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317 Bellevue Ave
B Composite 72.57
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • 1% rule +7.3/10.0
  • Rent growth +3.3/5.0
  • Livability +3.2/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.3/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$95,000

317 Bellevue Ave · Dayton, OH 45406
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,500 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 93 Days on market
Built 1913 2,143 sqft lot $63/sqft · 25% below area Est $126k · 25% under

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Discover an exceptional opportunity at this captivating residence, perfectly poised to enhance any investment portfolio or provide a comfortable family home in a desirable Dayton neighborhood. This inviting property, featuring three well-appointed bedrooms and one full bathroom, offers significant potential across its 1500 square feet of living space. The home's exterior is distinguished by durable vinyl siding and a recently installed roof, ensuring long-term value and peace of mind. Inside, modern functionality is assured with comprehensive updated plumbing throughout the property. A spacious full basement provides ample additional storage space or presents a compelling opportunity for future expansion and customization. Furthermore, a convenient walk-up attic offers versatile possibilities, accommodating various needs from supplementary storage to a potential creative space. Strategically situated within a welcoming community, this property seamlessly combines comfortable living with the advantages of a prime location, appealing to those seeking both convenience and a strong sense of belonging in the vibrant Dayton area. This residence truly represents a remarkable chance to secure a valuable asset in a thriving community.

Key facts

  • Full basement
  • Vinyl siding
  • Walk-up attic

Tags

VINYL SIDINGRECENTLY INSTALLED ROOFUPDATED PLUMBINGFULL BASEMENTWALK-UP ATTICPRIME LOCATION

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $95k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $354 ($4k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $95k).
  • Recommended offer: $86k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 10.8% vs local median 7.3% in Dayton — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 65/100 on livability (#716 in OH) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A; Watch: amenities C-, crime F, commute F.
  • Dayton City (urban): math 12% / reading 21% proficiency, ranked #641 of 656 in OH (top 98%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 74% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Zoned schools: River'S Edge Montessori Elementary School (math 22% / reading 32%, grade F, #1,193 of 1,584 statewide, top 76%, 494 students, 0% FRL); Belmont High School (math 5% / reading 20%, grade F, #720 of 781 statewide, top 93%, 1,100 students, 0% FRL) — zoned schools average 0% FRL vs 74% district-wide (74 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising (+3.0%/yr); 156 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 46d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 58% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 907 units permitted in Montgomery County in 2024 (416 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $657 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Montgomery County population projected at -10% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $27k cash investment doubles in ~8 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 93 days — a 9% lower offer ($86k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 6 sale attempts since 17y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $50k; list at $95k implies a 90% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1913 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: moderate flood risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $86,450 (9.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 93 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1913 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.23%
Cap rate
10.76%
Cash-on-cash
15.96%
DSCR
1.71
GRM
6.8

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$125,868
List price
$95,000
Delta
-24.52%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
735 Homewood Ave 0.09mi 3/1.0 1,378 (-8%) 2mo $145,500 $106 80
409 Kenilworth Ave 0.15mi 3/1.5 1,596 (+6%) 2mo $142,700 $89 78
509 Homewood Ave 0.26mi 3/1.0 1,420 (-5%) 4mo $95,000 $67 76
238 Delaware Ave 0.28mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,575 (+5%) 2mo $35,000 $22 68
1516 Kumler Ave 0.62mi 3/1.5 1,516 (+1%) 1mo $100,000 $66 67
23 W Norman Ave 0.67mi 3/1.0 1,472 (-2%) 3mo $39,000 $26 63
33 Rockwood Ave 0.41mi 3/1.5 1,690 (+13%) 3mo $76,100 $45 55
119 Audubon Park 0.66mi 3/1.5 1,384 (-8%) 1mo $174,000 $126 54
2 E Hudson Ave 0.64mi 3/1.0 1,661 (+11%) 1mo $35,000 $21 52
534 Geyer St 0.63mi 4/1.0 (+1) 1,640 (+9%) 3mo $54,375 $33 48
2032 Eastview Ave 0.70mi 3/1.5 1,344 (-10%) 3mo $37,510 $28 46
334 Geyer St 0.72mi 2/1.5 (-1) 1,284 (-14%) 2mo $54,900 $43 33

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.03% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
6.9%
Equity multiple
1.27×
Total profit
$7,135
Equity at exit
$14,165
10-year hold
IRR
16.2%
Equity multiple
2.32×
Total profit
$35,222
Equity at exit
$8,214

Cash invested: $26,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
73 Landlord-Friendly
State Ohio
73 Landlord-Friendly · R+6
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day notice; Cleveland / Columbus have some habitability code enforcement; otherwise landlord-leaning.

