4169 Edgar D Nixon Ave · Montgomery, AL
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $916 – $1,700
Heat risk 7/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 108°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 20 days/yr
Wind risk 8/10 · Major
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 80.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- 1% rule +8.4/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Livability +3.2/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.7/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$89,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Opportunity Meets Positioning. Positioned on a desirable corner lot, this 3-bedroom, 1-bath home is more than just a property—it’s potential waiting to be claimed. Whether you're a first-time homebuyer ready to step into ownership or an investor seeking your next strategic addition, this home delivers value, flexibility, and opportunity. Move-in ready Corner lot presence Ideal for rental or primary residence Sold AS-IS – priced with purpose “Not just a house…this is your entry point to ownership or your next income-producing asset. ”
Key facts
- Move in ready
- Corner lot
- 0.3 acre lot
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $90k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $422 ($5k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $90k).
- Recommended offer: $85k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 11.9% vs local median 6.0% in Montgomery — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 65/100 on livability (#138 in AL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools C-, employment D, crime F.
- Montgomery County (urban): math 9% / reading 31% proficiency, ranked #106 of 129 in AL (top 82%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 70% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: 79 active listings in the ZIP; 37 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 44d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 54% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 460 units permitted in Montgomery County in 2024 (37 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 35% of the median local income ($41k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $622 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Montgomery County population projected to shrink 8% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $25k cash investment doubles in ~7 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 65 days — a 6% lower offer ($85k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- Current owner paid $76k; 18% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1950 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 80% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 65 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1950 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.34% ✓
- Cap rate
- 11.93%
- Cash-on-cash
- 20.13%
- DSCR
- 1.90
- GRM
- 6.2
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $23,458
- List price
- $89,900
- Delta
- 283.24%
- Verdict
- OVERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 620 Clover Hill Dr | 0.36mi | 3/1.0 | 1,376 (-0%) | 10mo | $15,000 | $11 | 75 |
| 238 Burgwyn Rd | 0.41mi | 3/1.0 | 1,270 (-8%) | 9mo | $84,000 | $66 | 60 |
| 39 W Fleming Rd | 0.66mi | 3/1.0 | 1,349 (-2%) | 9mo | $40,000 | $30 | 58 |
| 711 Iris Ln | 0.47mi | 3/1.5 | 1,316 (-5%) | 13mo | $78,000 | $59 | 57 |
| 410 E Patton Ave | 0.70mi | 3/1.0 | 1,377 (-0%) | 13mo | $74,200 | $54 | 57 |
| 4016 Berwick Dr | 0.68mi | 4/1.5 (+1) | 1,380 (0%) | 10mo | $51,000 | $37 | 53 |
| 3594 S Perry St | 0.50mi | 3/2.0 | 1,265 (-8%) | 8mo | $40,000 | $32 | 52 |
| 129 E Woodland Dr | 0.52mi | 3/1.5 | 1,475 (+7%) | 16mo | $38,000 | $26 | 50 |
| 3532 Gilmer Ave | 0.72mi | 3/2.0 | 1,318 (-4%) | 13mo | $40,000 | $30 | 44 |
| 329 Tanglewood Dr | 0.60mi | 4/1.0 (+1) | 1,523 (+10%) | 8mo | $95,000 | $62 | 43 |
| 3617 Wilmington Rd | 0.74mi | 3/1.0 | 1,233 (-11%) | 11mo | $10,000 | $8 | 39 |
| 901 National St | 0.73mi | 3/2.0 | 1,554 (+13%) | 15mo | $102,000 | $66 | 28 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 12.3%
- Equity multiple
- 1.49×
- Total profit
- $12,286
- Equity at exit
- $13,404
- IRR
- 21.2%
- Equity multiple
- 2.79×
- Total profit
- $45,170
- Equity at exit
- $7,773
Cash invested: $25,172 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Alabama
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+15
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 36105
- Home prices YoY
- -32.6%
- Active inventory
- 79
- Price-to-rent
- 6.2×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,204 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$471
- Tax from tax record
- −$20 /mo · $243/yr
- Insurance
- −$37
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$253
