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2031 Princeton Ave SW
C Composite 59.64
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • Livability +3.4/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +0.9/10.0
  • ARV discount +0.3/15.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$59,900

2031 Princeton Ave SW · Birmingham, AL 35211
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 941 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 41 Days on market
Built 1947 7,840 sqft lot $64/sqft · 16% above area Est $52k · 16% over

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Nice home. BUYER TO VERIFY ALL IMPORTANCE INFORMATION

Key facts

  • 7,840 sq ft lot
  • Built 1947
  • Listed 41 days

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Fire fee included; Garbage fee included; Library fee included
  • HOA & community: No association fee

Exterior

  • Parking: Driveway parking
  • Utilities: Public water; Connected sewer; Electric water heater; Internet service availability unknown
  • Home design: Existing residence; Wood construction; Crawl space foundation
  • Construction: Wood construction; Crawl space foundation
  • Exterior features: Fenced yard; No pool; No patio; No decks; Lot not in flood plain; No special lot view

Interior

  • Kitchen: Laminate countertops
  • Bedrooms: Multiple bedrooms on main level
  • Flooring: Carpet
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom; Linen closet
  • Heating & cooling: Central heating; Central cooling
  • Interior features: Carpet flooring; Some window treatments to remain; Attic present; Brick wood-burning fireplace in the living room; Ceilings: other (see remarks)
  • Laundry & utility: Washer hookup; Electric dryer hookup; Laundry located on the main level

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $60k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $390 ($5k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $60k).
  • Recommended offer: $58k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 14.1% vs local median 6.2% in Birmingham — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 67/100 on livability (#78 in AL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities C-, crime F, employment F.
  • Birmingham City (urban): math 4% / reading 20% proficiency, ranked #116 of 129 in AL (top 90%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 82% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Zoned schools: Central Park Elementary School (math 0% / reading 12%, grade F, #616 of 627 statewide, top 98%, 447 students, 83% FRL) — zoned schools at 83% FRL track the district average.
  • Market conditions: Rents soft (-0.0%/yr); 152 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 44d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 52% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 2,114 units permitted in Jefferson County in 2024 (556 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 35% of the median local income ($35k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $414 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Jefferson County population projected to shrink 4% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 0.0% rent growth), your $17k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 41 days — a 3% lower offer ($58k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1947 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $58,103 (3.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 41 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1947 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  5. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.69%
Cap rate
14.10%
Cash-on-cash
27.90%
DSCR
2.24
GRM
4.9

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$51,685
List price
$59,900
Delta
15.89%
Verdict
OVERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
208 22nd St SW 0.13mi 2/1.0 926 (-2%) 1mo $57,000 $62 90
1928 Princeton Ct 0.09mi 2/1.0 850 (-10%) 2mo $26,000 $31 78
530 19th St SW 0.13mi 2/1.0 990 (+5%) 14mo $62,000 $63 73
4929 Avenue R 0.59mi 2/1.0 962 (+2%) 5mo $43,000 $45 64
2724 Lee Ave SW 0.58mi 3/1.0 (+1) 960 (+2%) 1mo $72,000 $75 63
340 SW 22nd St SW 0.32mi 2/1.0 846 (-10%) 8mo $25,000 $30 61
2136 47th St W 0.61mi 2/1.0 892 (-5%) 4mo $12,000 $13 59
1925 Woodland Ave SW 0.38mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,011 (+7%) 15mo $21,000 $21 53
4929 Terrace R 0.45mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,000 (+6%) 14mo $55,000 $55 52
1825 Madison Ave SW 0.56mi 3/1.0 (+1) 887 (-6%) 15mo $117,000 $132 47
1813 Jefferson Ave SW 0.66mi 2/1.0 816 (-13%) 1mo $47,500 $58 46
1736 Jefferson Ave SW 0.71mi 3/1.0 (+1) 871 (-7%) 12mo $116,000 $133 40

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
18.6%
Equity multiple
1.73×
Total profit
$12,180
Equity at exit
$8,931
10-year hold
IRR
24.8%
Equity multiple
2.86×
Total profit
$31,194
Equity at exit
$5,179

Cash invested: $16,772 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Alabama
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+15
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Right-to-evict in 7 days for non-payment; no rent control; preempted statewide; courts move quickly.