ZIP-level market 45406

Rents YoY
3.0%
Active inventory
156
Price-to-rent
6.8×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,169 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$498
Tax from tax record
$32 /mo · $382/yr
Insurance
$40
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$245
Net cashflow
$354

Break-even live

Break-even rent $721
Max offer price $95,000
Occupancy floor 65%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $408 -5% $381 +0% $354 +5% $327 +10% $300
Rent -10% $261 -5% $308 +0% $354 +5% $400 +10% $446
Rate -1.0pp $402 -0.5pp $378 base $354 +0.5pp $329 +1.0pp $304

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$23,750
Closing costs
$2,850
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 40 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
942 Harvard Blvd Dayton, OH 3.0 2.0 1596 $1,200 $0.75 5d 1 0.12mi
338 Kenwood Ave Dayton, OH 3.0 1.5 1512 $1,195 $0.79 45d 1 0.18mi
905 Neal Ave Dayton, OH 3.0 1.0 1100 $850 $0.77 45d 1 0.21mi
132 Wroe Ave Unit 132 Dayton, OH 3.0 2.5 1934 $1,297 $0.67 45d 1 0.23mi
1067 Salem Ave Unit 2 Dayton, OH 2.0 1.5 1100 $900 $0.82 45d 1 0.23mi
1067 Salem Ave Unit 3 Dayton, OH 2.0 1.5 1100 $900 $0.82 45d 1 0.23mi
1067 Salem Ave Dayton, OH 2.0 1.0 1100 $900 $0.82 45d 1 0.23mi
518 Delaware Ave Dayton, OH 2.0 1.0 1500 $750 $0.50 45d 1 0.27mi
1225 Amherst Pl Dayton, OH 3.0 1.0 1548 $1,300 $0.84 16d 1 0.31mi
138 Rockwood Ave Dayton, OH 3.0 1.5 1439 $1,200 $0.83 25d 1 0.36mi
136 Rockwood Ave Dayton, OH 3.0 1.5 1439 $1,200 $0.83 45d 1 0.36mi
265 Victor Ave Dayton, OH 3.0 1.0 1204 $900 $0.75 45d 1 0.40mi
1501 Viola Ave Dayton, OH 3.0 1.0 1952 $1,175 $0.60 16d 1 0.42mi
515 W Grand Ave Dayton, OH 2.0 2.0 1100 $1,025 $0.93 45d 1 0.42mi
515 W Grand Ave Dayton, OH 2.0 2.0 1100 $1,025 $0.93 25d 1 0.42mi
515 W Grand Ave Dayton, OH 2.0 2.0 1100 $1,025 $0.93 5d 1 0.42mi
234 Santa Clara Ave Dayton, OH 3.0 1.0 1368 $1,125 $0.82 45d 1 0.48mi
1011 N Broadway St Dayton, OH 3.0 1.5 1700 $950 $0.56 45d 1 0.49mi
1378 Cory Dr Dayton, OH 2.0 1.0 1300 $975 $0.75 45d 1 0.55mi
412 Forest Ave Unit 414 Dayton, OH 3.0 1.5 1200 $1,200 $1.00 45d 1 0.60mi
424 Lexington Ave Dayton, OH 3.0 2.0 1536 $1,025 $0.67 45d 1 0.63mi
534 Geyer St Dayton, OH 4.0 1.0 1640 $1,530 $0.93 25d 1 0.63mi
167 W Hudson Ave Dayton, OH 3.0 1.5 1344 $1,185 $0.88 45d 1 0.65mi
101 W Norman Ave Unit 101 Dayton, OH 3.0 1.0 1600 $945 $0.59 45d 1 0.70mi
181 W Norman Ave Dayton, OH 3.0 2.0 1228 $1,150 $0.94 45d 1 0.73mi
201 W Norman Ave Dayton, OH 3.0 1.0 1424 $1,200 $0.84 45d 1 0.74mi
1119 Superior Ave Unit 1119 Dayton, OH 3.0 1.0 1435 $1,350 $0.94 5d 1 0.74mi
41 W Fairview Ave Unit 2 Dayton, OH 3.0 1.0 1452 $1,200 $0.83 16d 1 0.76mi
31 E Norman Ave Dayton, OH 3.0 1.0 1100 $1,150 $1.05 25d 1 0.76mi
1743 Radcliffe Rd Dayton, OH 3.0 1.5 1729 $1,200 $0.69 45d 1 0.80mi
18 Holt St Unit 24 Dayton, OH 3.0 2.5 1350 $1,450 $1.07 16d 1 0.86mi
848 Riverview Ter Apt 607 Dayton, OH 2.0 1.0 1400 $1,300 $0.93 25d 1 0.91mi
848 Riverview Ter Apt 205 Dayton, OH 2.0 1.0 1100 $1,100 $1.00 16d 1 0.91mi
439 W Fairview Ave Dayton, OH 3.0 1.0 1500 $1,200 $0.80 45d 1 0.92mi
147 Laura Ave Dayton, OH 2.0 1.0 1096 $975 $0.89 25d 1 1.05mi
26 W Beechwood Ave Dayton, OH 3.0 1.5 1468 $1,050 $0.72 45d 1 1.11mi
2232 Salem Ave Dayton, OH 3.0 1.0 1250 $1,200 $0.96 5d 1 1.12mi
115 W Monument Ave Dayton, OH 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.5 1053 $2,199 $2.09 4d 20 1.13mi
2247 Salem Ave Unit 2249 Dayton, OH 3.0 1.5 1300 $1,400 $1.08 45d 1 1.15mi
2247 Salem Ave Unit 2247 Dayton, OH 3.0 1.5 1300 $1,350 $1.04 5d 1 1.15mi

