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145 Lake Nancy Ln #230
D+ Composite 47.27
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Appreciation +10.0/10.0
  • 1% rule +7.7/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Cash flow +7.1/30.0
  • Schools +4.3/10.0
  • Livability +4.1/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.7/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • DSCR +1.3/10.0

$155,000

145 Lake Nancy Ln #230 · West Palm Beach, FL 33411
2 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,054 sqft · Condo public records · 48 Days on market
Built 1987

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

WELCOME TO OUR OPEN HOUSE THIS SATURDAY MAY 30TH FROM 1:30PM TO 3:30PM. SEE YOU THERE! Move-in ready 2BR/2BA residence in the desirable 55+ guard-gated community of Golden Lakes Village. Bright and inviting layout featuring abundant closet space and a washer and dryer inside the unit for added convenience. Enjoy an enclosed patio—perfect for relaxing in a peaceful setting. Resort-style amenities include pools, clubhouse, fitness center, and an active social lifestyle, all within a secure, well-maintained community. Ideally located ne

Key facts

  • Washer and dryer
  • Pools
  • Enclosed patio

Tags

GUARD-GATED COMMUNITYENCLOSED PATIOABUNDANT CLOSET SPACEWASHER AND DRYERRESORT-STYLE AMENITIESPOOLS

Property features AI

Finance

  • Financial info: Lease considered; Pets allowed with conditions; restrictions may apply
  • HOA & community: Monthly association fee; Association includes amenities and cable TV; Community clubhouse; Community pool; Sauna; Transportation service

Exterior

  • Parking: Assigned detached garage; 1 covered space; 1-car carport
  • Security: On-site security guard
  • Home design: Attached property; 2-story building; Entry on second level
  • Construction: Block construction; Resale property
  • Exterior features: Balcony; Screened balcony; Association pool; Canal-front waterfront; Has a view; Security guard

Interior

  • Kitchen: Dishwasher; Electric range; Microwave; Disposal; Trash compactor
  • Flooring: Ceramic tile
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
  • Heating & cooling: Central heating; Central air conditioning
  • Interior features: Second floor entry; Other interior features
  • Laundry & utility: Washer; Dryer

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath condo listed at $155k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-217 ($-3k/yr) — negative.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $155k).
  • Recommended offer: $150k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 4.6% vs local median 3.8% in West Palm Beach — meaningfully above typical; check what's discounted (condition, days-on-market, listing class) to confirm the premium yield is real.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 82/100 on livability (#75 in FL, #1,255 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: commute A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: employment C-, crime F.
  • Palm Beach (suburban): math 46% / reading 53% proficiency, ranked #34 of 73 in FL (top 47%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: Rents flat; 574 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 17d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 3,974 units permitted in Palm Beach County in 2024 (1,012 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $17k of equity ($1k loan paydown + $16k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
  • Palm Beach County population projected at +30% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
  • By year 3, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$42k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 48 days — a 3% lower offer ($150k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 6 sale attempts since 23y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $68k; list at $155k implies a 126% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: HOA is 35% of rent.
  • Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→25/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $150,350 (3.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. It's been on market 48 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  3. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
  4. Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
  5. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  6. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  7. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  8. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  9. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  10. How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.27%
Cap rate
4.61%
Cash-on-cash
-6.00%
DSCR
0.73
GRM
6.6

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

10.0% appreciation · 0.85% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
19.1%
Equity multiple
2.54×
Total profit
$66,881
Equity at exit
$139,636
10-year hold
IRR
17.0%
Equity multiple
5.63×
Total profit
$200,996
Equity at exit
$301,131

Cash invested: $43,400 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Florida
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day pay-or-quit; preempts local rent control; landlord-friendly statutes. Court speed varies by county.

ZIP-level market 33411

Home prices YoY
1.9%
Rents YoY
0.8%
Active inventory
574
Price-to-rent
6.6×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,970 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$813
Tax from tax record
$198 /mo · $2,378/yr
Insurance
$65
HOA est. from 3 same-building comps
$698
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$414
Net cashflow
$-217

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,245
Max offer price $116,655
Occupancy floor

