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86 Carolane Dr Triplex
C+ Composite 64.16
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • 1% rule +8.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +6.5/15.0
  • Livability +3.1/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.9/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.2/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$314,900

86 Carolane Dr · Jackson, TN 38305
None bd · 5.0 ba · 3,208 sqft · MultiFamily public records · 76 Days on market
Built 1974 8,271 sqft lot Est $308k · at est. ↓ 37% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Multi-family units

County records classify this as Multi-Family (2-4 Unit). Listing-text estimate: 3 units. confirmed

Listing remarks

Prime CENTRAL North Jackson Investment Opportunity! This well-maintained triplex on Carolane Drive features a 2 bedroom and 1 full bathroom, kitchen with range and refrigerator with washing machine and dryer connections on each side. Completely renovated within the past 5 years to include new roof, new HVAC units, new windows, etc. Perfect for a savvy investor looking for immediate cash flow. Situated in a quiet cul-de-sac with easy access to the US-45 Bypass, Hollywood Dr, and local shopping. Low-maintenance living in a high-demand rental area. 3rd door's address is 6 Camelot Cove

Key facts

  • Quiet cul-de-sac
  • New hvac units
  • Completely renovated

Tags

WELL MAINTAINED TRIPLEXCOMPLETELY RENOVATEDNEW ROOFNEW HVAC UNITSNEW WINDOWSQUIET CUL-DE-SAC

Property features AI

Finance

  • Financial info: Property configured as a triplex with 3 total units; Reported total rent for unit type entries: $2,997

Exterior

  • Parking: 4 parking spaces
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Natural gas available and connected
  • Home design: Residential income property (triplex); Single-story (one level); Block foundation
  • Construction: Block foundation
  • Exterior features: Corner lot; City street frontage; Publicly maintained road

Interior

  • Kitchen: Electric range; Refrigerator
  • Bathrooms: Units include 1 bathroom each (triplex configuration)
  • Heating & cooling: Central heating; Central air conditioning
  • Interior features: Electric range; Refrigerator
  • Laundry & utility: Washer hookup; Electric dryer hookup

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3 × 2-bed/1.5-bath units multifamily listed at $315k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($16k/yr) — positive. Per door: $445/mo.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($4k rent vs $315k).
  • Recommended offer: $296k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 11.4% vs local median 3.5% in Jackson — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 62/100 on livability (#216 in TN) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: health & safety C-, schools F, crime F.
  • Madison County (urban): math 10% / reading 17% proficiency, ranked #131 of 139 in TN (top 94%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 68% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising (+1.6%/yr); 508 active listings in the ZIP; 247 units permitted in Madison County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • At $4,095/mo this rent would consume 71% of the median local household income ($69k/yr) (locally 2228% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $9k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Madison County population projected at -12% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 1.6% rent growth), your $88k cash investment doubles in ~8 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 76 days — a 6% lower offer ($296k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $296,006 (6.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 76 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
  3. What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
  4. Built in 1974 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  5. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  6. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  7. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  8. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  9. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  10. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  11. How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.30%
Cap rate
11.38%
Cash-on-cash
18.16%
DSCR
1.81
GRM
6.4

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$307,968
Comps found
3
Show comp detail 3 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
23 Camelot Cv 0.06mi —/— 2,970 (-7%) 3mo $250,000 $84 83
21 River Oaks Dr 0.35mi —/— 3,640 (+14%) 14mo $350,000 $96 50
9 River Oaks Dr 0.32mi —/— 3,564 (+11%) 24mo $365,000 $102 46

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 1.58% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
8.2%
Equity multiple
1.32×
Total profit
$28,073
Equity at exit
$46,953
10-year hold
IRR
16.3%
Equity multiple
2.25×
Total profit
$110,423
Equity at exit
$27,227

Cash invested: $88,172 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Tennessee
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+13
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
14-day notice (URLTA); generally landlord-favorable; Nashville court paced moderate.

ZIP-level market 38305

Rents YoY
1.6%
Active inventory
508
Price-to-rent
19.2×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$4,095 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,651
Tax from tax record
$118 /mo · $1,419/yr
Insurance
$131
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$860
Net cashflow
$1,334

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,406
Max offer price $314,900
Occupancy floor 62%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $1,512 -5% $1,423 +0% $1,334 +5% $1,245 +10% $1,156
Rent -10% $1,011 -5% $1,172 +0% $1,334 +5% $1,496 +10% $1,658
Rate -1.0pp $1,493 -0.5pp $1,414 base $1,334 +0.5pp $1,253 +1.0pp $1,170

3-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)

UnitsBedsBathsEst. rent
Total (3 units) $4,095

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$78,725
Closing costs
$9,447
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 6 events

  1. 2026-05-21
    status Pending
  2. 2026-03-06
    listed $314,900 Active
  3. 2025-04-03
    historical $999
  4. 2025-03-26
    listed $999
  5. 2020-10-16
    soldstatus $575,000
  6. 2018-10-01
    soldstatus $501,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast TN · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$1,419 · $118/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$2,236 · $186/mo
Expected delta
+$817/yr (+$68/mo · 57.6%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥109°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 4/10 Moderate 15% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$49,140
− Mortgage interest
−$17,639
− Property taxes
−$1,419
− Insurance
−$1,574
− Repairs & maintenance
−$3,931
− Management
−$3,931
− Depreciation
−$9,161
Taxable income
$11,484
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$2,756
After-tax cash flow
$13,254/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Madison County
NCES district ID
4702580
Math proficiency
10% ▼ -11.00%
Reading proficiency
17% ▼ -4.00%
Median HH income
$42,015
Composite
11.74/100
National rank
#9687
State rank
#131 of 139 in TN

Livability — Jackson

Score
62/100
State rank
#216
US rank
#16488

Category grades

Amenities F Commute C Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety C- User ratings D

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Jackson, TN
County
Madison County · 87,024 people
City population
87,024
Metro
Jackson, TN
Population (ZIP)
53,488
Household income
$68,977
Rent vs Own
36.7% rent · 63.3% own
Severe rent burden
2228.0

Population outlook (Madison County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
95,952 people
By 2030
94,264 · -1.8%
By 2040
89,607 · -6.6%
By 2050
84,133 · -12.3%
By 2075
72,215 · -24.7%
By 2100
62,062 · -35.3%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.57)
Race & ethnicity
White 57% Black 32% Hispanic / Latino 5% Two or more races 5% Asian 2%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 4%
Common ancestry
Serbian 2% Italian 2% Slovak 2%
Foreign-born
4% · Canada
Languages at home
94% English-only · Spanish 4% Other Indo-European 1% Arabic 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Madison

2024 margin
R (+18.2) · D 40.3% · R 58.5% · Other 1.2%
2008→2024 swing
+3.4pp toward D · 2008: -21.6pp · 2024: -18.2pp
All cycles
2024: R+18.2 2020: R+12.9 2016: R+15.6 2012: R+8.9 2008: R+21.6

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -118.63%
Current HPI
195.4511
Rent YoY
▲ 1.58%
Metro
Jackson, TN
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.78%
F500 in state
22

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TN)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-37.1% since first listed
6 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-21 Pending CWTAR
  • 2026-03-06 Listed $314,900 CWTAR
  • 2025-04-03 Rental Removed $999 ZUMPER1
  • 2025-03-26 Listed for Rent $999 ZUMPER1
  • 2020-10-16 Sold (Public Records) $575,000 Public Records
  • 2018-10-01 Sold (Public Records) $501,000 Public Records

Property tax history

-0.4%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,419 · +0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…