7452 Route 5 · Clark Mills, NY
Flood risk No data
- FEMA flood zone
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- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
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- Est. flood insurance / yr
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Fire risk No data
- Est. fire insurance / yr
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Heat risk No data
- Hot days now (above threshold)
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- Hot days in 30 yrs
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Wind risk No data
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
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Air-quality risk No data
- Unhealthy air days now
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- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
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Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +22.1/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +7.1/10.0
- 1% rule +5.8/10.0
- Schools +5.5/10.0
- Condition / age +3.8/5.0
- Livability +3.6/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$209,900
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
This classic American Foursquare is ready for its next owner! From relaxing on the inviting front porch to enjoying the spacious 26 x 28 pole barn, there's much to love here! The bright kitchen, updated full bath, and open living and dining areas create a welcoming and functional first floor, while 3 generously sized bedrooms occupy the second level. The oversized primary bedroom has been largely plumbed for an additional full bath, offering exciting potential! A full walk-up attic and full basement provide abundant storage space. Recent survey completed. Reach out to your favorite Realtor today for details on this reasonably priced Clinton home!
Key facts
- Pole barn
- Updated full bath
- Front porch
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: Detached garage; Circular driveway; Two garage spaces
- Utilities: Well water; Septic tank
- Home design: Two-story home; Existing/resale property
- Construction: Vinyl siding; Block and stone foundation
- Exterior features: Gravel driveway; Rectangular lot approximately 1 acre; Main thoroughfare road frontage; Lot dimensions approximately 124 x 133
Interior
- Kitchen: Electric oven; Electric range; Refrigerator
- Bedrooms: Three main-level bedrooms
- Flooring: Hardwood; Varies
- Bathrooms: One full bathroom on the main level
- Heating & cooling: Oil heating; Central air conditioning
- Interior features: Living/Dining room; Workshop; Full basement
- Laundry & utility: Electric water heater
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $210k. Condition is rated good.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $337 ($4k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $210k).
- Recommended offer: $207k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 71/100 on livability (#383 in NY) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: housing A+, health & safety A+, crime A; Watch: schools D-, amenities F, commute F.
- Clinton Central School District (suburban): math 57% / reading 71% proficiency, ranked #185 of 590 in NY (top 31%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease; only 17% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
- Market conditions: 41 active listings in the ZIP; 5 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 44d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 100% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 204 units permitted in Oneida County in 2024 (68 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Oneida County population projected at -12% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 28 days — a 2% lower offer ($207k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1910 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1910 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.08% ✓
- Cap rate
- 8.22%
- Cash-on-cash
- 6.88%
- DSCR
- 1.31
- GRM
- 7.7
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $308,688
- Comps found
- 3
Show comp detail 3 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4339 Saunders Rd | 0.48mi | 3/2.0 | 1,344 (-5%) | 9mo | $310,000 | $231 | 58 |
| 7547 Old Bristol Rd | 0.53mi | 3/2.0 | 1,282 (-10%) | 16mo | $279,900 | $218 | 42 |
| 7630 Old Bristol Rd | 0.53mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,557 (+10%) | 23mo | $150,000 | $96 | 31 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -5.7%
- Equity multiple
- 0.79×
- Total profit
- $-12,533
- Equity at exit
- $31,297
- IRR
- 3.9%
- Equity multiple
- 1.29×
- Total profit
- $16,840
- Equity at exit
- $18,148
Cash invested: $58,772 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State New York
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 13323
- Home prices YoY
- -22.2%
- Active inventory
- 41
- Price-to-rent
- 7.7×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,262 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,101
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$262 /mo · $3,148/yr
- Insurance
- −$87
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$475
- Net cashflow
- $337
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $52,475
- Closing costs
- $6,297
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 5 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 Cambridge LN Kirkland, NY | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $1,225 | $1.53 | 43d | 4 | 0.93mi |
