CashFlowRE
Sign in Sign up
406 N Catherine N/A
F Composite 31.8
Why this score? — see what drove the F grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +7.9/30.0
  • Appreciation +7.2/10.0
  • 1% rule +3.9/10.0
  • Livability +3.4/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +2.5/10.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • DSCR +1.9/10.0
  • ARV discount +0.0/15.0

$95,000

406 N Catherine N/A · Cherryvale, KS 67335
2 bd · 2.0 ba · 892 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 37 Days on market
Built 2016 5.10 ac lot Est $78k · 22% over ↓ 33% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Newly built in 2016 is a Beautiful custom built 2 bed/ 2 bath home. Stunning custom built iron horse gates. Cedar inside and out. Kitchen features hickory wood cabinets, Walnut counter tops, sink with embossed design of running horses, new appliances, and plenty of storage space. Rustic style sliding doors can be found through out the doorways. Master bedroom has attached full bath with stand up shower, copper ceiling tile design, and heated bathroom flooring!!! Through the rest of the home is stained concrete floors for easy cleaning and upkeep. Home has both full front and back porches with covering, recessed lighting, and stamped concrete pads. From the front porch you can see the 40x40 barn. On the west side of the barn is horse stalls with a catch pen leading out to the 5 acres of grassland for grazing. Security system installed. All electric with central heat and air.

Key facts

  • Fully fenced acres
  • 5.1 acre lot
  • Built 2016

Tags

FULLY FENCED ACRESAGRICULTURAL BUILDING

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $95k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-102 ($-1k/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $77k (19.0% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $85k (10.9% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $77k (19.0% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 68/100 on livability (#214 in KS) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: crime D+, schools F, amenities F.
  • Cherryvale (rural): math 24% / reading 35% proficiency, ranked #108 of 169 in KS (top 64%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
  • Market conditions: 16 active listings in the ZIP; 10 units permitted in Montgomery County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $5k of equity ($657 loan paydown + $4k appreciation (4.3% local appreciation)).
  • Montgomery County population projected at -28% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • By year 7, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$30k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 37 days — a 3% lower offer ($92k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 5 sale attempts since 7y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: property tax is 2.9% of price.
  • Climate carrying-cost: major wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $76,938 (19.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. It's been on market 37 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 19% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  3. Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  7. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  8. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  9. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  10. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.89%
Cap rate
5.00%
Cash-on-cash
-4.61%
DSCR
0.79
GRM
9.4

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$77,604
Comps found
1
Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
729 W 3rd St 0.21mi 2/1.0 954 (+7%) 2mo $83,000 $87 73

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

4.31% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
7.1%
Equity multiple
1.44×
Total profit
$11,787
Equity at exit
$49,920
10-year hold
IRR
9.4%
Equity multiple
2.63×
Total profit
$43,323
Equity at exit
$83,080

Cash invested: $26,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Kansas
83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+10
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day pay-or-quit; preempts local rent control; moderate court pace.

ZIP-level market 67335

Home prices YoY
3.5%
Active inventory
16
Price-to-rent
9.4×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$846 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$498
Tax from tax record
$233 /mo · $2,794/yr
Insurance
$40
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$178
Net cashflow
$-102

Break-even live

Break-even rent $975
Max offer price $76,938
Occupancy floor

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$23,750
Closing costs
$2,850
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 13 events

  1. 2026-04-17
    historical
  2. 2026-03-18
    status Pending
  3. 2026-03-18
    status Pending
  4. 2026-02-24
    status Active
  5. 2026-02-24
    status Active
  6. 2026-01-28
    status Pending
  7. 2026-01-28
    status Pending
  8. 2026-01-13
    listed $95,000 Active
  9. 2026-01-13
    listed $95,000 Active
  10. 2019-09-03
    soldstatus
  11. 2019-08-30
    soldstatus 886-char remark
    Show marketing remark (886 chars)

