304 Laurie Ln · Warner Robins, GA 31088

$175,000

5 bd · 3.0 ba · 2,279 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 183 Days on market

Built 1971 0.31 ac lot $77/sqft · 15% below area Est $206k · 15% under

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Why this score? — see what drove the B grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

• Cash flow +30.0/30.0
• ARV discount +14.3/15.0
• DSCR +10.0/10.0
• 1% rule +7.3/10.0
• Schools +3.9/10.0
• Livability +3.2/5.0
• Rent growth +2.9/5.0
• Condition / age +2.5/5.0
• Appreciation +0.0/10.0

Listing remarks MLS

This 5 bedroom 3 bath home has a newer HVAC unit (2023), refrigerator, stove, ceiling fans, and dishwasher. It also has a flex room that can serve as a bedroom. The master bath has been updated and is handy cap assessable. It's ready for a large family that can show it some love by replacing the flooring, repairing the back deck and making some other minor improvements. A 12x24 man cave/ she shed was added in the back yard in 2025 that can serve as a workshop or other multi-purpose room. USE CAUTION, REAR DECK HANDRAIL IS IN POOR CONDITION!

Key facts

• Updated master bath
• Back yard
• Newer hvac unit

Tags

• NEWER HVAC UNIT
• UPDATED MASTER BATH
• BACK YARD

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

• This is a 5-bed/3.0-bath single-family listed at $175k.

Deal economics

• At list price, monthly cash flow is $661 ($8k/yr) — positive.
• The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
• Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $175k).
• Recommended offer: $154k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
• Cap rate 10.8% vs local median 4.9% in Warner Robins — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

• Location reads 65/100 on livability (#227 in GA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: schools D+, employment D+, crime F.
• Houston County (urban): math 43% / reading 46% proficiency, ranked #23 of 174 in GA (top 13%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
• Market conditions: Rents rising (+1.7%/yr); 286 active listings in the ZIP; solid renter incomes; 1,545 units permitted in Houston County in 2024 (336 in 5+ unit buildings).
• This rent runs 31% of the median local income ($83k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

• Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
• Houston County population projected at +22% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
• At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 1.7% rent growth), your $49k cash investment doubles in ~9 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

• It's been on market 183 days — a 12% lower offer ($154k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
• 4 sale attempts since 8y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $54k (24%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
• Current owner paid $78k; list at $175k implies a 124% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

• Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 76% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→18/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.

Recommended offer $154,000 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

1. It's been on market 183 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
2. Built in 1971 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
5. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
6. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

• 1% rule: 1.23% ✓
• Cap rate: 10.82%
• Cash-on-cash: 16.18%
• DSCR: 1.72
• GRM: 6.8

CMA / ARV

• ARV (median comp): $206,129
• List price: $175,000
• Delta: -15.10%
• Verdict: UNDERPRICED
• Comps: 20 within 1.0 mi

Show comp detail 8 sales within ~0.75 mi

Address	Dist	Beds/Ba	Sqft	Sold	Price	$/sf	Match
105 Lemuel Ct	0.10mi	4/3.0 (-1)	2,079 (-9%)	18mo	$230,000	$111	60
213 Self St	0.55mi	4/2.0 (-1)	2,202 (-3%)	2mo	$245,000	$111	58
204 Biltmore Ter	0.33mi	4/2.0 (-1)	2,469 (+8%)	10mo	$240,000	$97	54
107 Colonial Rd	0.40mi	4/2.5 (-1)	2,225 (-2%)	20mo	$146,000	$66	54
214 Laurie Ln	0.09mi	4/2.0 (-1)	1,969 (-14%)	14mo	$207,000	$105	53
113 Sunnydale Dr	0.62mi	4/2.0 (-1)	2,028 (-11%)	1mo	$185,000	$91	43
115 Friar Tuck Ave	0.73mi	4/3.5 (-1)	2,152 (-6%)	10mo	$218,000	$101	41
409 Ashby Way Way	0.55mi	5/2.0	1,980 (-13%)	12mo	$225,000	$114	39

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 1.67% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold

• IRR: 5.7%
• Equity multiple: 1.22×
• Total profit: $10,791
• Equity at exit: $26,093

10-year hold

• IRR: 14.0%
• Equity multiple: 2.06×
• Total profit: $51,894
• Equity at exit: $15,131

Cash invested: $49,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

• Overall (STATE): 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
• State Georgia: 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
• County: — inherits STATE
• City: — inherits STATE

Magistrate court evictions in 10-30 days; no rent control; preempted; few tenant protections.

