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721 N Victoria Ave
D+ Composite 48.44
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +21.3/30.0
  • DSCR +6.8/10.0
  • Rent growth +5.0/5.0
  • 1% rule +4.8/10.0
  • Livability +3.6/5.0
  • Schools +3.3/10.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • ARV discount +1.1/15.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$621,000

721 N Victoria Ave · Ventnor City, NJ 08406
4 bd · 2.5 ba · 1,672 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 59 Days on market
Built 1980 $371/sqft · 14% above area Est $544k · 14% over

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

SHORT SALE !! A nice townhouse in ventnor Hgts. Great location by the bay. House is in good condition, but can be better.

Key facts

  • Fenced yard
  • Updated kitchen
  • Parking

Tags

UPDATED KITCHENFENCED YARD

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Sellers Property Condition disclosure available

Exterior

  • Parking: One exterior parking space; No garage
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Gas water heater
  • Home design: For sale
  • Construction: Concrete driveway
  • Exterior features: Fenced yard; Porch; Patio; Sprinkler system; Concrete driveway; Lot dimensions approximately 40 x 60; Zoned R8; Located in a floodplain

Interior

  • Kitchen: Gas stove; Dishwasher; Microwave; Trash compactor; Disposal
  • Bedrooms: Primary bedroom on main level; Additional bedrooms on upper level
  • Flooring: Hardwood; Wall-to-wall carpet
  • Bathrooms: Two full bathrooms; One half bathroom; Full bathrooms on upper level
  • Heating & cooling: Central air; Ceiling fans; Forced air heating; Natural gas heating; Hot water heating
  • Interior features: Blinds; Dining area; Pantry; Powder room on main level; Nine total rooms
  • Laundry & utility: Washer; Dryer

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 4-bed/2.5-bath single-family listed at $621k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $486 ($6k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $609k (1.9% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $602k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 8.1% vs local median 4.1% in Ventnor City — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 72/100 on livability (#202 in NJ) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: health & safety A+, commute A-, crime B+; Watch: amenities F, cost of living F.
  • Ventnor City School District (suburban): math 27% / reading 49% proficiency, ranked #266 of 472 in NJ (top 56%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Zoned schools: Ventnor Elementary School (math 27% / reading 42%, grade F, #582 of 1,303 statewide, top 49%, 304 students, 47% FRL); Ventnor Middle School (math 28% / reading 52%, grade F, #197 of 431 statewide, top 46%, 204 students, 62% FRL) — zoned schools at 54% FRL track the district average.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+57.3%/yr); 160 active listings in the ZIP; 15 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 23d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 672 units permitted in Atlantic County in 2024 (258 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $4k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $19k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Atlantic County population projected at -12% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 8.0% rent growth), your $174k cash investment doubles in ~10 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 59 days — a 3% lower offer ($602k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 4 sale attempts since 23y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $173k; list at $621k implies a 258% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $427/mo.
  • Climate carrying-cost: in FEMA flood zone AE (mandatory federal flood insurance); severe wind risk, 80% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→16/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $602,370 (3.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 59 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.98%
Cap rate
8.06%
Cash-on-cash
6.29%
DSCR
1.28
GRM
8.5

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$543,774
List price
$621,000
Delta
14.20%
Verdict
OVERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 9 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
703 N Burghley Ave 0.32mi 4/2.5 1,779 (+6%) 4mo $605,000 $340 71
607 N Dorset Ave 0.28mi 3/1.5 (-1) 1,772 (+6%) 3mo $544,900 $308 65
812 N Dorset Ave 0.28mi 3/2.5 (-1) 1,808 (+8%) 10mo $635,000 $351 60
207 N Harvard Ave 0.75mi 3/2.5 (-1) 1,671 (-0%) 2mo $735,000 $440 59
504 N Burghley Ave 0.43mi 4/2.5 1,918 (+15%) 2mo $835,000 $435 54
604 N Cambridge Ave 0.45mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,552 (-7%) 11mo $550,000 $354 50
202 N Suffolk Ave 0.60mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,520 (-9%) 15mo $404,000 $266 38
312 N Oxford Ave 0.50mi 3/1.5 (-1) 1,500 (-10%) 24mo $495,000 $330 31
213 N Derby Ave 0.64mi 3/1.5 (-1) 1,464 (-12%) 16mo $507,000 $346 27

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 8.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-5.5%
Equity multiple
0.78×
Total profit
$-37,407
Equity at exit
$92,593
10-year hold
IRR
9.4%
Equity multiple
1.89×
Total profit
$154,193
Equity at exit
$53,693

Cash invested: $173,880 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
21 Tenant-Leaning
State New Jersey
21 Tenant-Leaning · D+6
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Anti-eviction Act requires just-cause statewide; rent control in 100+ municipalities; one of the most tenant-friendly states.

