721 N Victoria Ave · Ventnor City, NJ
Flood risk 7/10 · Major
- FEMA flood zone
- AE
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.97%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $1,737 – $8,500
Fire risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $526 – $976
Heat risk 8/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 95°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 16 days/yr
Wind risk 8/10 · Major
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 80.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +21.3/30.0
- DSCR +6.8/10.0
- Rent growth +5.0/5.0
- 1% rule +4.8/10.0
- Livability +3.6/5.0
- Schools +3.3/10.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- ARV discount +1.1/15.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$621,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
SHORT SALE !! A nice townhouse in ventnor Hgts. Great location by the bay. House is in good condition, but can be better.
Key facts
- Fenced yard
- Updated kitchen
- Parking
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Sellers Property Condition disclosure available
Exterior
- Parking: One exterior parking space; No garage
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Gas water heater
- Home design: For sale
- Construction: Concrete driveway
- Exterior features: Fenced yard; Porch; Patio; Sprinkler system; Concrete driveway; Lot dimensions approximately 40 x 60; Zoned R8; Located in a floodplain
Interior
- Kitchen: Gas stove; Dishwasher; Microwave; Trash compactor; Disposal
- Bedrooms: Primary bedroom on main level; Additional bedrooms on upper level
- Flooring: Hardwood; Wall-to-wall carpet
- Bathrooms: Two full bathrooms; One half bathroom; Full bathrooms on upper level
- Heating & cooling: Central air; Ceiling fans; Forced air heating; Natural gas heating; Hot water heating
- Interior features: Blinds; Dining area; Pantry; Powder room on main level; Nine total rooms
- Laundry & utility: Washer; Dryer
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/2.5-bath single-family listed at $621k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $486 ($6k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $609k (1.9% below list).
- Recommended offer: $602k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 8.1% vs local median 4.1% in Ventnor City — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 72/100 on livability (#202 in NJ) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: health & safety A+, commute A-, crime B+; Watch: amenities F, cost of living F.
- Ventnor City School District (suburban): math 27% / reading 49% proficiency, ranked #266 of 472 in NJ (top 56%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Ventnor Elementary School (math 27% / reading 42%, grade F, #582 of 1,303 statewide, top 49%, 304 students, 47% FRL); Ventnor Middle School (math 28% / reading 52%, grade F, #197 of 431 statewide, top 46%, 204 students, 62% FRL) — zoned schools at 54% FRL track the district average.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+57.3%/yr); 160 active listings in the ZIP; 15 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 23d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 672 units permitted in Atlantic County in 2024 (258 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $4k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $19k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Atlantic County population projected at -12% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 8.0% rent growth), your $174k cash investment doubles in ~10 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 59 days — a 3% lower offer ($602k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 4 sale attempts since 23y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $173k; list at $621k implies a 258% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $427/mo.
- Climate carrying-cost: in FEMA flood zone AE (mandatory federal flood insurance); severe wind risk, 80% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→16/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 59 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.98% ✗
- Cap rate
- 8.06%
- Cash-on-cash
- 6.29%
- DSCR
- 1.28
- GRM
- 8.5
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $543,774
- List price
- $621,000
- Delta
- 14.20%
- Verdict
- OVERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 9 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 703 N Burghley Ave | 0.32mi | 4/2.5 | 1,779 (+6%) | 4mo | $605,000 | $340 | 71 |
| 607 N Dorset Ave | 0.28mi | 3/1.5 (-1) | 1,772 (+6%) | 3mo | $544,900 | $308 | 65 |
| 812 N Dorset Ave | 0.28mi | 3/2.5 (-1) | 1,808 (+8%) | 10mo | $635,000 | $351 | 60 |
| 207 N Harvard Ave | 0.75mi | 3/2.5 (-1) | 1,671 (-0%) | 2mo | $735,000 | $440 | 59 |
| 504 N Burghley Ave | 0.43mi | 4/2.5 | 1,918 (+15%) | 2mo | $835,000 | $435 | 54 |
| 604 N Cambridge Ave | 0.45mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,552 (-7%) | 11mo | $550,000 | $354 | 50 |