Methodology + full state rankings →

ZIP-level market 31088

• Rents YoY: 1.7%
• Active inventory: 286
• Price-to-rent: 6.8×

Monthly cashflow live

• Estimated rent: $2,160 medium
• Mortgage (P&I): −$918
• Tax from tax record: −$55 /mo · $663/yr
• Insurance: −$73
• HOA: −$0
• Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt: −$454
• Net cashflow: $661

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,324

Max offer price $175,000

Occupancy floor 64%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

• Down payment: $43,750
• Closing costs: $5,250
• Reserves months: —
• Total cash needed: —

Listing history 30 events

1. 2026-06-19
   statusdays on market $175,000 Active 183 DOM
2. 2026-06-18
   days on market $175,000 Price Change 182 DOM
3. 2026-06-17
   days on market $175,000 Price Change 181 DOM
4. 2026-06-16
   remarks 605-char remark
5. 2026-06-16
   pricestatus $175,000 Price Change 180 DOM
6. 2026-06-16
   days on market $205,000 Active 180 DOM
7. 2026-06-15
   days on market $205,000 Active 179 DOM
8. 2026-06-14
   days on market $205,000 Active 177 DOM
9. 2026-06-13
   days on market $205,000 Active 176 DOM
10. 2026-06-10
    days on market $205,000 Active 174 DOM
11. 2026-06-09
    days on market $205,000 Active 173 DOM
12. 2026-06-08
    days on market $205,000 Active 172 DOM
13. 2026-06-07
    days on market $205,000 Active 171 DOM
14. 2026-06-05
    days on market $205,000 Active 168 DOM
15. 2026-06-03
    days on market $205,000 Active 167 DOM
16. 2026-06-02
    days on market $205,000 Active 166 DOM
17. 2026-06-01
    days on market $205,000 Active 165 DOM
18. 2026-05-31
    days on market $205,000 Active 164 DOM
19. 2026-05-30
    days on market $205,000 Active 163 DOM
20. 2026-04-24
    price $205,000 550-char remark

    Show marketing remark (560 chars)

    This 5 bedroom 3 bath home has a newer HVAC unit (2023), refrigerator, stove, ceiling fans, and dishwasher. There is also flex room that can be used as an additional bedroom. The master bath has been updated and is handy cap assessable. It's ready for a large family that can show it some love by replacing the flooring, repairing the back deck and making some other minor improvements. A 12x24 man cave/ she shed was added in the back yard in 2025 that can serve as a workshop or other multi-purpose room. USE CAUTION, REAR DECK HANDRAIL IS IN POOR CONDITION!

21. 2026-04-24
    price $205,000 560-char remark

    Show marketing remark (560 chars)

    This 5 bedroom 3 bath home has a newer HVAC unit (2023), refrigerator, stove, ceiling fans, and dishwasher. There is also flex room that can be used as an additional bedroom. The master bath has been updated and is handy cap assessable. It's ready for a large family that can show it some love by replacing the flooring, repairing the back deck and making some other minor improvements. A 12x24 man cave/ she shed was added in the back yard in 2025 that can serve as a workshop or other multi-purpose room. USE CAUTION, REAR DECK HANDRAIL IS IN POOR CONDITION!

22. 2026-01-16
    price $219,000 560-char remark

    Show marketing remark (550 chars)

    This 5 bedroom 3 bath home has a newer HVAC unit (2023), refrigerator, stove, ceiling fans, and dishwasher. It also has a flex room that can serve as a bedroom. The master bath has been updated and is handy cap assessable. It's ready for a large family that can show it some love by replacing the flooring, repairing the back deck and making some other minor improvements. A 12x24 man cave/ she shed was added in the back yard in 2025 that can serve as a workshop or other multi-purpose room. USE CAUTION, REAR DECK HANDRAIL IS IN POOR CONDITION!

23. 2026-01-16
    price $219,000 550-char remark

    Show marketing remark (550 chars)

    This 5 bedroom 3 bath home has a newer HVAC unit (2023), refrigerator, stove, ceiling fans, and dishwasher. It also has a flex room that can serve as a bedroom. The master bath has been updated and is handy cap assessable. It's ready for a large family that can show it some love by replacing the flooring, repairing the back deck and making some other minor improvements. A 12x24 man cave/ she shed was added in the back yard in 2025 that can serve as a workshop or other multi-purpose room. USE CAUTION, REAR DECK HANDRAIL IS IN POOR CONDITION!

24. 2025-12-18
    listed $229,000 Active 560-char remark

    Show marketing remark (560 chars)

    This 5 bedroom 3 bath home has a newer HVAC unit (2023), refrigerator, stove, ceiling fans, and dishwasher. There is also flex room that can be used as an additional bedroom. The master bath has been updated and is handy cap assessable. It's ready for a large family that can show it some love by replacing the flooring, repairing the back deck and making some other minor improvements. A 12x24 man cave/ she shed was added in the back yard in 2025 that can serve as a workshop or other multi-purpose room. USE CAUTION, REAR DECK HANDRAIL IS IN POOR CONDITION!