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$38,750
Closing costs
$4,650
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 40 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
125 Lake Nancy Dr #241 West Palm Beach, FL 2.0 2.0 1193 $1,900 $1.59 11d 1 0.11mi
1139 Lake Terry Dr Unit A West Palm Beach, FL 3.0 2.0 918 $2,300 $2.51 20d 1 0.12mi
108 Lake Nancy Dr West Palm Beach, FL 2.0 2.0 967 $1,800 $1.86 24d 1 0.16mi
1153 Lake Victoria Dr Royal Palm Beach, FL 2.0 1.0 708 $1,725 $2.44 24d 1 0.17mi
1477 Lake Crystal Dr Unit D West Palm Beach, FL 2.0 2.0 928 $1,975 $2.13 17d 1 0.18mi
1465 Lake Crystal Dr Unit A West Palm Beach, FL 2.0 2.0 904 $1,900 $2.10 2d 1 0.21mi
221 Lake Meryl Dr West Palm Beach, FL 2.0 2.0 1000 $1,550 $1.55 24d 1 0.26mi
1455 Lake Crystal Dr Unit H West Palm Beach, FL 2.0 2.0 904 $1,850 $2.05 14d 1 0.26mi
1455 Lake Crystal Dr Unit H West Palm Beach, FL 2.0 2.0 904 $1,850 $2.05 15d 1 0.26mi
1525 Lake Crystal Dr Unit C West Palm Beach, FL 2.0 2.0 904 $1,800 $1.99 7d 1 0.27mi
1453 Lake Crystal Dr Unit D West Palm Beach, FL 2.0 2.0 904 $1,900 $2.10 14d 1 0.27mi
1020 Lake Victoria Dr Unit B West Palm Beach, FL 3.0 2.0 922 $2,200 $2.39 17d 1 0.28mi
1215 N Benoist Farms Rd #203 West Palm Beach, FL 2.0 1.0 708 $1,750 $2.47 24d 1 0.29mi
1440 Windorah Way Unit D West Palm Beach, FL 2.0 2.0 904 $1,900 $2.10 4d 1 0.30mi
1545 Lake Crystal Dr Unit D West Palm Beach, FL 1.0 1.0 700 $1,675 $2.39 14d 1 0.31mi
1133 Golden Lakes Blvd #813 West Palm Beach, FL 3.0 2.0 999 $2,050 $2.05 3d 1 0.32mi
1133 Golden Lakes Blvd #813 West Palm Beach, FL 3.0 2.0 999 $2,050 $2.05 24d 1 0.32mi
1133 Golden Lakes Blvd #813 West Palm Beach, FL 3.0 2.0 1054 $1,950 $1.85 5d 1 0.32mi
1542 Lake Crystal Dr Unit H West Palm Beach, FL 2.0 2.0 900 $1,900 $2.11 22d 1 0.32mi
1542 Lake Crystal Dr Unit H West Palm Beach, FL 2.0 2.0 900 $1,900 $2.11 24d 1 0.32mi
1500 Windorah Way Unit D West Palm Beach, FL 2.0 2.0 904 $1,850 $2.05 24d 1 0.32mi
1500 Windorah Way Unit D West Palm Beach, FL 2.0 2.0 904 $1,850 $2.05 7d 1 0.32mi
1547 Lake Crystal Dr Unit A West Palm Beach, FL 2.0 2.0 900 $1,950 $2.17 24d 1 0.33mi
1547 Lake Crystal Dr Unit A West Palm Beach, FL 2.0 2.0 900 $1,900 $2.11 14d 1 0.33mi
1421 Windorah Way Unit E West Palm Beach, FL 2.0 2.0 904 $1,975 $2.18 24d 1 0.33mi
1421 Windorah Way Unit E West Palm Beach, FL 2.0 2.0 904 $1,975 $2.18 15d 1 0.33mi
1103 Golden Lakes Blvd #1011 West Palm Beach, FL 3.0 2.0 999 $2,100 $2.10 24d 1 0.34mi
1103 Golden Lakes Blvd #1013 West Palm Beach, FL 3.0 2.0 999 $2,000 $2.00 3d 1 0.34mi
959 Lake Terry Dr West Palm Beach, FL 3.0 2.0 900 $2,000 $2.22 24d 1 0.34mi
138 Lake Frances Dr West Palm Beach, FL 2.0 2.0 812 $1,845 $2.27 24d 1 0.35mi
1461 Windorah Way Unit E West Palm Beach, FL 2.0 2.0 904 $1,900 $2.10 7d 1 0.35mi
1540 Windorah Way Unit D West Palm Beach, FL 2.0 2.0 904 $1,850 $2.05 18d 1 0.35mi
1063 Golden Lakes Blvd #322 West Palm Beach, FL 3.0 2.0 999 $2,000 $2.00 14d 1 0.36mi
1564 Lake Crystal Dr Unit F West Palm Beach, FL 2.0 2.0 904 $1,850 $2.05 17d 1 0.37mi
161 Lake Frances Dr Unit 161 West Palm Beach, FL 1.0 1.5 704 $1,430 $2.03 7d 1 0.37mi
1101 N Benoist Farms Rd #106 West Palm Beach, FL 2.0 1.0 708 $1,700 $2.40 24d 1 0.38mi
1566 Lake Crystal Dr West Palm Beach, FL 2.0 2.0 1200 $1,800 $1.50 24d 1 0.39mi
1566 Lake Crystal Dr West Palm Beach, FL 2.0 2.0 1200 $1,800 $1.50 18d 1 0.39mi
1080 N Benoist Farms Rd #204 West Palm Beach, FL 2.0 1.0 708 $1,500 $2.12 17d 1 0.40mi
1600 Windorah Way Unit C West Palm Beach, FL 3.0 2.0 1156 $2,290 $1.98 17d 1 0.41mi

HOA detail condo

Monthly dues
$0 · $0/yr
Likely covers
poolgymsecurity
Assessments
None detected in remarks — confirm with the listing agent.

