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722 Pawnee St
D+ Composite 47.6
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +13.4/30.0
  • ARV discount +12.3/15.0
  • Rent growth +4.3/5.0
  • Livability +4.1/5.0
  • DSCR +4.0/10.0
  • 1% rule +3.5/10.0
  • Schools +3.5/10.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$250,000

722 Pawnee St · Bethlehem, PA 18015
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,666 sqft · Townhouse public records · 3 Days on market
Built 1900 2,000 sqft lot Est $280k · 11% under

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Highest and best by Sunday 6/14 at 9pm. Welcome to this charming and move-in-ready 3-bedroom, 2-bathroom home located in the heart of South Bethlehem! From the moment you step inside, you'll appreciate the clean, well-maintained interior and the beautiful vinyl flooring that flows throughout the main level, offering both style and durability. The functional layout provides comfortable living spaces perfect for everyday life, entertaining guests, or simply relaxing at home. Whether you're a first-time homebuyer, or searching for an investment opportunity, this property offers endless potential. Conveniently situated just minutes from South Bethlehem's popular restaurants, shops, parks, and e

Key facts

  • Vinyl flooring
  • Functional layout
  • Convenient location

Tags

VINYL FLOORINGFUNCTIONAL LAYOUTEASY ACCESS TO MAJOR HIGHWAYSCONVENIENT LOCATION

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: Off-street parking; On-street parking
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Gas water heater
  • Home design: 3 stories; Brick construction; Asphalt/fiberglass roof; Basement foundation; Zoned 04RM
  • Construction: Built with brick; Asphalt and fiberglass roofing; Basement foundation
  • Exterior features: Public water; Public sewer; Lot approximately 0.046 acres

Interior

  • Kitchen: Refrigerator
  • Bedrooms: 6 total rooms (includes bedrooms and living spaces)
  • Flooring: Vinyl
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
  • Heating & cooling: Gas heating
  • Interior features: Dining area; Separate/formal dining room; Concrete basement
  • Laundry & utility: Washer; Dryer; Gas water heater

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath townhouse listed at $250k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $5 ($58/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $212k (15.3% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $212k (15.3% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
  • Cap rate 6.3% vs local median 4.3% in Bethlehem — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 82/100 on livability (#138 in PA, #1,122 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: commute F.
  • Bethlehem Area SD (urban): math 31% / reading 49% proficiency, ranked #342 of 539 in PA (top 64%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+7.2%/yr); 156 active listings in the ZIP; 28 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 21d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 567 units permitted in Northampton County in 2024 (151 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 42% of the median local income ($61k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $8k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.

Negotiation context

  • Only 3 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • Current owner paid $62k; list at $250k implies a 302% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1900 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→16/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $211,742 (15.3% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1900 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  4. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.85%
Cap rate
6.32%
Cash-on-cash
0.08%
DSCR
1.00
GRM
9.8

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$279,888
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
716 Itaska St 0.14mi 4/1.0 (+1) 1,639 (-2%) 0mo $285,000 $174 85
436 Pawnee St 0.20mi 3/2.0 1,744 (+5%) 2mo $191,000 $110 77
616 Christian St 0.27mi 4/1.5 (+1) 1,668 (+0%) 5mo $255,000 $153 76
445 Montclair Ave 0.32mi 4/1.0 (+1) 1,692 (+2%) 4mo $311,000 $184 75
707 Fiot Ave 0.26mi 3/2.0 1,556 (-7%) 2mo $285,000 $183 71
1050 Delaware Ave 0.43mi 3/1.0 1,575 (-6%) 2mo $265,000 $168 69
1012 Seneca St 0.34mi 3/1.0 1,512 (-9%) 0mo $255,000 $169 68
1054 Jeter Ave 0.51mi 4/1.5 (+1) 1,680 (+1%) 4mo $260,000 $155 64
1114 Russell Ave 0.54mi 4/1.0 (+1) 1,600 (-4%) 1mo $255,000 $159 62
1212 Graham St 0.67mi 3/1.5 1,616 (-3%) 4mo $290,000 $179 58
1019 Delaware Ave 0.39mi 4/2.5 (+1) 1,760 (+6%) 4mo $265,000 $151 58
1014 Jeter Ave 0.45mi 4/1.0 (+1) 1,500 (-10%) 2mo $250,000 $167 56

