CashFlowRE
Sign in Sign up
5145 Hartford Ln
D+ Composite 49.95
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +23.2/30.0
  • DSCR +7.5/10.0
  • Schools +5.2/10.0
  • 1% rule +4.9/10.0
  • Livability +3.5/5.0
  • Rent growth +3.2/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • ARV discount +0.0/15.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$250,000

5145 Hartford Ln · Wildwood, FL 34785
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,848 sqft · Manufactured public records · 38 Days on market
Built 2006 7,081 sqft lot Est $205k · 22% over

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Pristine and welcoming 3 Bedroom, 2 Bathroom Jacobson Manufactured home located in Wildwood Country Resorts, just minutes away from Brownwood. Upon arriving the manicured landscaping and glass enclosed heat and air Lanai beckons you in. This property does not disappoint. Unique to this model is the upgraded construction complete with extra insulation, 2" X 8" Transverse Floors, 2" X 6" exterior walls and 2" X 4" interior walls. Both the garage, 22' X 36' and the 36" doors throughout the entry doors to bedrooms and bathrooms have been expanded. The Double Hung Low E Windows convey with a Lifetime Warranty. Newer enhances include stainless steel appliances, carpet in bedrooms, Laminate Floors in Master, Den, Living Room, and Dining Rooms, plus air conditioning and heat pump with one free service plan. Additionally, home is equipped with smoke detectors, heat activated fire alarms and is wired for hooking up the generator, which will also remain in the house!! Besides that, Golf Cart with 2 year old batteries and lawn equipment convey to the new owner. Please view the Tour 1 Video to see this one of a kind incredible manufactured home! Must See!!

Key facts

  • Quaint covered patio
  • Large laundry room
  • Huge garage man cave

Tags

ENCLOSED GLASS FLORIDA ROOMHUGE GARAGE MAN CAVEWOOD BURNING FIREPLACEQUAINT COVERED PATIOLARGE LAUNDRY ROOMLARGE ENSUITE BATH

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Lot size approximately 0.16 acres; Total acreage less than 1/4 acre; Living area reported as 1,848 sq ft (public records); Building area reported as 2,088 sq ft (public records)
  • Financial info: No lease restrictions indicated; Homestead exempt
  • HOA & community: Street lights; Senior community

Exterior

  • Parking: Attached garage; 4-car garage; Garage with workshop; Garage dimensions approximately 22 x 36
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Electricity connected; Cable connected; Sewer connected; Water connected
  • Home design: Manufactured double-wide home; Residential property; Single-story; Home faces north; Completed condition
  • Construction: Vinyl siding over frame construction; Shingle roof; Crawlspace foundation; Built as a double-wide manufactured home
  • Exterior features: Covered and enclosed patios/porches; Front porch; Rear porch; Awnings; Exterior lighting; Rain gutters; Sliding doors; Outdoor storage; Corner lot; Landscaped lot; Level lot; Paved surfaces

Interior

  • Kitchen: Dishwasher; Range; Microwave; Refrigerator
  • Bedrooms: 3 bedrooms
  • Flooring: Carpet; Ceramic tile; Laminate
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
  • Heating & cooling: Central heating; Electric heating; Heat pump; Central air conditioning; Wood-burning fireplace
  • Interior features: Ceiling fans; Vaulted ceilings; Walk-in closet(s); Window treatments; Skylight(s); Blinds
  • Laundry & utility: Laundry room; Washer; Dryer

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $250k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $454 ($5k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $248k (0.7% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $242k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 8.5% vs local median 3.9% in Wildwood — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 69/100 on livability (#471 in FL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: health & safety A+, cost of living A, crime A-; Watch: amenities F, commute F, employment D-.
  • Sumter (rural): math 61% / reading 61% proficiency, ranked #11 of 73 in FL (top 15%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
  • Zoned schools: Wildwood Elementary School (math 49% / reading 52%, grade D+, #1,055 of 2,144 statewide, top 50%, 940 students, 76% FRL); South Sumter Middle School (math 55% / reading 54%, grade B-, #183 of 571 statewide, top 34%, 897 students, 61% FRL) — zoned schools average 68% FRL vs 51% district-wide (18 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising (+2.9%/yr); 428 active listings in the ZIP; 4 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 23d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 3,961 units permitted in Sumter County in 2024 (248 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • At $2,482/mo this rent would consume 45% of the median local household income ($66k/yr) (locally 730% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $8k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Sumter County population projected at +45% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 38 days — a 3% lower offer ($242k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 3 sale attempts since 7y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $143k; list at $250k implies a 75% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $242,500 (3.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 38 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  4. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  5. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  6. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.99%
Cap rate
8.47%
Cash-on-cash
7.78%
DSCR
1.35
GRM
8.4

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$205,128
Comps found
2
Show comp detail 2 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
5146 Cambridge Ct 0.05mi 3/2.0 1,764 (-4%) 10mo $174,000 $99 82
5453 Williamsburg Ln 0.02mi 2/2.0 (-1) 1,581 (-14%) 4mo $175,000 $111 67

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 2.85% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-4.6%
Equity multiple
0.83×
Total profit
$-12,064
Equity at exit
$37,276
10-year hold
IRR
4.9%
Equity multiple
1.35×
Total profit
$24,804
Equity at exit
$21,615

Cash invested: $70,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Florida
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day pay-or-quit; preempts local rent control; landlord-friendly statutes. Court speed varies by county.