Listing history 30 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $155,000 Active 48 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $155,000 Active 47 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $155,000 Active 46 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $155,000 Active 45 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $155,000 Active 43 DOM
  6. 2026-06-09
    days on market $155,000 Active 39 DOM
  7. 2026-06-08
    days on market $155,000 Active 38 DOM
  8. 2026-06-07
    days on market $155,000 Active 37 DOM
  9. 2026-06-04
    days on market $155,000 Active 34 DOM
  10. 2026-06-03
    days on market $155,000 Active 33 DOM
  11. 2026-06-02
    days on market $155,000 Active 32 DOM
  12. 2026-06-01
    days on market $155,000 Active 31 DOM
  13. 2026-05-31
    days on market $155,000 Active 30 DOM
  14. 2026-04-30
    listed $155,000 Active
  15. 2026-04-27
    price $155,000
  16. 2026-04-27
    status Active
  17. 2026-04-27
    historical
  18. 2026-04-27
    historical
  19. 2025-09-12
    listed $168,500 Active
  20. 2019-08-24
    historical
  21. 2019-08-24
    listed $1,190 Active
  22. 2018-07-26
    soldstatus $68,500
  23. 2018-07-20
    soldstatus $68,500 Closed
  24. 2018-06-28
    status Pending
  25. 2018-06-09
    listed $72,500 Active
  26. 2003-07-28
    soldstatus $60,000
  27. 2003-07-18
    soldstatus $60,000
  28. 2003-06-21
    historical
  29. 2003-05-28
    listed $62,900
  30. 1990-09-18
    soldstatus $48,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$2,378 · $198/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$2,378 · $198/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 5/10 Major
  • 🌡 Heat 10/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥106°F today · 25 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 10/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$23,643
− Mortgage interest
−$8,682
− Property taxes
−$2,378
− Insurance
−$775
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,891
− Management
−$1,891
− HOA
−$8,376
− Depreciation
−$4,509
Taxable loss
−$4,860
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$1,166
After-tax cash flow
$-1,438/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Palm Beach
NCES district ID
1201500
Math proficiency
46% ▼ -16.00%
Reading proficiency
53% ▼ -4.00%
Median HH income
$53,943
Composite
42.72/100
National rank
#3160
State rank
#34 of 73 in FL

Livability — West Palm Beach

Score
82/100
State rank
#75
US rank
#1255

Category grades

Amenities A- Commute A+ Cost of living B- Crime F Employment C- Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings A+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

County
Palm Beach County · 1,438,312 people
City population
222,012
Metro
Miami-Fort Lauderdale-Pompano Beach, FL
Population (ZIP)
76,863
Household income
$92,591
Rent vs Own
20.5% rent · 79.5% own
Severe rent burden
1870.0

Population outlook (Palm Beach County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
1,637,487 people
By 2030
1,743,255 · +6.5%
By 2040
1,948,712 · +19.0%
By 2050
2,132,979 · +30.3%
By 2075
2,530,027 · +54.5%
By 2100
2,706,979 · +65.3%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.70)
Race & ethnicity
White 44% Hispanic / Latino 24% Black 23% Two or more races 16% Asian 5%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 2% Puerto Rican 5% Cuban 4% Dominican 2%
Common ancestry
Hispanic 6% Romanian 2% Italian 1%
Foreign-born
26% · Canada, Jamaica, China
Languages at home
73% English-only · Spanish 17% French/Haitian/Cajun 4% Other Indo-European 2%

Political lean MEDSL · Palm Beach

2024 margin
Toss-up / Even · D 50.0% · R 49.2%
2008→2024 swing
-22.1pp toward R · 2008: 22.9pp · 2024: 0.8pp
All cycles
2024: D+0.8 2020: D+12.8 2016: D+15.3 2012: D+17.0 2008: D+22.9

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 17.04%
Current HPI
903.78
Rent YoY
▲ 0.85%
Metro
Miami-Fort Lauderdale-Pompano Beach, FL
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.28%
F500 in state
36

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+222.9% since first listed
17 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-30 Listed $155,000 MARMLS
  • 2026-04-27 Price Changed $155,000 MARMLS
  • 2026-04-27 Relisted MARMLS
  • 2026-04-27 Listing Removed MARMLS
  • 2026-04-27 Listing Removed MARMLS
  • 2025-09-12 Listed $168,500 MARMLS
  • 2019-08-24 Listed $1,190 MARMLS
  • 2019-08-24 Listing Removed MARMLS
  • 2018-07-26 Sold (Public Records) $68,500 Public Records
  • 2018-07-20 Sold (MLS) $68,500 Beaches MLS
  • 2018-06-28 Pending Beaches MLS
  • 2018-06-09 Listed $72,500 Beaches MLS
  • 2003-07-28 Sold (Public Records) $60,000 Public Records
  • 2003-07-18 Sold (MLS) $60,000 Beaches MLS
  • 2003-06-21 Listing Removed Beaches MLS
  • 2003-05-28 Listed $62,900 Beaches MLS
  • 1990-09-18 Sold (Public Records) $48,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+14.3%/yr

Latest (2025): $2,378 · +3.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…