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248 Man O War Dr
C- Composite 50.29
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +16.5/30.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • DSCR +5.1/10.0
  • Appreciation +5.0/10.0
  • Schools +4.6/10.0
  • 1% rule +3.6/10.0
  • Livability +3.0/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0

$129,000

248 Man O War Dr · Medicine Bow, WY 82329
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,511 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 57 Days on market
Built 2009 107 ac lot ↓ 19% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

This off-grid home has the potential to be a private oasis nestled on 107 acres, located in a highly sought after area known for antelope hunting! Here you will find a rare opportunity to embrace peace and solitude. While this house needs some elbow grease to truly shine, it offers limitless potential for anyone ready to bring their vision to life. Whether you are seeking a sustainable lifestyle or just looking for an occasional get-away, this property is set up for solar panels and/or generator power. Low voltage refrigerator and freezer. 500 gallon water storage, wood stove, septic, washer and dryer. Located in the WyTex Ranch with unobstructed views for miles!

Key facts

  • Wood stove
  • Generator power
  • Unobstructed views

Tags

107 ACRESSOLAR PANELSGENERATOR POWER500-GALLON WATER STORAGEWOOD STOVEUNOBSTRUCTED VIEWS

Property features AI

Finance

  • Financial info: Annual tax amount reported

Exterior

  • Home design: Single-family residence (rural residential)
  • Exterior features: Located on a 107-acre lot; Part of WYTEX RANCH subdivision

Interior

  • Bathrooms: Contains one three-quarter bathroom
  • Interior features: One three-quarter bathroom

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $129k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $76 ($910/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $111k (14.2% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $111k (14.2% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 59/100 on livability (#127 in WY) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A; Watch: schools C-, amenities F, commute F.
  • Albany County School District #1 (town): math 51% / reading 59% proficiency, ranked #19 of 41 in WY (top 46%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
  • Market conditions: 32 active listings in the ZIP; 99 units permitted in Albany County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $5k of equity ($892 loan paydown + $4k appreciation (3.0% local appreciation)).
  • Albany County population projected at +39% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
  • At projected returns (3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $36k cash investment doubles in ~6 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
  • By year 7, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$30k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 57 days — a 3% lower offer ($125k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 7 sale attempts since 3y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Recommended offer $110,669 (14.2% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 57 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 14% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  4. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  5. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.86%
Cap rate
7.00%
Cash-on-cash
2.52%
DSCR
1.11
GRM
9.7

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
9.8%
Equity multiple
1.56×
Total profit
$20,331
Equity at exit
$58,004
10-year hold
IRR
12.2%
Equity multiple
2.82×
Total profit
$65,570
Equity at exit
$89,391

Cash invested: $36,120 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Wyoming
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+25
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day notice; strongly landlord-favorable; small market.

ZIP-level market 82329

Active inventory
32
Price-to-rent
9.7×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,107 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$676
Tax from tax record
$68 /mo · $818/yr
Insurance
$54
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$232
Net cashflow
$76

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,011
Max offer price $129,000
Occupancy floor 88%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$32,250
Closing costs
$3,870
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 26 events

  1. 2026-06-19
    days on market $129,000 Active 57 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $129,000 Active 56 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $129,000 Active 55 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $129,000 Active 54 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $129,000 Active 53 DOM
  6. 2026-06-14
    days on market $129,000 Active 51 DOM
  7. 2026-06-12
    days on market $129,000 Active 50 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $129,000 Active 47 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $129,000 Active 46 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $129,000 Active 45 DOM
  11. 2026-06-05
    days on market $129,000 Active 42 DOM
  12. 2026-06-03
    days on market $129,000 Active 41 DOM
  13. 2026-06-02
    days on market $129,000 Active 40 DOM
  14. 2026-06-01
    days on market $129,000 Active 39 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $129,000 Active 38 DOM
  16. 2026-05-30
    days on market $129,000 Active 37 DOM
  17. 2026-04-23
    listed $129,000 Active 671-char remark
    Show marketing remark (671 chars)

    This off-grid home has the potential to be a private oasis nestled on 107 acres, located in a highly sought after area known for antelope hunting! Here you will find a rare opportunity to embrace peace and solitude. While this house needs some elbow grease to truly shine, it offers limitless potential for anyone ready to bring their vision to life. Whether you are seeking a sustainable lifestyle or just looking for an occasional get-away, this property is set up for solar panels and/or generator power. Low voltage refrigerator and freezer. 500 gallon water storage, wood stove, septic, washer and dryer. Located in the WyTex Ranch with unobstructed views for miles!