Listing history 39 events

  1. 2026-06-22
    days on market $95,000 Active 93 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $95,000 Active 90 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    price $95,000 Active 89 DOM
  4. 2026-06-17
    days on market $99,000 Active 89 DOM
  5. 2026-06-16
    days on market $99,000 Active 88 DOM
  6. 2026-06-15
    days on market $99,000 Active 87 DOM
  7. 2026-06-14
    days on market $99,000 Active 85 DOM
  8. 2026-06-13
    days on market $99,000 Active 84 DOM
  9. 2026-06-10
    days on market $99,000 Active 82 DOM
  10. 2026-06-09
    days on market $99,000 Active 81 DOM
  11. 2026-06-08
    days on market $99,000 Active 80 DOM
  12. 2026-06-07
    days on market $99,000 Active 79 DOM
  13. 2026-06-05
    days on market $99,000 Active 76 DOM
  14. 2026-06-03
    days on market $99,000 Active 75 DOM
  15. 2026-06-02
    days on market $99,000 Active 74 DOM
  16. 2026-06-01
    days on market $99,000 Active 73 DOM
  17. 2026-05-31
    days on market $99,000 Active 72 DOM
  18. 2026-03-18
    listed $99,000 Active 1245-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1245 chars)

    Discover an exceptional opportunity at this captivating residence, perfectly poised to enhance any investment portfolio or provide a comfortable family home in a desirable Dayton neighborhood. This inviting property, featuring three well-appointed bedrooms and one full bathroom, offers significant potential across its 1500 square feet of living space. The home's exterior is distinguished by durable vinyl siding and a recently installed roof, ensuring long-term value and peace of mind. Inside, modern functionality is assured with comprehensive updated plumbing throughout the property. A spacious full basement provides ample additional storage space or presents a compelling opportunity for future expansion and customization. Furthermore, a convenient walk-up attic offers versatile possibilities, accommodating various needs from supplementary storage to a potential creative space. Strategically situated within a welcoming community, this property seamlessly combines comfortable living with the advantages of a prime location, appealing to those seeking both convenience and a strong sense of belonging in the vibrant Dayton area. This residence truly represents a remarkable chance to secure a valuable asset in a thriving community.

