1720 S Marshall Rd #41 · Boulder, CO
Flood risk 3/10 · Minor
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.2%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 8/10 · Major
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $939 – $1,743
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 90°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 17 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 4/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 4 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 5 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the A- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Schools +5.1/10.0
- Livability +3.9/5.0
- Rent growth +3.8/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$79,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Nestled in a pristine location with serene views of horse and cattle pastures, and set against the backdrop of the foothills, this charming two-bedroom, one-bath home offers comfort and tranquility. The spacious kitchen features a breakfast bar, perfect for casual dining, while the bathroom is equipped with a convenient walk-in shower. Step outside to enjoy the peaceful backyard, complete with a deck-an ideal space for solitude, meditation, or quiet gatherings. Close to hiking and bike trails.
Key facts
- Spacious kitchen
- Deck
- Walk-in shower
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: Carport
- Utilities: Well water (meter installed); Natural gas available (Xcel Energy)
- Home design: Manufactured in-park home (mobile home); Single-story (manufactured)
- Construction: Composition exterior materials; Other roof type
- Exterior features: Land lease community; Storage structure; Deciduous trees; Paved surfaces; Fire hydrant within 500 feet; Asphalt road surface; Private road to county standards
Interior
- Kitchen: Electric range; Dishwasher; Refrigerator; Garbage disposal
- Bedrooms: 2 bedrooms
- Bathrooms: One three-quarter bathroom
- Interior features: Eat-in kitchen; Open floor plan
- Laundry & utility: Washer; Dryer
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath manufactured listed at $79k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($16k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $79k).
- Recommended offer: $70k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 26.4% vs local median 1.7% in Boulder — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 77/100 on livability (#24 in CO, #2,958 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, health & safety A+; Watch: crime D+, cost of living F.
- Boulder Valley School District No. Re2 (urban): math 49% / reading 67% proficiency, ranked #6 of 86 in CO (top 7%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease; only 16% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
- Zoned schools: Mesa Elementary School (math 54% / reading 77%, grade B+, #61 of 966 statewide, top 6%, 246 students, 13% FRL); Fairview High School (math 79% / reading 91%, grade A, #1 of 381 statewide, top 0%, 1,880 students, 14% FRL) — zoned schools at 13% FRL track the district average.
- Zoned-school proficiency averages 75% at this address vs 58% district-wide (+17 pts) — the actual schools serving this property are materially stronger than the Boulder Valley School District No. Re2 average implies; a family-tenant draw the district grade alone would hide.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+5.2%/yr); 60 active listings in the ZIP; 11 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 22d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); high-income renter base; 1,688 units permitted in Boulder County in 2024 (1,136 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $546 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Boulder County population projected at +40% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 5.2% rent growth), your $22k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 266 days — a 12% lower offer ($70k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 3 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $36k (31%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wildfire risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 266 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 2.88% ✓
- Cap rate
- 26.40%
- Cash-on-cash
- 71.80%
- DSCR
- 4.19
- GRM
- 2.9
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $127,008
- Comps found
- 2
Show comp detail 2 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1720 S Marshall Rd #24 | 0.00mi | 2/1.0 | 896 (+14%) | 7mo | $100,000 | $112 | 71 |
| 1720 S Marshall Rd #19 | 0.00mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 896 (+14%) | 13mo | $145,000 | $162 | 56 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 5.21% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 73.8%
- Equity multiple
- 4.46×
- Total profit
- $76,642
- Equity at exit
- $11,779
- IRR
- 78.2%
- Equity multiple
- 9.92×
- Total profit
- $197,398
- Equity at exit
- $6,830
Cash invested: $22,120 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 38 Tenant-Leaning
- State Colorado
- 38 Tenant-Leaning · D+4
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 80305
- Rents YoY
- 5.2%
- Active inventory
- 60
- Price-to-rent
- 2.9×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,272 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$414
- Tax from tax record
- −$24 /mo · $290/yr
- Insurance
- −$33
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$477
- Net cashflow
- $1,323
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $1,368 | -5% $1,346 | +0% $1,323 | +5% $1,301 | +10% $1,279 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $1,144 | -5% $1,234 | +0% $1,323 | +5% $1,413 | +10% $1,503 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $1,363 | -0.5pp $1,344 | base $1,323 | +0.5pp $1,303 | +1.0pp $1,282 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $19,750
- Closing costs
- $2,370
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 11 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 680 S Lashley Ln Boulder, CO | 2.0 | 1.0–1.5 | 525 | $2,020 | $3.85 | 14d | 22 | 1.25mi |
| 4977 Moorhead Ave Boulder, CO | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 735 | $2,104 | $2.86 | 14d | 22 | 1.26mi |