ZIP-level market 34785

Home prices YoY
-10.7%
Rents YoY
2.9%
Active inventory
428
Price-to-rent
8.4×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,482 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,311
Tax from tax record
$92 /mo · $1,103/yr
Insurance
$104
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$521
Net cashflow
$454

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,908
Max offer price $250,000
Occupancy floor 77%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $596 -5% $525 +0% $454 +5% $383 +10% $313
Rent -10% $258 -5% $356 +0% $454 +5% $552 +10% $650
Rate -1.0pp $580 -0.5pp $518 base $454 +0.5pp $389 +1.0pp $323

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$62,500
Closing costs
$7,500
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 4 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
2910 Monument Way The Villages, FL 2.0 2.0 1494 $2,600 $1.74 23d 1 0.58mi
3480 Kewadin Ave The Villages, FL 2.0 2.0 1758 $2,500 $1.42 23d 1 1.05mi
6629 Dan DiCiolla Dr Wildwood, FL 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.5 1075 $2,399 $2.23 23d 44 1.23mi
3359 Brianna Ln The Villages, FL 3.0 2.0 1584 $3,100 $1.96 23d 1 1.40mi

Listing history 8 events

  1. 2026-05-30
    days on market $250,000 Active 38 DOM
  2. 2026-04-22
    listed $250,000 Active
  3. 2020-02-25
    soldstatus $143,000
  4. 2020-02-11
    soldstatus $143,000 Sold 1198-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1198 chars)

    Pristine and welcoming 3 Bedroom, 2 Bathroom Jacobson Manufactured home located in Wildwood Country Resorts, just minutes away from Brownwood. Upon arriving the manicured landscaping and glass enclosed heat and air Lanai beckons you in. This property does not disappoint. Unique to this model is the upgraded construction complete with extra insulation, 2" X 8" Transverse Floors, 2" X 6" exterior walls and 2" X 4" interior walls. Both the garage, 22' X 36' and the 36" doors throughout the entry doors to bedrooms and bathrooms have been expanded. The Double Hung Low E Windows convey with a Lifetime Warranty. Newer enhances include stainless steel appliances, carpet in bedrooms, Laminate Floors in Master, Den, Living Room, and Dining Rooms, plus air conditioning and heat pump with one free service plan. Additionally, home is equipped with smoke detectors, heat activated fire alarms and is wired for hooking up the generator, which will also remain in the house!! Besides that, Golf Cart with 2 year old batteries and lawn equipment convey to the new owner. Please view the Tour 1 Video to see this one of a kind incredible manufactured home! Must See!!

  5. 2020-01-29
    status Pending 1198-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1198 chars)

    Pristine and welcoming 3 Bedroom, 2 Bathroom Jacobson Manufactured home located in Wildwood Country Resorts, just minutes away from Brownwood. Upon arriving the manicured landscaping and glass enclosed heat and air Lanai beckons you in. This property does not disappoint. Unique to this model is the upgraded construction complete with extra insulation, 2" X 8" Transverse Floors, 2" X 6" exterior walls and 2" X 4" interior walls. Both the garage, 22' X 36' and the 36" doors throughout the entry doors to bedrooms and bathrooms have been expanded. The Double Hung Low E Windows convey with a Lifetime Warranty. Newer enhances include stainless steel appliances, carpet in bedrooms, Laminate Floors in Master, Den, Living Room, and Dining Rooms, plus air conditioning and heat pump with one free service plan. Additionally, home is equipped with smoke detectors, heat activated fire alarms and is wired for hooking up the generator, which will also remain in the house!! Besides that, Golf Cart with 2 year old batteries and lawn equipment convey to the new owner. Please view the Tour 1 Video to see this one of a kind incredible manufactured home! Must See!!

  6. 2020-01-18
    status Active 1198-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1198 chars)

    Pristine and welcoming 3 Bedroom, 2 Bathroom Jacobson Manufactured home located in Wildwood Country Resorts, just minutes away from Brownwood. Upon arriving the manicured landscaping and glass enclosed heat and air Lanai beckons you in. This property does not disappoint. Unique to this model is the upgraded construction complete with extra insulation, 2" X 8" Transverse Floors, 2" X 6" exterior walls and 2" X 4" interior walls. Both the garage, 22' X 36' and the 36" doors throughout the entry doors to bedrooms and bathrooms have been expanded. The Double Hung Low E Windows convey with a Lifetime Warranty. Newer enhances include stainless steel appliances, carpet in bedrooms, Laminate Floors in Master, Den, Living Room, and Dining Rooms, plus air conditioning and heat pump with one free service plan. Additionally, home is equipped with smoke detectors, heat activated fire alarms and is wired for hooking up the generator, which will also remain in the house!! Besides that, Golf Cart with 2 year old batteries and lawn equipment convey to the new owner. Please view the Tour 1 Video to see this one of a kind incredible manufactured home! Must See!!

