127 Injunction Rd · Swainsboro, GA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 4/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $963 – $1,789
Heat risk 7/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 108°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 18 days/yr
Wind risk 8/10 · Major
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 80.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +21.2/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +6.8/10.0
- 1% rule +5.3/10.0
- Livability +2.9/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +2.3/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$120,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Property is sold AS IS Seller is willing to sell all properties individually or as a portfolio. No rent rolls, written lease agreements or property history is available.
Key facts
- 0.57 acre lot
- Built 1968
- Listed 16 days
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: RV access/parking
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
- Home design: Single-family residence; One-story; No shared/common walls
- Construction: Brick construction
- Exterior features: Front porch; Metal roof
Interior
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Central electric heating; Central electric cooling (central air)
- Interior features: Electric water heater; Basement: None
- Laundry & utility: Dedicated laundry room
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $120k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $174 ($2k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $120k).
- Recommended offer: $118k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 8.0% vs local median 4.9% in Swainsboro — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 58/100 on livability (#450 in GA) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime D+, schools F, amenities F.
- Emanuel County (town): math 27% / reading 30% proficiency, ranked #110 of 174 in GA (top 63%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 71% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: 79 active listings in the ZIP; 76 units permitted in Emanuel County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $830 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Emanuel County population projected at -15% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 17 days — a 2% lower offer ($118k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 5 sale attempts since 13y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $75k; list at $120k implies a 60% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 80% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→18/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1968 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.03% ✓
- Cap rate
- 8.03%
- Cash-on-cash
- 6.21%
- DSCR
- 1.28
- GRM
- 8.1
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $211,356
- Comps found
- 7
Show comp detail 7 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 101 Pony Dr | 0.24mi | 3/2.0 | 1,816 (-7%) | 0mo | $150,000 | $83 | 77 |
| 156 Injunction Rd | 0.15mi | 3/2.0 | 1,701 (-13%) | 2mo | $249,000 | $146 | 70 |
| 120 Essex Rd | 0.52mi | 3/2.0 | 1,860 (-5%) | 8mo | $200,000 | $108 | 61 |
| 182 Angus Rd | 0.69mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,976 (+1%) | 3mo | $185,000 | $94 | 59 |
| 15 Kathleen Rd | 0.29mi | 3/2.0 | 2,248 (+15%) | 20mo | $310,000 | $138 | 45 |
| 211 Neal St | 0.59mi | 3/2.0 | 1,820 (-7%) | 21mo | $196,000 | $108 | 44 |
| 104 Hicks Ave | 0.65mi | 3/2.0 | 1,697 (-13%) | 18mo | $155,000 | $91 | 33 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -6.7%
- Equity multiple
- 0.75×
- Total profit
- $-8,373
- Equity at exit
- $17,892
- IRR
- 2.9%
- Equity multiple
- 1.21×
- Total profit
- $6,971
- Equity at exit
- $10,375
Cash invested: $33,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Georgia
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 30401
- Home prices YoY
- -11.8%
- Active inventory
- 79
- Price-to-rent
- 8.1×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,235 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$629
- Tax from tax record
- −$123 /mo · $1,475/yr
- Insurance
- −$50
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$259
- Net cashflow
- $174
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $242 | -5% $208 | +0% $174 | +5% $140 | +10% $106 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $76 | -5% $125 | +0% $174 | +5% $223 | +10% $271 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $234 | -0.5pp $204 | base $174 | +0.5pp $143 | +1.0pp $111 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $30,000
- Closing costs
- $3,600
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 12 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $120,000 Active 17 DOM
-
2026-06-19days on market $120,000 Active 15 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $120,000 Active 14 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $120,000 Active 13 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $120,000 Active 12 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $120,000 Active 11 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $120,000 Active 9 DOM
-
2026-06-12days on market $120,000 Active 8 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $120,000 Active 5 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $120,000 Active 4 DOM
-
2026-06-07remarks 171-char remark
-
2026-06-07$120,000 Active 3 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast GA · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $1,475 · $123/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,475 · $123/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
- Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 8/10 Severe 80% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $14,825
- − Mortgage interest
- −$6,722
- − Property taxes
- −$1,475
- − Insurance
- −$600
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,186
- − Management
- −$1,186
- − Depreciation
- −$3,491
- Taxable income
- $166
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$40
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,046/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Emanuel County
- NCES district ID
- 1302040
- Math proficiency
- 27% ▼ -4.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 30% ▬ 0.00%
- Median HH income
- $31,771
- Composite
- 23.21/100
- National rank
- #7941
- State rank
- #110 of 174 in GA
Livability — Swainsboro
- Score
- 58/100
- State rank
- #450
- US rank
- #21414
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Swainsboro, GA
- City population
- 14,232
- Population (ZIP)
- 14,232
Population outlook (Emanuel County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 22,093 people
- By 2030
- 21,595 · -2.3%
- By 2040
- 20,343 · -7.9%
- By 2050
- 18,759 · -15.1%
- By 2075
- 14,327 · -35.2%
- By 2100
- 8,496 · -61.5%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.60)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 50% Black 39% Hispanic / Latino 7% Two or more races 5% Asian 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 6%
- Common ancestry
- Italian 3% Slovak 1%
- Foreign-born
- 4% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 93% English-only · Spanish 6% Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Emanuel
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+44.1) · D 27.8% · R 71.9%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -19.4pp toward R · 2008: -24.8pp · 2024: -44.1pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+44.1 2020: R+38.6 2016: R+37.0 2012: R+26.9 2008: R+24.8
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -27.97%
- Current HPI
- 209.5498
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.66%
- F500 in state
- 28
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in GA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Paper / Packaging | 2 | $29B |
|
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| Retail | 1 | $160B |
|
||
| Transportation / Logistics | 1 | $91B |
|
||
| Airlines | 1 | $62B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 1 | $47B |
|
||
| Utilities | 1 | $25B |
|
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Price history
+29.7% since first listed8 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-04 Listed $120,000 GAMLS
- 2026-06-04 Listed $120,000 HABR
- 2026-06-04 Listed $120,000 Hive MLS
- 2016-07-22 Sold (Public Records) $75,000 Public Records
- 2013-11-02 Listing Removed — GAMLS
- 2013-10-09 Listed $92,500 GAMLS
- 2013-05-14 Listing Removed — GAMLS
- 2013-04-20 Listed $92,500 GAMLS
Property tax history
+5.1%/yrLatest (2025): $1,475 · +7.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…