ZIP-level market 08406

Home prices YoY
-33.3%
Rents YoY
57.3%
Active inventory
160
Price-to-rent
8.5×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$6,090 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$3,257
Tax from tax record
$384 /mo · $4,606/yr
Insurance
$259
Flood insurance flood zone
−$427 /mo · $5,118/yr
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$1,279
Net cashflow
$486

Break-even live

Break-even rent $5,476
Max offer price $621,000
Occupancy floor 87%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $837 -5% $661 +0% $486 +5% $310 +10% $134
Rent -10% $4 -5% $245 +0% $486 +5% $726 +10% $967
Rate -1.0pp $798 -0.5pp $643 base $486 +0.5pp $325 +1.0pp $161

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$155,250
Closing costs
$18,630
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 15 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
610A N Victoria Ave Ventnor City, NJ 3.0 2.5 1800 $2,550 $1.42 23d 1 0.13mi
406 N Dorset Ave Ventnor City, NJ 4.0 1.5 1568 $13,000 $8.29 15d 1 0.46mi
24 N Baton Rouge Ave Ventnor City, NJ 3.0 2.0 1350 $18,000 $13.33 15d 1 0.86mi
3 S Surrey Ave Unit 1309004P Ventnor City, NJ 3.0 2.0 1087 $8,055 $7.41 23d 1 0.88mi
3 S Surrey Ave Unit 1308991P Ventnor City, NJ 3.0 2.0 1087 $7,267 $6.69 45d 1 0.88mi
1 N Austin Ave Unit 1308998P Ventnor City, NJ 3.0 3.0 2195 $7,184 $3.27 23d 1 0.88mi
512 N Harrisburg Ave Atlantic City, NJ 3.0 2.0 1156 $2,800 $2.42 15d 1 1.10mi
109 N Wissahickon Ave Unit B Ventnor City, NJ 4.0 3.5 2000 $25,000 $12.50 23d 1 1.11mi
21 N Laclede Pl Atlantic City, NJ 3.0 1.0 1200 $2,000 $1.67 23d 1 1.17mi
7 S Richards Ave Ventnor City, NJ 4.0 2.0 1600 $25,000 $15.62 15d 1 1.18mi
36 Chelsea Ct Atlantic City, NJ 3.0 2.5 2100 $3,300 $1.57 15d 1 1.23mi
6 N Melbourne Ave Ventnor City, NJ 4.0 3.5 2028 $3,000 $1.48 45d 1 1.34mi
3809 Ventnor Ave #6 Atlantic City, NJ 3.0 1.0 1500 $2,100 $1.40 23d 1 1.37mi
3636 Winchester Ave Atlantic City, NJ 3.0 1.0 1094 $1,995 $1.82 23d 1 1.41mi
119 N Belmont Ave Unit June 2026 Margate City, NJ 4.0 2.5 2044 $10,000 $4.89 15d 1 1.42mi

Listing history 29 events

  1. 2026-06-21
    days on market $621,000 Active 59 DOM
  2. 2026-06-19
    days on market $621,000 Active 57 DOM
  3. 2026-06-18
    days on market $621,000 Active 56 DOM
  4. 2026-06-17
    days on market $621,000 Active 55 DOM
  5. 2026-06-16
    days on market $621,000 Active 54 DOM
  6. 2026-06-15
    days on market $621,000 Active 53 DOM
  7. 2026-06-14
    days on market $621,000 Active 51 DOM
  8. 2026-06-13
    days on market $621,000 Active 50 DOM
  9. 2026-06-10
    days on market $621,000 Active 48 DOM
  10. 2026-06-09
    days on market $621,000 Active 47 DOM
  11. 2026-06-08
    days on market $621,000 Active 46 DOM
  12. 2026-06-07
    days on market $621,000 Active 45 DOM
  13. 2026-06-03
    days on market $621,000 Active 41 DOM
  14. 2026-06-02
    days on market $621,000 Active 40 DOM
  15. 2026-06-01
    pricedays on market $621,000 Active 39 DOM
  16. 2026-05-31
    days on market $638,500 Active 38 DOM
  17. 2026-05-30
    days on market $638,500 Active 37 DOM
  18. 2026-04-23
    listed $638,500 Active 809-char remark
  19. 2012-06-25
    soldstatus $173,400
  20. 2012-06-15
    soldstatus $173,400 122-char remark
    Show marketing remark (122 chars)

    SHORT SALE !! A nice townhouse in ventnor Hgts. Great location by the bay. House is in good condition, but can be better.

