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303 S Hanover St
C Composite 57.72
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +25.2/30.0
  • DSCR +8.3/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • 1% rule +5.4/10.0
  • Livability +3.2/5.0
  • Schools +3.1/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$114,900

303 S Hanover St · Cape Girardeau, MO 63703
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,788 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 144 Days on market
Built 1940 4,573 sqft lot $64/sqft · 55% above area

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Home is listed $10,000 under appraisal! Home is HUGE! Large living area, large kitchen space and spacious bedrooms! This would be a great investment opportunity (as it's currently leased at $1350) OR would make an excellent home for any buyers! Recent remodel added two bedrooms upstairs and an additional bathroom- making this a 5 bedroom, 2 bathroom home! This home is listed with a package and can be purchased together or individually.

Key facts

  • 4,573 sq ft lot
  • Built 1940
  • Listed 144 days

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $115k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $257 ($3k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $115k).
  • Recommended offer: $101k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 9.0% vs local median 3.9% in Cape Girardeau — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 64/100 on livability (#297 in MO) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools C-, employment D+, crime F.
  • Cape Girardeau 63 (urban): math 33% / reading 42% proficiency, ranked #188 of 324 in MO (top 58%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 60% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: 41 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 81 units permitted in Cape Girardeau County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 37% of the median local income ($39k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $794 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Cape Girardeau County population projected at +17% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 144 days — a 12% lower offer ($101k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 4 sale attempts since 7y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1940 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $101,112 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 144 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1940 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.04%
Cap rate
8.98%
Cash-on-cash
9.60%
DSCR
1.43
GRM
8.0

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$74,143
List price
$114,900
Delta
54.97%
Verdict
OVERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
803 William St 0.24mi 3/1.0 1,680 (-6%) 6mo $84,900 $51 74
1601 Bloomfield St 0.35mi 3/2.0 1,692 (-5%) 3mo $99,900 $59 68
1013 William St 0.10mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,530 (-14%) 5mo $68,900 $45 58
1609 Themis St 0.64mi 3/2.0 1,694 (-5%) 1mo $229,900 $136 56
1803 Montgomery St 0.64mi 2/1.0 (-1) 1,706 (-5%) 5mo $140,000 $82 53
29 N Henderson Ave 0.39mi 3/1.5 1,576 (-12%) 9mo $179,000 $114 53
222 Good Hope St 0.69mi 3/2.0 1,692 (-5%) 4mo $275,000 $163 51
605 Albert St 0.72mi 2/2.0 (-1) 1,740 (-3%) 6mo $159,000 $91 48
1716 Whitener St 0.73mi 3/2.0 1,620 (-9%) 4mo $225,000 $139 43
1455 Whitener St 0.49mi 2/2.0 (-1) 2,026 (+13%) 6mo $127,000 $63 41
1827 William St 0.58mi 4/1.5 (+1) 2,056 (+15%) 2mo $174,000 $85 40
1903 Brink Ave 0.74mi 3/2.0 1,984 (+11%) 8mo $150,000 $76 37

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-1.9%
Equity multiple
0.93×
Total profit
$-2,280
Equity at exit
$17,132
10-year hold
IRR
7.8%
Equity multiple
1.59×
Total profit
$18,921
Equity at exit
$9,934

Cash invested: $32,172 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
81 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Missouri
81 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+10
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Generally landlord-friendly; St Louis has some habitability requirements.

ZIP-level market 63703

Home prices YoY
-29.3%
Active inventory
41
Price-to-rent
8.0×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,196 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$603
Tax from tax record
$37 /mo · $442/yr
Insurance
$48
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$251
Net cashflow
$257

Break-even live

Break-even rent $870
Max offer price $114,900
Occupancy floor 73%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$28,725
Closing costs
$3,447
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 1 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
Cape Girardeau Cape Girardeau, MO 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 931 $1,000 $1.07 43d 7 0.96mi

Listing history 13 events

  1. 2026-05-31
    days on market $114,900 Active 144 DOM
  2. 2026-05-30
    days on market $114,900 Active 143 DOM
  3. 2026-01-07
    listed $114,900 Active 445-char remark
    Show marketing remark (445 chars)

    Home is listed $10,000 under appraisal! Home is HUGE! Large living area, large kitchen space and spacious bedrooms! This would be a great investment opportunity (as it's currently leased at $1350) OR would make an excellent home for any buyers! Recent remodel added two bedrooms upstairs and an additional bathroom- making this a 5 bedroom, 2 bathroom home! This home is listed with a package and can be purchased together or individually.

