CashFlowRE
Sign in Sign up
1412 Chestnut St
B- Composite 65.44
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • 1% rule +7.7/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.7/15.0
  • Livability +3.1/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +2.0/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$118,000

1412 Chestnut St · Jackson, LA 70748
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,021 sqft · SingleFamily · 14 Days on market
Built 1950 5,662 sqft lot Est $118k · at est.

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Adorable 2BR/1BA cottage in Jackson, LA featuring a metal roof, fenced backyard, beautiful shade trees, and plenty of small town charm. This cozy home offers low-maintenance living and would make a great starter home, rental property, or place to downsize. Don't miss this affordable opportunity! THE LISTING AGENT MAKES NO REPRESENTATIONS AND OR WARRANTIES, EXPRESSED OR IMPLIED, REGARDING THE PROPERTY'S CONDITION, SUITABILITY FOR A PARTICULAR PURPOSE, OR ANY OTHER ASPECT OF THE PROPERTY. THE BUYER IS ADVISED TO VERIFY ALL INFORMATION PROVIDED IN THE LISTING WITH THEIR OWN SOURCES.

Key facts

  • Metal roof
  • Shade trees
  • Fenced backyard

Tags

METAL ROOFFENCED BACKYARDSHADE TREES

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Located in the Town of Jackson subdivision; Elementary/Middle/High school district: East Feliciana Parish

Exterior

  • Parking: 3 parking spaces
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
  • Home design: Detached single-family residence; Residential property
  • Construction: Foundation: Other
  • Exterior features: Wood fencing; Metal roof; Lot approximately 0.13 acres with roughly 75 x 75 dimensions

Interior

  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Window unit(s) for cooling; Space heater for heating
  • Interior features: Window cooling units; Space heater for heating

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $118k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $492 ($6k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $118k).
  • Cap rate 11.3% vs local median 1.9% in Jackson — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 61/100 on livability (#239 in LA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools D+, crime F, amenities F.
  • East Feliciana Parish (rural): math 19% / reading 28% proficiency, ranked #62 of 98 in LA (top 63%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 75% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: 65 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 42 units permitted in East Feliciana Parish in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $816 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • East Feliciana County population projected at -18% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $33k cash investment doubles in ~7 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • Only 14 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • 9 sale attempts since 20y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $58k; list at $118k implies a 103% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1950 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $118,000

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1950 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  4. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.27%
Cap rate
11.29%
Cash-on-cash
17.86%
DSCR
1.79
GRM
6.6

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$118,436
Comps found
2
Show comp detail 2 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
3036 Bourbon St 0.17mi 2/1.0 904 (-12%) 17mo $105,000 $116 59
2222 Highway 10 0.61mi 2/1.0 1,154 (+13%) 11mo $89,900 $78 41

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
9.3%
Equity multiple
1.37×
Total profit
$12,151
Equity at exit
$17,594
10-year hold
IRR
18.5%
Equity multiple
2.53×
Total profit
$50,702
Equity at exit
$10,202

Cash invested: $33,040 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Louisiana
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+12
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
5-day notice; no state rent control; civil-law jurisdiction; landlord-favorable.

ZIP-level market 70748

Home prices YoY
-26.2%
Active inventory
65
Price-to-rent
6.6×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,500 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$619
Tax from tax record
$25 /mo · $303/yr
Insurance
$49
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$315
Net cashflow
$492

Break-even live

Break-even rent $877
Max offer price $118,000
Occupancy floor 62%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$29,500
Closing costs
$3,540
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 1 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
1731 Walnut St Jackson, LA 3.0 1.0 1500 $1,500 $1.00 23d 1 0.46mi

Listing history 11 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $118,000 Active 14 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $118,000 Active 13 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $118,000 Active 12 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $118,000 Active 11 DOM
  5. 2026-06-14
    days on market $118,000 Active 9 DOM
  6. 2026-06-10
    days on market $118,000 Active 6 DOM
  7. 2026-06-09
    days on market $118,000 Active 5 DOM
  8. 2026-06-08
    days on market $118,000 Active 4 DOM
  9. 2026-06-07
    days on market $118,000 Active 3 DOM
  10. 2026-06-05
    remarks 586-char remark
  11. 2026-06-05
    listed $118,000 Active 1 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast LA · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$303 · $25/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$649 · $54/mo
Expected delta
+$346/yr (+$29/mo · 114.5%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 8/10 Severe 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$18,000
− Mortgage interest
−$6,610
− Property taxes
−$303
− Insurance
−$590
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,440
− Management
−$1,440
− Depreciation
−$3,433
Taxable income
$4,185
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,004
After-tax cash flow
$4,897/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
East Feliciana Parish
NCES district ID
2200600
Math proficiency
19% ▼ -36.00%
Reading proficiency
28% ▼ -37.00%
Median HH income
$43,478
Composite
20.16/100
National rank
#8636
State rank
#62 of 98 in LA

Livability — Jackson

Score
61/100
State rank
#239
US rank
#18179

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety C+ User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Jackson, LA
City population
7,016
Population (ZIP)
7,016

Population outlook (East Feliciana County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
18,858 people
By 2030
18,225 · -3.4%
By 2040
16,760 · -11.1%
By 2050
15,456 · -18.0%
By 2075
13,112 · -30.5%
By 2100
11,117 · -41.0%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.61)
Race & ethnicity
Black 47% White 41% Two or more races 9% Hispanic / Latino 5% Native American 1%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 7% Italian 4% Slovak 1%
Foreign-born
1% · Canada
Languages at home
97% English-only · Spanish 1% French/Haitian/Cajun 1%

Political lean MEDSL · East Feliciana

2024 margin
Strong R (+22.2) · D 38.3% · R 60.5% · Other 1.2%
2008→2024 swing
-11.7pp toward R · 2008: -10.6pp · 2024: -22.2pp
All cycles
2024: R+22.2 2020: R+17.0 2016: R+13.3 2012: R+7.3 2008: R+10.6

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -48.49%
Current HPI
136.6804
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.29%
F500 in state
10

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in LA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+237.1% since first listed
20 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-04 Listed $118,000 GBRMLS
  • 2026-01-29 Price Changed $119,000 AcadianaMLS
  • 2026-01-29 Price Changed $119,000 GBRMLS
  • 2025-11-07 Listed $125,000 AcadianaMLS
  • 2025-11-07 Listed $125,000 GBRMLS
  • 2023-08-15 Sold (Public Records) $58,000 Public Records
  • 2023-08-14 Sold (MLS) GBRMLS
  • 2023-07-10 Pending GBRMLS
  • 2023-06-22 Price Changed $73,000 GBRMLS
  • 2023-05-17 Price Changed $75,000 GBRMLS
  • 2023-05-17 Relisted GBRMLS
  • 2023-05-08 Pending GBRMLS
  • 2023-04-02 Price Changed $89,900 GBRMLS
  • 2023-03-22 Relisted GBRMLS
  • 2023-02-25 Delisted GBRMLS
  • 2023-02-14 Listed $73,000 AcadianaMLS
  • 2023-02-14 Listed $95,000 GBRMLS
  • 2006-05-04 Sold (MLS) GBRMLS
  • 2006-03-22 Listed $35,000 AcadianaMLS
  • 2006-03-22 Listed $35,000 GBRMLS

Property tax history

+3.7%/yr

Latest (2025): $303 · -10.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…