23d 1 0.44mi
1210 Donald Preston Dr Unit B2 Wolfforth, TX 1.0 1.0 1400 $795 $0.57 45d 1 0.44mi
1019 Donald Preston Dr Unit A Wolfforth, TX 3.0 2.0 1400 $1,275 $0.91 45d 1 0.48mi
1019 Donald Preston Dr Unit A Wolfforth, TX 3.0 2.0 1400 $1,275 $0.91 23d 1 0.48mi
1517 Westminister Ave Wolfforth, TX 3.0 2.0 1552 $1,600 $1.03 15d 1 0.52mi
7811 86th St Lubbock, TX 3.0 2.0 1710 $2,025 $1.18 23d 1 0.74mi
6313 Volney Ave Lubbock, TX 2.0 2.0 1006 $1,495 $1.49 23d 1 1.04mi
5865 Virginia Ave Lubbock, TX 3.0 2.0 1500 $1,749 $1.17 45d 1 1.20mi
5805 Virginia Ave Lubbock, TX 3.0 2.0 1377 $1,800 $1.31 45d 1 1.35mi
127 Brooke Blvd Wolfforth, TX 3.0 2.5 1714 $1,757 $1.03 15d 2 1.48mi

Listing history 3 events

  1. 2026-06-22
    days on market $215,000 Active 4 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    remarks 110-char remark
  3. 2026-06-18
    listed $215,000 Active 1 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$511 · $43/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$3,934 · $328/mo
Expected delta
+$3,423/yr (+$285/mo · 669.6%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$17,029
− Mortgage interest
−$12,043
− Property taxes
−$511
− Insurance
−$1,075
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,362
− Management
−$1,362
− Depreciation
−$6,255
Taxable loss
−$5,580
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$1,339
After-tax cash flow
$-324/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Frenship ISD
NCES district ID
4819830
Math proficiency
47% ▼ -8.00%
Reading proficiency
54% ▬ 0.00%
Median HH income
$54,376
Composite
43.59/100
National rank
#2976
State rank
#162 of 826 in TX

Livability — Wolfforth

Score
80/100
State rank
#43
US rank
#1872

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A- Employment B- Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings A+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Wolfforth, TX
County
Lubbock County · 293,542 people
City population
10,512
Metro
Lubbock, TX
Population (ZIP)
10,512
Household income
$84,457
Rent vs Own
23.0% rent · 77.0% own
Severe rent burden
135.0

Population outlook (Lubbock County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
345,960 people
By 2030
371,449 · +7.4%
By 2040
424,539 · +22.7%
By 2050
481,150 · +39.1%
By 2075
633,467 · +83.1%
By 2100
746,853 · +115.9%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Majority White (64%)
Race & ethnicity
White 64% Hispanic / Latino 31% Two or more races 18% Black 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 28%
Common ancestry
Italian 4% Slovak 2% Lithuanian 2%
Foreign-born
4% · Canada
Languages at home
85% English-only · Spanish 14%

Political lean MEDSL · Lubbock

2024 margin
Solid R (+39.5) · D 29.7% · R 69.2% · Other 1.0%
2008→2024 swing
-2.8pp toward R · 2008: -36.7pp · 2024: -39.5pp
All cycles
2024: R+39.5 2020: R+32.2 2016: R+38.4 2012: R+40.9 2008: R+36.7

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 166.08%
Current HPI
561.4491
Rent YoY
Metro
Lubbock, TX
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.95%
F500 in state
110

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

1 event — show timeline
  • 2026-06-17 Listed $215,000 LARMLS

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…