145 Lake Nancy Ln #230 · West Palm Beach, FL
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $947 – $1,759
Heat risk 10/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 106°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 25 days/yr
Wind risk 10/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Appreciation +10.0/10.0
- 1% rule +7.7/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Cash flow +7.1/30.0
- Schools +4.3/10.0
- Livability +4.1/5.0
- Rent growth +2.7/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- DSCR +1.3/10.0
$155,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
WELCOME TO OUR OPEN HOUSE THIS SATURDAY MAY 30TH FROM 1:30PM TO 3:30PM. SEE YOU THERE! Move-in ready 2BR/2BA residence in the desirable 55+ guard-gated community of Golden Lakes Village. Bright and inviting layout featuring abundant closet space and a washer and dryer inside the unit for added convenience. Enjoy an enclosed patio—perfect for relaxing in a peaceful setting. Resort-style amenities include pools, clubhouse, fitness center, and an active social lifestyle, all within a secure, well-maintained community. Ideally located ne
Key facts
- Washer and dryer
- Pools
- Enclosed patio
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Financial info: Lease considered; Pets allowed with conditions; restrictions may apply
- HOA & community: Monthly association fee; Association includes amenities and cable TV; Community clubhouse; Community pool; Sauna; Transportation service
Exterior
- Parking: Assigned detached garage; 1 covered space; 1-car carport
- Security: On-site security guard
- Home design: Attached property; 2-story building; Entry on second level
- Construction: Block construction; Resale property
- Exterior features: Balcony; Screened balcony; Association pool; Canal-front waterfront; Has a view; Security guard
Interior
- Kitchen: Dishwasher; Electric range; Microwave; Disposal; Trash compactor
- Flooring: Ceramic tile
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Central heating; Central air conditioning
- Interior features: Second floor entry; Other interior features
- Laundry & utility: Washer; Dryer
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath condo listed at $155k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-217 ($-3k/yr) — negative.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $155k).
- Recommended offer: $150k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 4.6% vs local median 3.8% in West Palm Beach — meaningfully above typical; check what's discounted (condition, days-on-market, listing class) to confirm the premium yield is real.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 82/100 on livability (#75 in FL, #1,255 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: commute A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: employment C-, crime F.
- Palm Beach (suburban): math 46% / reading 53% proficiency, ranked #34 of 73 in FL (top 47%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: Rents flat; 574 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 17d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 3,974 units permitted in Palm Beach County in 2024 (1,012 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $17k of equity ($1k loan paydown + $16k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
- Palm Beach County population projected at +30% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- By year 3, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$42k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 48 days — a 3% lower offer ($150k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 6 sale attempts since 23y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $68k; list at $155k implies a 126% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: HOA is 35% of rent.
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→25/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- It's been on market 48 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.27% ✓
- Cap rate
- 4.61%
- Cash-on-cash
- -6.00%
- DSCR
- 0.73
- GRM
- 6.6
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
10.0% appreciation · 0.85% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 19.1%
- Equity multiple
- 2.54×
- Total profit
- $66,881
- Equity at exit
- $139,636
- IRR
- 17.0%
- Equity multiple
- 5.63×
- Total profit
- $200,996
- Equity at exit
- $301,131
Cash invested: $43,400 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Florida
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 33411
- Home prices YoY
- 1.9%
- Rents YoY
- 0.8%
- Active inventory
- 574
- Price-to-rent
- 6.6×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,970 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$813
- Tax from tax record
- −$198 /mo · $2,378/yr
- Insurance
- −$65
- HOA est. from 3 same-building comps
- −$698
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$414
- Net cashflow
- $-217
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $38,750
- Closing costs
- $4,650
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 40 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 125 Lake Nancy Dr #241 West Palm Beach, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1193 | $1,900 | $1.59 | 11d | 1 | 0.11mi |
| 1139 Lake Terry Dr Unit A West Palm Beach, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 918 | $2,300 | $2.51 | 20d | 1 | 0.12mi |