25. 2025-12-06
    listed $229,000 New 550-char remark

    Show marketing remark (550 chars)

    This 5 bedroom 3 bath home has a newer HVAC unit (2023), refrigerator, stove, ceiling fans, and dishwasher. It also has a flex room that can serve as a bedroom. The master bath has been updated and is handy cap assessable. It's ready for a large family that can show it some love by replacing the flooring, repairing the back deck and making some other minor improvements. A 12x24 man cave/ she shed was added in the back yard in 2025 that can serve as a workshop or other multi-purpose room. USE CAUTION, REAR DECK HANDRAIL IS IN POOR CONDITION!

26. 2019-03-13
    soldstatus $78,000
27. 2019-03-13
    soldstatus $78,000
28. 2018-11-13
    listed $78,000
29. 2018-11-13
    listed $78,000
30. 2009-11-23
    soldstatus $115,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast GA · Resets to sale price

• Current annual tax: $663 · $55/mo
• Projected year-2 tax: $1,610 · $134/mo
• Expected delta: +$947/yr (+$79/mo · 142.8%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

• 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
• 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
• 🌡 Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
• 💨 Wind 6/10 Major 76% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
• 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out

Taxation est. · year 1

• Rental income: $25,920
• − Mortgage interest: −$9,803
• − Property taxes: −$663
• − Insurance: −$875
• − Repairs & maintenance: −$2,074
• − Management: −$2,074
• − Depreciation: −$5,091
• Taxable income: $5,341
• Est. tax owed @ 24.0%: −$1,282
• After-tax cash flow: $6,644/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

• District: Houston County
• NCES district ID: 1302880
• Math proficiency: 43% ▼ -7.00%
• Reading proficiency: 46% ▼ -2.00%
• Median HH income: $54,823
• Composite: 38.68/100
• National rank: #4144
• State rank: #23 of 174 in GA

Livability — Warner Robins

• Score: 65/100
• State rank: #227
• US rank: #13290

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment D+ Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

• Census place: Warner Robins, GA
• County: Houston County · 157,321 people
• City population: 92,102
• Metro: Warner Robins, GA
• Population (ZIP): 58,585
• Household income: $83,082
• Rent vs Own: 36.9% rent · 63.1% own
• Severe rent burden: 1668.0

Population outlook (Houston County) Hauer SSP2

• Today (2025): 169,502 people
• By 2030: 178,486 · +5.3%
• By 2040: 194,642 · +14.8%
• By 2050: 207,119 · +22.2%
• By 2075: 231,480 · +36.6%
• By 2100: 235,034 · +38.7%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

• Neighborhood character: Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.63)
• Race & ethnicity: White 51% Black 32% Two or more races 9% Hispanic / Latino 7% Asian 4%
• Hispanic origin (detail): Mexican 4%
• Common ancestry: Romanian 2% Slovak 2% Lithuanian 2%
• Foreign-born: 9% · Canada, Vietnam, Jamaica
• Languages at home: 90% English-only · Spanish 5% Other Asian/Pacific 2% Vietnamese 2%

Political lean MEDSL · Houston

• 2024 margin: R (+11.3) · D 44.0% · R 55.3%
• 2008→2024 swing: +8.9pp toward D · 2008: -20.2pp · 2024: -11.3pp
• All cycles: 2024: R+11.3 2020: R+12.4 2016: R+21.6 2012: R+20.7 2008: R+20.2

Not yet ingested

• Civics: —

Market trends

• HPI YoY: ▼ -135.75%
• Current HPI: 219.8261
• Rent YoY: ▲ 1.67%
• Metro: Warner Robins, GA
• State GDP YoY: ▲ 2.66%
• F500 in state: 28

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in GA)

Industry	F500 HQs	Revenue
▸Paper / Packaging	2	$29B
▸Retail	1	$160B
▸Transportation / Logistics	1	$91B
▸Airlines	1	$62B
▸Consumer Goods	1	$47B
▸Utilities	1	$25B

Price history

+78.3% since first listed

11 events — show timeline

• 2026-04-24 Price Changed $205,000 GAMLS
• 2026-04-24 Price Changed $205,000 CGMLS
• 2026-01-16 Price Changed $219,000 CGMLS
• 2026-01-16 Price Changed $219,000 GAMLS
• 2025-12-18 Listed $229,000 CGMLS
• 2025-12-06 Listed $229,000 GAMLS
• 2019-03-13 Sold (MLS) $78,000 GAMLS
• 2019-03-13 Sold (MLS) $78,000 CGMLS
• 2018-11-13 Listed $78,000 GAMLS
• 2018-11-13 Listed $78,000 CGMLS
• 2009-11-23 Sold (Public Records) $115,000 Public Records

Property tax history

-4.4%/yr

Latest (2023): $663 · -34.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.