🏗️ New Construction
1135 N 7th St · Wolfforth, TX
Flood risk No data
- FEMA flood zone
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- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
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- Est. flood insurance / yr
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Fire risk No data
- Est. fire insurance / yr
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Heat risk No data
- Hot days now (above threshold)
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- Hot days in 30 yrs
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Wind risk No data
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
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Air-quality risk No data
- Unhealthy air days now
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- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
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Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Appreciation +10.0/10.0
- Cash flow +9.8/30.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Schools +4.4/10.0
- Livability +4.0/5.0
- DSCR +2.8/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- 1% rule +1.6/10.0
$215,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Cute townhouse in the perfect location. On trend finishes, granite countertops, artificial turf and much more.
Key facts
- Granite countertops
- Artificial turf
- 2 garage spots
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- HOA & community: Homeowners association
Exterior
- Parking: Attached 2-car garage
- Home design: Residential townhouse; Attached property with one common wall; New construction / Under construction
- Construction: Brick and vinyl siding exterior; Composition roof; Slab foundation; Built as new construction
- Exterior features: Private yard; Covered front porch; Fenced yard
Interior
- Kitchen: Granite counters; Kitchen island; Pantry
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Natural gas heating; Electric cooling; Ceiling fan(s)
- Interior features: Bar; Ceiling fan(s); Chandelier; Granite counters; Kitchen island; Pantry; Storage; Walk-in closet(s)
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath townhouse listed at $215k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-139 ($-2k/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $191k (11.4% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $142k (34.0% below list).
- Recommended offer: $142k (34.0% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 80/100 on livability (#43 in TX, #1,872 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F.
- Frenship ISD (urban): math 47% / reading 54% proficiency, ranked #162 of 826 in TX (top 20%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Zoned schools: Bennett El (math 62% / reading 64%, grade B, #300 of 4,322 statewide, top 7%, 876 students, 43% FRL); Frenship Middle (math 46% / reading 50%, grade C-, #400 of 1,662 statewide, top 24%, 833 students, 47% FRL); Frenship H S (math 44% / reading 65%, grade C-, #379 of 1,632 statewide, top 26%, 3,247 students, 46% FRL).
- Market conditions: 474 active listings in the ZIP; 13 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 23d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 46% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; solid renter incomes; 2,219 units permitted in Lubbock County in 2024 (252 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $23k of equity ($1k loan paydown + $22k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
- Lubbock County population projected at +39% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$37k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- Only 4 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.66% ✗
- Cap rate
- 5.52%
- Cash-on-cash
- -2.76%
- DSCR
- 0.88
- GRM
- 12.6
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
10.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 22.3%
- Equity multiple
- 2.80×
- Total profit
- $108,149
- Equity at exit
- $193,689
- IRR
- 20.0%
- Equity multiple
- 6.40×
- Total profit
- $325,191
- Equity at exit
- $417,698
Cash invested: $60,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Texas
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 79382
- Active inventory
- 474
- Price-to-rent
- 12.6×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,419 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,127
- Tax from tax record
- −$43 /mo · $511/yr
- Insurance
- −$90
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$298
- Net cashflow
- $-139
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $-17 | -5% $-78 | +0% $-139 | +5% $-199 | +10% $-260 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-251 | -5% $-195 | +0% $-139 | +5% $-83 | +10% $-26 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $-30 | -0.5pp $-84 | base $-139 | +0.5pp $-194 | +1.0pp $-251 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $53,750
- Closing costs
- $6,450
