Triplex
86 Carolane Dr · Jackson, TN
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $949 – $1,763
Heat risk 7/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 109°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 21 days/yr
Wind risk 4/10 · Minor
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 15.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- 1% rule +8.0/10.0
- ARV discount +6.5/15.0
- Livability +3.1/5.0
- Rent growth +2.9/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.2/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$314,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Multi-family units
County records classify this as Multi-Family (2-4 Unit). Listing-text estimate: 3 units. confirmed
Listing remarks
Prime CENTRAL North Jackson Investment Opportunity! This well-maintained triplex on Carolane Drive features a 2 bedroom and 1 full bathroom, kitchen with range and refrigerator with washing machine and dryer connections on each side. Completely renovated within the past 5 years to include new roof, new HVAC units, new windows, etc. Perfect for a savvy investor looking for immediate cash flow. Situated in a quiet cul-de-sac with easy access to the US-45 Bypass, Hollywood Dr, and local shopping. Low-maintenance living in a high-demand rental area. 3rd door's address is 6 Camelot Cove
Key facts
- Quiet cul-de-sac
- New hvac units
- Completely renovated
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Financial info: Property configured as a triplex with 3 total units; Reported total rent for unit type entries: $2,997
Exterior
- Parking: 4 parking spaces
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Natural gas available and connected
- Home design: Residential income property (triplex); Single-story (one level); Block foundation
- Construction: Block foundation
- Exterior features: Corner lot; City street frontage; Publicly maintained road
Interior
- Kitchen: Electric range; Refrigerator
- Bathrooms: Units include 1 bathroom each (triplex configuration)
- Heating & cooling: Central heating; Central air conditioning
- Interior features: Electric range; Refrigerator
- Laundry & utility: Washer hookup; Electric dryer hookup
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3 × 2-bed/1.5-bath units multifamily listed at $315k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($16k/yr) — positive. Per door: $445/mo.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($4k rent vs $315k).
- Recommended offer: $296k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 11.4% vs local median 3.5% in Jackson — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 62/100 on livability (#216 in TN) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: health & safety C-, schools F, crime F.
- Madison County (urban): math 10% / reading 17% proficiency, ranked #131 of 139 in TN (top 94%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 68% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+1.6%/yr); 508 active listings in the ZIP; 247 units permitted in Madison County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $4,095/mo this rent would consume 71% of the median local household income ($69k/yr) (locally 2228% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $9k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Madison County population projected at -12% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 1.6% rent growth), your $88k cash investment doubles in ~8 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 76 days — a 6% lower offer ($296k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 76 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
- What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
- Built in 1974 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.30% ✓
- Cap rate
- 11.38%
- Cash-on-cash
- 18.16%
- DSCR
- 1.81
- GRM
- 6.4
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $307,968
- Comps found
- 3
Show comp detail 3 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Camelot Cv | 0.06mi | —/— | 2,970 (-7%) | 3mo | $250,000 | $84 | 83 |
| 21 River Oaks Dr | 0.35mi | —/— | 3,640 (+14%) | 14mo | $350,000 | $96 | 50 |
| 9 River Oaks Dr | 0.32mi | —/— | 3,564 (+11%) | 24mo | $365,000 | $102 | 46 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 1.58% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 8.2%
- Equity multiple
- 1.32×
- Total profit
- $28,073
- Equity at exit
- $46,953
- IRR
- 16.3%
- Equity multiple
- 2.25×
- Total profit
- $110,423
- Equity at exit
- $27,227
Cash invested: $88,172 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Tennessee
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+13
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 38305
- Rents YoY
- 1.6%
- Active inventory
- 508
- Price-to-rent
- 19.2×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $4,095 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,651
- Tax from tax record
- −$118 /mo · $1,419/yr
- Insurance
- −$131
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$860
- Net cashflow
- $1,334
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $1,512 | -5% $1,423 | +0% $1,334 | +5% $1,245 | +10% $1,156 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $1,011 | -5% $1,172 | +0% $1,334 | +5% $1,496 | +10% $1,658 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $1,493 | -0.5pp $1,414 | base $1,334 | +0.5pp $1,253 | +1.0pp $1,170 |
3-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)
| Units | Beds | Baths | Est. rent |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3× units | 2 | 1.5 | $4,095 |
| #1 | 2 | 1.5 | $1,365 |
| #2 | 2 | 1.5 | $1,365 |
| #3 | 2 | 1.5 | $1,365 |
| Total (3 units) | $4,095 | ||
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $78,725
- Closing costs
- $9,447
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 6 events
-
2026-05-21status Pending
-
2026-03-06$314,900 Active
-
2025-04-03historical $999
-
2025-03-26$999
-
2020-10-16soldstatus $575,000
-
2018-10-01soldstatus $501,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast TN · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $1,419 · $118/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,236 · $186/mo
- Expected delta
- +$817/yr (+$68/mo · 57.6%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥109°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 4/10 Moderate 15% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $49,140
- − Mortgage interest
- −$17,639
- − Property taxes
- −$1,419
- − Insurance
- −$1,574
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$3,931
- − Management
- −$3,931
- − Depreciation
- −$9,161
- Taxable income
- $11,484
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$2,756
- After-tax cash flow
- $13,254/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Madison County
- NCES district ID
- 4702580
- Math proficiency
- 10% ▼ -11.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 17% ▼ -4.00%
- Median HH income
- $42,015
- Composite
- 11.74/100
- National rank
- #9687
- State rank
- #131 of 139 in TN
Livability — Jackson
- Score
- 62/100
- State rank
- #216
- US rank
- #16488
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Jackson, TN
- County
- Madison County · 87,024 people
- City population
- 87,024
- Metro
- Jackson, TN
- Population (ZIP)
- 53,488
- Household income
- $68,977
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 2228.0
Population outlook (Madison County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 95,952 people
- By 2030
- 94,264 · -1.8%
- By 2040
- 89,607 · -6.6%
- By 2050
- 84,133 · -12.3%
- By 2075
- 72,215 · -24.7%
- By 2100
- 62,062 · -35.3%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.57)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 57% Black 32% Hispanic / Latino 5% Two or more races 5% Asian 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 4%
- Common ancestry
- Serbian 2% Italian 2% Slovak 2%
- Foreign-born
- 4% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 94% English-only · Spanish 4% Other Indo-European 1% Arabic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Madison
- 2024 margin
- R (+18.2) · D 40.3% · R 58.5% · Other 1.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +3.4pp toward D · 2008: -21.6pp · 2024: -18.2pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+18.2 2020: R+12.9 2016: R+15.6 2012: R+8.9 2008: R+21.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -118.63%
- Current HPI
- 195.4511
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 1.58%
- Metro
- Jackson, TN
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.78%
- F500 in state
- 22
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TN)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 3 | $91B |
|
||
| Retail | 3 | $72B |
|
||
| Transportation / Logistics | 1 | $88B |
|
||
| Paper / Packaging | 1 | $19B |
|
||
| Insurance | 1 | $13B |
|
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| Energy | 1 | $12B |
|
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Price history
-37.1% since first listed6 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-21 Pending — CWTAR
- 2026-03-06 Listed $314,900 CWTAR
- 2025-04-03 Rental Removed $999 ZUMPER1
- 2025-03-26 Listed for Rent $999 ZUMPER1
- 2020-10-16 Sold (Public Records) $575,000 Public Records
- 2018-10-01 Sold (Public Records) $501,000 Public Records
Property tax history
-0.4%/yrLatest (2025): $1,419 · +0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…