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 7.18% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-11.7%
Equity multiple
0.56×
Total profit
$-30,928
Equity at exit
$37,276
10-year hold
IRR
2.5%
Equity multiple
1.21×
Total profit
$14,957
Equity at exit
$21,615

Cash invested: $70,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
62 Landlord-Friendly
State Pennsylvania
62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
10-day notice; Philadelphia has eviction-court diversion + some protections; otherwise moderate.

ZIP-level market 18015

Home prices YoY
-30.7%
Rents YoY
7.2%
Active inventory
156
Price-to-rent
9.8×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,117 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,311
Tax from tax record
$253 /mo · $3,033/yr
Insurance
$104
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$445
Net cashflow
$5

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,111
Max offer price $250,000
Occupancy floor 95%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$62,500
Closing costs
$7,500
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 28 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
541 Jischke St Bethlehem, PA 3.0 1.0 1090 $1,800 $1.65 23d 1 0.07mi
708 Cherokee St Bethlehem, PA 3.0 1.5 1200 $2,500 $2.08 43d 1 0.09mi
521 Hess St Bethlehem, PA 3.0 1.0 1120 $1,500 $1.34 21d 1 0.18mi
517 Seneca St Unit 1 Bethlehem, PA 2.0 1.5 1500 $2,200 $1.47 43d 1 0.18mi
406 W 9th St Bethlehem, PA 3.0 1.0 1152 $2,100 $1.82 21d 1 0.32mi
14 Finady Ave Bethlehem, PA 3.0 1.5 1500 $1,600 $1.07 21d 1 0.35mi
1129 Russell Ave Fountain Hill, PA 3.0 1.0 1376 $1,900 $1.38 43d 1 0.60mi
1129 Russell Ave Fountain Hill, PA 3.0 1.0 1376 $1,750 $1.27 23d 1 0.60mi
1217 Broadway Unit 2 Fountain Hill, PA 2.0 1.0 1340 $1,550 $1.16 23d 1 0.60mi
11 W 2nd St Bethlehem, PA 2.0 2.0 1620 $2,550 $1.57 23d 4 0.64mi
311 E 3rd St Bethlehem, PA 2.0 2.0 1189 $2,330 $1.96 2d 3 0.80mi
436 Pierce St Bethlehem, PA 4.0 2.0 1452 $2,250 $1.55 2d 1 0.93mi
612 E 5th St Bethlehem, PA 4.0 2.0 1814 $2,500 $1.38 43d 1 0.96mi
610 E 3rd St Bethlehem, PA 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 974 $3,008 $3.09 2d 8 1.01mi
517 Schaffer St Bethlehem, PA 2.0 1.0 1200 $1,900 $1.58 2d 1 1.03mi
42 E Wall St Bethlehem, PA 4.0 1.0 1474 $2,550 $1.73 23d 1 1.04mi
30 E Market St Apt 1 Bethlehem, PA 2.0 1.0 1200 $1,950 $1.62 43d 1 1.09mi
239 E Church St Bethlehem, PA 3.0 2.5 1724 $2,950 $1.71 23d 1 1.18mi
56 W North St Bethlehem, PA 2.0 2.0 1486 $2,400 $1.62 14d 1 1.22mi
417 Linden St Bethlehem, PA 3.0 1.5 1699 $2,450 $1.44 2d 1 1.23mi
314 State St Bethlehem, PA 4.0 2.0 1654 $2,650 $1.60 14d 1 1.28mi
520 W Union Blvd Unit 2 Bethlehem, PA 3.0 1.0 2225 $2,150 $0.97 23d 1 1.28mi
1718 Calypso Ave Bethlehem, PA 4.0 1.5 1912 $2,700 $1.41 43d 1 1.29mi
68 W Union Blvd Bethlehem, PA 4.0 1.5 1804 $2,295 $1.27 14d 1 1.32mi
47 W Goepp St Bethlehem, PA 3.0 1.5 1184 $1,995 $1.68 2d 1 1.38mi
1122 E 4th St Bethlehem, PA 4.0 1.0 1706 $1,800 $1.06 14d 1 1.39mi
69 E Goepp St Bethlehem, PA 3.0 1.0 1100 $2,150 $1.95 2d 1 1.48mi
122 E Goepp St Unit 1 Bethlehem, PA 3.0 1.0 1137 $1,895 $1.67 2d 1 1.49mi