| 108 Lake Nancy Dr West Palm Beach, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 967 | $1,800 | $1.86 | 24d | 1 | 0.16mi |
| 1153 Lake Victoria Dr Royal Palm Beach, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 708 | $1,725 | $2.44 | 24d | 1 | 0.17mi |
| 1477 Lake Crystal Dr Unit D West Palm Beach, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 928 | $1,975 | $2.13 | 17d | 1 | 0.18mi |
| 1465 Lake Crystal Dr Unit A West Palm Beach, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 904 | $1,900 | $2.10 | 2d | 1 | 0.21mi |
| 221 Lake Meryl Dr West Palm Beach, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1000 | $1,550 | $1.55 | 24d | 1 | 0.26mi |
| 1455 Lake Crystal Dr Unit H West Palm Beach, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 904 | $1,850 | $2.05 | 14d | 1 | 0.26mi |
| 1455 Lake Crystal Dr Unit H West Palm Beach, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 904 | $1,850 | $2.05 | 15d | 1 | 0.26mi |
| 1525 Lake Crystal Dr Unit C West Palm Beach, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 904 | $1,800 | $1.99 | 7d | 1 | 0.27mi |
| 1453 Lake Crystal Dr Unit D West Palm Beach, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 904 | $1,900 | $2.10 | 14d | 1 | 0.27mi |
| 1020 Lake Victoria Dr Unit B West Palm Beach, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 922 | $2,200 | $2.39 | 17d | 1 | 0.28mi |
| 1215 N Benoist Farms Rd #203 West Palm Beach, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 708 | $1,750 | $2.47 | 24d | 1 | 0.29mi |
| 1440 Windorah Way Unit D West Palm Beach, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 904 | $1,900 | $2.10 | 4d | 1 | 0.30mi |
| 1545 Lake Crystal Dr Unit D West Palm Beach, FL | 1.0 | 1.0 | 700 | $1,675 | $2.39 | 14d | 1 | 0.31mi |
| 1133 Golden Lakes Blvd #813 West Palm Beach, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 999 | $2,050 | $2.05 | 3d | 1 | 0.32mi |
| 1133 Golden Lakes Blvd #813 West Palm Beach, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 999 | $2,050 | $2.05 | 24d | 1 | 0.32mi |
| 1133 Golden Lakes Blvd #813 West Palm Beach, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1054 | $1,950 | $1.85 | 5d | 1 | 0.32mi |
| 1542 Lake Crystal Dr Unit H West Palm Beach, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 900 | $1,900 | $2.11 | 22d | 1 | 0.32mi |
| 1542 Lake Crystal Dr Unit H West Palm Beach, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 900 | $1,900 | $2.11 | 24d | 1 | 0.32mi |
| 1500 Windorah Way Unit D West Palm Beach, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 904 | $1,850 | $2.05 | 24d | 1 | 0.32mi |
| 1500 Windorah Way Unit D West Palm Beach, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 904 | $1,850 | $2.05 | 7d | 1 | 0.32mi |
| 1547 Lake Crystal Dr Unit A West Palm Beach, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 900 | $1,950 | $2.17 | 24d | 1 | 0.33mi |
| 1547 Lake Crystal Dr Unit A West Palm Beach, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 900 | $1,900 | $2.11 | 14d | 1 | 0.33mi |
| 1421 Windorah Way Unit E West Palm Beach, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 904 | $1,975 | $2.18 | 24d | 1 | 0.33mi |
| 1421 Windorah Way Unit E West Palm Beach, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 904 | $1,975 | $2.18 | 15d | 1 | 0.33mi |
| 1103 Golden Lakes Blvd #1011 West Palm Beach, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 999 | $2,100 | $2.10 | 24d | 1 | 0.34mi |
| 1103 Golden Lakes Blvd #1013 West Palm Beach, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 999 | $2,000 | $2.00 | 3d | 1 | 0.34mi |
| 959 Lake Terry Dr West Palm Beach, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 900 | $2,000 | $2.22 | 24d | 1 | 0.34mi |
| 138 Lake Frances Dr West Palm Beach, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 812 | $1,845 | $2.27 | 24d | 1 | 0.35mi |
| 1461 Windorah Way Unit E West Palm Beach, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 904 | $1,900 | $2.10 | 7d | 1 | 0.35mi |
| 1540 Windorah Way Unit D West Palm Beach, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 904 | $1,850 | $2.05 | 18d | 1 | 0.35mi |
| 1063 Golden Lakes Blvd #322 West Palm Beach, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 999 | $2,000 | $2.00 | 14d | 1 | 0.36mi |
| 1564 Lake Crystal Dr Unit F West Palm Beach, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 904 | $1,850 | $2.05 | 17d | 1 | 0.37mi |
| 161 Lake Frances Dr Unit 161 West Palm Beach, FL | 1.0 | 1.5 | 704 | $1,430 | $2.03 | 7d | 1 | 0.37mi |
| 1101 N Benoist Farms Rd #106 West Palm Beach, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 708 | $1,700 | $2.40 | 24d | 1 | 0.38mi |
| 1566 Lake Crystal Dr West Palm Beach, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1200 | $1,800 | $1.50 | 24d | 1 | 0.39mi |
| 1566 Lake Crystal Dr West Palm Beach, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1200 | $1,800 | $1.50 | 18d | 1 | 0.39mi |
| 1080 N Benoist Farms Rd #204 West Palm Beach, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 708 | $1,500 | $2.12 | 17d | 1 | 0.40mi |
| 1600 Windorah Way Unit C West Palm Beach, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1156 | $2,290 | $1.98 | 17d | 1 | 0.41mi |
HOA detail condo
- Monthly dues
- $0 · $0/yr
- Likely covers
- poolgymsecurity
- Assessments
- None detected in remarks — confirm with the listing agent.