| 105 Pheasants Run Clinton, NY | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1050 | $2,150 | $2.05 | 43d | 1 | 1.08mi |
| 135 Pheasants Run Clark Mills, NY | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1100 | $2,350 | $2.14 | 43d | 1 | 1.08mi |
| 122 Pheasants Run Kirkland, NY | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1200 | $3,100 | $2.58 | 43d | 1 | 1.09mi |
| 130 Pheasants Run Clinton, NY | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1200 | $2,250 | $1.88 | 43d | 1 | 1.11mi |
Listing history 19 events
-
2026-06-19days on market $209,900 Active 28 DOM
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2026-06-18days on market $209,900 Active 27 DOM
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2026-06-17days on market $209,900 Active 26 DOM
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2026-06-16days on market $209,900 Active 25 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $209,900 Active 24 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $209,900 Active 22 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $209,900 Active 21 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $209,900 Active 19 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $209,900 Active 18 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $209,900 Active 17 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $209,900 Active 16 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $209,900 Active 13 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $209,900 Active 12 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $209,900 Active 11 DOM
-
2026-06-01remarks 656-char remark
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2026-06-01days on market $209,900 Active 10 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $209,900 Active 9 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $209,900 Active 8 DOM
-
2026-05-22$209,900 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
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Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $27,149
- − Mortgage interest
- −$11,758
- − Property taxes
- −$3,148
- − Insurance
- −$1,050
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,172
- − Management
- −$2,172
- − Depreciation
- −$6,106
- Taxable income
- $743
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$178
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,862/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 1 photo
This classic American Foursquare is in good condition with minimal repairs needed. It's ready for its next owner and offers a great opportunity for a cosmetic update to enhance its resale and rental value.
Value-add opportunities
- Resale Paint exterior trim — Enhances curb appeal and can add value
- Both Landscaping — Improves curb appeal and can attract more tenants
- Both Replace front porch railings — Improves safety and enhances curb appeal
Renovation cost estimate screening
Value-add ROI direction
- Resale Paint exterior trim — Enhances curb appeal and can add value ↑
- Both Landscaping — Improves curb appeal and can attract more tenants ↑
- Both Replace front porch railings — Improves safety and enhances curb appeal ↑
ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Clinton Central School District
- NCES district ID
- 3607770
- Math proficiency
- 57% ▼ -11.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 71% ▲ 6.00%
- Median HH income
- $57,439
- Composite
- 55.05/100
- National rank
- #1290
- State rank
- #185 of 590 in NY
Livability — Clark Mills
- Score
- 71/100
- State rank
- #383
- US rank
- #6606
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- City population
- 815
- Population (ZIP)
- 11,014
Population outlook (Oneida County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 225,223 people
- By 2030
- 220,384 · -2.1%
- By 2040
- 209,071 · -7.2%
- By 2050
- 197,920 · -12.1%
- By 2075
- 175,541 · -22.1%
- By 2100
- 148,491 · -34.1%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (90%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 90% Hispanic / Latino 4% Two or more races 3% Asian 2%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 8% Lithuanian 3% Italian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 4% · Canada, China
- Languages at home
- 94% English-only · Spanish 2% Other Asian/Pacific 1% Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Oneida
- 2024 margin
- Strong R (+21.3) · D 39.4% · R 60.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -15.2pp toward R · 2008: -6.1pp · 2024: -21.3pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+21.3 2020: R+15.5 2016: R+21.1 2012: R+5.3 2008: R+6.1
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -83.30%
- Current HPI
- 292.0471
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.60%
- F500 in state
- 92
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 10 | $950B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 9 | $162B |
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| Insurance | 4 | $225B |
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| Telecommunications | 2 | $144B |
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| Pharmaceuticals | 2 | $112B |
|
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| Media / Entertainment | 2 | $69B |
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Price history
1 event — show timeline
- 2026-05-22 Listed $209,900 CNYIS
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…