  7. 2019-11-20
    status Pending 1198-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1198 chars)

    Pristine and welcoming 3 Bedroom, 2 Bathroom Jacobson Manufactured home located in Wildwood Country Resorts, just minutes away from Brownwood. Upon arriving the manicured landscaping and glass enclosed heat and air Lanai beckons you in. This property does not disappoint. Unique to this model is the upgraded construction complete with extra insulation, 2" X 8" Transverse Floors, 2" X 6" exterior walls and 2" X 4" interior walls. Both the garage, 22' X 36' and the 36" doors throughout the entry doors to bedrooms and bathrooms have been expanded. The Double Hung Low E Windows convey with a Lifetime Warranty. Newer enhances include stainless steel appliances, carpet in bedrooms, Laminate Floors in Master, Den, Living Room, and Dining Rooms, plus air conditioning and heat pump with one free service plan. Additionally, home is equipped with smoke detectors, heat activated fire alarms and is wired for hooking up the generator, which will also remain in the house!! Besides that, Golf Cart with 2 year old batteries and lawn equipment convey to the new owner. Please view the Tour 1 Video to see this one of a kind incredible manufactured home! Must See!!

  8. 2019-09-16
    listed $149,000 Active 1198-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1198 chars)

    Pristine and welcoming 3 Bedroom, 2 Bathroom Jacobson Manufactured home located in Wildwood Country Resorts, just minutes away from Brownwood. Upon arriving the manicured landscaping and glass enclosed heat and air Lanai beckons you in. This property does not disappoint. Unique to this model is the upgraded construction complete with extra insulation, 2" X 8" Transverse Floors, 2" X 6" exterior walls and 2" X 4" interior walls. Both the garage, 22' X 36' and the 36" doors throughout the entry doors to bedrooms and bathrooms have been expanded. The Double Hung Low E Windows convey with a Lifetime Warranty. Newer enhances include stainless steel appliances, carpet in bedrooms, Laminate Floors in Master, Den, Living Room, and Dining Rooms, plus air conditioning and heat pump with one free service plan. Additionally, home is equipped with smoke detectors, heat activated fire alarms and is wired for hooking up the generator, which will also remain in the house!! Besides that, Golf Cart with 2 year old batteries and lawn equipment convey to the new owner. Please view the Tour 1 Video to see this one of a kind incredible manufactured home! Must See!!

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$1,103 · $92/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$2,075 · $173/mo
Expected delta
+$972/yr (+$81/mo · 88.2%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$29,790
− Mortgage interest
−$14,004
− Property taxes
−$1,103
− Insurance
−$1,250
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,383
− Management
−$2,383
− Depreciation
−$7,273
Taxable income
$1,394
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$335
After-tax cash flow
$5,114/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Sumter
NCES district ID
1201800
Math proficiency
61% ▼ -4.00%
Reading proficiency
61% ▼ -2.00%
Median HH income
$48,240
Composite
51.74/100
National rank
#1682
State rank
#11 of 73 in FL

Livability — Wildwood

Score
69/100
State rank
#471
US rank
#8500

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A Crime A- Employment D- Housing B- Health & safety A+ User ratings A+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

County
Sumter County · 110,591 people
City population
21,568
Metro
The Villages, FL
Population (ZIP)
21,568
Household income
$66,136
Rent vs Own
26.7% rent · 73.3% own
Severe rent burden
730.0

Population outlook (Sumter County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
161,172 people
By 2030
180,083 · +11.7%
By 2040
209,892 · +30.2%
By 2050
234,186 · +45.3%
By 2075
284,602 · +76.6%
By 2100
317,039 · +96.7%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.62)
Race & ethnicity
White 52% Black 29% Hispanic / Latino 14% Two or more races 3%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 4% Puerto Rican 2%
Common ancestry
Romanian 3% Lithuanian 2% Italian 2%
Foreign-born
11% · Canada, Jamaica
Languages at home
85% English-only · Spanish 12% Other Indo-European 1% French/Haitian/Cajun 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Sumter

2024 margin
Solid R (+37.6) · D 30.9% · R 68.6%
2008→2024 swing
-10.6pp toward R · 2008: -27.0pp · 2024: -37.6pp
All cycles
2024: R+37.6 2020: R+36.1 2016: R+39.2 2012: R+34.9 2008: R+27.0

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -32.14%
Current HPI
267.9137
Rent YoY
▲ 2.85%
Metro
The Villages, FL
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.28%
F500 in state
36

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+67.8% since first listed
7 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-22 Listed $250,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2020-02-25 Sold (Public Records) $143,000 Public Records
  • 2020-02-11 Sold (MLS) $143,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2020-01-29 Pending Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2020-01-18 Relisted Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2019-11-20 Pending Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2019-09-16 Listed $149,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid

Property tax history

+4.4%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,103 · -1.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…