Listing history 4 events

  1. 2026-06-15
    status $250,000 Pending 3 DOM
  2. 2026-06-15
    days on market $250,000 Active 3 DOM
  3. 2026-06-14
    remarks 699-char remark
  4. 2026-06-14
    listed $250,000 Active 1 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast PA · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$3,033 · $253/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$3,491 · $291/mo
Expected delta
+$459/yr (+$38/mo · 15.1%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 5/10 Major
  • 🌡 Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥100°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 4/10 Moderate 19% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 4/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 6 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$25,409
− Mortgage interest
−$14,004
− Property taxes
−$3,033
− Insurance
−$1,250
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,033
− Management
−$2,033
− Depreciation
−$7,273
Taxable loss
−$4,216
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$1,012
After-tax cash flow
$1,070/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Bethlehem Area SD
NCES district ID
4203570
Math proficiency
31% ▼ -2.00%
Reading proficiency
49% ▼ -6.00%
Median HH income
$55,124
Composite
34.92/100
National rank
#5068
State rank
#342 of 539 in PA

Livability — Bethlehem

Score
82/100
State rank
#138
US rank
#1122

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime B+ Employment C Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings C+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Bethlehem, PA
County
Northampton County · 236,814 people
City population
129,661
Metro
Allentown-Bethlehem-Easton, PA-NJ
Population (ZIP)
34,852
Household income
$60,800
Rent vs Own
49.5% rent · 50.5% own
Severe rent burden
1525.0

Population outlook (Northampton County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
312,227 people
By 2030
314,769 · +0.8%
By 2040
316,914 · +1.5%
By 2050
318,037 · +1.9%
By 2075
334,003 · +7.0%
By 2100
344,696 · +10.4%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.62)
Race & ethnicity
White 53% Hispanic / Latino 29% Two or more races 14% Black 10% Asian 5%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 2% Puerto Rican 19% Dominican 3%
Common ancestry
Romanian 4% Danish 1% Iranian 1%
Foreign-born
12% · Canada, China, Jamaica
Languages at home
73% English-only · Spanish 21% Chinese 2% Other Indo-European 2%

Political lean MEDSL · Northampton

2024 margin
Toss-up / Even · D 48.6% · R 50.4%
2008→2024 swing
-14.1pp toward R · 2008: 12.3pp · 2024: -1.8pp
All cycles
2024: R+1.8 2020: D+0.7 2016: R+3.8 2012: D+4.6 2008: D+12.3

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -122.95%
Current HPI
277.4721
Rent YoY
▲ 7.18%
Metro
Allentown-Bethlehem-Easton, PA-NJ
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.68%
F500 in state
34

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in PA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+681.2% since first listed
3 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-12 Listed $250,000 GLVRMLS
  • 2003-08-06 Sold (Public Records) $62,250 Public Records
  • 1986-06-01 Sold (Public Records) $32,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+1.5%/yr

Latest (2026): $3,033 · +3.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…