2627 S Lamb Blvd #280 · Sunrise Manor, NV
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $490 – $910
Heat risk 8/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 108°F)
- 6 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 14 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 3 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 4 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Livability +2.9/5.0
- Schools +2.6/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$72,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Key facts
- Convenient carport
- Built 2024
- Listed 302 days
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Financial info: List price $72,900
Exterior
- Home design: Single-section, 2 bed 2 bath plan; Spec inventory (new construction)
- Construction: Living area approximately 896; Located at 2627 S Lamb Blvd #280, Las Vegas, NV 89121
Interior
- Bedrooms: 2 bedrooms
- Bathrooms: 2 bathrooms
- Interior features: Dishwasher; Garbage disposal; Refrigerator
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $73k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $622 ($7k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $73k).
- Recommended offer: $64k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 58/100 on livability (#83 in NV) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment D, schools F, crime F.
- Clark County School District (urban): math 21% / reading 39% proficiency, ranked #11 of 17 in NV (top 65%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: Rents soft (-0.1%/yr); 414 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 22d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 14,754 units permitted in Clark County in 2024 (2,301 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 31% of the median local income ($56k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $504 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Clark County population projected at +36% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 0.0% rent growth), your $20k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 303 days — a 12% lower offer ($64k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 6→14/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 303 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.96% ✓
- Cap rate
- 16.54%
- Cash-on-cash
- 36.58%
- DSCR
- 2.63
- GRM
- 4.3
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 29.0%
- Equity multiple
- 2.16×
- Total profit
- $23,662
- Equity at exit
- $10,870
- IRR
- 34.5%
- Equity multiple
- 3.72×
- Total profit
- $55,580
- Equity at exit
- $6,303
Cash invested: $20,412 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 71 Landlord-Friendly
- State Nevada
- 71 Landlord-Friendly · R+1
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 89121
- Rents YoY
- -0.1%
- Active inventory
- 414
- Price-to-rent
- 4.3×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,425 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$382
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$91 /mo · $1,094/yr
- Insurance
- −$30
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$299
- Net cashflow
- $622
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $673 | -5% $647 | +0% $622 | +5% $597 | +10% $572 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $510 | -5% $566 | +0% $622 | +5% $679 | +10% $735 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $659 | -0.5pp $641 | base $622 | +0.5pp $603 | +1.0pp $584 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $18,225
- Closing costs
- $2,187
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 40 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2627 S Lamb Blvd #81 Las Vegas, NV | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1056 | $1,939 | $1.84 | 45d | 1 | 0.03mi |
