1413 W Stamper St · Beeville, TX
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,222 – $2,270
Heat risk 8/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 110°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 22 days/yr
Wind risk 8/10 · Major
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- 1% rule +9.8/10.0
- Livability +3.5/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Schools +2.5/10.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$74,900
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Home for sale !! Casa Dueno a Dueno - 3 beds 1 bath - Large lot - Close to schools and parks - Easy access to highways - Great neighbors - Restaurants and shops nearby Owner financing available 361 333 1220
Key facts
- 7,500 sq ft lot
- Built 1966
- Listed 31 days
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: Concrete parking
- Utilities: Public sewer available; Sewer available
- Home design: Single-story; Entry level: 1
- Construction: Shingle roof; Shingle siding; Wood siding; Pillar/post/pier foundation; Built as a 1-story structure
- Exterior features: Wood fencing; No additional exterior features listed
Interior
- Kitchen: Electric cooktop; Electric oven; Electric range
- Flooring: Laminate
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Window unit heating; Window unit cooling
- Interior features: Open floor plan; Ceiling fan(s)
- Laundry & utility: Washer hookup; Dryer hookup
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $75k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $328 ($4k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $75k).
- Recommended offer: $73k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 11.6% vs local median 3.4% in Beeville — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 70/100 on livability (#354 in TX) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: schools D+, crime D-, amenities F.
- Beeville ISD (town): math 23% / reading 37% proficiency, ranked #638 of 826 in TX (top 77%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 68% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: 187 active listings in the ZIP; 3 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 44d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 67% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 15 units permitted in Bee County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $518 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Bee County population projected at +24% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $21k cash investment doubles in ~7 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 32 days — a 3% lower offer ($73k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→22/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 32 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1966 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.48% ✓
- Cap rate
- 11.55%
- Cash-on-cash
- 18.78%
- DSCR
- 1.84
- GRM
- 5.6
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $133,104
- Comps found
- 7
Show comp detail 7 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 103 N Lightburne St | 0.39mi | 3/1.5 | 1,140 (+1%) | 14mo | $147,000 | $129 | 67 |
| 604 S Alta Vista St | 0.10mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 964 (-14%) | 1mo | $169,000 | $175 | 65 |
| 510 W Springer St | 0.64mi | 3/1.0 | 1,134 (+0%) | 12mo | $149,999 | $132 | 60 |
| 909 W Crockett | 0.40mi | 3/1.0 | 1,272 (+13%) | 2mo | $149,000 | $117 | 58 |
| 505 W Sylvia | 0.68mi | 3/1.0 | 1,185 (+5%) | 4mo | $38,500 | $32 | 56 |
| 1713 W Crockett St | 0.31mi | 3/1.5 | 1,003 (-11%) | 17mo | $99,750 | $99 | 50 |
| 815 W Morales | 0.62mi | 3/2.5 | 1,268 (+12%) | 14mo | $149,000 | $118 | 33 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 10.6%
- Equity multiple
- 1.42×
- Total profit
- $8,798
- Equity at exit
- $11,168
- IRR
- 19.7%
- Equity multiple
- 2.66×
- Total profit
- $34,716
- Equity at exit
- $6,476
Cash invested: $20,972 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Texas
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 78102
- Home prices YoY
- -34.5%
- Active inventory
- 187
- Price-to-rent
- 5.6×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,109 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$393
- Tax from tax record
- −$124 /mo · $1,485/yr
- Insurance
- −$31
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$233
- Net cashflow
- $328
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $18,725
- Closing costs
- $2,247
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 3 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 908 W Youst St Beeville, TX | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1400 | $1,150 | $0.82 | 21d | 1 | 0.40mi |
| 1400 S St Marys St Beeville, TX | 2.0 | 1.0 | 814 | $900 | $1.11 | 44d | 1 | 1.14mi |
| 600 E Crockett St Beeville, TX | 2.0 | 1.0 | 990 | $750 | $0.76 | 44d | 1 | 1.35mi |
Listing history 22 events
-
2026-06-19days on market $74,900 Active 32 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $74,900 Active 31 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $74,900 Active 30 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $74,900 Active 29 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $74,900 Active 28 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $74,900 Active 26 DOM
-
2026-06-12days on market $74,900 Active 25 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $74,900 Active 22 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $74,900 Active 21 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $74,900 Active 20 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $74,900 Active 19 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $74,900 Active 16 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $74,900 Active 15 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $74,900 Active 14 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $74,900 Active 13 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $74,900 Active 12 DOM
-
2026-05-12$75,000 Active 215-char remark
Show marketing remark (215 chars)
Home for sale !! Casa Dueno a Dueno - 3 beds 1 bath - Large lot - Close to schools and parks - Easy access to highways - Great neighbors - Restaurants and shops nearby Owner financing available 361 333 1220
-
2026-05-11$74,900 Active 141-char remark
-
2024-06-04soldstatus
-
2022-03-14soldstatus
-
2020-01-08soldstatus
-
2019-12-11soldstatus
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $1,485 · $124/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,485 · $124/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥110°F today · 22 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 8/10 Severe 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $13,305
- − Mortgage interest
- −$4,196
- − Property taxes
- −$1,485
- − Insurance
- −$374
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,064
- − Management
- −$1,064
- − Depreciation
- −$2,179
- Taxable income
- $2,942
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$706
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,232/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Beeville ISD
- NCES district ID
- 4809720
- Math proficiency
- 23% ▼ -12.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 37% ▲ 3.00%
- Median HH income
- $40,319
- Composite
- 25.23/100
- National rank
- #7503
- State rank
- #638 of 826 in TX
Livability — Beeville
- Score
- 70/100
- State rank
- #354
- US rank
- #7698
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Beeville, TX
- County
- Bee County · 27,455 people
- City population
- 27,455
- Metro
- Beeville, TX
- Population (ZIP)
- 27,455
- Household income
- $58,939
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 853.0
Population outlook (Bee County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 35,003 people
- By 2030
- 36,447 · +4.1%
- By 2040
- 39,810 · +13.7%
- By 2050
- 43,525 · +24.3%
- By 2075
- 51,766 · +47.9%
- By 2100
- 53,434 · +52.7%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Majority Hispanic (62%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Hispanic / Latino 62% Two or more races 29% White 27% Black 7%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 55%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 1% Slovak 1%
- Foreign-born
- 5% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 66% English-only · Spanish 33%
Political lean MEDSL · Bee
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+39.9) · D 29.6% · R 69.5%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -29.8pp toward R · 2008: -10.1pp · 2024: -39.9pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+39.9 2020: R+28.9 2016: R+15.4 2012: R+11.5 2008: R+10.1
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -76.59%
- Current HPI
- 145.1182
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Beeville, TX
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.95%
- F500 in state
- 110
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Energy | 16 | $1,198B |
|
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| Technology | 5 | $198B |
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| Engineering / Construction | 4 | $72B |
|
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| Energy Services | 3 | $60B |
|
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| Utilities | 3 | $41B |
|
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| Healthcare | 2 | $330B |
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Price history
+0.1% since first listed6 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-12 Listed $75,000 FSBO.com
- 2026-05-11 Listed $74,900 CBMLS
- 2024-06-04 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 2022-03-14 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 2020-01-08 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 2019-12-11 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
Property tax history
+5.4%/yrLatest (2025): $1,485 · +4.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…