ZIP-level market 35211

Rents YoY
-0.0%
Active inventory
152
Price-to-rent
4.9×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,010 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$314
Tax from tax record
$69 /mo · $824/yr
Insurance
$25
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$212
Net cashflow
$390

Break-even live

Break-even rent $516
Max offer price $59,900
Occupancy floor 56%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$14,975
Closing costs
$1,797
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 40 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
2028 Lee Ter SW Birmingham, AL 2.0 1.0 884 $695 $0.79 44d 1 0.06mi
208 22nd St SW Birmingham, AL 2.0 1.0 926 $1,050 $1.13 3d 1 0.13mi
1933 Saint Charles Ct SW Birmingham, AL 3.0 1.0 1106 $1,050 $0.95 24d 1 0.16mi
2216 Lee Ave SW Birmingham, AL 3.0 1.0 902 $900 $1.00 24d 1 0.22mi
2519 Saint Charles Ave SW Birmingham, AL 2.0 1.0 990 $975 $0.98 44d 1 0.40mi
407 S Park Rd SW Birmingham, AL 3.0 1.0 1050 $900 $0.86 44d 1 0.43mi
4813 Court S Birmingham, AL 3.0 2.0 1118 $1,125 $1.01 44d 1 0.47mi
914 21st St SW Birmingham, AL 3.0 1.0 784 $1,200 $1.53 21d 1 0.48mi
132 17th St SW Birmingham, AL 2.0 1.0 738 $945 $1.28 44d 1 0.57mi
612 26th St SW Birmingham, AL 2.0 1.0 988 $825 $0.84 44d 1 0.57mi
4929 Avenue R Unit R Birmingham, AL 2.0 1.0 962 $950 $0.99 44d 1 0.59mi
4724 Court R Birmingham, AL 2.0 1.0 1016 $895 $0.88 15d 1 0.70mi
521 16th St SW Unit 523 Birmingham, AL 2.0 1.0 800 $800 $1.00 44d 1 0.73mi
1781 51st Street Ensley Unit ENSLEY Birmingham, AL 3.0 1.5 1069 $950 $0.89 44d 1 0.75mi
1209 19th Pl SW Birmingham, AL 3.0 1.0 1050 $1,275 $1.21 44d 1 0.76mi
1252 18th Pl SW Birmingham, AL 3.0 1.0 950 $1,000 $1.05 16d 1 0.79mi
1228 19th Pl SW Birmingham, AL 3.0 2.0 978 $1,195 $1.22 3d 1 0.80mi
5211 Ter Q Unit Q Birmingham, AL 2.0 1.0 756 $775 $1.03 44d 1 0.84mi
3012 Avenue X Unit C Birmingham, AL 3.0 1.0 620 $650 $1.05 12d 1 0.89mi
5219 Court Q Birmingham, AL 3.0 2.0 1082 $1,200 $1.11 19d 1 0.90mi
5320 Ter Q Unit Q Birmingham, AL 3.0 2.0 1116 $1,250 $1.12 44d 1 0.91mi
2329 30th Street Ensley Birmingham, AL 2.0 1.0 917 $990 $1.08 24d 1 0.92mi
2421 29th Street Ensley Unit C Birmingham, AL 2.0 1.0 950 $703 $0.74 24d 1 0.98mi
1604 44th Street Ensley Unit ENSLEY Birmingham, AL 3.0 1.0 1100 $1,200 $1.09 24d 1 1.02mi
1540 42nd Street Ensley Unit ENSLEY Birmingham, AL 2.0 1.0 899 $1,037 $1.15 44d 1 1.09mi
914 14th St SW Unit B Birmingham, AL 1.0 1.0 580 $600 $1.03 12d 1 1.09mi
914 14th St SW Unit A Birmingham, AL 1.0 1.0 577 $600 $1.04 24d 1 1.09mi
914 14th St SW Unit B Birmingham, AL 1.0 1.0 577 $700 $1.21 24d 1 1.09mi
916 14th St SW Unit F Birmingham, AL 2.0 1.0 800 $800 $1.00 12d 1 1.10mi
916 14th St SW Unit A Birmingham, AL 2.0 1.0 870 $800 $0.92 24d 1 1.10mi
916 14th St SW Unit F Birmingham, AL 2.0 1.0 870 $800 $0.92 44d 1 1.10mi
5820 Court Q Birmingham, AL 3.0 1.0 902 $1,200 $1.33 44d 1 1.11mi
1520 17th Way SW Birmingham, AL 3.0 1.0 900 $900 $1.00 12d 1 1.14mi
1520 17th Way SW Birmingham, AL 3.0 1.0 900 $900 $1.00 21d 1 1.14mi
5832 Court Q Birmingham, AL 3.0 1.0 912 $950 $1.04 44d 1 1.14mi
1537 18th St SW Birmingham, AL 3.0 1.0 1049 $1,130 $1.08 44d 1 1.15mi
1228 Fulton Ave SW Birmingham, AL 2.0 1.0 900 $800 $0.89 44d 1 1.15mi
1233 15th Way SW Birmingham, AL 3.0 1.0 1119 $1,050 $0.94 44d 1 1.15mi
5516 Avenue P Birmingham, AL 2.0 1.0 888 $1,000 $1.13 44d 1 1.15mi
1544 18th St SW Birmingham, AL 3.0 1.0 950 $1,130 $1.19 44d 1 1.16mi