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 13 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1218 Preston TRL Unit A Wolfforth, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1420 | $1,500 | $1.06 | 23d | 1 | 0.17mi |
| 1216 Donald Preston Dr Unit B Wolfforth, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1450 | $1,400 | $0.97 | 45d | 1 | 0.44mi |
| 1224 Donald Preston Dr Unit B Wolfforth, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1400 | $1,550 | $1.11 | 45d | 1 | 0.44mi |
| 1210 Donald Preston Dr Unit B1 Wolfforth, TX | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1400 | $945 | $0.68 | 23d | 1 | 0.44mi |
| 1210 Donald Preston Dr Unit B2 Wolfforth, TX | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1400 | $795 | $0.57 | 45d | 1 | 0.44mi |
| 1019 Donald Preston Dr Unit A Wolfforth, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1400 | $1,275 | $0.91 | 45d | 1 | 0.48mi |
| 1019 Donald Preston Dr Unit A Wolfforth, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1400 | $1,275 | $0.91 | 23d | 1 | 0.48mi |
| 1517 Westminister Ave Wolfforth, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1552 | $1,600 | $1.03 | 15d | 1 | 0.52mi |
| 7811 86th St Lubbock, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1710 | $2,025 | $1.18 | 23d | 1 | 0.74mi |
| 6313 Volney Ave Lubbock, TX | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1006 | $1,495 | $1.49 | 23d | 1 | 1.04mi |
| 5865 Virginia Ave Lubbock, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1500 | $1,749 | $1.17 | 45d | 1 | 1.20mi |
| 5805 Virginia Ave Lubbock, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1377 | $1,800 | $1.31 | 45d | 1 | 1.35mi |
| 127 Brooke Blvd Wolfforth, TX | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1714 | $1,757 | $1.03 | 15d | 2 | 1.48mi |
Listing history 3 events
-
2026-06-22days on market $215,000 Active 4 DOM
-
2026-06-18remarks 110-char remark
-
2026-06-18$215,000 Active 1 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $511 · $43/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $3,934 · $328/mo
- Expected delta
- +$3,423/yr (+$285/mo · 669.6%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $17,029
- − Mortgage interest
- −$12,043
- − Property taxes
- −$511
- − Insurance
- −$1,075
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,362
- − Management
- −$1,362
- − Depreciation
- −$6,255
- Taxable loss
- −$5,580
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$1,339
- After-tax cash flow
- $-324/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Frenship ISD
- NCES district ID
- 4819830
- Math proficiency
- 47% ▼ -8.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 54% ▬ 0.00%
- Median HH income
- $54,376
- Composite
- 43.59/100
- National rank
- #2976
- State rank
- #162 of 826 in TX
Livability — Wolfforth
- Score
- 80/100
- State rank
- #43
- US rank
- #1872
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Wolfforth, TX
- County
- Lubbock County · 293,542 people
- City population
- 10,512
- Metro
- Lubbock, TX
- Population (ZIP)
- 10,512
- Household income
- $84,457
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 135.0
Population outlook (Lubbock County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 345,960 people
- By 2030
- 371,449 · +7.4%
- By 2040
- 424,539 · +22.7%
- By 2050
- 481,150 · +39.1%
- By 2075
- 633,467 · +83.1%
- By 2100
- 746,853 · +115.9%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Majority White (64%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 64% Hispanic / Latino 31% Two or more races 18% Black 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 28%
- Common ancestry
- Italian 4% Slovak 2% Lithuanian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 4% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 85% English-only · Spanish 14%
Political lean MEDSL · Lubbock
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+39.5) · D 29.7% · R 69.2% · Other 1.0%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -2.8pp toward R · 2008: -36.7pp · 2024: -39.5pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+39.5 2020: R+32.2 2016: R+38.4 2012: R+40.9 2008: R+36.7
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 166.08%
- Current HPI
- 561.4491
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Lubbock, TX
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.95%
- F500 in state
- 110
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Energy | 16 | $1,198B |
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| Technology | 5 | $198B |
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| Engineering / Construction | 4 | $72B |
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| Energy Services | 3 | $60B |
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| Utilities | 3 | $41B |
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| Healthcare | 2 | $330B |
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Price history
1 event — show timeline
- 2026-06-17 Listed $215,000 LARMLS
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…