    Newly built in 2016 is a Beautiful custom built 2 bed/ 2 bath home. Stunning custom built iron horse gates. Cedar inside and out. Kitchen features hickory wood cabinets, Walnut counter tops, sink with embossed design of running horses, new appliances, and plenty of storage space. Rustic style sliding doors can be found through out the doorways. Master bedroom has attached full bath with stand up shower, copper ceiling tile design, and heated bathroom flooring!!! Through the rest of the home is stained concrete floors for easy cleaning and upkeep. Home has both full front and back porches with covering, recessed lighting, and stamped concrete pads. From the front porch you can see the 40x40 barn. On the west side of the barn is horse stalls with a catch pen leading out to the 5 acres of grassland for grazing. Security system installed. All electric with central heat and air.

  12. 2019-07-12
    listed $142,000 886-char remark
    Show marketing remark (886 chars)

    Newly built in 2016 is a Beautiful custom built 2 bed/ 2 bath home. Stunning custom built iron horse gates. Cedar inside and out. Kitchen features hickory wood cabinets, Walnut counter tops, sink with embossed design of running horses, new appliances, and plenty of storage space. Rustic style sliding doors can be found through out the doorways. Master bedroom has attached full bath with stand up shower, copper ceiling tile design, and heated bathroom flooring!!! Through the rest of the home is stained concrete floors for easy cleaning and upkeep. Home has both full front and back porches with covering, recessed lighting, and stamped concrete pads. From the front porch you can see the 40x40 barn. On the west side of the barn is horse stalls with a catch pen leading out to the 5 acres of grassland for grazing. Security system installed. All electric with central heat and air.

  13. 2015-10-26
    soldstatus

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast KS · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$2,794 · $233/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$2,794 · $233/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 6/10 Major
  • 🌡 Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low 2% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$10,152
− Mortgage interest
−$5,321
− Property taxes
−$2,794
− Insurance
−$475
− Repairs & maintenance
−$812
− Management
−$812
− Depreciation
−$2,764
Taxable loss
−$2,826
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$678
After-tax cash flow
$-549/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Cherryvale
NCES district ID
2004740
Math proficiency
24% ▲ 1.00%
Reading proficiency
35% ▲ 6.00%
Median HH income
$43,161
Composite
25.1/100
National rank
#7531
State rank
#108 of 169 in KS

Livability — Cherryvale

Score
68/100
State rank
#214
US rank
#9510

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime D+ Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings B+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Cherryvale, KS
Population (ZIP)
3,300

Population outlook (Montgomery County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
29,729 people
By 2030
27,786 · -6.5%
By 2040
24,201 · -18.6%
By 2050
21,280 · -28.4%
By 2075
16,754 · -43.6%
By 2100
14,088 · -52.6%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (94%)
Race & ethnicity
White 94% Two or more races 4% Hispanic / Latino 2% Native American 1%
Common ancestry
Slovak 2% Iranian 2% Italian 1%
Foreign-born
1% · Canada
Languages at home
98% English-only · Spanish 1% Arabic 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Montgomery

2024 margin
Solid R (+51.1) · D 23.6% · R 74.7% · Other 1.8%
2008→2024 swing
-15.3pp toward R · 2008: -35.8pp · 2024: -51.1pp
All cycles
2024: R+51.1 2020: R+50.2 2016: R+50.8 2012: R+41.4 2008: R+35.8

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 4.31%
Current HPI
128.0231
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
F500 in state
0

Price history

-33.1% since first listed
13 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-17 Listing Removed SCKMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-03-18 Pending Heartland MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-03-18 Pending SCKMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-02-24 Relisted Heartland MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-02-24 Relisted SCKMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-01-28 Pending Heartland MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-01-28 Pending SCKMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-01-13 Listed $95,000 Heartland MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-01-13 Listed $95,000 SCKMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2019-09-03 Sold (Public Records) Public Records
  • 2019-08-30 Sold (MLS) Heartland MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2019-07-12 Listed $142,000 Heartland MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2015-10-26 Sold (Public Records) Public Records

Property tax history

+34.8%/yr

Latest (2025): $2,794 · -11.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…