| 2627 S Lamb Blvd #233 Las Vegas, NV | 2.0 | 1.0 | 896 | $1,669 | $1.86 | 45d | 1 | 0.03mi |
| 3655 E Sahara Ave Las Vegas, NV | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 775 | $1,260 | $1.63 | 25d | 10 | 0.42mi |
| 111 Greenbriar Townhouse Way Las Vegas, NV | 1.0 | 1.0 | 660 | $1,295 | $1.96 | 21d | 1 | 0.64mi |
| 4450 Karen Ave Las Vegas, NV | 2.0 | 2.0 | 975 | $1,432 | $1.47 | 9d | 11 | 0.66mi |
| 3601 E Wyoming Ave Unit 236 Las Vegas, NV | 2.0 | 2.0 | 924 | $1,399 | $1.51 | 12d | 1 | 0.70mi |
| 3601 E Wyoming Ave Spc 527 Las Vegas, NV | 2.0 | 1.0 | 832 | $1,679 | $2.02 | 45d | 1 | 0.70mi |
| 3601 E Wyoming Ave Unit 411 Las Vegas, NV | 2.0 | 2.0 | 896 | $1,729 | $1.93 | 45d | 1 | 0.73mi |
| 3601 E Wyoming Ave Unit 46 Las Vegas, NV | 2.0 | 2.0 | 960 | $1,749 | $1.82 | 45d | 1 | 0.73mi |
| 4550 Karen Ave Las Vegas, NV | 2.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 988 | $1,215 | $1.23 | 16d | 11 | 0.77mi |
| 4555 E Sahara Ave Las Vegas, NV | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1073 | $1,175 | $1.10 | 45d | 4 | 0.79mi |
| 4555 E Sahara Ave Las Vegas, NV | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1073 | $1,188 | $1.11 | 25d | 3 | 0.79mi |
| 2773 Sidewinder Ln Unit B Las Vegas, NV | 2.0 | 2.0 | 918 | $1,000 | $1.09 | 19d | 1 | 0.79mi |
| 3210 S Sandhill Rd Las Vegas, NV | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–1.5 | 661 | $1,391 | $2.10 | 3d | 12 | 0.79mi |
| 2883 Wheelwright Dr Unit 1 Las Vegas, NV | 2.0 | 2.0 | 918 | $1,195 | $1.30 | 9d | 1 | 0.81mi |
| 4555 E Sahara Ave #284 Las Vegas, NV | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1073 | $1,250 | $1.16 | 9d | 1 | 0.82mi |
| 2771 S Mountain Vista St Unit B Las Vegas, NV | 2.0 | 2.0 | 900 | $1,099 | $1.22 | 23d | 1 | 0.83mi |
| 4570 Carriage Park Dr Unit B Las Vegas, NV | 2.0 | 2.0 | 918 | $1,395 | $1.52 | 19d | 1 | 0.84mi |
| 4591 Macher Way Unit D Las Vegas, NV | 2.0 | 2.0 | 918 | $1,100 | $1.20 | 45d | 1 | 0.84mi |
| 4379 Hilldale Ave Las Vegas, NV | 2.0 | 1.0 | 954 | $1,485 | $1.56 | 9d | 1 | 0.86mi |
| 4648 Krissylouise Way Las Vegas, NV | 2.0 | 1.0 | 792 | $1,240 | $1.57 | 17d | 1 | 0.89mi |
| 2687 Aarondavid Dr Unit C Las Vegas, NV | 2.0 | 1.0 | 774 | $1,050 | $1.36 | 9d | 1 | 0.92mi |
| 2687 Aarondavid Dr Unit C Las Vegas, NV | 2.0 | 1.0 | 774 | $1,050 | $1.36 | 5d | 1 | 0.92mi |
| 4640 Vegas Valley Dr Las Vegas, NV | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 853 | $1,340 | $1.57 | 45d | 1 | 0.93mi |
| 4701 E Sahara Ave Las Vegas, NV | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 878 | $1,325 | $1.51 | 3d | 9 | 0.93mi |
| 3012 S Mountain Vista St Unit MV Condo Las Vegas, NV | 2.0 | 1.0 | 828 | $945 | $1.14 | 45d | 1 | 0.94mi |
| 2686 Aarondavid Dr Unit C Las Vegas, NV | 2.0 | 1.0 | 778 | $1,100 | $1.41 | 5d | 1 | 0.94mi |
| 2686 Aarondavid Dr Unit C Las Vegas, NV | 2.0 | 1.0 | 778 | $1,050 | $1.35 | 21d | 1 | 0.94mi |
| 2686 Aarondavid Dr Unit B Las Vegas, NV | 2.0 | 1.0 | 778 | $1,150 | $1.48 | 21d | 1 | 0.94mi |
| 2686 Aarondavid Dr Unit B Las Vegas, NV | 2.0 | 1.0 | 778 | $1,150 | $1.48 | 23d | 1 | 0.94mi |
| 2704 Aarondavid Dr Unit C Las Vegas, NV | 2.0 | 1.0 | 778 | $1,075 | $1.38 | 18d | 1 | 0.94mi |
| 2704 Aarondavid Dr Las Vegas, NV | 2.0 | 1.0 | 778 | $1,075 | $1.38 | 17d | 1 | 0.94mi |
| 2704 Aarondavid Dr Unit A Las Vegas, NV | 2.0 | 1.0 | 778 | $1,075 | $1.38 | 3d | 1 | 0.94mi |
| 2754 Aarondavid Dr Apt C Las Vegas, NV | 2.0 | 1.0 | 778 | $995 | $1.28 | 13d | 1 | 0.95mi |
| 3356 Sylvia St Las Vegas, NV | 2.0 | 1.0 | 731 | $1,255 | $1.72 | 25d | 1 | 0.97mi |
| 3356 Sylvia St Las Vegas, NV | 2.0 | 1.0 | 731 | $1,225 | $1.68 | 4d | 1 | 0.97mi |
| 2674 Bryandouglas Dr Unit B Las Vegas, NV | 2.0 | 1.0 | 778 | $950 | $1.22 | 25d | 1 | 1.00mi |
| 1755 Palm St Las Vegas, NV | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 775 | $1,356 | $1.75 | 4d | 10 | 1.01mi |
