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1904 Andrews St
C Composite 59.53
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +26.7/30.0
  • DSCR +9.2/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • 1% rule +6.8/10.0
  • Livability +3.1/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.2/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$119,900

1904 Andrews St · Rockford, IL 61101
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,500 sqft · SingleFamily · 25 Days on market
Built 1900 3,485 sqft lot $80/sqft · 102% above area

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

This is an amazing home. It has been completely updated. Fresh paint with warm tones and white trim. Refinished hardwood floors. New kitchen with plenty of cabinets and all new stainless steel appliances. Updated electric. New furnace and central air! All just ready to move in. Detached one car garage. Full basement. Sunroom for your morning coffee! Clean, nice and ready for you. Privacy fenced yard. The work has already been done for you!

Key facts

  • New furnace
  • New kitchen
  • Updated electric

Tags

REFINISHED HARDWOOD FLOORSNEW KITCHENSTAINLESS STEEL APPLIANCESUPDATED ELECTRICNEW FURNACECENTRAL AIR

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $120k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $325 ($4k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $120k).
  • Recommended offer: $118k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 9.5% vs local median 6.1% in Rockford — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 62/100 on livability (#876 in IL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: schools F, crime F, amenities F.
  • Rockford SD 205 (urban): math 12% / reading 16% proficiency, ranked #533 of 620 in IL (top 86%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 73% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: 79 active listings in the ZIP; 11 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 45d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 55% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 285 units permitted in Winnebago County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 37% of the median local income ($46k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $829 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Winnebago County population projected at -20% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $34k cash investment doubles in ~10 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 25 days — a 2% lower offer ($118k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • Current owner paid $30k; list at $120k implies a 293% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1900 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $118,101 (1.5% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1900 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  4. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.18%
Cap rate
9.55%
Cash-on-cash
11.62%
DSCR
1.52
GRM
7.0

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$59,383
List price
$119,900
Delta
101.91%
Verdict
OVERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
410 Oakley Ave 0.18mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,440 (-4%) 5mo $105,000 $73 76
718 N Central Ave 0.31mi 3/1.5 (+1) 1,432 (-4%) 6mo $127,840 $89 66
317 N Central Ave 0.16mi 3/1.5 (+1) 1,364 (-9%) 6mo $112,000 $82 65
707 Royal Ave 0.27mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,279 (-15%) 1mo $87,000 $68 57
2118 Elm St 0.35mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,352 (-10%) 2mo $150,000 $111 56
2111 Sherman Ave 0.42mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,371 (-9%) 5mo $56,898 $42 52
1227 Chestnut St 0.62mi 3/1.5 (+1) 1,611 (+7%) 3mo $92,000 $57 49
2916 School St 0.67mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,578 (+5%) 4mo $200,000 $127 48
1332 School St 0.41mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,678 (+12%) 7mo $60,000 $36 47
915 Hoban Ave 0.61mi 3/1.5 (+1) 1,676 (+12%) 1mo $159,000 $95 44
402 N Horace Ave 0.57mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,710 (+14%) 3mo $100,000 $58 42
2315 Green St 0.52mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,290 (-14%) 7mo $113,000 $88 42

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
1.0%
Equity multiple
1.04×
Total profit
$1,284
Equity at exit
$17,877
10-year hold
IRR
10.6%
Equity multiple
1.83×
Total profit
$27,790
Equity at exit
$10,367

Cash invested: $33,572 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning
State Illinois
43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning · D+7
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Chicago RTLO is among the strongest tenant ordinances in the Midwest; downstate is more landlord-friendly.

ZIP-level market 61101

Home prices YoY
-25.4%
Active inventory
79
Price-to-rent
7.0×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,418 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$629
Tax from tax record
$116 /mo · $1,392/yr
Insurance
$50
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$298
Net cashflow
$325

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,006
Max offer price $119,900
Occupancy floor 72%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $393 -5% $359 +0% $325 +5% $291 +10% $257
Rent -10% $213 -5% $269 +0% $325 +5% $381 +10% $437
Rate -1.0pp $386 -0.5pp $356 base $325 +0.5pp $294 +1.0pp $263

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$29,975
Closing costs
$3,597
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 11 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
1510 School St Unit 1 Rockford, IL 3.0 1.5 1400 $1,200 $0.86 45d 1 0.26mi
418 Orchard Park Rockford, IL 3.0 1.0 1232 $1,500 $1.22 14d 1 0.33mi
2403 Elm St Rockford, IL 2.0 1.0 1373 $1,400 $1.02 14d 1 0.42mi
2403 Elm St Rockford, IL 2.0 1.0 1373 $1,400 $1.02 45d 1 0.42mi
2315 Green St Rockford, IL 3.0 1.0 1290 $1,600 $1.24 45d 1 0.53mi
2916 School St Rockford, IL 3.0 1.5 1578 $2,400 $1.52 45d 1 0.65mi
901 N Horace Ave Rockford, IL 3.0 2.0 1400 $1,700 $1.21 14d 1 0.67mi
1617 Vermont St Rockford, IL 2.0 1.0 1375 $1,325 $0.96 45d 1 0.86mi
2422 Benderwirt Ave Unit 2422-1 Rockford, IL 2.0 1.0 1150 $1,025 $0.89 45d 1 1.27mi
226 S Main St Rockford, IL 1.0 1.0 1066 $1,560 $1.46 14d 3 1.41mi
1248 Ferguson St #2 Rockford, IL 2.0 1.0 1200 $1,200 $1.00 14d 1 1.49mi