  21. 2012-05-04
    historical 122-char remark
    Show marketing remark (122 chars)

    SHORT SALE !! A nice townhouse in ventnor Hgts. Great location by the bay. House is in good condition, but can be better.

  22. 2011-12-29
    listed $189,000 122-char remark
    Show marketing remark (122 chars)

    SHORT SALE !! A nice townhouse in ventnor Hgts. Great location by the bay. House is in good condition, but can be better.

  23. 2010-08-24
    historical
    Show marketing remark (105 chars)

    Good townhouse in great area. Subject to bank approval of short sale. Call agent directly for appointment

  24. 2010-06-17
    listed $220,000
    Show marketing remark (105 chars)

    Good townhouse in great area. Subject to bank approval of short sale. Call agent directly for appointment

  25. 2003-06-20
    soldstatus $160,100
  26. 2003-06-16
    soldstatus $160,100
  27. 2003-05-17
    historical
  28. 2003-04-29
    listed $149,000
  29. 1998-07-01
    soldstatus $112,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast NJ · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$4,606 · $384/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$10,034 · $836/mo
Expected delta
+$5,428/yr (+$452/mo · 117.9%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 7/10 Severe FEMA zone AE · 97% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 2/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥95°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 8/10 Severe 80% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$73,082
− Mortgage interest
−$34,786
− Property taxes
−$4,606
− Insurance
−$8,224
− Repairs & maintenance
−$5,847
− Management
−$5,847
− Depreciation
−$18,065
Taxable loss
−$4,292
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$1,030
After-tax cash flow
$6,856/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Ventnor City School District
NCES district ID
3416680
Math proficiency
27% ▼ -18.00%
Reading proficiency
49% ▼ -7.00%
Median HH income
$52,220
Composite
32.96/100
National rank
#5588
State rank
#266 of 472 in NJ

Livability — Ventnor City

Score
72/100
State rank
#202
US rank
#5716

Category grades

Amenities F Commute A- Cost of living F Crime B+ Employment C Housing C Health & safety A+ User ratings B-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Ventnor City, NJ
County
Atlantic County · 143,611 people
City population
8,972
Metro
Atlantic City-Hammonton, NJ
Population (ZIP)
8,972
Household income
$69,099
Rent vs Own
37.2% rent · 62.8% own
Severe rent burden
329.0

Population outlook (Atlantic County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
268,948 people
By 2030
264,497 · -1.7%
By 2040
252,261 · -6.2%
By 2050
237,846 · -11.6%
By 2075
210,650 · -21.7%
By 2100
180,234 · -33.0%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (70%)
Race & ethnicity
White 70% Hispanic / Latino 15% Asian 9% Two or more races 9% Black 2%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 3% Puerto Rican 4% Dominican 1%
Common ancestry
Romanian 4% Scotch-Irish 3% Iranian 2%
Foreign-born
21% · Canada, Jamaica, Vietnam
Languages at home
76% English-only · Spanish 10% Other Indo-European 5% Vietnamese 3%

Political lean MEDSL · Atlantic

2024 margin
Toss-up / Even · D 47.7% · R 50.7% · Other 1.6%
2008→2024 swing
-18.1pp toward R · 2008: 15.1pp · 2024: -3.0pp
All cycles
2024: R+3.0 2020: D+6.7 2016: D+6.2 2012: D+17.2 2008: D+15.1

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -223.99%
Current HPI
449.3494
Rent YoY
▲ 57.28%
Metro
Atlantic City-Hammonton, NJ
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.05%
F500 in state
34

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NJ)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+454.5% since first listed
13 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-01 Price Changed $621,000 SJSRMLS
  • 2026-04-23 Listed $638,500 SJSRMLS
  • 2012-06-25 Sold (Public Records) $173,400 Public Records
  • 2012-06-15 Sold (MLS) $173,400 SJSRMLS
  • 2012-05-04 Listing Removed SJSRMLS
  • 2011-12-29 Listed $189,000 SJSRMLS
  • 2010-08-24 Listing Removed SJSRMLS
  • 2010-06-17 Listed $220,000 SJSRMLS
  • 2003-06-20 Sold (Public Records) $160,100 Public Records
  • 2003-06-16 Sold (MLS) $160,100 SJSRMLS
  • 2003-05-17 Listing Removed SJSRMLS
  • 2003-04-29 Listed $149,000 SJSRMLS
  • 1998-07-01 Sold (Public Records) $112,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+1.7%/yr

Latest (2025): $4,606 · +3.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…