| 1341 Oahu St Unit B Las Vegas, NV | 2.0 | 1.0 | 832 | $1,275 | $1.53 | 25d | 1 | 1.09mi |
| 1150 June Ave Las Vegas, NV | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1096 | $2,800 | $2.55 | 45d | 1 | 1.11mi |
Listing history 13 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $72,900 Active 303 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $72,900 Active 300 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $72,900 Active 299 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $72,900 Active 298 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $72,900 Active 297 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $72,900 Active 295 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $72,900 Active 291 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $72,900 Active 290 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $72,900 Active 289 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $72,900 Active 285 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $72,900 Active 284 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $72,900 Active 283 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $72,900 Active 282 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 8/10 Severe 6 d/yr ≥108°F today · 14 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $17,104
- − Mortgage interest
- −$4,084
- − Property taxes
- −$1,094
- − Insurance
- −$364
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,368
- − Management
- −$1,368
- − Depreciation
- −$2,121
- Taxable income
- $6,705
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,609
- After-tax cash flow
- $5,858/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Clark County School District
- NCES district ID
- 3200060
- Math proficiency
- 21% ▼ -13.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 39% ▼ -8.00%
- Median HH income
- $53,611
- Composite
- 26.48/100
- National rank
- #7211
- State rank
- #11 of 17 in NV
Livability — Sunrise Manor
- Score
- 58/100
- State rank
- #83
- US rank
- #20692
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Sunrise Manor, NV
- County
- Clark County · 2,306,105 people
- City population
- 227,885
- Metro
- Las Vegas-Henderson-Paradise, NV
- Population (ZIP)
- 68,406
- Household income
- $55,758
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 4080.0
Population outlook (Clark County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 2,504,101 people
- By 2030
- 2,693,770 · +7.6%
- By 2040
- 3,061,208 · +22.2%
- By 2050
- 3,400,072 · +35.8%
- By 2075
- 4,139,522 · +65.3%
- By 2100
- 4,596,916 · +83.6%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.65)
- Race & ethnicity
- Hispanic / Latino 49% White 31% Two or more races 16% Black 11% Asian 4% Native American 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 30% Puerto Rican 1% Cuban 5%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 2% Romanian 1% Slovak 1%
- Foreign-born
- 27% · Canada, Dominican Republic, Jamaica
- Languages at home
- 57% English-only · Spanish 37% Tagalog/Filipino 2% Other Asian/Pacific 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Clark
- 2024 margin
- Toss-up / Even · D 50.4% · R 47.8% · Other 1.7%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -16.5pp toward R · 2008: 19.1pp · 2024: 2.6pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+2.6 2020: D+9.3 2016: D+10.7 2012: D+14.5 2008: D+19.1
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -241.85%
- Current HPI
- 302.201
- Rent YoY
- ▼ -0.10%
- Metro
- Las Vegas-Henderson-Paradise, NV
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.08%
- F500 in state
- 6
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NV)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Hotels / Casinos | 3 | $36B |
|
||
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…