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4170 S Santiam Hwy #6
B- Composite 69.62
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Rent growth +3.6/5.0
  • Schools +3.0/10.0
  • Livability +3.0/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$59,000

4170 S Santiam Hwy #6 · South Lebanon, OR 97355
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,440 sqft · Other public records · 31 Days on market
Built 1972

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

LOOK HERE! Spacious and affordable! Home features: Nice and open, big kitchen with plenty of cabinet and counter space, good size rooms and bathrooms, large living area, lots of built in storage areas, double sinks in the full bath, inside utility, placed on a good size lot in a park in a convenient location, plus much more! Park Rent is $450 and includes water/sewer/garbage

Key facts

  • Close to town
  • Ample parking
  • Nearby parks

Tags

AMPLE PARKINGEASY ACCESS TO SHOPPINGCLOSE TO TOWNMINUTES FROM LAKE CHEADLENEARBY PARKS

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath other listed at $59k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($15k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $59k).
  • Recommended offer: $57k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 60/100 on livability (#280 in OR) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: housing A+; Watch: health & safety C-, crime D, amenities F.
  • Lebanon Community SD 9 (town): math 27% / reading 43% proficiency, ranked #26 of 58 in OR (top 45%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Zoned schools: Riverview School (math 24% / reading 44%, grade F, #218 of 412 statewide, top 58%, 401 students, 69% FRL); Seven Oak Middle School (math 23% / reading 43%, grade F, #76 of 128 statewide, top 60%, 593 students, 70% FRL); Lebanon High School (math 5% / reading 15%, grade F, #141 of 143 statewide, top 99%, 1,289 students, 69% FRL) — zoned schools average 69% FRL vs 53% district-wide (16 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.5%/yr); 246 active listings in the ZIP; 4 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 44d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 100% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 311 units permitted in Linn County in 2024 (60 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 37% of the median local income ($69k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $408 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Linn County population projected at +5% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 4.5% rent growth), your $17k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 31 days — a 3% lower offer ($57k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 5 sale attempts since 9y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $30k; list at $59k implies a 97% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: moderate wildfire risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $57,230 (3.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 31 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1972 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  5. Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
3.54%
Cap rate
31.56%
Cash-on-cash
90.23%
DSCR
5.01
GRM
2.4

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 4.55% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
92.7%
Equity multiple
5.41×
Total profit
$72,892
Equity at exit
$8,797
10-year hold
IRR
95.8%
Equity multiple
11.86×
Total profit
$179,480
Equity at exit
$5,101

Cash invested: $16,520 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
28 Tenant-Leaning
State Oregon
28 Tenant-Leaning · D+6
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
SB608 (2019): statewide rent cap (7% + CPI) and just-cause for tenancies > 1 yr. Portland has relocation assistance ordinance.

ZIP-level market 97355

Rents YoY
4.5%
Active inventory
246
Price-to-rent
2.4×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,088 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$309
Tax est. 1.5%
$74 /mo · $885/yr
Insurance
$25
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$439
Net cashflow
$1,242

Break-even live

Break-even rent $516
Max offer price $59,000
Occupancy floor 36%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$14,750
Closing costs
$1,770
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 4 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
362 Seven Oaks Ln Lebanon, OR 3.0 2.5 1513 $2,250 $1.49 43d 2 0.46mi
3463 Snow Bird Dr Lebanon, OR 2.0 2.0 1621 $2,200 $1.36 43d 1 1.10mi
86 Weldwood Dr Lebanon, OR 2.0 2.0 1222 $1,650 $1.35 43d 1 1.17mi
26 Sand Ridge Ct Lebanon, OR 3.0 2.5 1696 $2,345 $1.38 43d 1 1.38mi

Listing history 14 events

  1. 2026-04-08
    status Pending
  2. 2026-03-08
    listed $59,000 Active
  3. 2023-09-01
    historical
  4. 2023-08-18
    price $49,000
  5. 2023-07-30
    status Active
  6. 2023-07-12
    historical
  7. 2023-07-08
    listed $75,000 Active
  8. 2017-12-11
    soldstatus $30,000 Sold 377-char remark
    Show marketing remark (377 chars)

    LOOK HERE! Spacious and affordable! Home features: Nice and open, big kitchen with plenty of cabinet and counter space, good size rooms and bathrooms, large living area, lots of built in storage areas, double sinks in the full bath, inside utility, placed on a good size lot in a park in a convenient location, plus much more! Park Rent is $450 and includes water/sewer/garbage

  9. 2017-12-11
    soldstatus $30,000 Sold
    Show marketing remark (377 chars)