  4. 2026-01-07
    historical $114,900 445-char remark
    Show marketing remark (445 chars)

    Home is listed $10,000 under appraisal! Home is HUGE! Large living area, large kitchen space and spacious bedrooms! This would be a great investment opportunity (as it's currently leased at $1350) OR would make an excellent home for any buyers! Recent remodel added two bedrooms upstairs and an additional bathroom- making this a 5 bedroom, 2 bathroom home! This home is listed with a package and can be purchased together or individually.

  5. 2024-05-02
    historical
  6. 2023-09-27
    listed $135,000 Active
  7. 2022-12-28
    soldstatus
  8. 2022-12-22
    soldstatus Closed
  9. 2022-11-14
    status Pending
  10. 2022-09-15
    listed $59,900 Active
  11. 2019-07-31
    listed $38,000
  12. 2019-07-29
    soldstatus Closed
  13. 2005-03-17
    soldstatus

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast MO · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$442 · $37/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,115 · $93/mo
Expected delta
+$672/yr (+$56/mo · 151.9%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low 3% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$14,348
− Mortgage interest
−$6,436
− Property taxes
−$442
− Insurance
−$574
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,148
− Management
−$1,148
− Depreciation
−$3,343
Taxable income
$1,257
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$302
After-tax cash flow
$2,786/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Cape Girardeau 63
NCES district ID
2907120
Math proficiency
33% ▼ -6.00%
Reading proficiency
42% ▼ -7.00%
Median HH income
$40,543
Composite
31.49/100
National rank
#5974
State rank
#188 of 324 in MO

Livability — Cape Girardeau

Score
64/100
State rank
#297
US rank
#13759

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment D+ Housing A+ Health & safety B- User ratings D-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Cape Girardeau, MO
County
Cape Girardeau County · 75,175 people
City population
47,546
Metro
Cape Girardeau, MO-IL
Population (ZIP)
8,201
Household income
$38,695
Rent vs Own
57.4% rent · 42.6% own
Severe rent burden
617.0

Population outlook (Cape Girardeau County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
84,807 people
By 2030
88,016 · +3.8%
By 2040
93,914 · +10.7%
By 2050
99,541 · +17.4%
By 2075
114,527 · +35.0%
By 2100
121,718 · +43.5%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (69%)
Race & ethnicity
White 69% Black 19% Two or more races 5% Hispanic / Latino 5%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 4% Puerto Rican 1%
Common ancestry
Slovak 2% Lithuanian 2% Italian 2%
Foreign-born
4% · Canada, Jamaica
Languages at home
94% English-only · Spanish 3% Russian/Polish/Slavic 1% Other Indo-European 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Cape Girardeau

2024 margin
Solid R (+46.5) · D 26.2% · R 72.7% · Other 1.1%
2008→2024 swing
-12.9pp toward R · 2008: -33.6pp · 2024: -46.5pp
All cycles
2024: R+46.5 2020: R+45.0 2016: R+50.1 2012: R+43.8 2008: R+33.6

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -63.10%
Current HPI
152.013
Rent YoY
Metro
Cape Girardeau, MO-IL
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.84%
F500 in state
20

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MO)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+202.4% since first listed
11 events — show timeline
  • 2026-01-07 Listed $114,900 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-01-07 Coming Soon $114,900 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2024-05-02 Delisted MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2023-09-27 Listed $135,000 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2022-12-28 Sold (Public Records) Public Records
  • 2022-12-22 Sold (MLS) MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2022-11-14 Pending MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2022-09-15 Listed $59,900 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2019-07-31 Listed $38,000 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2019-07-29 Sold (MLS) MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2005-03-17 Sold (Public Records) Public Records

Property tax history

+1.2%/yr

Latest (2025): $442 · +5.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…