Listing history 18 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $59,900 Active 41 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $59,900 Active 40 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $59,900 Active 39 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $59,900 Active 38 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $59,900 Active 36 DOM
  6. 2026-06-10
    days on market $59,900 Active 33 DOM
  7. 2026-06-09
    days on market $59,900 Active 32 DOM
  8. 2026-06-08
    days on market $59,900 Active 31 DOM
  9. 2026-06-07
    days on market $59,900 Active 30 DOM
  10. 2026-06-03
    days on market $59,900 Active 26 DOM
  11. 2026-06-02
    days on market $59,900 Active 25 DOM
  12. 2026-06-01
    days on market $59,900 Active 24 DOM
  13. 2026-05-31
    days on market $59,900 Active 23 DOM
  14. 2026-05-07
    listed $59,900 Active 53-char remark
  15. 2020-12-07
    soldstatus $80,000
  16. 2004-08-17
    soldstatus $46,500
  17. 1999-09-02
    soldstatus $35,100
  18. 1996-09-01
    soldstatus $35,900

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast AL · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$824 · $69/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$824 · $69/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥106°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 6/10 Major 27% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 4/10 Moderate 5 unhealthy d/yr today · 5 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$12,116
− Mortgage interest
−$3,355
− Property taxes
−$824
− Insurance
−$300
− Repairs & maintenance
−$969
− Management
−$969
− Depreciation
−$1,743
Taxable income
$3,956
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$950
After-tax cash flow
$3,729/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Birmingham City
NCES district ID
0100390
Math proficiency
4% ▼ -17.00%
Reading proficiency
20% ▼ -4.00%
Median HH income
$31,988
Composite
9.49/100
National rank
#9850
State rank
#116 of 129 in AL

Livability — Birmingham

Score
67/100
State rank
#78
US rank
#10412

Category grades

Amenities C- Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings C+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Birmingham, AL
County
Jefferson County · 527,445 people
City population
210,422
Metro
Birmingham-Hoover, AL
Population (ZIP)
24,924
Household income
$34,884
Rent vs Own
59.7% rent · 40.3% own
Severe rent burden
2161.0

Population outlook (Jefferson County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
669,185 people
By 2030
669,694 · +0.1%
By 2040
661,388 · -1.2%
By 2050
643,086 · -3.9%
By 2075
577,267 · -13.7%
By 2100
474,758 · -29.1%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly Black (77%)
Race & ethnicity
Black 77% White 10% Hispanic / Latino 10% Two or more races 4%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 7%
Foreign-born
6% · Canada
Languages at home
91% English-only · Spanish 8% French/Haitian/Cajun 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Jefferson

2024 margin
D (+10.4) · D 54.6% · R 44.2% · Other 1.2%
2008→2024 swing
+5.4pp toward D · 2008: 5.1pp · 2024: 10.4pp
All cycles
2024: D+10.4 2020: D+13.2 2016: D+7.2 2012: D+6.0 2008: D+5.1

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -49.29%
Current HPI
91.2903
Rent YoY
▬ -0.01%
Metro
Birmingham-Hoover, AL
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.94%
F500 in state
4

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+66.9% since first listed
5 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-07 Listed $59,900 Greater Alabama MLS
  • 2020-12-07 Sold (Public Records) $80,000 Public Records
  • 2004-08-17 Sold (Public Records) $46,500 Public Records
  • 1999-09-02 Sold (Public Records) $35,100 Public Records
  • 1996-09-01 Sold (Public Records) $35,900 Public Records

Property tax history

+1.3%/yr

Latest (2025): $824 · +0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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