| 202 N Suffolk Ave | 0.60mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,520 (-9%) | 15mo | $404,000 | $266 | 38 |
| 312 N Oxford Ave | 0.50mi | 3/1.5 (-1) | 1,500 (-10%) | 24mo | $495,000 | $330 | 31 |
| 213 N Derby Ave | 0.64mi | 3/1.5 (-1) | 1,464 (-12%) | 16mo | $507,000 | $346 | 27 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 8.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -5.5%
- Equity multiple
- 0.78×
- Total profit
- $-37,407
- Equity at exit
- $92,593
- IRR
- 9.4%
- Equity multiple
- 1.89×
- Total profit
- $154,193
- Equity at exit
- $53,693
Cash invested: $173,880 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 21 Tenant-Leaning
- State New Jersey
- 21 Tenant-Leaning · D+6
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 08406
- Home prices YoY
- -33.3%
- Rents YoY
- 57.3%
- Active inventory
- 160
- Price-to-rent
- 8.5×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $6,090 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$3,257
- Tax from tax record
- −$384 /mo · $4,606/yr
- Insurance
- −$259
- Flood insurance flood zone
- −$427 /mo · $5,118/yr
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$1,279
- Net cashflow
- $486
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $837 | -5% $661 | +0% $486 | +5% $310 | +10% $134 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $4 | -5% $245 | +0% $486 | +5% $726 | +10% $967 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $798 | -0.5pp $643 | base $486 | +0.5pp $325 | +1.0pp $161 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $155,250
- Closing costs
- $18,630
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 15 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 610A N Victoria Ave Ventnor City, NJ | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1800 | $2,550 | $1.42 | 23d | 1 | 0.13mi |
| 406 N Dorset Ave Ventnor City, NJ | 4.0 | 1.5 | 1568 | $13,000 | $8.29 | 15d | 1 | 0.46mi |
| 24 N Baton Rouge Ave Ventnor City, NJ | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1350 | $18,000 | $13.33 | 15d | 1 | 0.86mi |
| 3 S Surrey Ave Unit 1309004P Ventnor City, NJ | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1087 | $8,055 | $7.41 | 23d | 1 | 0.88mi |
| 3 S Surrey Ave Unit 1308991P Ventnor City, NJ | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1087 | $7,267 | $6.69 | 45d | 1 | 0.88mi |
| 1 N Austin Ave Unit 1308998P Ventnor City, NJ | 3.0 | 3.0 | 2195 | $7,184 | $3.27 | 23d | 1 | 0.88mi |
| 512 N Harrisburg Ave Atlantic City, NJ | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1156 | $2,800 | $2.42 | 15d | 1 | 1.10mi |
| 109 N Wissahickon Ave Unit B Ventnor City, NJ | 4.0 | 3.5 | 2000 | $25,000 | $12.50 | 23d | 1 | 1.11mi |
| 21 N Laclede Pl Atlantic City, NJ | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1200 | $2,000 | $1.67 | 23d | 1 | 1.17mi |
| 7 S Richards Ave Ventnor City, NJ | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1600 | $25,000 | $15.62 | 15d | 1 | 1.18mi |
| 36 Chelsea Ct Atlantic City, NJ | 3.0 | 2.5 | 2100 | $3,300 | $1.57 | 15d | 1 | 1.23mi |
| 6 N Melbourne Ave Ventnor City, NJ | 4.0 | 3.5 | 2028 | $3,000 | $1.48 | 45d | 1 | 1.34mi |
| 3809 Ventnor Ave #6 Atlantic City, NJ | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1500 | $2,100 | $1.40 | 23d | 1 | 1.37mi |
| 3636 Winchester Ave Atlantic City, NJ | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1094 | $1,995 | $1.82 | 23d | 1 | 1.41mi |
| 119 N Belmont Ave Unit June 2026 Margate City, NJ | 4.0 | 2.5 | 2044 | $10,000 | $4.89 | 15d | 1 | 1.42mi |
Listing history 29 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $621,000 Active 59 DOM
-
2026-06-19days on market $621,000 Active 57 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $621,000 Active 56 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $621,000 Active 55 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $621,000 Active 54 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $621,000 Active 53 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $621,000 Active 51 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $621,000 Active 50 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $621,000 Active 48 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $621,000 Active 47 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $621,000 Active 46 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $621,000 Active 45 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $621,000 Active 41 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $621,000 Active 40 DOM
-
2026-06-01pricedays on market $621,000 Active 39 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $638,500 Active 38 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $638,500 Active 37 DOM
-
2026-04-23$638,500 Active 809-char remark
-
2012-06-25soldstatus $173,400
-
2012-06-15soldstatus $173,400 122-char remark
Show marketing remark (122 chars)
SHORT SALE !! A nice townhouse in ventnor Hgts. Great location by the bay. House is in good condition, but can be better.