  18. 2026-04-23
    listed $129,000 Active
    Show marketing remark (671 chars)

    This off-grid home has the potential to be a private oasis nestled on 107 acres, located in a highly sought after area known for antelope hunting! Here you will find a rare opportunity to embrace peace and solitude. While this house needs some elbow grease to truly shine, it offers limitless potential for anyone ready to bring their vision to life. Whether you are seeking a sustainable lifestyle or just looking for an occasional get-away, this property is set up for solar panels and/or generator power. Low voltage refrigerator and freezer. 500 gallon water storage, wood stove, septic, washer and dryer. Located in the WyTex Ranch with unobstructed views for miles!

  19. 2026-03-17
    listed $129,000 Active 129-char remark
    Show marketing remark (129 chars)

    Completely off grid. Septic, well, propane, wood stove. Needs finishing. Call 720-450-6933. Motivated for quick sale. Cash only.

  20. 2026-03-17
    listed $129,000 Active
    Show marketing remark (129 chars)

    Completely off grid. Septic, well, propane, wood stove. Needs finishing. Call 720-450-6933. Motivated for quick sale. Cash only.

  21. 2024-05-31
    price $129,000
  22. 2024-04-16
    status Active
  23. 2024-04-16
    price $139,000
  24. 2023-06-22
    listed $159,000
  25. 2023-06-22
    listed $159,000
  26. 2021-06-21
    soldstatus

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast WY · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$818 · $68/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$818 · $68/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥86°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$13,280
− Mortgage interest
−$7,226
− Property taxes
−$818
− Insurance
−$645
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,062
− Management
−$1,062
− Depreciation
−$3,753
Taxable loss
−$1,286
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$309
After-tax cash flow
$1,219/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Albany County School District #1
NCES district ID
5600730
Math proficiency
51% ▼ -11.00%
Reading proficiency
59% ▼ -4.00%
Median HH income
$43,169
Composite
46.25/100
National rank
#2485
State rank
#19 of 41 in WY

Livability — Medicine Bow

Score
59/100
State rank
#127
US rank
#20369

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime C+ Employment F Housing A Health & safety F User ratings D

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Population (ZIP)
336

Population outlook (Albany County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
43,687 people
By 2030
46,862 · +7.3%
By 2040
53,248 · +21.9%
By 2050
60,547 · +38.6%
By 2075
82,326 · +88.4%
By 2100
102,008 · +133.5%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (87%)
Race & ethnicity
White 87% Hispanic / Latino 8% Two or more races 6% Native American 3%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 8%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 10% Portuguese 8% Serbian 4%
Foreign-born
4% · Canada
Languages at home
97% English-only · Spanish 3%

Political lean MEDSL · Albany

2024 margin
Toss-up / Even · D 47.5% · R 50.6% · Other 1.9%
2008→2024 swing
-7.3pp toward R · 2008: 4.1pp · 2024: -3.2pp
All cycles
2024: R+3.2 2020: D+2.8 2016: R+4.3 2012: R+2.5 2008: D+4.1

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
Current HPI
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
F500 in state
0

Price history

-18.9% since first listed
10 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-23 Listed $129,000 WMLS
  • 2026-04-23 Listed $129,000 CBR
  • 2026-03-17 Listed $129,000 ForSaleByOwner.com
  • 2026-03-17 Listed $129,000 ForSaleByOwner.com
  • 2024-05-31 Price Changed $129,000 LBOR
  • 2024-04-16 Relisted LBOR
  • 2024-04-16 Price Changed $139,000 LBOR
  • 2023-06-22 Listed $159,000 LBOR
  • 2023-06-22 Listed $159,000 LBOR
  • 2021-06-21 Sold (Public Records) Public Records

Property tax history

+0.4%/yr

Latest (2025): $818 · -8.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…