  19. 2024-10-31
    historical
  20. 2024-04-10
    price $99,995
  21. 2024-03-29
    listed $110,000 Active
  22. 2021-05-07
    soldstatus $50,000
  23. 2021-04-20
    soldstatus $50,000 Closed
  24. 2021-04-20
    soldstatus $50,000 Sold
  25. 2021-04-04
    status Pending
  26. 2021-04-01
    price $54,000
  27. 2020-07-12
    price $55,000
  28. 2020-06-04
    price $65,000
  29. 2020-02-28
    listed $69,990 Active
  30. 2019-05-01
    historical
  31. 2019-02-18
    price $9,500
  32. 2019-02-08
    listed $10,000 Active
  33. 2011-08-26
    soldstatus $6,000 Closed
  34. 2011-08-26
    soldstatus $6,000
  35. 2011-07-25
    historical
  36. 2011-05-26
    listed $6,900
  37. 2011-03-02
    historical
  38. 2009-12-07
    listed $24,900
  39. 1993-09-24
    soldstatus $40,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast OH · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$382 · $32/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$932 · $78/mo
Expected delta
+$550/yr (+$46/mo · 144.1%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 5/10 Major FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 65% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥102°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low 0% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$14,025
− Mortgage interest
−$5,321
− Property taxes
−$382
− Insurance
−$475
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,122
− Management
−$1,122
− Depreciation
−$2,764
Taxable income
$2,839
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$681
After-tax cash flow
$3,563/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Dayton City
NCES district ID
3904384
Math proficiency
12% ▼ -12.00%
Reading proficiency
21% ▼ -11.00%
Median HH income
$28,688
Composite
12.94/100
National rank
#9579
State rank
#641 of 656 in OH

Livability — Dayton

Score
65/100
State rank
#716
US rank
#12895

Category grades

Amenities C- Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety A User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Dayton, OH
County
Montgomery County · 459,541 people
City population
164,387
Metro
Dayton-Kettering, OH
Population (ZIP)
19,991
Household income
$41,796
Rent vs Own
52.9% rent · 47.1% own
Severe rent burden
1504.0

Population outlook (Montgomery County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
523,241 people
By 2030
514,948 · -1.6%
By 2040
493,378 · -5.7%
By 2050
469,639 · -10.2%
By 2075
418,360 · -20.0%
By 2100
353,315 · -32.5%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly Black (75%)
Race & ethnicity
Black 75% White 16% Two or more races 7% Hispanic / Latino 3%
Common ancestry
Italian 2% Lithuanian 1% Slovak 1%
Foreign-born
2% · Canada
Languages at home
97% English-only · Spanish 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Montgomery

2024 margin
Toss-up / Even · D 49.8% · R 49.3%
2008→2024 swing
-5.8pp toward R · 2008: 6.2pp · 2024: 0.5pp
All cycles
2024: D+0.5 2020: D+2.2 2016: R+1.2 2012: D+3.1 2008: D+6.2

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -113.75%
Current HPI
197.1302
Rent YoY
▲ 3.03%
Metro
Dayton-Kettering, OH
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.98%
F500 in state
48

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OH)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+147.5% since first listed
22 events — show timeline
  • 2026-03-18 Listed $99,000 Dayton MLS
  • 2024-10-31 Listing Removed Dayton MLS
  • 2024-04-10 Price Changed $99,995 Dayton MLS
  • 2024-03-29 Listed $110,000 Dayton MLS
  • 2021-05-07 Sold (Public Records) $50,000 Public Records
  • 2021-04-20 Sold (MLS) $50,000 Dayton MLS
  • 2021-04-20 Sold (MLS) $50,000 Dayton MLS
  • 2021-04-04 Pending Dayton MLS
  • 2021-04-01 Price Changed $54,000 Dayton MLS
  • 2020-07-12 Price Changed $55,000 Dayton MLS
  • 2020-06-04 Price Changed $65,000 Dayton MLS
  • 2020-02-28 Listed $69,990 Dayton MLS
  • 2019-05-01 Listing Removed Dayton MLS
  • 2019-02-18 Price Changed $9,500 Dayton MLS
  • 2019-02-08 Listed $10,000 Dayton MLS
  • 2011-08-26 Sold (MLS) $6,000 Dayton MLS
  • 2011-08-26 Sold (MLS) $6,000 Dayton MLS
  • 2011-07-25 Listing Removed Dayton MLS
  • 2011-05-26 Listed $6,900 Dayton MLS
  • 2011-03-02 Listing Removed Dayton MLS
  • 2009-12-07 Listed $24,900 Dayton MLS
  • 1993-09-24 Sold (Public Records) $40,000 Public Records

Property tax history

-8.4%/yr

Latest (2025): $382 · +19.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…