-
2012-05-04historical 122-char remark
Show marketing remark (122 chars)
SHORT SALE !! A nice townhouse in ventnor Hgts. Great location by the bay. House is in good condition, but can be better.
-
2011-12-29$189,000 122-char remark
Show marketing remark (122 chars)
SHORT SALE !! A nice townhouse in ventnor Hgts. Great location by the bay. House is in good condition, but can be better.
-
2010-08-24historical
Show marketing remark (105 chars)
Good townhouse in great area. Subject to bank approval of short sale. Call agent directly for appointment
-
2010-06-17$220,000
Show marketing remark (105 chars)
Good townhouse in great area. Subject to bank approval of short sale. Call agent directly for appointment
-
2003-06-20soldstatus $160,100
-
2003-06-16soldstatus $160,100
-
2003-05-17historical
-
2003-04-29$149,000
-
1998-07-01soldstatus $112,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast NJ · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $4,606 · $384/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $10,034 · $836/mo
- Expected delta
- +$5,428/yr (+$452/mo · 117.9%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 7/10 Severe FEMA zone AE · 97% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 2/10 Low
- Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥95°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 8/10 Severe 80% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $73,082
- − Mortgage interest
- −$34,786
- − Property taxes
- −$4,606
- − Insurance
- −$8,224
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$5,847
- − Management
- −$5,847
- − Depreciation
- −$18,065
- Taxable loss
- −$4,292
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$1,030
- After-tax cash flow
- $6,856/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Ventnor City School District
- NCES district ID
- 3416680
- Math proficiency
- 27% ▼ -18.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 49% ▼ -7.00%
- Median HH income
- $52,220
- Composite
- 32.96/100
- National rank
- #5588
- State rank
- #266 of 472 in NJ
Livability — Ventnor City
- Score
- 72/100
- State rank
- #202
- US rank
- #5716
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Ventnor City, NJ
- County
- Atlantic County · 143,611 people
- City population
- 8,972
- Metro
- Atlantic City-Hammonton, NJ
- Population (ZIP)
- 8,972
- Household income
- $69,099
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 329.0
Population outlook (Atlantic County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 268,948 people
- By 2030
- 264,497 · -1.7%
- By 2040
- 252,261 · -6.2%
- By 2050
- 237,846 · -11.6%
- By 2075
- 210,650 · -21.7%
- By 2100
- 180,234 · -33.0%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (70%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 70% Hispanic / Latino 15% Asian 9% Two or more races 9% Black 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 3% Puerto Rican 4% Dominican 1%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 4% Scotch-Irish 3% Iranian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 21% · Canada, Jamaica, Vietnam
- Languages at home
- 76% English-only · Spanish 10% Other Indo-European 5% Vietnamese 3%
Political lean MEDSL · Atlantic
- 2024 margin
- Toss-up / Even · D 47.7% · R 50.7% · Other 1.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -18.1pp toward R · 2008: 15.1pp · 2024: -3.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+3.0 2020: D+6.7 2016: D+6.2 2012: D+17.2 2008: D+15.1
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -223.99%
- Current HPI
- 449.3494
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 57.28%
- Metro
- Atlantic City-Hammonton, NJ
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.05%
- F500 in state
- 34
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NJ)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Consumer Goods | 3 | $31B |
|
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| Pharmaceuticals | 2 | $153B |
|
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| Technology | 2 | $21B |
|
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| Insurance | 2 | $20B |
|
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| Healthcare | 2 | $19B |
|
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| Financial Services | 1 | $70B |
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Price history
+454.5% since first listed13 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-01 Price Changed $621,000 SJSRMLS
- 2026-04-23 Listed $638,500 SJSRMLS
- 2012-06-25 Sold (Public Records) $173,400 Public Records
- 2012-06-15 Sold (MLS) $173,400 SJSRMLS
- 2012-05-04 Listing Removed — SJSRMLS
- 2011-12-29 Listed $189,000 SJSRMLS
- 2010-08-24 Listing Removed — SJSRMLS
- 2010-06-17 Listed $220,000 SJSRMLS
- 2003-06-20 Sold (Public Records) $160,100 Public Records
- 2003-06-16 Sold (MLS) $160,100 SJSRMLS
- 2003-05-17 Listing Removed — SJSRMLS
- 2003-04-29 Listed $149,000 SJSRMLS
- 1998-07-01 Sold (Public Records) $112,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+1.7%/yrLatest (2025): $4,606 · +3.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…