Listing history 8 events

  1. 2026-06-13
    statusdays on market $119,900 Pending 25 DOM
  2. 2026-06-10
    remarks 488-char remark
  3. 2026-06-10
    pricestatusdays on market $119,900 Active 23 DOM
  4. 2026-05-12
    status Pending 443-char remark
    Show marketing remark (443 chars)

    This is an amazing home. It has been completely updated. Fresh paint with warm tones and white trim. Refinished hardwood floors. New kitchen with plenty of cabinets and all new stainless steel appliances. Updated electric. New furnace and central air! All just ready to move in. Detached one car garage. Full basement. Sunroom for your morning coffee! Clean, nice and ready for you. Privacy fenced yard. The work has already been done for you!

  5. 2026-05-05
    price $124,900 443-char remark
    Show marketing remark (443 chars)

    This is an amazing home. It has been completely updated. Fresh paint with warm tones and white trim. Refinished hardwood floors. New kitchen with plenty of cabinets and all new stainless steel appliances. Updated electric. New furnace and central air! All just ready to move in. Detached one car garage. Full basement. Sunroom for your morning coffee! Clean, nice and ready for you. Privacy fenced yard. The work has already been done for you!

  6. 2026-04-21
    price $129,900 443-char remark
    Show marketing remark (443 chars)

    This is an amazing home. It has been completely updated. Fresh paint with warm tones and white trim. Refinished hardwood floors. New kitchen with plenty of cabinets and all new stainless steel appliances. Updated electric. New furnace and central air! All just ready to move in. Detached one car garage. Full basement. Sunroom for your morning coffee! Clean, nice and ready for you. Privacy fenced yard. The work has already been done for you!

  7. 2026-04-20
    listed $119,900 Active 443-char remark
    Show marketing remark (443 chars)

    This is an amazing home. It has been completely updated. Fresh paint with warm tones and white trim. Refinished hardwood floors. New kitchen with plenty of cabinets and all new stainless steel appliances. Updated electric. New furnace and central air! All just ready to move in. Detached one car garage. Full basement. Sunroom for your morning coffee! Clean, nice and ready for you. Privacy fenced yard. The work has already been done for you!

  8. 2003-01-15
    soldstatus $30,500

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast IL · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$1,392 · $116/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$2,057 · $171/mo
Expected delta
+$665/yr (+$55/mo · 47.8%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥102°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$17,011
− Mortgage interest
−$6,716
− Property taxes
−$1,392
− Insurance
−$600
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,361
− Management
−$1,361
− Depreciation
−$3,488
Taxable income
$2,094
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$503
After-tax cash flow
$3,400/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Rockford SD 205
NCES district ID
1734510
Math proficiency
12% ▼ -2.00%
Reading proficiency
16% ▼ -3.00%
Median HH income
$42,533
Composite
12.21/100
National rank
#9649
State rank
#533 of 620 in IL

Livability — Rockford

Score
62/100
State rank
#876
US rank
#17035

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Rockford, IL
County
Winnebago County · 147,297 people
City population
147,297
Metro
Rockford, IL
Population (ZIP)
19,318
Household income
$46,163
Rent vs Own
48.6% rent · 51.4% own
Severe rent burden
1170.0

Population outlook (Winnebago County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
271,080 people
By 2030
260,684 · -3.8%
By 2040
238,405 · -12.1%
By 2050
216,129 · -20.3%
By 2075
172,882 · -36.2%
By 2100
135,336 · -50.1%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.66)
Race & ethnicity
White 44% Black 34% Hispanic / Latino 16% Two or more races 8% Asian 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 14% Puerto Rican 1%
Common ancestry
Romanian 3% Italian 2% Portuguese 2%
Foreign-born
9% · Canada
Languages at home
84% English-only · Spanish 13% Other Indo-European 1% Russian/Polish/Slavic 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Winnebago

2024 margin
Toss-up / Even · D 49.5% · R 49.0% · Other 1.5%
2008→2024 swing
-12.2pp toward R · 2008: 12.8pp · 2024: 0.6pp
All cycles
2024: D+0.6 2020: D+2.5 2016: R+1.2 2012: D+5.7 2008: D+12.8

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -69.58%
Current HPI
204.8946
Rent YoY
Metro
Rockford, IL
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.59%
F500 in state
60

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+309.5% since first listed
5 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-12 Pending NWIAR
  • 2026-05-05 Price Changed $124,900 NWIAR
  • 2026-04-21 Price Changed $129,900 NWIAR
  • 2026-04-20 Listed $119,900 NWIAR
  • 2003-01-15 Sold (Public Records) $30,500 Public Records

Property tax history

+0.3%/yr

Latest (2024): $1,392 · +3.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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