- Net cashflow
- $422
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $473 | -5% $448 | +0% $422 | +5% $397 | +10% $371 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $327 | -5% $375 | +0% $422 | +5% $470 | +10% $517 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $468 | -0.5pp $445 | base $422 | +0.5pp $399 | +1.0pp $375 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $22,475
- Closing costs
- $2,697
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 37 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4148 Edgar D Nixon Ave Montgomery, AL | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1208 | $1,200 | $0.99 | 44d | 1 | 0.02mi |
| 370 Collinwood Ave Montgomery, AL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1080 | $1,000 | $0.93 | 21d | 1 | 0.27mi |
| 4037 Oak St Montgomery, AL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1314 | $1,450 | $1.10 | 44d | 1 | 0.49mi |
| 763 Belvedere Dr Montgomery, AL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1044 | $1,000 | $0.96 | 44d | 1 | 0.54mi |
| 3544 Southmont Dr Montgomery, AL | 4.0 | 1.5 | 1774 | $1,300 | $0.73 | 21d | 1 | 0.64mi |
| 3616 Gaston Ave Montgomery, AL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1629 | $1,300 | $0.80 | 44d | 1 | 0.68mi |
| 3608 Wilmington Rd Montgomery, AL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1160 | $950 | $0.82 | 44d | 1 | 0.73mi |
| 3577 Whiting Ave Montgomery, AL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1269 | $1,150 | $0.91 | 44d | 1 | 0.74mi |
| 253 John Morris Ave Montgomery, AL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 912 | $950 | $1.04 | 21d | 1 | 0.83mi |
| 548 Winston Dr Montgomery, AL | 2.0 | 2.5 | 1396 | $1,000 | $0.72 | 44d | 1 | 0.83mi |
| 3515 Norman Bridge Rd Unit A Montgomery, AL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1150 | $1,150 | $1.00 | 44d | 1 | 0.93mi |
| 3751 Wesley Dr Apt A Montgomery, AL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1034 | $550 | $0.53 | 44d | 1 | 0.94mi |
| 718 W Edgemont Ave Unit A Montgomery, AL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 875 | $875 | $1.00 | 44d | 1 | 0.96mi |
| 718 W Edgemont Ave Unit B Montgomery, AL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 875 | $800 | $0.91 | 21d | 1 | 0.96mi |
| 3735 Wesley Dr Montgomery, AL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,200 | $1.20 | 21d | 1 | 0.97mi |
| 3733 Wesley Dr Montgomery, AL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,200 | $1.20 | 21d | 1 | 0.97mi |
| 3723 Wesley Dr Montgomery, AL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,200 | $1.20 | 21d | 1 | 0.98mi |
| 3709 Wesley Dr Montgomery, AL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,200 | $1.20 | 21d | 1 | 0.98mi |
| 3737 Wesley Dr Montgomery, AL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1050 | $1,280 | $1.22 | 44d | 1 | 0.98mi |
| 3701 Wesley Dr Unit 3737 Montgomery, AL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1050 | $1,280 | $1.22 | 44d | 1 | 1.00mi |
| 3701 Wesley Dr Unit 3733 Montgomery, AL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,280 | $1.28 | 44d | 1 | 1.00mi |
| 3701 Wesley Dr Unit 3723 Montgomery, AL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,200 | $1.20 | 21d | 1 | 1.00mi |
| 3720 Stanley Dr Montgomery, AL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1719 | $1,650 | $0.96 | 21d | 1 | 1.02mi |
| 3735 Bridlewood Dr Montgomery, AL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1386 | $895 | $0.65 | 44d | 1 | 1.06mi |
| 3708 Princeton Rd Montgomery, AL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1749 | $900 | $0.51 | 21d | 1 | 1.09mi |
| 3649 Princeton Rd Montgomery, AL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1266 | $1,200 | $0.95 | 21d | 1 | 1.11mi |
| 3338 S Hull St Montgomery, AL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1311 | $1,150 | $0.88 | 21d | 1 | 1.12mi |
| 3220 Doris Cir Montgomery, AL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1139 | $1,100 | $0.97 | 44d | 1 | 1.16mi |
| 3445 Le Bron Rd Montgomery, AL | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1100 | $1,050 | $0.95 | 21d | 1 | 1.18mi |
| 3357 Lexington Rd Montgomery, AL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1200 | $1,175 | $0.98 | 14d | 1 | 1.24mi |
| 139 Mount Vernon Dr Unit A Montgomery, AL | 4.0 | 2.5 | 1700 | $1,000 | $0.59 | 44d | 1 | 1.28mi |
| 3235 Norman Bridge Rd Montgomery, AL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1873 | $900 | $0.48 | 44d | 1 | 1.31mi |
| 105 Arlington Rd Unit B Montgomery, AL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1100 | $925 | $0.84 | 44d | 1 | 1.34mi |
| 3369 Montezuma Rd Montgomery, AL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1281 | $1,150 | $0.90 | 44d | 1 | 1.34mi |
| 4342 Sunshine Dr Montgomery, AL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1323 | $1,250 | $0.94 | 14d | 1 | 1.40mi |