| 20 S Boulder Cir #2309 Boulder, CO | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1000 | $2,150 | $2.15 | 14d | 1 | 1.29mi |
| 70 S Boulder Cir #7022 Boulder, CO | 1.0 | 1.0 | 637 | $1,495 | $2.35 | 22d | 1 | 1.29mi |
| 640 S Lashley Ln Unit 640-102 Boulder, CO | 2.0 | 1.5 | 650 | $2,020 | $3.11 | 22d | 1 | 1.29mi |
| 640 S Lashley Ln Unit 660-203 Boulder, CO | 1.0 | 1.0 | 550 | $1,495 | $2.72 | 22d | 1 | 1.29mi |
| 4827 Thunderbird Dr Boulder, CO | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 700 | $1,571 | $2.24 | 22d | 6 | 1.30mi |
| 4917 Thunderbird Dr Boulder, CO | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 725 | $1,845 | $2.54 | 22d | 1 | 1.31mi |
| 3455 Table Mesa Dr Boulder, CO | 2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 674 | $2,797 | $4.15 | 14d | 38 | 1.42mi |
| 4800 Osage Dr Boulder, CO | 2.0 | 1.5 | 918 | $2,399 | $2.61 | 14d | 1 | 1.43mi |
| 4990 Osage Dr Boulder, CO | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 735 | $1,855 | $2.52 | 22d | 1 | 1.46mi |
Listing history 23 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $79,000 Active 266 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $79,000 Active 265 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $79,000 Active 264 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $79,000 Active 263 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $79,000 Active 261 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $79,000 Active 260 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $79,000 Active 258 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $79,000 Active 257 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $79,000 Active 256 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $79,000 Active 255 DOM
-
2026-06-05status $79,000 Active 252 DOM
-
2026-05-14status Pending
-
2026-04-02status Active
-
2026-04-01historical
-
2026-03-31price $79,000
-
2026-03-19price $85,000
-
2026-01-28price $89,000
-
2026-01-03status Active
-
2026-01-03price $94,500
-
2025-12-30historical
-
2025-12-09price $95,000
-
2025-11-14price $105,000
-
2025-08-30$115,000 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast CO · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $290 · $24/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $434 · $36/mo
- Expected delta
- +$144/yr (+$12/mo · 49.7%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 3/10 Moderate FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 20% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 8/10 Severe
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥90°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 4/10 Moderate 4 unhealthy d/yr today · 5 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $27,263
- − Mortgage interest
- −$4,425
- − Property taxes
- −$290
- − Insurance
- −$395
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,181
- − Management
- −$2,181
- − Depreciation
- −$2,298
- Taxable income
- $15,493
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$3,718
- After-tax cash flow
- $12,163/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Boulder Valley School District No. Re2
- NCES district ID
- 0802490
- Math proficiency
- 49% ▼ -3.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 67% ▲ 4.00%
- Median HH income
- $70,395
- Composite
- 51.3/100
- National rank
- #1747
- State rank
- #6 of 86 in CO
Livability — Boulder
- Score
- 77/100
- State rank
- #24
- US rank
- #2958
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- County
- Boulder County · 271,666 people
- City population
- 121,246
- Metro
- Boulder, CO
- Population (ZIP)
- 16,291
- Household income
- $126,107
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1048.0
Population outlook (Boulder County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 380,833 people
- By 2030
- 412,028 · +8.2%
- By 2040
- 472,764 · +24.1%
- By 2050
- 532,029 · +39.7%
- By 2075
- 679,723 · +78.5%
- By 2100
- 766,278 · +101.2%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (82%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 82% Two or more races 8% Hispanic / Latino 8% Asian 6%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 4%
- Common ancestry
- Italian 4% Romanian 4% Slovak 4%
- Foreign-born
- 9% · China, Canada, South Korea
- Languages at home
- 88% English-only · Spanish 3% Chinese 2% Other Indo-European 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Boulder
- 2024 margin
- Solid D (+55.8) · D 76.5% · R 20.8% · Other 2.7%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +9.6pp toward D · 2008: 46.1pp · 2024: 55.8pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+55.8 2020: D+56.6 2016: D+48.6 2012: D+41.5 2008: D+46.1
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -930.73%
- Current HPI
- 313.8746
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 5.21%
- Metro
- Boulder, CO
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.95%
- F500 in state
- 14
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in CO)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Technology Distribution | 1 | $31B |
|
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| Food / Agriculture | 1 | $18B |
|
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| Packaging | 1 | $14B |
|
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| Healthcare | 1 | $13B |
|
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| Energy | 1 | $10B |
|
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| Technology | 1 | $4B |
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Price history
-31.3% since first listed12 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-14 Pending — IRES
- 2026-04-02 Relisted — IRES
- 2026-04-01 Listing Removed — IRES
- 2026-03-31 Price Changed $79,000 IRES
- 2026-03-19 Price Changed $85,000 IRES
- 2026-01-28 Price Changed $89,000 IRES
- 2026-01-03 Relisted — IRES
- 2026-01-03 Price Changed $94,500 IRES
- 2025-12-30 Listing Removed — IRES
- 2025-12-09 Price Changed $95,000 IRES
- 2025-11-14 Price Changed $105,000 IRES
- 2025-08-30 Listed $115,000 IRES
Property tax history
+3.5%/yrLatest (2025): $290 · +213.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…