    LOOK HERE! Spacious and affordable! Home features: Nice and open, big kitchen with plenty of cabinet and counter space, good size rooms and bathrooms, large living area, lots of built in storage areas, double sinks in the full bath, inside utility, placed on a good size lot in a park in a convenient location, plus much more! Park Rent is $450 and includes water/sewer/garbage

  10. 2017-11-30
    historical Active under Contract
    Show marketing remark (377 chars)

    LOOK HERE! Spacious and affordable! Home features: Nice and open, big kitchen with plenty of cabinet and counter space, good size rooms and bathrooms, large living area, lots of built in storage areas, double sinks in the full bath, inside utility, placed on a good size lot in a park in a convenient location, plus much more! Park Rent is $450 and includes water/sewer/garbage

  11. 2017-11-30
    status Pending 377-char remark
    Show marketing remark (377 chars)

    LOOK HERE! Spacious and affordable! Home features: Nice and open, big kitchen with plenty of cabinet and counter space, good size rooms and bathrooms, large living area, lots of built in storage areas, double sinks in the full bath, inside utility, placed on a good size lot in a park in a convenient location, plus much more! Park Rent is $450 and includes water/sewer/garbage

  12. 2017-07-24
    listed $30,000 Active 377-char remark
    Show marketing remark (377 chars)

    LOOK HERE! Spacious and affordable! Home features: Nice and open, big kitchen with plenty of cabinet and counter space, good size rooms and bathrooms, large living area, lots of built in storage areas, double sinks in the full bath, inside utility, placed on a good size lot in a park in a convenient location, plus much more! Park Rent is $450 and includes water/sewer/garbage

  13. 2017-07-20
    listed $30,000 Active
  14. 1992-08-17
    soldstatus $42,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 5/10 Major
  • 🌡 Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥91°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 10/10 Extreme 11 unhealthy d/yr today · 13 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$25,062
− Mortgage interest
−$3,305
− Property taxes
−$885
− Insurance
−$295
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,005
− Management
−$2,005
− Depreciation
−$1,716
Taxable income
$14,850
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$3,564
After-tax cash flow
$11,342/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Lebanon Community SD 9
NCES district ID
4107380
Math proficiency
27% ▼ -10.00%
Reading proficiency
43% ▼ -4.00%
Median HH income
$45,264
Composite
29.83/100
National rank
#6418
State rank
#26 of 58 in OR

Livability — South Lebanon

Score
60/100
State rank
#280
US rank
#18823

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living C+ Crime D Employment C Housing A+ Health & safety C- User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
South Lebanon, OR
County
Linn County · 70,700 people
Metro
Albany-Lebanon, OR
Population (ZIP)
34,292
Household income
$68,595
Rent vs Own
31.7% rent · 68.3% own
Severe rent burden
1051.0

Population outlook (Linn County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
127,026 people
By 2030
129,540 · +2.0%
By 2040
132,780 · +4.5%
By 2050
133,614 · +5.2%
By 2075
129,061 · +1.6%
By 2100
112,224 · -11.7%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (87%)
Race & ethnicity
White 87% Hispanic / Latino 7% Two or more races 7%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 6%
Common ancestry
Italian 5% Slovak 3% Portuguese 3%
Foreign-born
4% · Canada
Languages at home
93% English-only · Spanish 5% French/Haitian/Cajun 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Linn

2024 margin
Strong R (+24.4) · D 36.2% · R 60.6% · Other 3.1%
2008→2024 swing
-13.0pp toward R · 2008: -11.4pp · 2024: -24.4pp
All cycles
2024: R+24.4 2020: R+23.4 2016: R+27.8 2012: R+17.2 2008: R+11.4

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -528.42%
Current HPI
221.8977
Rent YoY
▲ 4.55%
Metro
Albany-Lebanon, OR
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.05%
F500 in state
2

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OR)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+40.5% since first listed
14 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-08 Pending RMLS
  • 2026-03-08 Listed $59,000 RMLS
  • 2023-09-01 Listing Removed WVMLS
  • 2023-08-18 Price Changed $49,000 WVMLS
  • 2023-07-30 Relisted WVMLS
  • 2023-07-12 Listing Removed WVMLS
  • 2023-07-08 Listed $75,000 WVMLS
  • 2017-12-11 Sold (MLS) $30,000 WVMLS
  • 2017-12-11 Sold (MLS) $30,000 RMLS
  • 2017-11-30 Contingent WVMLS
  • 2017-11-30 Pending RMLS
  • 2017-07-24 Listed $30,000 RMLS
  • 2017-07-20 Listed $30,000 WVMLS
  • 1992-08-17 Sold (Public Records) $42,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+4.0%/yr

Latest (2025): $104 · +35.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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