210 N 17th St #409 · St. Louis, MO
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,054 – $1,958
Heat risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 109°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 20 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 1.0%
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 3 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 4 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Cash flow +5.8/30.0
- Appreciation +5.3/10.0
- Rent growth +4.8/5.0
- Livability +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.2/10.0
- DSCR +0.2/10.0
$43,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Owner occupant and Public entity offers 1st 15 days Please. City Living at it's best. Downtown St. Louis Pride and Joy. Bath room Freshly painted. Perfect for the person who want to be near all the downtown attractions. Come see this beauty. Priced at a steal.
Key facts
- $600 HOA
- Built 1959
- Listed 19 days
Property features AI
Finance
- HOA & community: Blu Condominium complex HOA; Monthly association fee of $600; Association fee covers other items
Exterior
- Utilities: Electric: Other
- Home design: Condominium; One level
- Construction: Other construction materials
- Exterior features: Other lot features
Interior
- Bedrooms: One bedroom (main level)
- Bathrooms: One full bathroom (main level)
- Heating & cooling: Other heating; Central air
- Interior features: Central air conditioning
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 1-bed/1.0-bath condo listed at $44k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-88 ($-1k/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $28k (35.3% below list).
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $44k).
- Recommended offer: $28k (35.3% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.
- Cap rate 3.9% vs local median 5.0% in St. Louis — below-typical yield; the buyer is paying a premium for something (appreciation thesis, condition, location) that the cap rate doesn't capture.
Location & tenants
- Location reads: area grade D — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
- St. Louis City (urban): math 10% / reading 18% proficiency, ranked #312 of 324 in MO (top 96%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 80% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Zoned schools: Peabody Elem. (math 5% / reading 5%, grade F, #1,072 of 1,115 statewide, top 98%, 152 students, 98% FRL); Vashon High (math 2% / reading 2%, grade F, #520 of 521 statewide, top 100%, 568 students, 100% FRL) — zoned schools average 99% FRL vs 80% district-wide (18 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+9.2%/yr); 70 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 294 units permitted in St. Louis city in 2024 (227 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $596 of equity ($304 loan paydown + $292 appreciation (0.7% local appreciation)).
- St. Louis County population projected to shrink 6% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 20 days — a 2% lower offer ($43k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts since 13y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: HOA is 59% of rent; built in 1959 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- Built in 1959 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 2.33% ✓
- Cap rate
- 3.89%
- Cash-on-cash
- -8.57%
- DSCR
- 0.62
- GRM
- 3.6
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
0.66% appreciation · 8.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 0.5%
- Equity multiple
- 1.02×
- Total profit
- $305
- Equity at exit
- $14,225
- IRR
- 13.5%
- Equity multiple
- 3.16×
- Total profit
- $26,607
- Equity at exit
- $18,328
Cash invested: $12,292 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 81 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Missouri
- 81 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+10
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 63103
- Home prices YoY
- 0.6%
- Rents YoY
- 9.2%
- Active inventory
- 70
- Price-to-rent
- 3.6×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,024 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$230
- Tax from tax record
- −$48 /mo · $574/yr
- Insurance
- −$18
- HOA
- −$600
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$215
- Net cashflow
- $-88
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $-63 | -5% $-75 | +0% $-88 | +5% $-100 | +10% $-113 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-169 | -5% $-128 | +0% $-88 | +5% $-47 | +10% $-7 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $-66 | -0.5pp $-77 | base $-88 | +0.5pp $-99 | +1.0pp $-111 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $10,975
- Closing costs
- $1,317
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 1 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1133 Washington Ave St. Louis, MO | 2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 637 | $1,034 | $1.62 | 45d | 1 | 0.42mi |
HOA detail condo
- Monthly dues
- $600 · $7,200/yr
- Assessments
- None detected in remarks — confirm with the listing agent.
Listing history 13 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $43,900 Active 20 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $43,900 Active 17 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $43,900 Active 16 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $43,900 Active 15 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $43,900 Active 14 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $43,900 Active 12 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $43,900 Active 8 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $43,900 Active 7 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $43,900 Active 6 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $43,900 Active 3 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $43,900 Active 2 DOM
-
2026-06-02remarks 40-char remark
-
2026-06-02$43,900 Active 1 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast MO · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $574 · $48/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $574 · $48/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥109°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $12,282
- − Mortgage interest
- −$2,459
- − Property taxes
- −$574
- − Insurance
- −$220
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$983
- − Management
- −$983
- − HOA
- −$7,200
- − Depreciation
- −$1,277
- Taxable loss
- −$1,412
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$339
- After-tax cash flow
- $-714/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- St. Louis City
- NCES district ID
- 2929280
- Math proficiency
- 10% ▼ -6.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 18% ▼ -3.00%
- Median HH income
- $35,685
- Composite
- 11.54/100
- National rank
- #9699
- State rank
- #312 of 324 in MO
Livability — St. Louis
No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)
Census & demographics
- Census place
- St. Louis, MO
- County
- Saint Louis City · 254,015 people
- City population
- 283,259
- Metro
- St. Louis, MO-IL
- Population (ZIP)
- 8,778
- Household income
- $40,943
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 960.0
Population outlook (St. Louis County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 315,737 people
- By 2030
- 313,865 · -0.6%
- By 2040
- 305,439 · -3.3%
- By 2050
- 296,529 · -6.1%
- By 2075
- 271,028 · -14.2%
- By 2100
- 255,359 · -19.1%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.65)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 43% Black 40% Asian 8% Two or more races 6% Hispanic / Latino 3%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 3% Lithuanian 2% Italian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 8% · Canada, China
- Languages at home
- 87% English-only · Other Indo-European 4% Spanish 3% Arabic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · St. Louis
- 2024 margin
- Solid D (+64.7) · D 81.4% · R 16.7% · Other 2.0%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -3.5pp toward R · 2008: 68.2pp · 2024: 64.7pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+64.7 2020: D+66.2 2016: D+63.7 2012: D+66.6 2008: D+68.2
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 0.66%
- Current HPI
- 116.4477
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 9.20%
- Metro
- St. Louis, MO-IL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.84%
- F500 in state
- 20
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MO)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 1 | $163B |
|
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| Insurance | 1 | $21B |
|
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| Industrial Technology | 1 | $17B |
|
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| Retail | 1 | $16B |
|
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| Industrial Distribution | 1 | $10B |
|
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| Utilities | 1 | $9B |
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Price history
+46.8% since first listed4 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-01 Listed $43,900 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2013-04-19 Sold (MLS) — MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2013-02-14 Sold (Public Records) $102,451 Public Records
- 2013-01-30 Listed $29,900 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
Property tax history
-7.5%/yrLatest (2020): $574 · +42.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…