| 3256 Montezuma Rd Montgomery, AL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1515 | $1,450 | $0.96 | 44d | 1 | 1.45mi |
| 1067 Roslyn Dr Montgomery, AL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1760 | $1,125 | $0.64 | 21d | 1 | 1.47mi |
Listing history 17 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $89,900 Active 65 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $89,900 Active 64 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $89,900 Active 63 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $89,900 Active 62 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $89,900 Active 60 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $89,900 Active 59 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $89,900 Active 57 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $89,900 Active 56 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $89,900 Active 55 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $89,900 Active 54 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $89,900 Active 50 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $89,900 Active 49 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $89,900 Active 48 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $89,900 Active 47 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $89,900 Active 46 DOM
-
2026-04-14$89,900 Active 580-char remark
Show marketing remark (580 chars)
Opportunity Meets Positioning. Positioned on a desirable corner lot, this 3-bedroom, 1-bath home is more than just a property—it’s potential waiting to be claimed. Whether you're a first-time homebuyer ready to step into ownership or an investor seeking your next strategic addition, this home delivers value, flexibility, and opportunity. Move-in ready Corner lot presence Ideal for rental or primary residence Sold AS-IS – priced with purpose “Not just a house…this is your entry point to ownership or your next income-producing asset. ”
-
2020-02-19soldstatus $76,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast AL · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $243 · $20/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $369 · $31/mo
- Expected delta
- +$125/yr (+$10/mo · 51.4%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 8/10 Severe 80% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $14,452
- − Mortgage interest
- −$5,036
- − Property taxes
- −$243
- − Insurance
- −$450
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,156
- − Management
- −$1,156
- − Depreciation
- −$2,615
- Taxable income
- $3,796
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$911
- After-tax cash flow
- $4,156/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Montgomery County
- NCES district ID
- 0102430
- Math proficiency
- 9% ▼ -21.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 31% ▼ -1.00%
- Median HH income
- $43,902
- Composite
- 17.24/100
- National rank
- #9093
- State rank
- #106 of 129 in AL
Livability — Montgomery
- Score
- 65/100
- State rank
- #138
- US rank
- #13416
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Montgomery, AL
- County
- Montgomery County · 190,016 people
- City population
- 175,913
- Metro
- Montgomery, AL
- Population (ZIP)
- 9,207
- Household income
- $41,486
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 679.0
Population outlook (Montgomery County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 224,008 people
- By 2030
- 221,460 · -1.1%
- By 2040
- 214,179 · -4.4%
- By 2050
- 204,912 · -8.5%
- By 2075
- 177,821 · -20.6%
- By 2100
- 145,134 · -35.2%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly Black (83%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 83% White 12% Hispanic / Latino 4% Two or more races 3%
- Common ancestry
- Italian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 3% · Canada, South Korea
- Languages at home
- 95% English-only · Spanish 4%
Political lean MEDSL · Montgomery
- 2024 margin
- Solid D (+30.7) · D 64.8% · R 34.1% · Other 1.1%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +11.5pp toward D · 2008: 19.2pp · 2024: 30.7pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+30.7 2020: D+31.5 2016: D+26.2 2012: D+24.3 2008: D+19.2
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -31.17%
- Current HPI
- 64.4673
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Montgomery, AL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.94%
- F500 in state
- 4
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 1 | $8B |
|
||
| Healthcare | 1 | $5B |
|
||
Price history
+18.3% since first listed2 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-14 Listed $89,900 MAAR
- 2020-02-19 Sold (Public Records) $76,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+13.8%/yrLatest (2023): $243 · +35.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…