Listing history 30 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $155,000 Active 48 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $155,000 Active 47 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $155,000 Active 46 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $155,000 Active 45 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $155,000 Active 43 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $155,000 Active 39 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $155,000 Active 38 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $155,000 Active 37 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $155,000 Active 34 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $155,000 Active 33 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $155,000 Active 32 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $155,000 Active 31 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $155,000 Active 30 DOM
-
2026-04-30$155,000 Active
-
2026-04-27price $155,000
-
2026-04-27status Active
-
2026-04-27historical
-
2026-04-27historical
-
2025-09-12$168,500 Active
-
2019-08-24historical
-
2019-08-24$1,190 Active
-
2018-07-26soldstatus $68,500
-
2018-07-20soldstatus $68,500 Closed
-
2018-06-28status Pending
-
2018-06-09$72,500 Active
-
2003-07-28soldstatus $60,000
-
2003-07-18soldstatus $60,000
-
2003-06-21historical
-
2003-05-28$62,900
-
1990-09-18soldstatus $48,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $2,378 · $198/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,378 · $198/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 5/10 Major
- Heat 10/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥106°F today · 25 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 10/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $23,643
- − Mortgage interest
- −$8,682
- − Property taxes
- −$2,378
- − Insurance
- −$775
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,891
- − Management
- −$1,891
- − HOA
- −$8,376
- − Depreciation
- −$4,509
- Taxable loss
- −$4,860
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$1,166
- After-tax cash flow
- $-1,438/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Palm Beach
- NCES district ID
- 1201500
- Math proficiency
- 46% ▼ -16.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 53% ▼ -4.00%
- Median HH income
- $53,943
- Composite
- 42.72/100
- National rank
- #3160
- State rank
- #34 of 73 in FL
Livability — West Palm Beach
- Score
- 82/100
- State rank
- #75
- US rank
- #1255
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- County
- Palm Beach County · 1,438,312 people
- City population
- 222,012
- Metro
- Miami-Fort Lauderdale-Pompano Beach, FL
- Population (ZIP)
- 76,863
- Household income
- $92,591
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1870.0
Population outlook (Palm Beach County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 1,637,487 people
- By 2030
- 1,743,255 · +6.5%
- By 2040
- 1,948,712 · +19.0%
- By 2050
- 2,132,979 · +30.3%
- By 2075
- 2,530,027 · +54.5%
- By 2100
- 2,706,979 · +65.3%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.70)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 44% Hispanic / Latino 24% Black 23% Two or more races 16% Asian 5%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 2% Puerto Rican 5% Cuban 4% Dominican 2%
- Common ancestry
- Hispanic 6% Romanian 2% Italian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 26% · Canada, Jamaica, China
- Languages at home
- 73% English-only · Spanish 17% French/Haitian/Cajun 4% Other Indo-European 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Palm Beach
- 2024 margin
- Toss-up / Even · D 50.0% · R 49.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -22.1pp toward R · 2008: 22.9pp · 2024: 0.8pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+0.8 2020: D+12.8 2016: D+15.3 2012: D+17.0 2008: D+22.9
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 17.04%
- Current HPI
- 903.78
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 0.85%
- Metro
- Miami-Fort Lauderdale-Pompano Beach, FL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.28%
- F500 in state
- 36
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Technology | 2 | $29B |
|
||
| Insurance | 2 | $17B |
|
||
| Retail | 1 | $60B |
|
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| Technology Distribution | 1 | $58B |
|
||
| Homebuilding | 1 | $35B |
|
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| Technology Manufacturing | 1 | $35B |
|
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Price history
+222.9% since first listed17 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-30 Listed $155,000 MARMLS
- 2026-04-27 Price Changed $155,000 MARMLS
- 2026-04-27 Relisted — MARMLS
- 2026-04-27 Listing Removed — MARMLS
- 2026-04-27 Listing Removed — MARMLS
- 2025-09-12 Listed $168,500 MARMLS
- 2019-08-24 Listed $1,190 MARMLS
- 2019-08-24 Listing Removed — MARMLS
- 2018-07-26 Sold (Public Records) $68,500 Public Records
- 2018-07-20 Sold (MLS) $68,500 Beaches MLS
- 2018-06-28 Pending — Beaches MLS
- 2018-06-09 Listed $72,500 Beaches MLS
- 2003-07-28 Sold (Public Records) $60,000 Public Records
- 2003-07-18 Sold (MLS) $60,000 Beaches MLS
- 2003-06-21 Listing Removed — Beaches MLS
- 2003-05-28 Listed $62,900 Beaches MLS
- 1990-09-18 Sold (Public Records) $48,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+14.3%/yrLatest (2025): $2,378 · +3.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…