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9845 Castle Hwy
B+ Composite 78.48
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • Appreciation +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Livability +3.1/5.0
  • Schools +2.9/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0

$34,900

9845 Castle Hwy · Pleasureville, KY 40057
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 994 sqft · Other public records · 62 Days on market
Built 1930 0.27 ac lot

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Great investment opportunity! This 2-bedroom, 1-bath home offers 1,318 square feet of potential and is ready for your vision. Being sold as-is, this property is perfect for investors, flippers, or buyers looking to customize a home to their liking. Whether you're looking to renovate and resell or create a rental property, this is a chance you don't want to miss. Bring your ideas and make it your next successful project! Proceed with CAUTION as floor is week and has hole in bathroom.

Key facts

  • 0.27 acre lot
  • Garage
  • Built 1930

Property features AI

Finance

  • HOA & community: No association fee

Exterior

  • Parking: Detached garage with space for 1 car
  • Utilities: Electricity connected
  • Home design: Single-family traditional home; One-story; Built in 1930; Entry and main living spaces on the first floor
  • Construction: Aluminum siding; Shingle roof; Crawl space foundation
  • Exterior features: Lot is approximately 0.27 acres; No fencing

Interior

  • Kitchen: Kitchen (first floor)
  • Bedrooms: Two bedrooms located on the first floor
  • Bathrooms: One full bathroom (first floor)
  • Heating & cooling: Heating present
  • Interior features: Five total rooms; Living room on the first floor; Dining room on the first floor; Kitchen on the first floor; Full bathroom on the first floor; No basement
  • Laundry & utility: First-floor laundry

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath other listed at $35k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $592 ($7k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $35k).
  • Recommended offer: $33k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 61/100 on livability (#379 in KY) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools D-, amenities F, commute F.
  • Henry County (rural): math 30% / reading 38% proficiency, ranked #68 of 165 in KY (top 41%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: 29 active listings in the ZIP; 65 units permitted in Henry County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $4k of equity ($241 loan paydown + $3k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
  • At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $10k cash investment doubles in ~1 year — after that, you're playing with house money.
  • By year 8, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$32k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 62 days — a 6% lower offer ($33k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts since 8y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $14k (29%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1930 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: moderate wildfire risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $32,806 (6.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 62 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1930 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
2.97%
Cap rate
26.67%
Cash-on-cash
72.76%
DSCR
4.24
GRM
2.8

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

10.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
83.4%
Equity multiple
6.81×
Total profit
$56,751
Equity at exit
$31,441
10-year hold
IRR
77.8%
Equity multiple
15.07×
Total profit
$137,459
Equity at exit
$67,803

Cash invested: $9,772 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Kentucky
83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+16
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
7-day pay-or-quit (URLTA cities); generally landlord-friendly.

ZIP-level market 40057

Home prices YoY
9.8%
Active inventory
29
Price-to-rent
2.8×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,037 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$183
Tax from tax record
$29 /mo · $348/yr
Insurance
$15
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$218
Net cashflow
$592

Break-even live

Break-even rent $287
Max offer price $34,900
Occupancy floor 38%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $612 -5% $602 +0% $592 +5% $583 +10% $573
Rent -10% $511 -5% $552 +0% $592 +5% $633 +10% $674
Rate -1.0pp $610 -0.5pp $601 base $592 +0.5pp $583 +1.0pp $574

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$8,725
Closing costs
$1,047
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 9 events

  1. 2026-05-12
    historical Active Under Contract
  2. 2026-05-05
    price $34,900
  3. 2026-04-28
    price $39,900
  4. 2026-03-27
    listed $49,000 Active
  5. 2018-09-10
    historical
  6. 2018-04-16
    listed $39,900
  7. 1998-10-01
    soldstatus $40,000
  8. 1997-12-01
    soldstatus $38,000
  9. 1984-04-01
    soldstatus $16,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast KY · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$348 · $29/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$348 · $29/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 5/10 Major
  • 🌡 Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥104°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low 3% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$12,442
− Mortgage interest
−$1,955
− Property taxes
−$348
− Insurance
−$174
− Repairs & maintenance
−$995
− Management
−$995
− Depreciation
−$1,015
Taxable income
$6,958
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,670
After-tax cash flow
$5,440/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Henry County
NCES district ID
2102760
Math proficiency
30% ▼ -12.00%
Reading proficiency
38% ▼ -9.00%
Median HH income
$47,899
Composite
29.29/100
National rank
#6557
State rank
#68 of 165 in KY

Livability — Pleasureville

Score
61/100
State rank
#379
US rank
#18051

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A+ Employment D- Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Population (ZIP)
4,275

Population outlook (Henry County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
16,009 people
By 2030
16,127 · +0.7%
By 2040
16,109 · +0.6%
By 2050
15,749 · -1.6%
By 2075
14,586 · -8.9%
By 2100
12,181 · -23.9%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (93%)
Race & ethnicity
White 93% Two or more races 5% Hispanic / Latino 1% Black 1%
Common ancestry
Romanian 5% Iranian 5% Italian 1%
Foreign-born
1% · Canada
Languages at home
98% English-only · Spanish 2%

Political lean MEDSL · Henry

2024 margin
Solid R (+52.5) · D 23.0% · R 75.5% · Other 1.5%
2008→2024 swing
-32.9pp toward R · 2008: -19.6pp · 2024: -52.5pp
All cycles
2024: R+52.5 2020: R+45.6 2016: R+43.6 2012: R+21.4 2008: R+19.6

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 23.98%
Current HPI
268.6994
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.81%
F500 in state
4

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in KY)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+118.1% since first listed
9 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-12 Contingent Metro Search MLS
  • 2026-05-05 Price Changed $34,900 Metro Search MLS
  • 2026-04-28 Price Changed $39,900 Metro Search MLS
  • 2026-03-27 Listed $49,000 Metro Search MLS
  • 2018-09-10 Listing Removed Metro Search MLS
  • 2018-04-16 Listed $39,900 Metro Search MLS
  • 1998-10-01 Sold (Public Records) $40,000 Public Records
  • 1997-12-01 Sold (Public Records) $38,000 Public Records
  • 1984-04-01 Sold (Public Records) $16,000 Public Records

Property tax history

-3.1%/yr

Latest (2025): $348 · +12.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…